A new Microsoft chip could lead to more stable quantum computers

Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE

A new Microsoft chip could lead to more stable quantum computers

Microsoft announced today that it has made significant progress in its 20-year quest to make topological quantum bits, or qubits—a special approach to building quantum computers that could make them more stable and easier to scale up. Researchers and companies have been working for years to build quantum computers, which could unlock dramatic new abilities to simulate complex materials and discover new ones, among many other possible applications. To achieve that potential, though, we must build big enough systems that are stable enough to perform computations. Many of the technologies being explored today, such as the superconducting qubits pursued by Google and IBM, are so delicate that the resulting systems need to have many extra qubits to correct errors. Microsoft has long been working on an alternative that could cut down on the overhead by using components that are far more stable. These components, called Majorana quasiparticles, are not real particles. Instead, they are special patterns of behavior that may arise inside certain physical systems and under certain conditions. The pursuit has not been without setbacks, including a high-profile paper retraction by researchers associated with the company in 2018. But the Microsoft team, which has since pulled this research effort in house, claims it is now on track to build a fault-tolerant quantum computer containing a few thousand qubits in a matter of years and that it has a blueprint for building out chips that each contain a million qubits or so, a rough target that could be the point at which these computers really begin to show their power. This week the company announced a few early successes on that path: piggybacking on a Nature paper published today that describes a fundamental validation of the system, the company says it has been testing a topological qubit, and that it has wired up a chip containing eight of them. “You don’t get to a million qubits without a lot of blood, sweat, and tears and solving a lot of really difficult technical challenges along the way. And I do not want to understate any of that,” says Chetan Nayak, a Microsoft technical fellow and leader of the team pioneering this approach. That said, he says, “I think that we have a path that we very much believe in, and we see a line of sight.” Researchers outside the company are cautiously optimistic. “I’m very glad that [this research] seems to have hit a very important milestone,” says computer scientist Scott Aaronson, who heads the Quantum Information Center at the University of Texas at Austin. “I hope that this stands, and I hope that it’s built up.” Even and odd The first step in building a quantum computer is constructing qubits that can exist in fragile quantum states—not 0s and 1s like the bits in classical computers, but rather a mixture of the two. Maintaining qubits in these states and linking them up with one another is delicate work, and over the years a significant amount of research has gone into refining error correction schemes to make up for noisy hardware. For many years, theorists and experimentalists alike have been intrigued by the idea of creating topological qubits, which are constructed through mathematical twists and turns and have protection from errors essentially baked into their physics. “It’s been such an appealing idea to people since the early 2000s,” says Aaronson. “The only problem with it is that it requires, in a sense, creating a new state of matter that’s never been seen in nature.” Microsoft has been on a quest to synthesize this state, called a Majorana fermion, in the form of quasiparticles. The Majorana was first proposed nearly 90 years ago as a particle that is its own antiparticle, which means two Majoranas will annihilate when they encounter one another. With the right conditions and physical setup, the company has been hoping to get behavior matching that of the Majorana fermion within materials. In the last few years, Microsoft’s approach has centered on creating a very thin wire or “nanowire” from indium arsenide, a semiconductor. This material is placed in close proximity to aluminum, which becomes a superconductor close to absolute zero, and can be used to create superconductivity in the nanowire. Ordinarily you’re not likely to find any unpaired electrons skittering about in a superconductor—electrons like to pair up. But under the right conditions in the nanowire, it’s theoretically possible for an electron to hide itself, with each half hiding at either end of the wire. If these complex entities, called Majorana zero modes, can be coaxed into existence, they will be difficult to destroy, making them intrinsically stable. ”Now you can see the advantage,” says Sankar Das Sarma, a theoretical physicist at the University of Maryland, College Park, who did early work on this concept. “You cannot destroy a half electron, right? If you try to destroy a half electron, that means only a half electron is left. That’s not allowed.” In 2023, the Microsoft team published a paper in the journal Physical Review B claiming that this system had passed a specific protocol designed to assess the presence of Majorana zero modes. This week in Nature, the researchers reported that they can “read out” the information in these nanowires—specifically, whether there are Majorana zero modes hiding at the wires’ ends. If there are, that means the wire has an extra, unpaired electron. “What we did in the Nature paper is we showed how to measure the even or oddness,” says Nayak. “To be able to tell whether there’s 10 million or 10 million and one electrons in one of these wires.” That’s an important step by itself, because the company aims to use those two states—an even or odd number of electrons in the nanowire—as the 0s and 1s in its qubits. If these quasiparticles exist, it should be possible to “braid” the four Majorana zero modes in a pair of nanowires around one another by making specific measurements in a specific order. The result would be a qubit with a mix of these two states, even and odd. Nayak says the team has done just that, creating a two-level quantum system, and that it is currently working on a paper on the results. Researchers outside the company say they cannot comment on the qubit results, since that paper is not yet available. But some have hopeful things to say about the findings published so far. “I find it very encouraging,” says Travis Humble, director of the Quantum Science Center at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee. “It is not yet enough to claim that they have created topological qubits. There’s still more work to be done there,” he says. But “this is a good first step toward validating the type of protection that they hope to create.” Others are more skeptical. Physicist Henry Legg of the University of St Andrews in Scotland, who previously criticized Physical Review B for publishing the 2023 paper without enough data for the results to be independently reproduced, is not convinced that the team is seeing evidence of Majorana zero modes in its Nature paper. He says that the company’s early tests did not put it on solid footing to make such claims. “The optimism is definitely there, but the science isn’t there,” he says. One potential complication is impurities in the device, which can create conditions that look like Majorana particles. But Nayak says the evidence has only grown stronger as the research has proceeded. “This gives us confidence: We are manipulating sophisticated devices and seeing results consistent with a Majorana interpretation,” he says. “They have satisfied many of the necessary conditions for a Majorana qubit, but there are still a few more boxes to check,” Das Sarma said after seeing preliminary results on the qubit. “The progress has been impressive and concrete.” Scaling up On the face of it, Microsoft’s topological efforts seem woefully behind in the world of quantum computing—the company is just now working to combine qubits in the single digits while others have tied together more than 1,000. But both Nayak and Das Sarma say other efforts had a strong head start because they involved systems that already had a solid grounding in physics. Work on the topological qubit, on the other hand, has meant starting from scratch. “We really were reinventing the wheel,” Nayak says, likening the team’s efforts to the early days of semiconductors, when there was so much to sort out about electron behavior and materials, and transistors and integrated circuits still had to be invented. That’s why this research path has taken almost 20 years, he says: “It’s the longest-running R&D program in Microsoft history.” Some support from the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency could help the company catch up. Early this month, Microsoft was selected as one of two companies to continue work on the design of a scaled-up system, through a program focused on underexplored approaches that could lead to utility-scale quantum computers—those whose benefits exceed their costs. The other company selected is PsiQuantum, a startup that is aiming to build a quantum computer containing up to a million qubits using photons. Many of the researchers MIT Technology Review spoke with would still like to see how this work plays out in scientific publications, but they were hopeful. “The biggest disadvantage of the topological qubit is that it’s still kind of a physics problem,” says Das Sarma. “If everything Microsoft is claiming today is correct … then maybe right now the physics is coming to an end, and engineering could begin.” This story was updated with Henry Legg’s current institutional affiliation.

Researchers and companies have been working for years to build quantum computers, which could unlock dramatic new abilities to simulate complex materials and discover new ones, among many other possible applications.

To achieve that potential, though, we must build big enough systems that are stable enough to perform computations. Many of the technologies being explored today, such as the superconducting qubits pursued by Google and IBM, are so delicate that the resulting systems need to have many extra qubits to correct errors.

Microsoft has long been working on an alternative that could cut down on the overhead by using components that are far more stable. These components, called Majorana quasiparticles, are not real particles. Instead, they are special patterns of behavior that may arise inside certain physical systems and under certain conditions.

The pursuit has not been without setbacks, including a high-profile paper retraction by researchers associated with the company in 2018. But the Microsoft team, which has since pulled this research effort in house, claims it is now on track to build a fault-tolerant quantum computer containing a few thousand qubits in a matter of years and that it has a blueprint for building out chips that each contain a million qubits or so, a rough target that could be the point at which these computers really begin to show their power.

This week the company announced a few early successes on that path: piggybacking on a Nature paper published today that describes a fundamental validation of the system, the company says it has been testing a topological qubit, and that it has wired up a chip containing eight of them.

“You don’t get to a million qubits without a lot of blood, sweat, and tears and solving a lot of really difficult technical challenges along the way. And I do not want to understate any of that,” says Chetan Nayak, a Microsoft technical fellow and leader of the team pioneering this approach. That said, he says, “I think that we have a path that we very much believe in, and we see a line of sight.”

Researchers outside the company are cautiously optimistic. “I’m very glad that [this research] seems to have hit a very important milestone,” says computer scientist Scott Aaronson, who heads the Quantum Information Center at the University of Texas at Austin. “I hope that this stands, and I hope that it’s built up.”

Even and odd

The first step in building a quantum computer is constructing qubits that can exist in fragile quantum states—not 0s and 1s like the bits in classical computers, but rather a mixture of the two. Maintaining qubits in these states and linking them up with one another is delicate work, and over the years a significant amount of research has gone into refining error correction schemes to make up for noisy hardware.

For many years, theorists and experimentalists alike have been intrigued by the idea of creating topological qubits, which are constructed through mathematical twists and turns and have protection from errors essentially baked into their physics. “It’s been such an appealing idea to people since the early 2000s,” says Aaronson. “The only problem with it is that it requires, in a sense, creating a new state of matter that’s never been seen in nature.”

Microsoft has been on a quest to synthesize this state, called a Majorana fermion, in the form of quasiparticles. The Majorana was first proposed nearly 90 years ago as a particle that is its own antiparticle, which means two Majoranas will annihilate when they encounter one another. With the right conditions and physical setup, the company has been hoping to get behavior matching that of the Majorana fermion within materials.

In the last few years, Microsoft’s approach has centered on creating a very thin wire or “nanowire” from indium arsenide, a semiconductor. This material is placed in close proximity to aluminum, which becomes a superconductor close to absolute zero, and can be used to create superconductivity in the nanowire.

Ordinarily you’re not likely to find any unpaired electrons skittering about in a superconductor—electrons like to pair up. But under the right conditions in the nanowire, it’s theoretically possible for an electron to hide itself, with each half hiding at either end of the wire. If these complex entities, called Majorana zero modes, can be coaxed into existence, they will be difficult to destroy, making them intrinsically stable.

”Now you can see the advantage,” says Sankar Das Sarma, a theoretical physicist at the University of Maryland, College Park, who did early work on this concept. “You cannot destroy a half electron, right? If you try to destroy a half electron, that means only a half electron is left. That’s not allowed.”

In 2023, the Microsoft team published a paper in the journal Physical Review B claiming that this system had passed a specific protocol designed to assess the presence of Majorana zero modes. This week in Nature, the researchers reported that they can “read out” the information in these nanowires—specifically, whether there are Majorana zero modes hiding at the wires’ ends. If there are, that means the wire has an extra, unpaired electron.

“What we did in the Nature paper is we showed how to measure the even or oddness,” says Nayak. “To be able to tell whether there’s 10 million or 10 million and one electrons in one of these wires.” That’s an important step by itself, because the company aims to use those two states—an even or odd number of electrons in the nanowire—as the 0s and 1s in its qubits.

If these quasiparticles exist, it should be possible to “braid” the four Majorana zero modes in a pair of nanowires around one another by making specific measurements in a specific order. The result would be a qubit with a mix of these two states, even and odd. Nayak says the team has done just that, creating a two-level quantum system, and that it is currently working on a paper on the results.

Researchers outside the company say they cannot comment on the qubit results, since that paper is not yet available. But some have hopeful things to say about the findings published so far. “I find it very encouraging,” says Travis Humble, director of the Quantum Science Center at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Tennessee. “It is not yet enough to claim that they have created topological qubits. There’s still more work to be done there,” he says. But “this is a good first step toward validating the type of protection that they hope to create.”

Others are more skeptical. Physicist Henry Legg of the University of St Andrews in Scotland, who previously criticized Physical Review B for publishing the 2023 paper without enough data for the results to be independently reproduced, is not convinced that the team is seeing evidence of Majorana zero modes in its Nature paper. He says that the company’s early tests did not put it on solid footing to make such claims. “The optimism is definitely there, but the science isn’t there,” he says.

One potential complication is impurities in the device, which can create conditions that look like Majorana particles. But Nayak says the evidence has only grown stronger as the research has proceeded. “This gives us confidence: We are manipulating sophisticated devices and seeing results consistent with a Majorana interpretation,” he says.

“They have satisfied many of the necessary conditions for a Majorana qubit, but there are still a few more boxes to check,” Das Sarma said after seeing preliminary results on the qubit. “The progress has been impressive and concrete.”

Scaling up

On the face of it, Microsoft’s topological efforts seem woefully behind in the world of quantum computing—the company is just now working to combine qubits in the single digits while others have tied together more than 1,000. But both Nayak and Das Sarma say other efforts had a strong head start because they involved systems that already had a solid grounding in physics. Work on the topological qubit, on the other hand, has meant starting from scratch.

“We really were reinventing the wheel,” Nayak says, likening the team’s efforts to the early days of semiconductors, when there was so much to sort out about electron behavior and materials, and transistors and integrated circuits still had to be invented. That’s why this research path has taken almost 20 years, he says: “It’s the longest-running R&D program in Microsoft history.”

Some support from the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency could help the company catch up. Early this month, Microsoft was selected as one of two companies to continue work on the design of a scaled-up system, through a program focused on underexplored approaches that could lead to utility-scale quantum computers—those whose benefits exceed their costs. The other company selected is PsiQuantum, a startup that is aiming to build a quantum computer containing up to a million qubits using photons.

Many of the researchers MIT Technology Review spoke with would still like to see how this work plays out in scientific publications, but they were hopeful. “The biggest disadvantage of the topological qubit is that it’s still kind of a physics problem,” says Das Sarma. “If everything Microsoft is claiming today is correct … then maybe right now the physics is coming to an end, and engineering could begin.”

This story was updated with Henry Legg’s current institutional affiliation.

Stay Ahead

Explore More Insights

Stay ahead with more perspectives on cutting-edge power, infrastructure, energy, bitcoin and AI solutions. Explore these articles to uncover strategies and insights shaping the future of industries.

Broadcom strikes chip deals with Google, Anthropic

Anthropic said this week that the AI startup’s annual revenue run rate has now crossed $30 billion, up from about $9 billion the previous year. “We are making our most significant compute commitment to date to keep pace with our unprecedented growth,” said Krishna Rao, CFO of Anthropic, in a

Google owns the most AI compute, and it built it its way

Google, for its part, will continue to be “one of the largest, if not the largest,” consumer of compute resources, said Bill Wong, research fellow at Info-Tech Research Group. “Its business model drives that global demand, specifically through the widespread use of Google search and Gemini, which it provides for

Cisco to acquire Galileo for AI observability

“We have this opportunity to be a trust layer, not just for … network activity, but actually what’s happening at the application layer, at the workload layer, between agents, between workloads, between data,” Peter Bailey, senior vice president and general manager of Cisco’s security business, told Network World last month.

Lumen: Upstream network visibility is enterprise security’s new front line

“Threat actors can, for pennies, cycle through IP addresses to get fresh positive-reputation IP addresses minute to minute and use them for their wares at various parts of the attack lifecycle, whether it’s brute forcing, whether it’s leveraging known positive credentials, or whether it’s exfiltrating information at the end of

Energy Department Continues Initiating Strategic Petroleum Reserve Emergency Exchanges

WASHINGTON — The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today issued a Request for Proposal (RFP) for an emergency exchange of up to 30 million barrels of sweet crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This action continues DOE’s execution of the 172-million-barrel release President Trump authorized as part of a coordinated release of 400 million barrels from IEA member nations’ strategic reserves. The Department will continue issuing RFPs to deliver on President Trump’s commitment to the coordinated release, addressing global supply disruptions and strengthening energy security for the United States and its allies. The crude oil will originate from the SPR’s West Hackberry site. This action builds on the Department’s two previous Emergency Exchange RFPs, which together quickly moved to award approximately 55 million barrels from the Bayou Choctaw, Bryan Mound, and West Hackberry SPR sites. These earlier exchanges demonstrated the SPR’s ability to rapidly deliver crude oil to the market under emergency authorities. Today’s announcement of the 30-million-barrel exchange leverages the full capabilities of the SPR, alongside the President’s limited Jones Act waiver, to accelerate critical near-term oil flows into the market and strengthen supply resilience. “Today’s action strengthens efforts to move oil quickly to market and address short-term supply pressures,” said Kyle Haustveit, Assistant Secretary of the Hydrocarbons and Geothermal Energy Office. “With two earlier exchanges, we are building on proven momentum. Thanks to President Trump, we are managing the SPR responsibly, returning premium barrels later to bolster long-term readiness at no cost to taxpayers.” Under DOE’s exchange authority, participating companies will return the borrowed 30-million-barrels with additional premium barrels by next year. This exchange delivers immediate crude to refiners and the market while generating additional barrels for the American people at no cost to taxpayers. Bids for this solicitation are due no later than 11:00 A.M. Central Time on Monday, April 13, 2026. For more information on the SPR, please visit DOE’s website. 

DOE’s Office of Energy Dominance Financing Announces Conditional Commitment for a Domestic Medical Isotope Manufacturing Facility

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Energy Dominance Financing (EDF) issued a conditional commitment for a loan of up to $263 million to SHINE Chrysalis, LLC (SHINE) to support the construction of Chrysalis, a high-volume medical isotope production facility in Janesville, Wisconsin. The production facility will create a supply of reliable and secure medical isotopes made with fusion and fission technology. Millions of patients rely on medical isotopes for life-saving diagnostic imaging and cancer treatments, but most of that supply comes from overseas with limited capacity to meet demand. Utilizing fusion and fission technology, the facility will establish the only domestic commercial supply of molybdenum-99 (Mo-99). Mo-99 is a life-saving medical isotope essential for diagnostic imaging; its decay product of technetium-99m (Tc-99m) is used in over 40,000 medical procedures in the United States each day. “The SHINE Chrysalis project is vital to improving the nuclear supply chain and contributing to a strong next-generation nuclear workforce while onshoring this critical production and improving national security,” EDF Director Gregory A. Beard said. “Using EDF’s loan authority to further commercialize a project long supported by DOE is Trump’s policy at work: ensuring a reliable and secure domestic supply chain while lowering costs.” Thanks to President Trump and the Working Families Tax Cut, today’s announcement highlights the Energy Department’s role in advancing President Trump’s Executive Order, Reinvigorating the Nuclear Industrial Base, by maximizing the use of uranium through an innovative recycling process. This project will support hundreds of construction and operation jobs, contributing to a strong next-generation American nuclear workforce. SHINE has developed and demonstrated its technology through significant support from the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) over the last 16 years. With NNSA funding, the National Laboratories also played a key role in developing SHINE’s technology. “SHINE is the key to

United States and Australia meet for Mining, Minerals and Metals Investment Ministerial

We, the Australian Minister for Resources and Northern Australia, the Hon Madeleine King MP, and Secretaries and senior representatives from the United States, including Secretary of Interior Doug Burgum, Administrator of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Lee Zeldin, Chairman of the U.S. Export Import Bank John Jovanovic, and Assistant Secretary of Energy Audrey Robertson, held our inaugural Mining, Minerals, and Metals Investment Ministerial in Tokyo on 14 March 2026, to advance cooperation under the landmark bilateral agreement, the United States–Australia Framework for Securing Supply in the Mining and Processing of Critical Minerals and Rare Earths (the Framework). Under the Framework, Australia and the United States are delivering concrete outcomes to strengthen, secure, and diversify critical minerals and rare earth supply chains. Within six months of agreement of the Framework, we have each taken measures to provide at least USD $1 billion in financing to key critical minerals projects. By mobilising government and private sector capital, these investments support the development of our shared industrial base and strengthen longer term supply for defence, manufacturing, and energy supply chains. To build resilience, enhance stability, and bolster economic security in support of our shared critical minerals interests, Australia and the United States today announce the establishment of the Critical Minerals Supply Security Response Group and commit to deeper cooperation between our key agencies. In line with the Framework, the Critical Minerals Supply Security Response Group, led by senior representatives from the United States Department of Energy and the Australian Department of Industry, Science and Resources, will cooperate on priority minerals and supply chain vulnerabilities and coordinate efforts to accelerate the delivery of processed minerals under the Framework. Australia and the United States also commit to leveraging shared policy and interagency regulatory tools and, where appropriate, investments to secure critical minerals supply, including through cooperation between Australia’s

Energy Security for Indo-Pacific Endurance, a Global Growth Center of the 21st Century

We, the ministers and representatives of Australia, Bangladesh, Brunei, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Republic of Korea, Singapore, Timor-Leste, United States, and Vietnam met in Tokyo, Japan, on March 14–15, 2026, to hold the historic Indo-Pacific Energy Security Ministerial and Business Forum. The forum was co-hosted by the Chair and Vice Chair of the U.S. National Energy Dominance Council, Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, Secretary of Energy Chris Wright, and Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Akazawa Ryosei. We affirm our shared determination to work collectively to ensure stable and secure energy supply in the Indo-Pacific region. To this end, we focused on three key themes: reliable energy for Indo-Pacific growth and security; securing energy supply chains, infrastructure and maritime routes; and enabling trade and investment. To support these goals, Ministers affirm the value of: The necessity of reliable, affordable, secure and dispatchable energy from all sources depending on each country’s situation, in meeting the region’s surging energy demand. Promoting quality as a key procurement mechanism to mitigate risk of operational liabilities. Protecting against rising cyber threats to the security of the energy grid, critical infrastructure, vehicles, and devices. Investment in comprehensive energy infrastructure that encompasses the entire energy supply chain from upstream development facilities to downstream equipment to support an affordable, reliable, and secure energy supply including baseload electricity. Continuing to supply affordable and reliable energy sources in the Indo-Pacific region, including through emergency response measures, to benefit both producers and consumer countries. While maintaining strong relations with current partners, expanding and diversifying energy suppliers and fuel types in order to strengthen energy security. Promoting transparent, long-term energy contracts that reduce market volatility. As the global economy expands, so too does demand for energy driven by AI and electrification, we, as countries committed to a free and

Energy Department Issues Funding Opportunity to Strengthen American Critical Minerals and Materials Supply Chain

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Critical Minerals and Energy Innovation (CMEI) and Hydrocarbons and Geothermal Energy Office (HGEO) today announced a funding opportunity of up to $69 million for technologies or processes that advance the domestic production and refining of critical materials. Projects selected through this Notice of Funding Opportunity (NOFO) will address the greatest technical obstacles to a stronger critical materials supply chain. “This funding will help establish a more secure and affordable supply of the critical minerals and materials that are foundational to American energy dominance, national security, and industrial competitiveness,” said Assistant Secretary of Energy (EERE) Audrey Robertson. DOE is seeking projects that bridge the gap between bench-scale innovations and commercially viable technologies. Selected project teams will form industry-led partnerships and conduct research and development with support from the U.S. national laboratories. The NOFO, which is part of DOE’s Critical Minerals and Materials Accelerator Program and jointly funded by CMEI’s Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Technologies Office and HGEO’s Office of Geothermal, has three primary topic areas: Production and material efficiency for critical materials including rare earth elements Processes to refine and alloy gallium, gallium nitride, germanium, and silicon carbide Cost-competitive direct lithium extraction, separation, and processing CMEI will host an informational webinar on April 16, 2026, to discuss the NOFO and application requirements. Letters of intent are due on April 21, 2026, by 5 p.m. ET. Deadlines for full applications will be staggered based on topic area, starting in May 2026. For more details on sub-topics and deadlines, visit the NOFO landing page. The Critical Minerals and Materials Accelerator is one of several programs developed through DOE’s Critical Materials Collaborative. This NOFO is part of $1 billion in critical materials funding announced by DOE in August 2025, and follows the Manufacturing Deployment Office’s announcement

Latin America returns to the energy security conversation at CERAWeek

With geopolitical risk central to conversations about energy, and with long-cycle supply once again in focus, Latin America’s mix of hydrocarbons and export potential drew renewed attention at CERAWeek by S&P Global in Houston. Argentina, resource story to export platform Among the regional stories, Argentina stood out as Vaca Muerta was no longer discussed simply as a large unconventional resource, but whether the country could turn resource quality into sustained export capacity. Country officials talked about scale: more operators, more services, more infrastructure, and a larger industrial base around the unconventional play. Daniel González, Vice Minister of Energy and Mining for Argentina, put it plainly: “The time has come to expand the Vaca Muerta ecosystem.” What is at stake now is not whether the basin works, but whether the country can build enough above-ground capacity and regulatory consistency to keep development moving. Horacio Marín, chairman and chief executive officer of YPF, offered an expansive version of that argument. He said Argentina’s energy exports could reach $50 billion/year by 2031, backed by roughly $130 billion in cumulative investment in oil, LNG, and transportation infrastructure. He said Argentine crude output could reach 1 million b/d by end-2026. He said Argentina wants to be seen less as a recurrent frontier story and more as a future supplier with scale. “The time to invest in Vaca Muerta is now,” Marín said. The LNG piece is starting to take shape. Eni, YPF, and XRG signed a joint development agreement in February to move Argentina LNG forward, with a first phase planned at 12 million tonnes/year. Southern Energy—backed by PAE, YPF, Pampa Energía, Harbour Energy, and Golar LNG—holds a long-term agreement with SEFE for 2 million tonnes/year over 8 years. The movement by global standards is early-stage and relatively modest, but it adds to Argentina’s export

OpenAI puts part of Stargate project on hold over runaway power costs

OpenAI has postponed plans to open one of the data centers central to its Stargate project. It announced its plan to open the data center in the UK with great fanfare last September, when it was regarded as a major boost for the country’s nascent AI industry, as well as proving a step up for OpenAI’s international credentials. At the time, Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, said, “The UK has been a longstanding pioneer of AI, and is now home to world-class researchers, millions of ChatGPT users, and a government that quickly recognized the potential of this technology.” All of that has been quietly forgotten. The plans for the data center in Northumberland, in the Northeast of England, have been put on hold, with the project ready to be revived when the conditions are ripe for major infrastructure investment, according to a report by the BBC.

Neoclouds gain momentum in a supply-constrained world

And since they used the same hardware, both neoclouds and traditional cloud providers are subject to the same shortage problem. Component suppliers are reporting significant shortages due to demand for AI data centers and Synergy sees neoclouds also experiencing delays just like traditional cloud providers. “Demand is currently outstripping supply,” said Dinsmore. “It will take a while before that starts to come into more balance.” Among neoclouds, CoreWeave stands out as the most direct challenger to traditional hyperscale cloud providers. Meanwhile, OpenAI and Anthropic represent a distinct but increasingly important category, and that is platform-centric providers offering cloud-like access to foundational models and AI development environments. Synergy says that as demand for AI infrastructure accelerates, neoclouds are positioning themselves as focused alternatives to traditional hyperscale providers such as Amazon, Microsoft and Google.

What is AI networking? How it adds intelligence to your infrastructure

The end goal is to make networks more reliable, efficient and performant. Enterprises are already seeing notable results when AI is applied to IT operations, including shorter deployment times, a decrease in trouble tickets, and faster time to resolution. With the help of AI, networks will become more autonomous and self-healing (that is, able to address issues without the need for human intervention). In fact, Tier 1 and Tier 2 infrastructure is moving toward ‘no human in the loop,’ Nick Lippis, co-founder and co-chair of enterprise user community ONUG, recently told Network World. In time, humans will only need to step in for policy exceptions and high-risk decisions. “Layering in AI capabilities makes LAN management applications easier to use and more accessible across an organization,” Dell’Oro Group analyst Sian Morgan said. Gartner predicts that, by 2030, AI agents will drive most network activities, up from “minimal adoption” in 2025. The firm emphasizes that leaders who overlook the AI networking shift “risk higher MTTR [meantime to repair], rising costs, and growing security exposure.” The core components of AI networking It’s important to note that the use of AI and machine learning (ML) in network management is not new. AI for IT operations (AIOps), for instance, is a common practice that uses automation to improve broader IT operations. AI networking is specific to the network itself, covering domains including multi-cloud software, wired and wireless LAN, data center switching, SD-WAN and managed network services (MNS). The incorporation of generative AI, in particular, has brought AI networking to the fore, as enterprise leaders are rethinking every single aspect of their business, networking included.

Aria Networks raises $125M and debuts its approach for AI-optimized networks

That embedded telemetry feeds adaptive tuning of Dynamic Load Balancing parameters, Data Center Quantized Congestion Notification (DCQCN) and failover logic without waiting for a threshold breach or a manual intervention. The platform architecture is layered. At the lowest levels, agents react in microseconds to link-level events such as transceiver flaps, rerouting leaf-spine traffic in milliseconds. At higher layers, agents make more strategic decisions about flow placement across the cluster. At the cloud layer, a large language model-based agent surfaces correlated insights to operators in natural language, allowing them to ask questions about specific jobs or alert conditions and receive context-aware responses. Karam argued that simply bolting an LLM onto an existing architecture does not deliver the same result. “If you ask it to do anything, it could hallucinate and bring down the network,” he said. “It doesn’t have any of the context or the data that’s required for this approach to be made safe.” Aria also exposes an MCP server, allowing external systems such as job schedulers and LLM routers to query network state directly and integrate it into their own decision-making. MFU and token efficiency as the target metrics Traditional networking is often evaluated in terms of bandwidth and latency. Aria is centering its platform around two metrics: Model FLOPS Utilization (MFU) and token efficiency. MFU is defined as the ratio of achieved FLOPS per accelerator to the theoretical peak. In practice, Karam said, MFU for training workloads typically runs between 33% and 45%, and inference often comes in below 30%. “The network has a major impact on the MFU, and therefore the token efficiency, because the network touches every aspect, every other component in your cluster,” Karam said.

New v2 UALink specification aims to catch up to NVLink

But given there are no products currently available using UALink 1.0, UALink 2.0 might be viewed as a premature launch Need to play catch up David Harold, senior analyst with Jon Peddie Research, was guarded in his reaction. “While 2.0 is a significant step forward from 1.0, we need to bear in mind that even 1.0 solutions aren’t shipping yet – they aren’t due until later this year. So, Nvidia is way ahead of the open alternatives on connectivity, indeed ahead of the proprietary or Ethernet based solutions too,” he said. What this means, he added, is that non-Nvidia alternatives are currently lagging in the market. “They need to play catch up on several fronts, not just networking. … I can’t think of a single shipping product that meaningfully has advantages over a Nvidia solution,” he said. “Ultimately UALink remains desirable since it will enable heterogeneous, multi-vendor environments but it’s quite a way behind NVLink today. ” There are plenty of signs that organizations will find it hard to break free of the Nvidia dominance, however. A couple of months ago, RISC-V pioneer SiFive signed a deal with Nvidia to incorporate Nvidia NVLink Fusion into its data center products, a departure for RISC companies. According to Harold, other companies could be joining it. “Custom ASIC company MediaTek is an NVLink partner, and they told me last week that they are planning to integrate it directly into next-generation custom silicon for AI applications,” he said. “This will enable a wider range of companies to use NVLink as their high-speed interconnect.” Other options And, Harold noted, Nvidia is already looking at other options. “Nvidia is now shifting to look at the copper limit for networking speed, with an interest in using optical connectivity instead,” said Harold.

Nvidia’s SchedMD acquisition puts open-source AI scheduling under scrutiny

Is the concern valid? Dr. Danish Faruqui, CEO of Fab Economics, a US-based AI hardware and datacenter advisory, said the risk was real. “The skepticism that Nvidia may prioritize its own hardware in future software updates, potentially delaying or under-optimizing support for rivals, is a feasible outcome,” he said. As the primary developer, Nvidia now controls Slurm’s official development roadmap and code review process, Faruqui said, “which could influence how quickly competing chips are integrated on new development or continuous improvement elements.” Owning the control plane alongside GPUs and networking infrastructure such as InfiniBand, he added, allows Nvidia to create a tightly vertically integrated stack that can lead to what he described as “shallow moats, where advanced features are only available or performant on Nvidia hardware.” One concrete test of that, industry observers say, will be how quickly Nvidia integrates support for AMD’s next-generation chips into Slurm’s codebase compared with how quickly it integrates its own forthcoming hardware and networking technologies, such as InfiniBand. Does the Bright Computing precedent hold? Analysts point to Nvidia’s 2022 acquisition of Bright Computing as a reference point, saying the software became optimized for Nvidia chips in ways that disadvantaged users of competing hardware. Nvidia disputed that characterization, saying Bright Computing supports “nearly any CPU or GPU-accelerated cluster.” Rawat said the comparison was instructive but imperfect. “Nvidia’s acquisition of Bright Computing highlights its preference for vertical integration, embedding Bright tightly into DGX and AI Factory stacks rather than maintaining a neutral, multi-vendor orchestration role,” he said. “This reflects a broader strategic pattern — Nvidia seeks to control the full-stack AI infrastructure experience.”

Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs). In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE