Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE

R.E.D.: Scaling Text Classification with Expert Delegation

With the new age of problem-solving augmented by Large Language Models (LLMs), only a handful of problems remain that have subpar solutions. Most classification problems (at a PoC level) can be solved by leveraging LLMs at 70–90% Precision/F1 with just good prompt engineering techniques, as well as adaptive in-context-learning (ICL) examples. What happens when you want to consistently achieve performance higher than that — when prompt engineering no longer suffices? The classification conundrum Text classification is one of the oldest and most well-understood examples of supervised learning. Given this premise, it should really not be hard to build robust, well-performing classifiers that handle a large number of input classes, right…? Welp. It is. It actually has to do a lot more with the ‘constraints’ that the algorithm is generally expected to work under: low amount of training data per class high classification accuracy (that plummets as you add more classes) possible addition of new classes to an existing subset of classes quick training/inference cost-effectiveness (potentially) really large number of training classes (potentially) endless required retraining of some classes due to data drift, etc. Ever tried building a classifier beyond a few dozen classes under these conditions? (I mean, even GPT could probably do a great job up to ~30 text classes with just a few samples…) Considering you take the GPT route — If you have more than a couple dozen classes or a sizeable amount of data to be classified, you are gonna have to reach deep into your pockets with the system prompt, user prompt, few shot example tokens that you will need to classify one sample. That is after making peace with the throughput of the API, even if you are running async queries. In applied ML, problems like these are generally tricky to solve since they don’t fully satisfy the requirements of supervised learning or aren’t cheap/fast enough to be run via an LLM. This particular pain point is what the R.E.D algorithm addresses: semi-supervised learning, when the training data per class is not enough to build (quasi)traditional classifiers. The R.E.D. algorithm R.E.D: Recursive Expert Delegation is a novel framework that changes how we approach text classification. This is an applied ML paradigm — i.e., there is no fundamentally different architecture to what exists, but its a highlight reel of ideas that work best to build something that is practical and scalable. In this post, we will be working through a specific example where we have a large number of text classes (100–1000), each class only has few samples (30–100), and there are a non-trivial number of samples to classify (10,000–100,000). We approach this as a semi-supervised learning problem via R.E.D. Let’s dive in. How it works simple representation of what R.E.D. does Instead of having a single classifier classify between a large number of classes, R.E.D. intelligently: Divides and conquers — Break the label space (large number of input labels) into multiple subsets of labels. This is a greedy label subset formation approach. Learns efficiently — Trains specialized classifiers for each subset. This step focuses on building a classifier that oversamples on noise, where noise is intelligently modeled as data from other subsets. Delegates to an expert — Employes LLMs as expert oracles for specific label validation and correction only, similar to having a team of domain experts. Using an LLM as a proxy, it empirically ‘mimics’ how a human expert validates an output. Recursive retraining — Continuously retrains with fresh samples added back from the expert until there are no more samples to be added/a saturation from information gain is achieved The intuition behind it is not very hard to grasp: Active Learning employs humans as domain experts to consistently ‘correct’ or ‘validate’ the outputs from an ML model, with continuous training. This stops when the model achieves acceptable performance. We intuit and rebrand the same, with a few clever innovations that will be detailed in a research pre-print later. Let’s take a deeper look… Greedy subset selection with least similar elements When the number of input labels (classes) is high, the complexity of learning a linear decision boundary between classes increases. As such, the quality of the classifier deteriorates as the number of classes increases. This is especially true when the classifier does not have enough samples to learn from — i.e. each of the training classes has only a few samples. This is very reflective of a real-world scenario, and the primary motivation behind the creation of R.E.D. Some ways of improving a classifier’s performance under these constraints: Restrict the number of classes a classifier needs to classify between Make the decision boundary between classes clearer, i.e., train the classifier on highly dissimilar classes Greedy Subset Selection does exactly this — since the scope of the problem is Text Classification, we form embeddings of the training labels, reduce their dimensionality via UMAP, then form S subsets from them. Each of the S subsets has elements as n training labels. We pick training labels greedily, ensuring that every label we pick for the subset is the most dissimilar label w.r.t. the other labels that exist in the subset: import numpy as np from sklearn.metrics.pairwise import cosine_similarity def avg_embedding(candidate_embeddings): return np.mean(candidate_embeddings, axis=0) def get_least_similar_embedding(target_embedding, candidate_embeddings): similarities = cosine_similarity(target_embedding, candidate_embeddings) least_similar_index = np.argmin(similarities) # Use argmin to find the index of the minimum least_similar_element = candidate_embeddings[least_similar_index] return least_similar_element def get_embedding_class(embedding, embedding_map): reverse_embedding_map = {value: key for key, value in embedding_map.items()} return reverse_embedding_map.get(embedding) # Use .get() to handle missing keys gracefully def select_subsets(embeddings, n): visited = {cls: False for cls in embeddings.keys()} subsets = [] current_subset = [] while any(not visited[cls] for cls in visited): for cls, average_embedding in embeddings.items(): if not current_subset: current_subset.append(average_embedding) visited[cls] = True elif len(current_subset) >= n: subsets.append(current_subset.copy()) current_subset = [] else: subset_average = avg_embedding(current_subset) remaining_embeddings = [emb for cls_, emb in embeddings.items() if not visited[cls_]] if not remaining_embeddings: break # handle edge case least_similar = get_least_similar_embedding(target_embedding=subset_average, candidate_embeddings=remaining_embeddings) visited_class = get_embedding_class(least_similar, embeddings) if visited_class is not None: visited[visited_class] = True current_subset.append(least_similar) if current_subset: # Add any remaining elements in current_subset subsets.append(current_subset) return subsets the result of this greedy subset sampling is all the training labels clearly boxed into subsets, where each subset has at most only n classes. This inherently makes the job of a classifier easier, compared to the original S classes it would have to classify between otherwise! Semi-supervised classification with noise oversampling Cascade this after the initial label subset formation — i.e., this classifier is only classifying between a given subset of classes. Picture this: when you have low amounts of training data, you absolutely cannot create a hold-out set that is meaningful for evaluation. Should you do it at all? How do you know if your classifier is working well? We approached this problem slightly differently — we defined the fundamental job of a semi-supervised classifier to be pre-emptive classification of a sample. This means that regardless of what a sample gets classified as it will be ‘verified’ and ‘corrected’ at a later stage: this classifier only needs to identify what needs to be verified. As such, we created a design for how it would treat its data: n+1 classes, where the last class is noise noise: data from classes that are NOT in the current classifier’s purview. The noise class is oversampled to be 2x the average size of the data for the classifier’s labels Oversampling on noise is a faux-safety measure, to ensure that adjacent data that belongs to another class is most likely predicted as noise instead of slipping through for verification. How do you check if this classifier is working well — in our experiments, we define this as the number of ‘uncertain’ samples in a classifier’s prediction. Using uncertainty sampling and information gain principles, we were effectively able to gauge if a classifier is ‘learning’ or not, which acts as a pointer towards classification performance. This classifier is consistently retrained unless there is an inflection point in the number of uncertain samples predicted, or there is only a delta of information being added iteratively by new samples. Proxy active learning via an LLM agent This is the heart of the approach — using an LLM as a proxy for a human validator. The human validator approach we are talking about is Active Labelling Let’s get an intuitive understanding of Active Labelling: Use an ML model to learn on a sample input dataset, predict on a large set of datapoints For the predictions given on the datapoints, a subject-matter expert (SME) evaluates ‘validity’ of predictions Recursively, new ‘corrected’ samples are added as training data to the ML model The ML model consistently learns/retrains, and makes predictions until the SME is satisfied by the quality of predictions For Active Labelling to work, there are expectations involved for an SME: when we expect a human expert to ‘validate’ an output sample, the expert understands what the task is a human expert will use judgement to evaluate ‘what else’ definitely belongs to a label L when deciding if a new sample should belong to L Given these expectations and intuitions, we can ‘mimic’ these using an LLM: give the LLM an ‘understanding’ of what each label means. This can be done by using a larger model to critically evaluate the relationship between {label: data mapped to label} for all labels. In our experiments, this was done using a 32B variant of DeepSeek that was self-hosted. Giving an LLM the capability to understand ‘why, what, and how’ Instead of predicting what is the correct label, leverage the LLM to identify if a prediction is ‘valid’ or ‘invalid’ only (i.e., LLM only has to answer a binary query). Reinforce the idea of what other valid samples for the label look like, i.e., for every pre-emptively predicted label for a sample, dynamically source c closest samples in its training (guaranteed valid) set when prompting for validation. The result? A cost-effective framework that relies on a fast, cheap classifier to make pre-emptive classifications, and an LLM that verifies these using (meaning of the label + dynamically sourced training samples that are similar to the current classification): import math def calculate_uncertainty(clf, sample): predicted_probabilities = clf.predict_proba(sample.reshape(1, -1))[0] # Reshape sample for predict_proba uncertainty = -sum(p * math.log(p, 2) for p in predicted_probabilities) return uncertainty def select_informative_samples(clf, data, k): informative_samples = [] uncertainties = [calculate_uncertainty(clf, sample) for sample in data] # Sort data by descending order of uncertainty sorted_data = sorted(zip(data, uncertainties), key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True) # Get top k samples with highest uncertainty for sample, uncertainty in sorted_data[:k]: informative_samples.append(sample) return informative_samples def proxy_label(clf, llm_judge, k, testing_data): #llm_judge – any LLM with a system prompt tuned for verifying if a sample belongs to a class. Expected output is a bool : True or False. True verifies the original classification, False refutes it predicted_classes = clf.predict(testing_data) # Select k most informative samples using uncertainty sampling informative_samples = select_informative_samples(clf, testing_data, k) # List to store correct samples voted_data = [] # Evaluate informative samples with the LLM judge for sample in informative_samples: sample_index = testing_data.tolist().index(sample.tolist()) # changed from testing_data.index(sample) because of numpy array type issue predicted_class = predicted_classes[sample_index] # Check if LLM judge agrees with the prediction if llm_judge(sample, predicted_class): # If correct, add the sample to voted data voted_data.append(sample) # Return the list of correct samples with proxy labels return voted_data By feeding the valid samples (voted_data) to our classifier under controlled parameters, we achieve the ‘recursive’ part of our algorithm: Recursive Expert Delegation: R.E.D. By doing this, we were able to achieve close-to-human-expert validation numbers on controlled multi-class datasets. Experimentally, R.E.D. scales up to 1,000 classes while maintaining a competent degree of accuracy almost on par with human experts (90%+ agreement). I believe this is a significant achievement in applied ML, and has real-world uses for production-grade expectations of cost, speed, scale, and adaptability. The technical report, publishing later this year, highlights relevant code samples as well as experimental setups used to achieve given results. All images, unless otherwise noted, are by the author Interested in more details? Reach out to me over Medium or email for a chat!

With the new age of problem-solving augmented by Large Language Models (LLMs), only a handful of problems remain that have subpar solutions. Most classification problems (at a PoC level) can be solved by leveraging LLMs at 70–90% Precision/F1 with just good prompt engineering techniques, as well as adaptive in-context-learning (ICL) examples.

What happens when you want to consistently achieve performance higher than that — when prompt engineering no longer suffices?

The classification conundrum

Text classification is one of the oldest and most well-understood examples of supervised learning. Given this premise, it should really not be hard to build robust, well-performing classifiers that handle a large number of input classes, right…?

Welp. It is.

It actually has to do a lot more with the ‘constraints’ that the algorithm is generally expected to work under:

  • low amount of training data per class
  • high classification accuracy (that plummets as you add more classes)
  • possible addition of new classes to an existing subset of classes
  • quick training/inference
  • cost-effectiveness
  • (potentially) really large number of training classes
  • (potentially) endless required retraining of some classes due to data drift, etc.

Ever tried building a classifier beyond a few dozen classes under these conditions? (I mean, even GPT could probably do a great job up to ~30 text classes with just a few samples…)

Considering you take the GPT route — If you have more than a couple dozen classes or a sizeable amount of data to be classified, you are gonna have to reach deep into your pockets with the system prompt, user prompt, few shot example tokens that you will need to classify one sample. That is after making peace with the throughput of the API, even if you are running async queries.

In applied ML, problems like these are generally tricky to solve since they don’t fully satisfy the requirements of supervised learning or aren’t cheap/fast enough to be run via an LLM. This particular pain point is what the R.E.D algorithm addresses: semi-supervised learning, when the training data per class is not enough to build (quasi)traditional classifiers.

The R.E.D. algorithm

R.E.D: Recursive Expert Delegation is a novel framework that changes how we approach text classification. This is an applied ML paradigm — i.e., there is no fundamentally different architecture to what exists, but its a highlight reel of ideas that work best to build something that is practical and scalable.

In this post, we will be working through a specific example where we have a large number of text classes (100–1000), each class only has few samples (30–100), and there are a non-trivial number of samples to classify (10,000–100,000). We approach this as a semi-supervised learning problem via R.E.D.

Let’s dive in.

How it works

simple representation of what R.E.D. does

Instead of having a single classifier classify between a large number of classes, R.E.D. intelligently:

  1. Divides and conquers — Break the label space (large number of input labels) into multiple subsets of labels. This is a greedy label subset formation approach.
  2. Learns efficiently — Trains specialized classifiers for each subset. This step focuses on building a classifier that oversamples on noise, where noise is intelligently modeled as data from other subsets.
  3. Delegates to an expert — Employes LLMs as expert oracles for specific label validation and correction only, similar to having a team of domain experts. Using an LLM as a proxy, it empirically ‘mimics’ how a human expert validates an output.
  4. Recursive retraining — Continuously retrains with fresh samples added back from the expert until there are no more samples to be added/a saturation from information gain is achieved

The intuition behind it is not very hard to grasp: Active Learning employs humans as domain experts to consistently ‘correct’ or ‘validate’ the outputs from an ML model, with continuous training. This stops when the model achieves acceptable performance. We intuit and rebrand the same, with a few clever innovations that will be detailed in a research pre-print later.

Let’s take a deeper look…

Greedy subset selection with least similar elements

When the number of input labels (classes) is high, the complexity of learning a linear decision boundary between classes increases. As such, the quality of the classifier deteriorates as the number of classes increases. This is especially true when the classifier does not have enough samples to learn from — i.e. each of the training classes has only a few samples.

This is very reflective of a real-world scenario, and the primary motivation behind the creation of R.E.D.

Some ways of improving a classifier’s performance under these constraints:

  • Restrict the number of classes a classifier needs to classify between
  • Make the decision boundary between classes clearer, i.e., train the classifier on highly dissimilar classes

Greedy Subset Selection does exactly this — since the scope of the problem is Text Classification, we form embeddings of the training labels, reduce their dimensionality via UMAP, then form S subsets from them. Each of the subsets has elements as training labels. We pick training labels greedily, ensuring that every label we pick for the subset is the most dissimilar label w.r.t. the other labels that exist in the subset:

import numpy as np
from sklearn.metrics.pairwise import cosine_similarity


def avg_embedding(candidate_embeddings):
    return np.mean(candidate_embeddings, axis=0)

def get_least_similar_embedding(target_embedding, candidate_embeddings):
    similarities = cosine_similarity(target_embedding, candidate_embeddings)
    least_similar_index = np.argmin(similarities)  # Use argmin to find the index of the minimum
    least_similar_element = candidate_embeddings[least_similar_index]
    return least_similar_element


def get_embedding_class(embedding, embedding_map):
    reverse_embedding_map = {value: key for key, value in embedding_map.items()}
    return reverse_embedding_map.get(embedding)  # Use .get() to handle missing keys gracefully


def select_subsets(embeddings, n):
    visited = {cls: False for cls in embeddings.keys()}
    subsets = []
    current_subset = []

    while any(not visited[cls] for cls in visited):
        for cls, average_embedding in embeddings.items():
            if not current_subset:
                current_subset.append(average_embedding)
                visited[cls] = True
            elif len(current_subset) >= n:
                subsets.append(current_subset.copy())
                current_subset = []
            else:
                subset_average = avg_embedding(current_subset)
                remaining_embeddings = [emb for cls_, emb in embeddings.items() if not visited[cls_]]
                if not remaining_embeddings:
                    break # handle edge case
                
                least_similar = get_least_similar_embedding(target_embedding=subset_average, candidate_embeddings=remaining_embeddings)

                visited_class = get_embedding_class(least_similar, embeddings)

                
                if visited_class is not None:
                  visited[visited_class] = True


                current_subset.append(least_similar)
    
    if current_subset:  # Add any remaining elements in current_subset
        subsets.append(current_subset)
        

    return subsets

the result of this greedy subset sampling is all the training labels clearly boxed into subsets, where each subset has at most only classes. This inherently makes the job of a classifier easier, compared to the original classes it would have to classify between otherwise!

Semi-supervised classification with noise oversampling

Cascade this after the initial label subset formation — i.e., this classifier is only classifying between a given subset of classes.

Picture this: when you have low amounts of training data, you absolutely cannot create a hold-out set that is meaningful for evaluation. Should you do it at all? How do you know if your classifier is working well?

We approached this problem slightly differently — we defined the fundamental job of a semi-supervised classifier to be pre-emptive classification of a sample. This means that regardless of what a sample gets classified as it will be ‘verified’ and ‘corrected’ at a later stage: this classifier only needs to identify what needs to be verified.

As such, we created a design for how it would treat its data:

  • n+1 classes, where the last class is noise
  • noise: data from classes that are NOT in the current classifier’s purview. The noise class is oversampled to be 2x the average size of the data for the classifier’s labels

Oversampling on noise is a faux-safety measure, to ensure that adjacent data that belongs to another class is most likely predicted as noise instead of slipping through for verification.

How do you check if this classifier is working well — in our experiments, we define this as the number of ‘uncertain’ samples in a classifier’s prediction. Using uncertainty sampling and information gain principles, we were effectively able to gauge if a classifier is ‘learning’ or not, which acts as a pointer towards classification performance. This classifier is consistently retrained unless there is an inflection point in the number of uncertain samples predicted, or there is only a delta of information being added iteratively by new samples.

Proxy active learning via an LLM agent

This is the heart of the approach — using an LLM as a proxy for a human validator. The human validator approach we are talking about is Active Labelling

Let’s get an intuitive understanding of Active Labelling:

  • Use an ML model to learn on a sample input dataset, predict on a large set of datapoints
  • For the predictions given on the datapoints, a subject-matter expert (SME) evaluates ‘validity’ of predictions
  • Recursively, new ‘corrected’ samples are added as training data to the ML model
  • The ML model consistently learns/retrains, and makes predictions until the SME is satisfied by the quality of predictions

For Active Labelling to work, there are expectations involved for an SME:

  • when we expect a human expert to ‘validate’ an output sample, the expert understands what the task is
  • a human expert will use judgement to evaluate ‘what else’ definitely belongs to a label L when deciding if a new sample should belong to L

Given these expectations and intuitions, we can ‘mimic’ these using an LLM:

  • give the LLM an ‘understanding’ of what each label means. This can be done by using a larger model to critically evaluate the relationship between {label: data mapped to label} for all labels. In our experiments, this was done using a 32B variant of DeepSeek that was self-hosted.
Giving an LLM the capability to understand ‘why, what, and how’
  • Instead of predicting what is the correct label, leverage the LLM to identify if a prediction is ‘valid’ or ‘invalid’ only (i.e., LLM only has to answer a binary query).
  • Reinforce the idea of what other valid samples for the label look like, i.e., for every pre-emptively predicted label for a sample, dynamically source c closest samples in its training (guaranteed valid) set when prompting for validation.

The result? A cost-effective framework that relies on a fast, cheap classifier to make pre-emptive classifications, and an LLM that verifies these using (meaning of the label + dynamically sourced training samples that are similar to the current classification):

import math

def calculate_uncertainty(clf, sample):
    predicted_probabilities = clf.predict_proba(sample.reshape(1, -1))[0]  # Reshape sample for predict_proba
    uncertainty = -sum(p * math.log(p, 2) for p in predicted_probabilities)
    return uncertainty


def select_informative_samples(clf, data, k):
    informative_samples = []
    uncertainties = [calculate_uncertainty(clf, sample) for sample in data]

    # Sort data by descending order of uncertainty
    sorted_data = sorted(zip(data, uncertainties), key=lambda x: x[1], reverse=True)

    # Get top k samples with highest uncertainty
    for sample, uncertainty in sorted_data[:k]:
        informative_samples.append(sample)

    return informative_samples


def proxy_label(clf, llm_judge, k, testing_data):
    #llm_judge - any LLM with a system prompt tuned for verifying if a sample belongs to a class. Expected output is a bool : True or False. True verifies the original classification, False refutes it
    predicted_classes = clf.predict(testing_data)

    # Select k most informative samples using uncertainty sampling
    informative_samples = select_informative_samples(clf, testing_data, k)

    # List to store correct samples
    voted_data = []

    # Evaluate informative samples with the LLM judge
    for sample in informative_samples:
        sample_index = testing_data.tolist().index(sample.tolist()) # changed from testing_data.index(sample) because of numpy array type issue
        predicted_class = predicted_classes[sample_index]

        # Check if LLM judge agrees with the prediction
        if llm_judge(sample, predicted_class):
            # If correct, add the sample to voted data
            voted_data.append(sample)

    # Return the list of correct samples with proxy labels
    return voted_data

By feeding the valid samples (voted_data) to our classifier under controlled parameters, we achieve the ‘recursive’ part of our algorithm:

Recursive Expert Delegation: R.E.D.

By doing this, we were able to achieve close-to-human-expert validation numbers on controlled multi-class datasets. Experimentally, R.E.D. scales up to 1,000 classes while maintaining a competent degree of accuracy almost on par with human experts (90%+ agreement).

I believe this is a significant achievement in applied ML, and has real-world uses for production-grade expectations of cost, speed, scale, and adaptability. The technical report, publishing later this year, highlights relevant code samples as well as experimental setups used to achieve given results.

All images, unless otherwise noted, are by the author

Interested in more details? Reach out to me over Medium or email for a chat!

Shape
Shape
Stay Ahead

Explore More Insights

Stay ahead with more perspectives on cutting-edge power, infrastructure, energy,  bitcoin and AI solutions. Explore these articles to uncover strategies and insights shaping the future of industries.

Shape

OPEC Receives Updated Compensation Plans

A statement posted on OPEC’s website this week announced that the OPEC Secretariat has received updated compensation plans from Iraq, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Kazakhstan, and Oman. A table accompanying this statement showed that these compensation plans amount to a total of 221,000 barrels per day in November, 272,000

Read More »

LogicMonitor closes Catchpoint buy, targets AI observability

The acquisition combines LogicMonitor’s observability platform with Catchpoint’s internet-level intelligence, which monitors performance from thousands of global vantage points. Once integrated, Catchpoint’s synthetic monitoring, network data, and real-user monitoring will feed directly into Edwin AI, LogicMonitor’s intelligence engine. The goal is to let enterprise customers shift from reactive alerting to

Read More »

Akamai acquires Fermyon for edge computing as WebAssembly comes of age

Spin handles compilation from source to WebAssembly bytecode and manages execution on target platforms. The runtime abstracts the underlying technology while preserving WebAssembly’s performance and security characteristics. This bet on WebAssembly standards has paid off as the technology matured.  WebAssembly has evolved significantly beyond its initial browser-focused design to support

Read More »

Winners and losers in the latest Top500 supercomputer list

Winner: Slingshot-11 Slingshot-11 is a 200G proprietary interconnect developed by HPE and its Cray supercomputer subsidiary. As the number of Cray systems increases on the list, so goes the number of Slingshot-11 based systems. The total number of Slingshot-11 systems jumped from 37 and 2024 to 52 this year. Loser:

Read More »

400+ Bilfinger Workers Support Strike Action

UK union Unite announced, in a statement sent to Rigzone this week, that over 400 offshore members employed by Bilfinger UK Limited “have supported taking strike action in an escalating dispute over pensions”. “A majority of Bilfinger workers have emphatically backed strike action in a fight to secure a fairer pension deal,” Unite said in the statement. “Unite members are demanding that Bilfinger move to a gross earnings pension scheme like many other private sector and offshore companies because workers are losing out on thousands of pounds in pension contributions due to their pattern of pay being weekly,” it added. Unite noted in the statement that the majority of Bilfinger workers are enrolled in a statutory minimum workplace pension scheme “where the company pays a maximum three percent of ‘qualifying earnings’ contribution”. “The qualifying earnings income is between GBP 6,240 [$8,322] and GBP 50,270 [$67,060]. Anything above or below that does not factor in pension contributions. It means Bilfinger’s annual pension contribution is capped at GBP 1,320.90 [$1,762.10] per year irrespective of income,” Unite said. The union estimated in the statement that around GBP 2,254 [$3,006] is being lost every year in employer pension contributions when compared with a gross salary pension scheme for a worker earning GBP 59,580.36 [$79,486.58]. “If Bilfinger fails to act on the pensions issue then strikes will be called in the coming weeks”, Unite warned in the statement, which highlighted that “a number of oil and gas operators are set to be hit by any industrial action involving Bilfinger offshore members including BP, CNR, Ineos, Ithaca, and TAQA”. According to the statement, the following assets would be impacted by industrial action: Operator Asset BP Andrew BP Clair BP Clair Ridge BP ETAP BP Glen Lyon BP Mungo CNR Ninian Central CNR Ninian South CNR Tiffany

Read More »

ADNOC in Talks to Buy SEFE Trading Arm

Germany has begun preliminary discussions with potential investors – including Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. – about a deal to buy the trading unit of SEFE, as the government looks at options for the future of the nationalized energy company. The former European trading and supply unit of Gazprom PJSC, SEFE has retained a big team of traders and is expanding its LNG business through recent deals with Turkey and Argentina. The profile of the trading unit might appeal to Middle East companies wanting to get into gas markets. Separating trading out from more strategic assets like gas storage in Germany, could also make a deal easier to reach. Government advisers and Securing Energy for Europe GmbH, known as SEFE, have held discussions with Adnoc about a possible buyout, according to people familiar with the matter who asked not to be identified discussing private talks. Conversations are focused on investors in the Middle East and Asia, said one the people.  Germany hasn’t decided yet how exactly it will exit SEFE or formally started a sales process. Talks are preliminary and cover other options like a public offering and could still fall through.  A spokesperson for the economy ministry said that the reprivatization options are being examined “from all angles”, but declined to comment on sales talks or meetings with Adnoc. Spokespeople for SEFE and Adnoc’s international investment business XRG declined to comment. SEFE is still importing Russian LNG to Europe via France through a much-criticized legacy contract. The company has said it will end shipments in the next two years when the EU bans imports. SEFE was nationalized in 2022 as part of a EUR 6.3 billion ($7.2 billion) rescue package in the height of the energy crisis. Bloomberg reported that the economy ministry hired JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Deutsche Bank AG

Read More »

Turkiye Signs for 10-Year LNG Supplies from Eni, SEFE

Turkiye’s state-owned BOTAS has signed separate 10-year agreements for the supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from SEFE Securing Energy for Europe GmbH and Eni SpA. Germany’s state-owned SEFE will deliver about five million metric tons per annum (MMtpa) from the fourth quarter of 2028. “This long-term contract builds on the three-year deal concluded earlier this year, through which SEFE is providing over 1.5 million tons of LNG in total”, SEFE said in an online statement Wednesday. “The LNG [under the new agreement] will be delivered from SEFE’s growing global LNG portfolio, which includes a stable foundation of long-term U.S. LNG volumes”, SEFE said. Italy’s state-backed Eni will supply BOTAS around 0.4 MMtpa. The agreement is on top of an earlier one signed September under which BOTAS committed to buying 0.4 MMtpa of LNG for three years from Eni. BOTAS said September 12 it had signed agreements with Eni, SEFE, BP PLC, Cheniere Energy Inc, Equinor ASA, Hartree Partners LP, JERA Co Inc and Shell PLC for around 15 billion cubic meters (529.72 billion cubic feet) of LNG. The volumes are to be delivered to Turkiye in 2025-28.   Eni said in a press release Wednesday, “The agreement is Eni’s first long-term LNG sale to Turkiye, confirming the growing role of LNG in supporting the country’s energy needs, and is in line with Eni’s strategy to diversify its global LNG footprint, expanding its customer base in markets with high potential and growing its LNG portfolio to approximately 20 MTPA [million metric tons per annum] by 2030, leveraging its projects in Congo, Mozambique, U.S., Indonesia and other countries”. On Tuesday Eni said the second phase of Congo LNG in the Republic of the Congo has started operations. The project now has a capacity of three MMtpa or 4.5 billion cubic meters

Read More »

Eni to Acquire Acea Energia

Eni SpA’s renewables arm Plenitude has signed a binding deal to buy power and gas utility Acea Energia SpA, part of Italy’s Acea SpA. “The transaction also includes a 50 percent share in the capital of Umbria Energy SpA”, a joint statement said Wednesday. “Upon completion of the transaction, Plenitude will pay Acea EUR 460 million ($536.26 million), in addition to recognizing normalized net cash of up to EUR 127 million for a total amount of up to EUR 587 million”. “Furthermore, the agreement provides for a possible additional price component of up to EUR 100 million, which will be payable to Acea based on certain performance objectives to be reported as at 30 June 2027”, the companies added. “As a result of this acquisition, Plenitude will incorporate into its portfolio over 1.4 million retail customers in Italy, thus exceeding the total of 11 million customers in Europe and anticipating by two years the customer base target expected for 2028”, the companies said. Currently Plenitude serves 10 million customers and manages a network of over 22,000 electric vehicle charging points, according to the statement. Eni has set a target of 15 million Plenitude customers by 2030. Eni aims to reach over 5.5 gigawatts (GW) of installed renewable generation capacity this year, toward 10 GW by 2028 and 15 GW by 2030, according to a plan it announced February. As of the third quarter of 2025, it had 4.8 GW of installed renewable capacity, according to its quarterly report October 24. “For the Acea Group, the transaction allows consolidation of the growing focus on activities that have a strong connotation with infrastructure”, Wednesday’s statement said. The parties expect to complete the transaction by June 2026, subject to approval by antitrust authorities. “This transaction will allow us to reinvest in infrastructure, innovation

Read More »

Energy Department Releases National Petroleum Council Recommendations to Accelerate Permitting Reform and Strengthen U.S. Energy Infrastructure

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today released key studies from the National Petroleum Council (NPC) that provide comprehensive recommendations to help modernize America’s energy infrastructure, streamline federal permitting, and remove regulatory barriers that have stalled the development of critical energy projects. The studies, one on gas-electric coordination and the other on oil and natural gas infrastructure permitting, underscore the urgent need for reforms to strengthen grid reliability and expand domestic energy production. The NPC is a federal advisory committee to the Secretary of Energy composed of leaders from oil and natural gas industries, academia, and other stakeholders. These studies were completed at the request of U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright as part of a broader examination of “Future Energy Systems” and support President Trump’s agenda to unleash American energy, accelerate infrastructure build-out, and ensure affordable, reliable and secure energy for American families. “For years, the Biden Administration advanced policies that made it harder to produce American energy,” said U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “The National Petroleum Council’s findings confirm what President Trump has said from day one: America needs more energy infrastructure, less red tape, and serious permitting reform. These recommendations will help make energy more affordable for every American household.” “The studies represent a significant collaborative effort to tackle some of the most complex challenges in our energy infrastructure,” said U.S. Department of Energy Assistant Secretary for the Hydrocarbons and Geothermal Energy Office Kyle Haustveit. “The National Petroleum Council recommendations will be instrumental in guiding the Department’s strategies for enhancing grid reliability and streamlining the development of essential energy projects.” The gas-electric coordination study, Reliable Energy: Delivering on the Promise of Gas-Electric Coordination, evaluates how rising natural gas and electricity demand, combined with shifting usage patterns, is straining natural gas pipelines in key regions of the United States. It

Read More »

Black Sea War Insurance Soars 250 Percent

Insurance rates for ships calling at ports in the Black Sea are surging after a series of Ukrainian attacks on vessels with links to Moscow.  The cost of covering visits to Russian ports in the Black Sea has jumped more than threefold, according to Marsh, the world’s largest insurance broker. Rates were between 0.25% and 0.3% of the value of the ship prior to the recent incidents, Marsh said.  Underwriters are now charging as much as 1% for some Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea, according to two people involved in the market, who spoke on condition of anonymity.  Ukraine has claimed attacks on two tankers from Russia’s so-called shadow fleet — vessels that operate in secrecy to skirt sanctions. There have been two other incidents also involving Moscow-linked ships since the end of last week. “For Russian port calls, underwriters are pricing in a broader range of possible strike locations and a higher likelihood of repetition,” said Munro Anderson, Head of Operations at Vessel Protect, which is part of Pen Underwriting and one of the world’s largest marine war risk insurance specialists. “As strikes escalate, so does the probability of Russian retaliation against ships connected to Ukraine.” The blasts, three of which took place in the Black Sea, come against a backdrop of strikes on wider Russian oil infrastructure that have elevated the danger of sailing in the region over the last few weeks. President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that Russia could retaliate.  Romania’s defense ministry said Wednesday that divers carried out a mission to neutralize a Sea Baby drone 36 miles east of the city of Constanta, underscoring the risks to shipping for Black Sea nations that aren’t Russia and Ukraine too.  Rates “have been seen to grow steadily and in direct response to further attacks which appear increasingly to

Read More »

HPE loads up AI networking portfolio, strengthens Nvidia, AMD partnerships

On the hardware front, HPE is targeting the AI data center edge with a new MX router and the scale-out networking delivery with a new QFX switch. Juniper’s MX series is its flagship routing family aimed at carriers, large-scale enterprise data center and WAN customers, while the QFX line services data center customers anchoring spine/leaf networks as well as top-of-rack systems. The new 1U, 1.6Tbps MX301 multiservice edge router, available now, is aimed at bringing AI inferencing closer to the source of data generation and can be positioned in metro, mobile backhaul, and enterprise routing applications, Rahim said. It includes high-density support for 16 x 1/1025/50GbE, 10 x 100Gb and 4 x 400Gb interfaces. “The MX301 is essentially the on-ramp to provide high speed, secure connections from distributed inference cluster users, devices and agents from the edge all the way to the AI data center,” Rami said. “The requirements here are typically around high performance, but also very high logical skills and integrated security.” In the QFX arena, the new QFX5250 switch, available in 1Q 2026, is a fully liquid-cooled box aimed at tying together Nvidia Rubin and/or AMD MI400 GPUs for AI consumption across the data center. It is built on Broadcom Tomahawk 6 silicon and supports up to 102.4Tbps Ethernet bandwidth, Rahim said.  “The QFX5250 combines HPE liquid cooling technology with Juniper networking software (Junos) and integrated AIops intelligence to deliver a high-performance, power-efficient and simplified operations for next-generation AI inference,” Rami said. Partnership expansions Also key to HPE/Juniper’s AI networking plans are its partnerships with Nvidia and AMD. The company announced its relationship with Nvidia now includes HPE Juniper edge onramp and long-haul data center interconnect (DCI) support in its Nvidia AI Computing by HPE portfolio. This extension uses the MX and Junipers PTX hyperscaler routers to support high-scale, secure

Read More »

What is co-packaged optics? A solution for surging capacity in AI data center networks

When it announced its CPO-capable switches, Nvidia said they would improve resiliency by 10 times at scale compared to previous switch generations. Several factors contribute to this claim, including the fact that the optical switches require four times fewer lasers, Shainer says. Whereas the laser source was previously part of the transceiver, the optical engine is now incorporated onto the ASIC, allowing multiple optical channels to share a single laser. Additionally, in Nvidia’s implementation, the laser source is located outside of the switch. “We want to keep the ability to replace a laser source in case it has failed and needs to be replaced,” he says. “They are completely hot-swappable, so you don’t need to shut down the switch.” Nonetheless, you may often hear that when something fails in a CPO box, you need to replace the entire box. That may be true if it’s the photonics engine embedded in silicon inside the box. “But they shouldn’t fail that often. There are not a lot of moving parts in there,” Wilkinson says. While he understands the argument around failures, he doesn’t expect it to pan out as CPO gets deployed. “It’s a fallacy,” he says. There’s also a simple workaround to the resiliency issue, which hyperscalers are already talking about, Karavalas says: overbuild. “Have 10% more ports than you need or 5%,” he says. “If you lose a port because the optic goes bad, you just move it and plug it in somewhere else.” Which vendors are backing co-packaged optics? In terms of vendors that have or plan to have CPO offerings, the list is not long, unless you include various component players like TSMC. But in terms of major switch vendors, here’s a rundown: Broadcom has been making steady progress on CPO since 2021. It is now shipping “to

Read More »

Nvidia’s $2B Synopsys stake tests independence of open AI interconnect standard

But the concern for enterprise IT leaders is whether Nvidia’s financial stakes in UALink consortium members could influence the development of an open standard specifically designed to compete with Nvidia’s proprietary technology and to give enterprises more choices in the datacenter. Organizations planning major AI infrastructure investments view such open standards as critical to avoiding vendor lock-in and maintaining competitive pricing. “This does put more pressure on UALink since Intel is also a member and also took investment from Nvidia,” Sag said. UALink and Synopsys’s critical role UALink represents the industry’s most significant effort to prevent vendor lock-in for AI infrastructure. The consortium ratified its UALink 200G 1.0 Specification in April, defining an open standard for connecting up to 1,024 AI accelerators within computing pods at 200 Gbps per lane — directly competing with Nvidia’s NVLink for scale-up applications. Synopsys plays a critical role. The company joined UALink’s board in January and in December announced the industry’s first UALink design components, enabling chip designers to build UALink-compatible accelerators. Analysts flag governance concerns Gaurav Gupta, VP analyst at Gartner, acknowledged the tension. “The Nvidia-Synopsys deal does raise questions around the future of UALink as Synopsys is a key partner of the consortium and holds critical IP for UALink, which competes with Nvidia’s proprietary NVLink,” he said. Sanchit Vir Gogia, chief analyst at Greyhound Research, sees deeper structural concerns. “Synopsys is not a peripheral player in this standard; it is the primary supplier of UALink IP and a board member within the UALink Consortium,” he said. “Nvidia’s entry into Synopsys’ shareholder structure risks contaminating that neutrality.”

Read More »

Cooling crisis at CME: A wakeup call for modern infrastructure governance

Organizations should reassess redundancy However, he pointed out, “the deeper concern is that CME had a secondary data center ready to take the load, yet the failover threshold was set too high, and the activation sequence remained manually gated. The decision to wait for the cooling issue to self-correct rather than trigger the backup site immediately revealed a governance model that had not evolved to keep pace with the operational tempo of modern markets.” Thermal failures, he said, “do not unfold on the timelines assumed in traditional disaster recovery playbooks. They escalate within minutes and demand automated responses that do not depend on human certainty about whether a facility will recover in time.” Matt Kimball, VP and principal analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy, said that to some degree what happened in Aurora highlights an issue that may arise on occasion: “the communications gap that can exist between IT executives and data center operators. Think of ‘rack in versus rack out’ mindsets.” Often, he said, the operational elements of that data center environment, such as cooling, power, fire hazards, physical security, and so forth, fall outside the realm of an IT executive focused on delivering IT services to the business. “And even if they don’t fall outside the realm, these elements are certainly not a primary focus,” he noted. “This was certainly true when I was living in the IT world.” Additionally, said Kimball, “this highlights the need for organizations to reassess redundancy and resilience in a new light. Again, in IT, we tend to focus on resilience and redundancy at the app, server, and workload layers. Maybe even cluster level. But as we continue to place more and more of a premium on data, and the terms ‘business critical’ or ‘mission critical’ have real relevance, we have to zoom out

Read More »

Microsoft loses two senior AI infrastructure leaders as data center pressures mount

Microsoft did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Microsoft’s constraints Analysts say the twin departures mark a significant setback for Microsoft at a critical moment in the AI data center race, with pressure mounting from both OpenAI’s model demands and Google’s infrastructure scale. “Losing some of the best professionals working on this challenge could set Microsoft back,” said Neil Shah, partner and co-founder at Counterpoint Research. “Solving the energy wall is not trivial, and there may have been friction or strategic differences that contributed to their decision to move on, especially if they saw an opportunity to make a broader impact and do so more lucratively at a company like Nvidia.” Even so, Microsoft has the depth and ecosystem strength to continue doubling down on AI data centers, said Prabhu Ram, VP for industry research at Cybermedia Research. According to Sanchit Gogia, chief analyst at Greyhound Research, the departures come at a sensitive moment because Microsoft is trying to expand its AI infrastructure faster than physical constraints allow. “The executives who have left were central to GPU cluster design, data center engineering, energy procurement, and the experimental power and cooling approaches Microsoft has been pursuing to support dense AI workloads,” Gogia said. “Their exit coincides with pressures the company has already acknowledged publicly. GPUs are arriving faster than the company can energize the facilities that will house them, and power availability has overtaken chip availability as the real bottleneck.”

Read More »

What is Edge AI? When the cloud isn’t close enough

Many edge devices can periodically send summarized or selected inference output data back to a central system for model retraining or refinement. That feedback loop helps the model improve over time while still keeping most decisions local. And to run efficiently on constrained edge hardware, the AI model is often pre-processed by techniques such as quantization (which reduces precision), pruning (which removes redundant parameters), or knowledge distillation (which trains a smaller model to mimic a larger one). These optimizations reduce the model’s memory, compute, and power demands so it can run more easily on an edge device. What technologies make edge AI possible? The concept of the “edge” always assumes that edge devices are less computationally powerful than data centers and cloud platforms. While that remains true, overall improvements in computational hardware have made today’s edge devices much more capable than those designed just a few years ago. In fact, a whole host of technological developments have come together to make edge AI a reality. Specialized hardware acceleration. Edge devices now ship with dedicated AI-accelerators (NPUs, TPUs, GPU cores) and system-on-chip units tailored for on-device inference. For example, companies like Arm have integrated AI-acceleration libraries into standard frameworks so models can run efficiently on Arm-based CPUs. Connectivity and data architecture. Edge AI often depends on durable, low-latency links (e.g., 5G, WiFi 6, LPWAN) and architectures that move compute closer to data. Merging edge nodes, gateways, and local servers means less reliance on distant clouds. And technologies like Kubernetes can provide a consistent management plane from the data center to remote locations. Deployment, orchestration, and model lifecycle tooling. Edge AI deployments must support model-update delivery, device and fleet monitoring, versioning, rollback and secure inference — especially when orchestrated across hundreds or thousands of locations. VMware, for instance, is offering traffic management

Read More »

Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

Read More »

John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

Read More »

2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

Read More »

OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

Read More »