A Monday analysis from the Energy Information Administration forecasts U.S. natural gas consumption increasing 1% in 2025, setting a record — then decreasing slightly in 2026.
“Natural gas consumption was high in the beginning of the year, driving our forecast,” EIA said. “In January, U.S. natural gas consumption was a record 126.8 [billion cubic feet per day], 5% more than the previous record set in January 2024.”
EIA expects natural gas consumption to average a record 91.4 billion cubic feet per day this year.

Optional Caption
Courtesy of U.S. Energy Information Administration
“Natural gas remains the most prevalent source of electricity generation in the United States, but so far in 2025 natural gas has lost market share in the electric power sector to coal, solar, and wind,” the agency said. “We expect increases in natural gas consumed in the residential and commercial sectors to offset decreases in natural gas consumed in the electric power sector.”
The anticipated 2026 decrease is due “in part to expected milder weather in the winter months and therefore less consumption in the residential and commercial sectors,” EIA said.
Utilities and hyperscalers are turning to natural gas deployment as electricity demand increases, and the Trump administration is incentivizing the deployment of gas as a solution to that demand.
At the same time, the increasing demand for gas is driving up the wait time for gas turbine orders to as much as seven years.
“There are underappreciated risks to the current round of robust gas development for data center customers,” investment bank Jefferies said in a Monday note.
During a March earnings call, NextEra CEO John Ketchum noted to investors that the cost to build a new natural gas plant had tripled in the last few years, and the time it takes has grown from four and a half years to six or more.