
Brigham McCown is a senior fellow and director of the Initiative on American Energy Security at Hudson Institute and a professor of practice at Miami University.
America’s energy infrastructure is experiencing unprecedented strain as AI, data centers, a revitalized manufacturing sector, and electric vehicles have all gobbled up electricity at an unprecedented rate. While new technologies can unlock enormous potential, electricity demand is outpacing capacity, with consequences far beyond short-term inconvenience.
Without strategic intervention, the nation risks recurrent blackouts and escalating energy costs, which could impose significant burdens on households, enterprises, and communities.
U.S. electricity demand is projected to grow 15.8% by 2029. ICF International expects record-high national power consumption in 2025 and 2026, with demand rising 25% by 2030 and 78% by 2050. As consumption rises, utilities also expect rate increases between 15% and 40%. Without intervention, American families and businesses will find it increasingly challenging to access dependable and affordable electricity.
As the U.S. Department of Energy recently warned in its reliability outlook, this is not a distant challenge, and protecting existing baseload power may not be enough to protect against future shortages. While the long-term horizon provides ample time to ramp up, the next decade looks far less promising as retirements of fossil fuel-based power plants will rapidly outpace new deployments. Electricity bills and brownouts could become a reality. Energy abundance lowers prices and generates economic activity, economic security and national security. On the other hand, energy poverty results in scarcity, high prices, and insecurity.
Fortunately, solutions are within reach. Initiatives like the Desert Southwest pipeline, which will deliver natural gas from West Texas to Arizona, demonstrate how targeted infrastructure can stabilize energy supplies in high-demand regions. Coupled with modernized grids and expanded transmission networks, these efforts can support emerging technologies while ensuring reliability. The focus must clearly align with an energy mix composed of multiple sources of energy. Such an approach removes politics and ensures that energy is available, reliable, and affordable.
Policymakers have a vital role in ensuring that a lack of energy does not become America’s Achilles heel. The previous administration assumed that demand would create capacity and that installed renewable capacity was the same as 24/7 generating capacity. The reality is that demand builds faster than capacity, and we are falling behind.
The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and Inflation Reduction Act provide initial support, but more funds must prioritize grid upgrades and reliable baseload power over renewable-heavy projects. The DOE’s National Transmission Planning Study calls for tripling transmission capacity by 2050 to prevent bottlenecks. Streamlining permitting and regulatory processes for pipelines and power lines is critical to deliver energy where it’s needed most.
We must refrain from prematurely phasing out reliable and inexpensive fossil fuels until adequate new capacity is fully operational. The Department of Energy and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission should collaborate to develop a cohesive, long-term strategy to guarantee uninterrupted energy transmission across state boundaries.
Although renewable sources are essential, it is not the magic answer. A diverse energy portfolio includes a proper all-in approach. That means fossil fuels, as well as low-carbon alternatives such as hydroelectric, geothermal, and nuclear energy sources, along with wind and solar energy, are essential for affordability and reliability.
America’s energy future demands more than optimism. It requires a pragmatic, all-of-the-above strategy that prioritizes infrastructure investment, preserves dependable power sources, and fosters innovation. By acting with foresight and resolve, America can harness the opportunities of new technologies while securing the energy foundation that powers our nation’s progress.