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How test-time scaling unlocks hidden reasoning abilities in small language models (and allows them to outperform LLMs)

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Very small language models (SLMs) can outperform leading large language models (LLMs) in reasoning tasks, according to a new study by Shanghai AI Laboratory. The authors show that with the right tools and test-time scaling techniques, […]

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Very small language models (SLMs) can outperform leading large language models (LLMs) in reasoning tasks, according to a new study by Shanghai AI Laboratory. The authors show that with the right tools and test-time scaling techniques, an SLM with 1 billion parameters can outperform a 405B LLM on complicated math benchmarks.

The ability to deploy SLMs in complex reasoning tasks can be very useful as enterprises are looking for new ways to use these new models in different environments and applications.

Test-time scaling explained

Test-time scaling (TTS) is the process of giving LLMs extra compute cylces during inference to improve their performance on various tasks. Leading reasoning models, such as OpenAI o1 and DeepSeek-R1, use “internal TTS,” which means they are trained to “think” slowly by generating a long string of chain-of-thought (CoT) tokens.

An alternative approach is “external TTS,” where model performance is enhanced with (as the name implies) outside help. External TTS is suitable for repurposing exiting models for reasoning tasks without further fine-tuning them. An external TTS setup is usually composed of a “policy model,” which is the main LLM generating the answer, and a process reward model (PRM) that evaluates the policy model’s answers. These two components are coupled together through a sampling or search method. 

The easiest setup is “best-of-N,” where the policy model generates multiple answers and the PRM selects one or more best answers to compose the final response. More advanced external TTS methods use search. In “beam search,” the model breaks the answer down into multiple steps.

For each step, it samples multiple answers and runs them through the PRM. It then chooses one or more suitable candidates and generates the next step of the answer. And, in “diverse verifier tree search” (DVTS), the model generates several branches of answers to create a more diverse set of candidate responses before synthesizing them into a final answer.

Different test-time scaling methods (source: arXiv)

What is the right scaling strategy?

Choosing the right TTS strategy depends on multiple factors. The study authors carried out a systematic investigation of how different policy models and PRMs affect the efficiency of TTS methods.

Their findings show that efficiency is largely dependent on the policy and PRM models. For example, for small policy models, search-based methods outperform best-of-N. However, for large policy models, best-of-N is more effective because the models have better reasoning capabilities and don’t need a reward model to verify every step of their reasoning.

Their findings also show that the right TTS strategy depends on the difficulty of the problem. For example, for small policy models with fewer than 7B parameters, best-of-N works better for easy problems, while beam search works better for harder problems. For policy models that have between 7B and 32B parameters, diverse tree search performs well for easy and medium problems, and beam search works best for hard problems. But for large policy models (72B parameters and more), best-of-N is the optimal method for all difficulty levels.

Why small models can beat large models

SLMs outperform large models at MATH and AIME-24 (source: arXiv)

Based on these findings, developers can create compute-optimal TTS strategies that take into account the policy model, PRM and problem difficulty to make the best use of compute budget to solve reasoning problems.

For example, the researchers found that a Llama-3.2-3B model with the compute-optimal TTS strategy outperforms the Llama-3.1-405B on MATH-500 and AIME24, two complicated math benchmarks. This shows that an SLM can outperform a model that is 135X larger when using the compute-optimal TTS strategy.

In other experiments, they found that a Qwen2.5 model with 500 million parameters can outperform GPT-4o with the right compute-optimal TTS strategy. Using the same strategy, the 1.5B distilled version of DeepSeek-R1 outperformed o1-preview and o1-mini on MATH-500 and AIME24.

When accounting for both training and inference compute budgets, the findings show that with compute-optimal scaling strategies, SLMs can outperform larger models with 100-1000X less FLOPS.

The researchers’ results show that compute-optimal TTS significantly enhances the reasoning capabilities of language models. However, as the policy model grows larger, the improvement of TTS gradually decreases. 

“This suggests that the effectiveness of TTS is directly related to the reasoning ability of the policy model,” the researchers write. “Specifically, for models with weak reasoning abilities, scaling test-time compute leads to a substantial improvement, whereas for models with strong reasoning abilities, the gain is limited.”

The study validates that SLMs can perform better than larger models when applying compute-optimal test-time scaling methods. While this study focuses on math benchmarks, the researchers plan to expand their study to other reasoning tasks such as coding and chemistry.

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@import url(‘https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Inter:[email protected]&display=swap’); a { color: var(–color-primary-main); } .ebm-page__main h1, .ebm-page__main h2, .ebm-page__main h3, .ebm-page__main h4, .ebm-page__main h5, .ebm-page__main h6 { font-family: Inter; } body { line-height: 150%; letter-spacing: 0.025em; font-family: Inter; } button, .ebm-button-wrapper { font-family: Inter; } .label-style { text-transform: uppercase; color: var(–color-grey); font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.75rem; } .caption-style { font-size: 0.75rem; opacity: .6; } #onetrust-pc-sdk [id*=btn-handler], #onetrust-pc-sdk [class*=btn-handler] { background-color: #c19a06 !important; border-color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-policy a, #onetrust-pc-sdk a, #ot-pc-content a { color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-consent-sdk #onetrust-pc-sdk .ot-active-menu { border-color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-consent-sdk #onetrust-accept-btn-handler, #onetrust-banner-sdk #onetrust-reject-all-handler, #onetrust-consent-sdk #onetrust-pc-btn-handler.cookie-setting-link { background-color: #c19a06 !important; border-color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-consent-sdk .onetrust-pc-btn-handler { color: #c19a06 !important; border-color: #c19a06 !important; } In this Insights episode of the Oil & Gas Journal ReEnterprised podcast, Head of Content Chris Smith updates the evolving situation in Venezuela as the industry attempts to navigate the best path forward while the two governments continue to hammer out the details. The discussion centers on the new legal frameworks being established in both countries within the context of fraught relations stretching back for decades. Want to hear more? Listen in on a January episode highlighting industry’s initial take following the removal of Nicholas Maduro from power. References Politico podcast Monaldi Substack Baker webinar Washington, Caracas open Venezuela to allow more oil sales 

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Eni makes Calao South discovery offshore Ivory Coast

@import url(‘https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Inter:[email protected]&display=swap’); a { color: var(–color-primary-main); } .ebm-page__main h1, .ebm-page__main h2, .ebm-page__main h3, .ebm-page__main h4, .ebm-page__main h5, .ebm-page__main h6 { font-family: Inter; } body { line-height: 150%; letter-spacing: 0.025em; font-family: Inter; } button, .ebm-button-wrapper { font-family: Inter; } .label-style { text-transform: uppercase; color: var(–color-grey); font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.75rem; } .caption-style { font-size: 0.75rem; opacity: .6; } #onetrust-pc-sdk [id*=btn-handler], #onetrust-pc-sdk [class*=btn-handler] { background-color: #c19a06 !important; border-color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-policy a, #onetrust-pc-sdk a, #ot-pc-content a { color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-consent-sdk #onetrust-pc-sdk .ot-active-menu { border-color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-consent-sdk #onetrust-accept-btn-handler, #onetrust-banner-sdk #onetrust-reject-all-handler, #onetrust-consent-sdk #onetrust-pc-btn-handler.cookie-setting-link { background-color: #c19a06 !important; border-color: #c19a06 !important; } #onetrust-consent-sdk .onetrust-pc-btn-handler { color: #c19a06 !important; border-color: #c19a06 !important; } Eni SPA discovered gas and condensate in the Murene South-1X exploration well in Block CI-501, Ivory Coast. The well is the first exploration in the block and was drilled by the Saipem Santorini drilling ship about 8 km southwest of the Murene-1X discovery well in adjacent CI-205 block. The well was drilled to about 5,000 m TD in 2,200 m of water. Extensive data acquisition confirmed a main hydrocarbon bearing interval in high-quality Cenomanian sands with a gross thickness of about 50 m with excellent petrophysical properties, the operator said. Murene South-1X will undergo a full conventional drill stem test (DST) to assess the production capacity of this discovery, named Calao South. Calao South confirms the potential of the Calao channel complex that also includes the Calao discovery. It is the second largest discovery in the country after Baleine, with estimated volumes of up to 5.0 tcf of gas and 450 million bbl of condensate (about 1.4 billion bbl of oil). Eni is operator of Block CI-501 (90%) with partner Petroci Holding (10%).

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CFEnergía to supply natural gas to low-carbon methanol plant in Mexico

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Vertiv’s AI Infrastructure Surge: Record Orders, Liquid Cooling Expansion, and Grid-Scale Power Reflect Data Center Growth

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Execution, Power, and Public Trust: Rich Miller on 2026’s Data Center Reality and Why He Built Data Center Richness

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Meta scoops up more of Nvidia’s AI chip output

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ECL targets AI data centers with fuel-agnostic power platform

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Adani bets $100 billion on AI data centers as India eyes global hub status

The sovereignty question Adani framed the investment as a matter of national digital sovereignty, saying it would reserve a significant portion of GPU capacity for Indian AI startups and research institutions. Analysts were not convinced the structure supported the claim. “I believe it is too distant from digital sovereignty if the majority of the projects are being built to serve leading MNC AI hyperscalers,” said Shah. “Equal investments have to happen for public AI infrastructure, and the data of billions of users — from commerce to content to health — must remain sovereign.” Gogia framed the gap in operational terms. “Ownership alone does not define sovereignty,” he said. “The practical determinants are who controls privileged access during incidents, where critical workloads fail over when grids are stressed, and what regulatory oversight mechanisms are contractually enforceable.” Those are questions Adani has not yet answered and the market, analysts say, will be watching for more than just construction progress. But Banerjee said the market would not wait nine years to judge the announcement. “In practice, I think the market will judge this on near-term proof points, grid capacity secured, power contracting in place, and anchor tenants signed, rather than the headline capex or long-dated targets,” he said.

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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The bird is a beautiful silver-gray, and as she dies twitching in the lasernet I’m grateful for two things: First, that she didn’t make a

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