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I Tried Making my Own (Bad) LLM Benchmark to Cheat in Escape Rooms

Recently, DeepSeek announced their latest model, R1, and article after article came out praising its performance relative to cost, and how the release of such open-source models could genuinely change the course of LLMs forever. That is really exciting! And also, too big of a scope to write about… but when a model like DeepSeek […]

Recently, DeepSeek announced their latest model, R1, and article after article came out praising its performance relative to cost, and how the release of such open-source models could genuinely change the course of LLMs forever. That is really exciting! And also, too big of a scope to write about… but when a model like DeepSeek comes out of nowhere with a steel chair, boasting similar performance levels to other models, what does performance really mean in this context?

If you follow AI releases, you’ve seen this dance before. Every new model drops with its graphs showing how it’s somehow simultaneously better than GPT-4 on math problems while being smaller and more efficient. But what exactly are these benchmarks measuring? How are they created? And more importantly, how can we cut through the hype to create our own benchmarks for specific use cases?

I wanted to learn more about LLM Benchmarking.

Part 1: What is a Benchmark? (in 3 seconds)

TL:DR — The SATs (multiple, actually) for LLMs.

Part 1.1: What is a Benchmark? (in more than 3 seconds)

Before we dive into the nitty-gritty of specific benchmarks, let’s take a moment to unpack what we even mean by “LLM Benchmark.” Because calling them the “SATs for AI” feels both right and also slightly oversimplified.

LLM benchmarks are, at their core, structured tests used to measure how well large language models perform on certain tasks. These tasks can be anything from identifying if a statement is true or false, to summarizing a legal document, to generating valid Python functions. Think of them as curated obstacle courses specially designed by AI researchers to test every relevant muscle these models might have. These frameworks typically provide a dataset of inputs with known correct outputs, allowing for consistent comparison between models.

Modern benchmarks employ various evaluation methodologies. Classification metrics like accuracy work for tasks with discrete correct answers, while overlap-based metrics (BLEU, ROUGE) evaluate free-form text generation. Some benchmarks use functional testing for code generation, or employ other LLMs as judges to evaluate response quality.

A typical benchmark usually comes packaged as:

  • A standardized dataset of questions, prompts, or tasks (with correct or reference answers).
  • An evaluation protocol specifying how to measure success, like accuracy, F1 score, BLEU/ROUGE for text generation, or pass/fail rates for coding tasks.
  • A leaderboard or some form of comparative scoreboard, often with big flashy graphs.

Some really famous benchmarks include MMLU for testing multitask language understanding, TruthfulQA for assessing factual accuracy, and HumanEval for measuring coding capabilities. Results are pretty often published on public leaderboards, which let’s people perform some transparent comparison between different models.

From the DeepSeek paper: DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning

What Makes a Good Benchmark?

  1. A Clear Task Definition: We want tasks that are unambiguous. The more straightforward and well-specified the challenge, the easier it is to trust the results.
  2. Data Integrity: The test set shouldn’t be floating around in the training data. Because if the model’s seen the exact same question 50 times before, the evaluation is about as useful as giving a math quiz to someone who already has the answer key.
  3. Quantifiable Metrics: You need a standard for scoring performance — like how many times the model’s code passes test cases or how close the generated summary is to a “ground-truth” summary.
  4. Task Diversity & Difficulty: If a benchmark is too easy, everyone just ACES it on day one, and we learn… well, nothing. If it’s too niche (like “We test only the model’s ability to count the digits of Pi for 20 minutes”), that’s also not so helpful.

Life Ain’t All about The Grades

Benchmarks capture only a slice of what LLMs can do. In the real world, your chatbot might need to juggle domain knowledge, keep track of conversation context, abide by your company’s policies, and produce fluent, non-offensive replies. No single standardized test out there fully covers that. As we’ll see in the upcoming case studies, the design and execution of a benchmark can heavily shape the picture you get of your model’s performance… and sometimes lead you astray if you’re not careful with how you measure success.

Now that we have a sense of what Llm Benchmarks are designed to accomplish (and where they might fall short), let’s explore a couple of examples to see how people actually build and use them in practice — with mixed results!

Case Study #1: Leetcode as an LLM Benchmark

As a student in the tech space, the word “Leetcode” popping up during my search for cool benchmarks raised by blood pressure by a statistically significant amount. Unlike Leetcode, which sucks, the paper “Performance Study of LLM-Generated Code on Leetcode” was very interesting — it asks a deceptively simple question: can we use Leetcode to benchmark LLM code generation? Their findings reveal both the promise and pitfalls of this approach.

The Benchmark Design

The researchers built a three-stage validation system. Local tests catch basic errors, Leetcode’s judge verifies correctness, and a custom benchmarking setup measures performance. This setup revealed something critical: benchmarking code performance is harder than it looks.

When they compared local measurements to Leetcode’s metrics, they found only a 0.28 correlation. Leetcode’s measurements showed much higher variation (0.089 vs 0.035 locally). Even worse, Leetcode’s rankings proved unstable — identical solutions could drop from the 77th to 54th percentile just based on submission timing.

A Performance Study of LLM-Generated Code on Leetcode,” In 28th International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering (EASE 2024), Salerno, Italy (2024)

The Real Problems

Three major issues emerged that challenge Leetcode’s viability as a benchmark:

Data Contamination: Using public problems risks LLMs having seen the solutions during training. The researchers had to use only problems from 2023 to mitigate this.

Platform Instability: Leetcode’s metrics drift over time — memory measurements showed a -0.24 correlation with test date. This makes reproducible benchmarking nearly impossible.

Measurement Reliability: The weak correlation between local and platform measurements raises questions about what we’re actually testing.

What It Means for LLM Benchmarking

This study doesn’t just critique Leetcode — it highlights what we need in a code generation benchmark: reproducible measurements, reliable performance metrics, and guaranteed training-test separation. Until we have platforms built specifically for this purpose, we need to be extremely cautious about using competition platforms as benchmarks.

So! We know that not all benchmarks are viable benchmarks — what about a more mainstream one?

Case Study #2: SuperGLUE — Building a Better Language Understanding Benchmark

The SuperGLUE paper tackles a fascinating problem in AI benchmarking: what do you do when models get too good at your tests? When GLUE became insufficient (with models surpassing human performance), the researchers had to rethink how we measure language understanding.

The Benchmark Design

SuperGLUE’s core innovation is its task selection methodology. The researchers collected task proposals from the NLP community and filtered them through a rigorous process: each task needed clear evaluation metrics, public training data, and — most importantly — significant headroom between machine and human performance.

This resulted in eight tasks (I’ve simplified the table from the document here, it’s a little less readable but you should get the sense of what the questions are asking):

SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systems, In 33rd Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2019), Vancouver, Canada (2019)

What makes these tasks special is their diversity in format. Unlike GLUE’s focus on sentence classification, SuperGLUE includes coreference resolution, reading comprehension, and more com plex reasoning tasks. Each task measures different aspects of language understanding while maintaining clear, quantifiable metrics.


Part 2: Let’s Build a Physical Reasoning Benchmark: To Cheat at Escape Rooms

After looking at some benchmarks like SuperGLUE and Leetcode, I had an idea: what if we tested LLMs on something completely different — physical reasoning… through escape room puzzles?

It’s a pretty valid idea — escape rooms poses possibilities and consequences for failure — screw up one too many puzzles, and your friends will think you’re pretty stupid, and relegate you to spectator duty. Luckily for us however, they (or the poor employees) don’t know that you can sneak a phone into an escape room — and you know just who to ask for the answers. Today, LLMs face off against the puzzles of a physical escape room.

Note: This is NOT a rigorous academic benchmark (please don’t cite this in papers, why would you even want to do that?), or even close to it, and it’s just supposed to be a fun way to test LLM benchmarking and evaluation. Please do not destroy my prompts, I am aware they are bad.

Why Physical Reasoning?

For real, though… most LLM benchmarks focus on linguistic tasks (like SuperGLUE) or code generation (like Leetcode). And for good reason — these are well-defined domains with clear evaluation metrics. But real-world problem solving often requires understanding physical principles and their interactions. The famous “Can GPT-4 do physics?” debates usually center around mathematical problem-solving, not practical physical reasoning.

Looking at existing benchmarks taught me a few key principles:

  1. Clear evaluation metrics are crucial (from SuperGLUE’s task-specific scores)
  2. Problems should have unambiguous solutions (from HumanEval’s test cases)
  3. The benchmark should test distinct capabilities (from MMLU’s subject categories)

Designing the Problems

I settled on escape room puzzles for two reasons. First, they naturally combine physical reasoning with clear goals. Second, they have unambiguous success conditions — either you solve it through the intended way, or you don’t. Third, and most importantly, they let me include “red herrings” — irrelevant items that test if the LLM can identify what matters physically. Fourth, I just really like doing escape rooms (did I mention that already?),

I am aware that this is more than two reasons, but if LLMs can’t count how many rs’ there are in strawberry, I’m allowed to mess up once in a while too.

Here’s how I structured the five core problems:

Fluid Dynamics (FLUID_001) (Ping pong ball stuck in a tube)

  • Tests understanding of buoyancy and fluid displacement
  • Inspired by classic physics problems but in practical context
  • Includes intentionally irrelevant items (like squishy food models)

Light Properties (UV_001) (UV light on a push numebr lock)

  • Tests understanding of UV fluorescence and material properties
  • Combines multiple physical principles (light, material science)
  • Requires understanding of environmental conditions

Mechanical Understanding (CIPHER_001) (A cipher ring)

  • Tests spatial reasoning and mechanical alignment
  • No red herrings — tests for correlating a dial to a cypher wheel
  • Requires understanding rotational symmetry

Force Application (VAC_001) (Can stuck in hole)

  • Tests understanding of vacuum forces and surface adhesion
  • Multiple possible solution approaches
  • Requires understanding force multiplication

Collaborative Physics (COLLAB_001) (Can two people shimmy a key?)

  • Tests understanding of physical constraints in multi-agent scenarios
  • Requires combining multiple physical principles
  • Tests understanding of tool creation and friction

Sounds really fancy… but it’s just some basic physical puzzles. You can access them on my GitHub.

The Technical Part

The benchmark implementation has three main components:

Problem Definition Layer

Problems are defined in a structured JSON format that enforces consistent evaluation:

{
    "problem_id": "FLUID_001",
    "setup": {
        "scenario": "A ping pong ball is at the bottom of a narrow tube...",
        "available_items": ["bottle of water", "squishy food models"...],
        "constraints": ["tube too narrow for manual retrieval"]
    },
    "physical_principles": ["buoyancy", "fluid displacement"],
    "red_herrings": ["squishy food models", "milk carton"],
    "solution": {
        "steps": ["pour water into tube", "allow ball to float"],
        "key_insights": ["water displaces air", "ping pong ball less dense"]
    }
}

This structure draws from SuperGLUE’s design — each component is clearly separated and machine-readable. The physical_principles field explicitly lists what’s being tested, while red_herrings helps in scoring the LLM’s ability to ignore irrelevant information.

2. Evaluation Framework

The evaluation system uses Python’s asyncio for concurrent testing, with retry logic for a little bit more API stability:

@retry(stop=stop_after_attempt(3), wait=wait_exponential(min=1, max=10))
async def evaluate_response(self, criteria: JudgingCriteria) -> Dict:
    """Evaluate a model's response using GPT-4 as judge."""
    async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session:
        # ... evaluation logic

The scoring system looks at three components:

Physical Understanding Score (PUS) ∈ [0,2]

  • Measures understanding of relevant physical principles
  • Calculated as normalized sum of demonstrated principles

Solution Path Score (SPS) ∈ [0,2]

  • Evaluates completeness and correctness of solution steps
  • Considers practical feasibility of proposed solutions

Red Herring Handling (RHH) ∈ {0,1}

  • A Binary score for avoiding irrelevant items
  • Tests ability to focus on physically relevant factors

And yes, there are also so many other scoring methods, better and worse, that could be used! For example, RHH could be about how many irrelevant items are used in the solution, or it could be a measure of how viable the use is… the point is that picking these metrics are often times pretty arbitrary, but are very very important to making your benchmark is credible, which mine is very much not.

Additionally, I did not want to rewrite any code after. Sue me.

3. Model Interface Layer

The benchmark supports multiple LLM backends through a common interface:

class ModelInterface:
    """Interface for different LLM APIs."""
    async def generate_response(self, prompt: str) -> str:
        raise NotImplementedError
class GPT4Interface(ModelInterface):
    async def generate_response(self, prompt: str) -> str:
        # GPT-4 specific implementation
class ClaudeInterface(ModelInterface):
    async def generate_response(self, prompt: str) -> str:
        # Claude specific implementation

Two models… I can’t really afford any more, please understand.

Let’s Test It!

So after some refilling of API balances, I was ready to go. I ran the benchmark, and after totally not wasting credits on like, 5 different errors, the results were in. And they were… interesting! I used GPT4 and Claude 3.5 Haiku (I am aware these are not similarly spec-ed models) as our victims.

The Challenge: A can is stuck in a hole that almost exactly matches its volume. A combination is written on the bottom of the can that needs to be retrieved.

The inspiration
"VAC_001": {
        "problem_id": "VAC_001",
        "setup": {
            "available_items": [
                "ruler",
                "notebook",
                "suction cup",
                "UV light"
            ],
            "constraints": [
                "can fits too tightly for finger grip",
                "hole is same diameter as can",
                "can is clean and dry"
            ]
        },
        "physical_principles": [
            "vacuum suction",
            "surface adhesion",
            "force multiplication"
        ],
        "red_herrings": [
            "ruler",
            "notebook",
            "UV light"
        ],
        "solution": {
            "steps": [
                "inspect suction cup and can surface",
                "ensure can surface is clean",
                "firmly press suction cup onto can top",
                "create vacuum seal",
                "pull can out using suction cup"
            ],
            "key_insights": [
                "suction cup creates vacuum seal",
                "vacuum force allows extraction",
                "other items don't provide necessary force"
            ]
        }

GPT-4’s Solution

Physical Principles: The main physical principle involved in this solution is the concept of air pressure differential, which is the same principle that allows a suction cup to stick to a surface. Air pressure is higher on one side of the suction cup (outside) compared to the other (inside), and this difference in pressure causes the cup to stick to the surface.

Solution Steps:

  1. Attach the suction cup to the top of the can. The flat surface of the can should provide a good contact for the suction cup to adhere to.
  2. Once the suction cup is firmly attached, gently pull upwards. The air pressure differential should cause the suction cup (and thus the can) to be lifted out of the hole.
  3. Once the can is out of the hole, remove the suction cup from the top of the can.
  4. Use the UV light to illuminate the combination written on the bottom of the can. Some inks only become visible under UV light, which is why this step is necessary.
  5. Write down the combination on the notebook to ensure it’s not forgotten.

Required Items:

  • Suction cup: This is required to adhere to the can and pull it out of the hole, as the can fits too tightly for finger grip.
  • UV light: This is required to reveal the combination written on the bottom of the can, as it may be written in ink that only becomes visible under UV light.
  • Notebook: This is required to record the combination once it’s visible, ensuring it’s not forgotten.”

Not bad at all! GPT-4 manages to figure out the physical principle behind the solution (even if it is very wordy), and manages to step-by-step describe how to solve the problem. It does end up using the UV light and notebook, but that’s more of a problem on my end, not punishing the use of unnecessary items in the prompt enough. Also, the uses for these items seem decently reasonable… so why not!

Haiku-3.5’s Solution

Physical Principles: The key physical principles involved in this scenario are the concept of volume and the use of suction to extract the can from the hole. Since the can fits almost exactly into the hole, it is likely that the can is stuck due to the tight fit and the lack of any air gaps or space between the can and the hole. This tight fit creates a vacuum-like effect, making it difficult to grip and pull the can out.

Solution Steps:

  1. Measure the diameter of the can using the ruler. This will help determine the size of the hole and confirm that the can fits tightly within it.
  2. Inspect the bottom of the can to locate the combination written on it. Use the UV light to illuminate the bottom of the can and make the combination visible, if it is not already clearly visible.
  3. Attach the suction cup to the top of the can. The suction cup will create a temporary seal on the can’s surface, allowing you to grip and pull it out of the hole.
  4. Gently pull the can upwards using the suction cup. The suction force should be strong enough to overcome the vacuum-like effect and extract the can from the hole.
  5. Once the can is out, record the combination written on the bottom of the can in the notebook.

Required Items:

  • Ruler: To measure the diameter of the can and confirm the tight fit in the hole.
  • UV light: To illuminate the bottom of the can and make the combination visible, if it is not already clearly visible.
  • Suction cup: To create a temporary seal on the can’s surface and provide the necessary grip to pull the can out of the hole.
  • Notebook: To record the combination written on the bottom of the can.

On the other hand, Haiku’s solution was.. certainly a solution of all time.

First, it wants to measure the diameter of the can using the ruler??? To determine the size of the hole and confirm that the can fits tightly within it? Why would we need to do this? And do we need a ruler for that?

Second, it tells us to inspect the bottom of the can to locate the combination, when the entire problem is about not being able to pull the can out of the hole conventionally. This might just be an issue of order, but now I truly understand my friends’ feelings whenever I would tell them “just fix it man” to their numerous problems.

But it eventually does get the solution. So… not the worst.

Here’s a fancy radar graph of the results!

We see that both models are pretty similar in their capabilities, with GPT-4 being slightly better in physical understanding and solution path, and Haiku being slightly better in red herring handling. Overall though, both models kind of suck. Dang.

There are also only… 5 questions.

If you’d like to see the full breadth of questions, they’re on my GitHub.

LLM-as-a-Judge

By the way, the method I used to generate the evaluations, LLM-as-a-judge, has gained significant traction in the AI community, particularly after the work of Zheng et al. in their 2023 paper “Judging LLM-as-a-Judge.” The technique has proven remarkably effective, achieving over 80% agreement with human evaluators in tasks ranging from code assessment to dialogue quality evaluation!

Here’s where my experiment gets kind of cool (arguably, maybe, subjectively) — I used this methodology and had GPT-4 judge other LLMs’ physical reasoning abilities. Yes, I’m using an AI to judge other AIs.

Why does this work? Well, judging a response is actually a simpler task than generating one. When GPT-4 generates a solution to a physical puzzle, it needs to:

  • Understand the physical principles involved
  • Plan a sequence of steps
  • Consider all constraints
  • Generate a coherent explanation

But when judging, it only needs to check if specific criteria are met in an existing solution. The evaluation prompt is very focused:

def _create_evaluation_prompt(self, criteria: JudgingCriteria) -> str:
    return f"""You are an expert judge evaluating an LLM's understanding of physical reasoning puzzles.
Evaluate based on three criteria:
2. Physical Understanding Score (0-2): Does the solution correctly apply relevant physical principles?
3. Solution Path Score (0-2): Are the steps complete and feasible?
4. Red Herring Handling (0-1): Does it avoid using irrelevant items?
Scenario: {criteria.scenario}
Physical Principles Required: {criteria.correct_principles}
Solution Given: {criteria.model_response}
"""

To validate this approach, I followed the validation framework suggested by Zheng et al., performing spot-checks of GPT-4’s evaluations against my own judgments. Surprisingly (or perhaps unsurprisingly, given the broader research on LLM evaluation), it was remarkably consistent in identifying both correct physical understanding and flawed reasoning.

Is this perfect? Absolutely not. There’s something philosophically weird about using one LLM to evaluate another. But in practice, it can work surprisingly well — just like how I moan and groan about the visual presentation of a dish on Masterchef, while setting my kitchen aflame trying to microwave a hot dog.

What I Learned

Building this benchmark taught me several things about benchmark design:

Clear Metrics Matter: Even for complex tasks like physical reasoning, you need unambiguous scoring criteria.

Red Herrings Are Powerful: Including irrelevant items reveals a lot about an LLM’s reasoning process.

Context Control is Hard: Ensuring LLMs don’t “hallucinate” additional physical context is challenging.

Is this a perfect benchmark? Not even close. Please don’t rub it in. Is it scientifically rigorous? Definitely not. But it’s been a fascinating exploration into an aspect of LLM capabilities, and sometimes the best we can learn can come from just trying things out and seeing what happens.

Now, if you’ll excuse me, I will be sneaking in a phone with an internet connection into my next escape room, for reasons that I am legally unmotivated to disclose.

[1] L. Zheng, W.-L. Chiang, Y. Sheng, S. Zhuang, Z. Wu, Y. Zhuang, Z. Lin, Z. Li, D. Li, E. P. Xing, H. Zhang, J. E. Gonzalez, I. Stoica, “Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena,” Proceedings of the 37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2023), Datasets and Benchmarks Track (2023)

[2] T. Coignion, C. Quinton, R. Rouvoy, “A Performance Study of LLM-Generated Code on Leetcode,” In 28th International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering (EASE 2024), Salerno, Italy (2024)

[3] A. Wang, Y. Pruksachatkun, N. Nangia, A. Singh, J. Michael, F. Hill, O. Levy, S. R. Bowman, “SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systems,” In 33rd Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2019), Vancouver, Canada (2019)

[5] DeepSeek-AI, D. Guo, D. Yang, H. Zhang, J. Song, R. Zhang, R. Xu, Q. Zhu, S. Ma, P. Wang, X. Bi, X. Zhang, X. Yu, Y. Wu, Z.F. Wu, Z. Gou, Z. Shao, Z. Li, Z. Gao et al., “DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2501.12948 (2025)

[6] Unless otherwise stated, all images are created by the author.

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BP’s (LON:BP) undressing of its energy transition goals is the latest and most significant example of an oil supermajor reneging on its green investment pledges. It is easy to speculate that companies such as BP, and similarly Shell (LON:SHEL), have attempted to diversify into renewable energy too quickly. However, diversification in the energy transition could be the very thing that pulls the cart out of danger. This week, BP’s chief executive Murray Auchincloss defended the company’s decision to jettison renewable energy pledges and increase oil and gas production. In late February, he said the oil major had accelerated “too far, too fast” in the transition to renewable energy. “Our optimism for a fast transition was misplaced,” he said, after profits fell across its low-carbon and gas division, precipitating a sudden strategic about-face. The company, which has been under pressure from analysts and shareholders to reduce its low-carbon investments and double down on its core business of oil and gas, plans to cut investment in low-carbon projects by $5 billion (£4bn), Auchincloss said. © Image: BloombergLondon’s Old Oil Stocks Diverge | BP underperforms Shell on worries about green transition, payouts. “The challenge that faces BP and Equinor, and to varying degrees Shell and Equinor, is the marked underperformance of their shares relative to that of their US peers,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. “Whether this is down to the relatively greater emphasis they have placed upon investment in renewables to facilitate a move away from hydrocarbons or simply down to their stock market domicile (given how US equities continue to dominate across the board) is hard to divine, but the truth may well lie somewhere between. There is a sense that shareholders are becoming restless.” BP’s shares have shown a marked underperformance relative to global peers since former

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Peterhead’s Acorn CCS key to unlocking future of Grangemouth

Grangemouth will need the Acorn Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) development to go ahead to take full advantage of the upcoming £13 billion Project Willow plan. Colin Pritchard, sustainability and external relations director at Ineos, which runs the Grangemouth refinery Petroineos in a joint venture with PetroChina, said: “If you want to really go for all of the things that are within Willow and take them to the full extent, you will need a CO2 transportation and storage system. “In that case, the full extent of Willow needs Acorn.” Project Willow is the plan currently being developed by the UK and Scottish Governments to ameliorate the closure of the Scotland’s only oil refinery with the expected loss of 400 jobs. Due for release soon, Project Willow  will lay out nine potential projects to overhaul the Grangemouth refinery in Scotland and create a long-term sustainable future for the site. A feasibility study exploring options for overhauling the Grangemouth refinery in Scotland is reportedly set to propose £3.8bn of investments in low-carbon alternatives for the site over ten years, with a best-case scenario could see the amount rise to almost £13bn. These options include recycling plastics, the production of biomethane, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel. In turn, these are hoped to avert the shutdown of Grangemouth, scheduled for the second quarter of this year, and preserve jobs at the facility. Speaking to Energy Voice on the side-lines of the DeCarbScotland event, Pritchard added: “There are some projects there are not dependent on Acorn, but there are some projects within Willow, like e-methanol, which are.” He added that the nine projects envisioned in Project Willow are an initial project set and could evolve, making CCS essential “if you want to get the full benefit of what we put in Willow”. Based in

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EIA Reveals Latest Brent Oil Price Forecast for 2025 and 2026

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has revealed its latest Brent spot price forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its March Short Term Energy Outlook (STEO), which was released this week. According to the STEO, the EIA now sees the Brent spot price averaging $74.22 per barrel this year and $68.47 per barrel next year. In its previous STEO, which was released in February, the EIA projected that the Brent spot price would average $74.50 per barrel in 2025 and $66.46 per barrel in 2026. The EIA outlined in its latest STEO that it sees the Brent spot price coming in at $74.89 per barrel in the first quarter of this year, $74.00 per barrel in the second quarter, $75.00 per barrel in the third quarter, $73.02 per barrel in the fourth quarter, $71.00 per barrel in the first quarter of 2026, $69.00 per barrel in the second quarter, $68.00 per barrel in the third quarter, and $66.00 per barrel in the fourth quarter. In its previous February STEO, the EIA forecast that the Brent spot price would average $77.13 per barrel in the first quarter of 2025, $75.00 per barrel in the second quarter, $74.00 per barrel in the third quarter, $72.00 per barrel in the fourth quarter, $68.97 per barrel in the first quarter of 2026, $67.33 per barrel in the second quarter, $65.68 per barrel in the third quarter, and $64.00 per barrel in the fourth quarter of next year. In its latest STEO, the EIA highlighted that the Brent crude oil spot price averaged $75 per barrel in February, which it pointed out was $4 per barrel lower than in January and $8 per barrel lower than at the same time last year. “Crude oil prices fell during February driven largely by economic growth concerns related

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IBM laying foundation for mainframe as ultimate AI server

“It will truly change what customers are able to do with AI,” Stowell said. IBM’s mainframe processors The next generation of processors is expected to continue a long history of generation-to-generation improvements, IBM stated in a new white paper on AI and the mainframe. “They are projected to clock in at 5.5 GHz. and include ten 36 MB level 2 caches. They’ll feature built-in low-latency data processing for accelerated I/O as well as a completely redesigned cache and chip-interconnection infrastructure for more on-chip cache and compute capacity,” IBM wrote.  Today’s mainframes also have extensions and accelerators that integrate with the core systems. These specialized add-ons are designed to enable the adoption of technologies such as Java, cloud and AI by accelerating computing paradigms that are essential for high-volume, low-latency transaction processing, IBM wrote.  “The next crop of AI accelerators are expected to be significantly enhanced—with each accelerator designed to deliver 4 times more compute power, reaching 24 trillion operations per second (TOPS),” IBM wrote. “The I/O and cache improvements will enable even faster processing and analysis of large amounts of data and consolidation of workloads running across multiple servers, for savings in data center space and power costs. And the new accelerators will provide increased capacity to enable additional transaction clock time to perform enhanced in-transaction AI inferencing.” In addition, the next generation of the accelerator architecture is expected to be more efficient for AI tasks. “Unlike standard CPUs, the chip architecture will have a simpler layout, designed to send data directly from one compute engine, and use a range of lower- precision numeric formats. These enhancements are expected to make running AI models more energy efficient and far less memory intensive. As a result, mainframe users can leverage much more complex AI models and perform AI inferencing at a greater scale

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VergeIO enhances VergeFabric network virtualization offering

VergeIO is not, however, using an off-the-shelf version of KVM. Rather, it is using what Crump referred to as a heavily modified KVM hypervisor base, with significant proprietary enhancements while still maintaining connections to the open-source community. VergeIO’s deployment profile is currently 70% on premises and about 30% via bare-metal service providers, with a particularly strong following among cloud service providers that host applications for their customers. The software requires direct hardware access due to its low-level integration with physical resources. “Since November of 2023, the normal number one customer we’re attracting right now is guys that have had a heart attack when they got their VMware renewal license,” Crump said. “The more of the stack you own, the better our story becomes.” A 2024 report from Data Center Intelligence Group (DCIG) identified VergeOS as one of the top 5 alternatives to VMware. “VergeIO starts by installing VergeOS on bare metal servers,” the report stated. “It then brings the servers’ hardware resources under its management, catalogs these resources, and makes them available to VMs. By directly accessing and managing the server’s hardware resources, it optimizes them in ways other hypervisors often cannot.” Advanced networking features in VergeFabric VergeFabric is the networking component within the VergeOS ecosystem, providing software-defined networking capabilities as an integrated service rather than as a separate virtual machine or application.

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Podcast: On the Frontier of Modular Edge AI Data Centers with Flexnode’s Andrew Lindsey

The modular data center industry is undergoing a seismic shift in the age of AI, and few are as deeply embedded in this transformation as Andrew Lindsey, Co-Founder and CEO of Flexnode. In a recent episode of the Data Center Frontier Show podcast, Lindsey joined Editor-in-Chief Matt Vincent and Senior Editor David Chernicoff to discuss the evolution of modular data centers, the growing demand for high-density liquid-cooled solutions, and the industry factors driving this momentum. A Background Rooted in Innovation Lindsey’s career has been defined by the intersection of technology and the built environment. Prior to launching Flexnode, he worked at Alpha Corporation, a top 100 engineering and construction management firm founded by his father in 1979. His early career involved spearheading technology adoption within the firm, with a focus on high-security infrastructure for both government and private clients. Recognizing a massive opportunity in the data center space, Lindsey saw a need for an innovative approach to infrastructure deployment. “The construction industry is relatively uninnovative,” he explained, citing a McKinsey study that ranked construction as the second least-digitized industry—just above fishing and wildlife, which remains deliberately undigitized. Given the billions of square feet of data center infrastructure required in a relatively short timeframe, Lindsey set out to streamline and modernize the process. Founded four years ago, Flexnode delivers modular data centers with a fully integrated approach, handling everything from site selection to design, engineering, manufacturing, deployment, operations, and even end-of-life decommissioning. Their core mission is to provide an “easy button” for high-density computing solutions, including cloud and dedicated GPU infrastructure, allowing faster and more efficient deployment of modular data centers. The Rising Momentum for Modular Data Centers As Vincent noted, Data Center Frontier has closely tracked the increasing traction of modular infrastructure. Lindsey has been at the forefront of this

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Last Energy to Deploy 30 Microreactors in Texas for Data Centers

As the demand for data center power surges in Texas, nuclear startup Last Energy has now announced plans to build 30 microreactors in the state’s Haskell County near the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex. The reactors will serve a growing customer base of data center operators in the region looking for reliable, carbon-free energy. The plan marks Last Energy’s largest project to date and a significant step in advancing modular nuclear power as a viable solution for high-density computing infrastructure. Meeting the Looming Power Demands of Texas Data Centers Texas is already home to over 340 data centers, with significant expansion underway. Google is increasing its data center footprint in Dallas, while OpenAI’s Stargate has announced plans for a new facility in Abilene, just an hour south of Last Energy’s planned site. The company notes the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area alone is projected to require an additional 43 gigawatts of power in the coming years, far surpassing current grid capacity. To help remediate, Last Energy has secured a 200+ acre site in Haskell County, approximately three and a half hours west of Dallas. The company has also filed for a grid connection with ERCOT, with plans to deliver power via a mix of private wire and grid transmission. Additionally, Last Energy has begun pre-application engagement with the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) for an Early Site Permit, a key step in securing regulatory approval. According to Last Energy CEO Bret Kugelmass, the company’s modular approach is designed to bring nuclear energy online faster than traditional projects. “Nuclear power is the most effective way to meet Texas’ growing energy demand, but it needs to be deployed faster and at scale,” Kugelmass said. “Our microreactors are designed to be plug-and-play, enabling data center operators to bypass the constraints of an overloaded grid.” Scaling Nuclear for

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Data Center Jobs: Engineering and Technician Jobs Available in Major Markets

Each month Data Center Frontier, in partnership with Pkaza, posts some of the hottest data center career opportunities in the market. Here’s a look at some of the latest data center jobs posted on the Data Center Frontier jobs board, powered by Pkaza Critical Facilities Recruiting.  Data Center Facility Engineer (Night Shift Available) Ashburn, VAThis position is also available in: Tacoma, WA (Nights), Days/Nights: Needham, MA and New York City, NY. This opportunity is working directly with a leading mission-critical data center developer / wholesaler / colo provider. This firm provides data center solutions custom-fit to the requirements of their client’s mission-critical operational facilities. They provide reliability of mission-critical facilities for many of the world’s largest organizations facilities supporting enterprise clients and hyperscale companies. This opportunity provides a career-growth minded role with exciting projects with leading-edge technology and innovation as well as competitive salaries and benefits. Electrical Commissioning Engineer New Albany, OHThis traveling position is also available in: Somerset, NJ; Boydton, VA; Richmond, VA; Ashburn, VA; Charlotte, NC; Atlanta, GA; Hampton, GA; Fayetteville, GA; Des Moines, IA; San Jose, CA; Portland, OR; St Louis, MO; Phoenix, AZ;  Dallas, TX;  Chicago, IL; or Toronto, ON. *** ALSO looking for a LEAD EE and ME CxA agents.*** Our client is an engineering design and commissioning company that has a national footprint and specializes in MEP critical facilities design. They provide design, commissioning, consulting and management expertise in the critical facilities space. They have a mindset to provide reliability, energy efficiency, sustainable design and LEED expertise when providing these consulting services for enterprise, colocation and hyperscale companies. This career-growth minded opportunity offers exciting projects with leading-edge technology and innovation as well as competitive salaries and benefits. Switchgear Field Service Technician – Critical Facilities Nationwide TravelThis position is also available in: Charlotte, NC; Atlanta, GA; Dallas,

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Amid Shifting Regional Data Center Policies, Iron Mountain and DC Blox Both Expand in Virginia’s Henrico County

The dynamic landscape of data center developments in Maryland and Virginia exemplify the intricate balance between fostering technological growth and addressing community and environmental concerns. Data center developers in this region find themselves both in the crosshairs of groups worried about the environment and other groups looking to drive economic growth. In some cases, the groups are different components of the same organizations, such as local governments. For data center development, meeting the needs of these competing interests often means walking a none-too-stable tightrope. Rapid Government Action Encourages Growth In May 2024, Maryland demonstrated its commitment to attracting data center investments by enacting the Critical Infrastructure Streamlining Act. This legislation provides a clear framework for the use of emergency backup power generation, addressing previous regulatory challenges that a few months earlier had hindered projects like Aligned Data Centers’ proposed 264-megawatt campus in Frederick County, causing Aligned to pull out of the project. However, just days after the Act was signed by the governor, Aligned reiterated its plans to move forward with development in Maryland.  With the Quantum Loop and the related data center development making Frederick County a focal point for a balanced approach, the industry is paying careful attention to the pace of development and the relations between developers, communities and the government. In September of 2024, Frederick County Executive Jessica Fitzwater revealed draft legislation that would potentially restrict where in the county data centers could be built. The legislation was based on information found in the Frederick County Data Centers Workgroup’s final report. Those bills would update existing regulations and create a floating zone for Critical Digital Infrastructure and place specific requirements on siting data centers. Statewide, a cautious approach to environmental and community impacts statewide has been deemed important. In January 2025, legislators introduced SB116,  a bill

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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