
Oracle’s ‘Astonishing’ Quarter Stuns Wall Street, Targeting Cloud Growth and Global Data Center Expansion
Oracle’s FY Q1 2026 earnings report on September 9 — along with its massive cloud backlog — stunned Wall Street with its blow-out Q1 earnings. The market reacted positively to the huge growth in infrastructure revenue and performance obligations (RPO), a measure of future revenue from customer contracts, which indicates significant growth potential and Oracle’s increasing role in AI technology—even as earnings and revenue missed estimates.
After the earnings announcement, Oracle stock soared more than 36%, marking its biggest daily gain since December 1992 and adding more than $250 billion in market value to the company. The company’s stock surge came even as the software giant’s earnings and lower-than-expected revenue.
Leaders reported company’s RPO jumped about 360% in the quarter to $455 billion, indicating its potential growth and demand for its cloud services and infrastructure. As a result, Oracle CEO Safra Catz projects that its GPU‑heavy Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) business will grow 77% to $18 billion in its current fiscal year (2026) and soar to $144 billion in 2030.
The earnings announcement also made Oracle’s Co-Founder, Chairman and CTO Larry Ellison the richest person in the world briefly, with shares of Oracle surging as much as 43%. By the end of the trading day, his wealth increased nearly $90 billion to $383 billion, just shy of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $384 billion fortune.
Also on the earnings call, Ellison announced that in October at the Oracle AI World event, the company will introduce the Oracle AI Database OCI for customers to use the Large Language Model (LLM) of their choice—including Google’s Gemini, OpenAI’s ChatGPT, xAI’s Grok, etc.—directly on top of the Oracle Database to easily access and analyze all existing database data.
Capital Expenditure Strategy
These astonishing numbers are due in part to Oracle’s strategy to increase its capital expenditures (capex) to support AI demand and its cloud strategy, fill its data centers with the latest chips and servers, and build new data centers. Leaders plan a significant increase in capex for FY2026, increasing their forecast to $35 billion from a previous estimate of $25 billion.
Oracle CEO & Director Safra Catz said the company signed four multibillion-dollar contracts with three customers in Q1, noting significant contracts with “the who’s who of AI, including OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, AMD, and many others.” While Catz didn’t name those customers, The Wall Street Journal reported that Oracle signed a $300 billion, five-year deal with OpenAI.
The capex spending is targeted and strategic, with primary areas of focus that include:
• Building and expanding data center capacity and cloud regions. Oracle is adding cloud infrastructure regions (multicloud/sovereign regions), expanding its Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCT) footprint. For example, it’s increasing capacity in Frankfurt, Germany.
• AI infrastructure—GPUs, networking, storage, etc. A large share of the capex is going into GPU clusters, high‐bandwidth and high‐performance networking, storage that supports large model training/inference. Oracle is entering into big chip procurement deals, such as the one with NVIDIA, to power AI workloads, such as the deal announced in May spend $40 billion on NVIDIA’s higher-performance chips to power OpenAI’s new U.S. data center.
• Hardware and system upgrades. Upgrading existing infrastructure to support more demanding workloads: faster interconnects, denser storage, more powerful compute, cooling, and power infrastructure to handle GPU and AI workloads.
• Geographic expansion. Part of the capex is being invested in geographic expansion of cloud infrastructure in Europe and in U.S. data centers.
• Sovereign or regulated cloud infrastructure. There’s also a focus on sovereign cloud capabilities—satisfying regulatory and local data preferences—especially for public and government customers in Europe.
This much spending does create some trade-offs and implications, including the following:
• Free cash flow becomes negative or tight. Because capex is so front-loaded, operating cash flow is still strong, but the heavy investment is pushing free cash flow negative. In FY2025, Oracle had free cash flow around –$0.39 billion.
• Debt and leverage increases. To fund this, Oracle is taking more debt—or at least its net debt is rising at a time of expensive borrowing costs—and making capital allocation decisions balancing investment vs. shareholder returns in the form of dividends and buy-backs.
• High risk goes with high reward. Because building infrastructure is expensive and takes time, Oracle’s leaders risking that demand—especially for AI and machine learning (ML) workloads—will materialize sufficiently to cover these investments. If not, there’s a risk of underused capacity.
• Competitive pressures continue. To keep up with AWS, Microsoft, Google, etc., Oracle’s leaders are motivated to spend heavily to stay competitive in region presence, cost, and performance.
Earnings Details
Revenue increased 12% from $13.3 billion a year earlier during the quarter, ending on Aug. 31, according to Oracle’s statement. Net income was about flat at $2.93 billion, or $1.01 per share, compared to $2.93 billion, or $1.03 per share, in the same quarter last year.
Oracle’s OCI revenue grew by 54% to $3.3 billion in Q1 FY26, showing increased use of its cloud platform for demanding tasks, including AI.
The company reported negative free cash flow of -$362 million, despite strong operating cash flow.
Key guidance highlights include:
• Q1 total revenue: $14.9 billion, up 12% in USD. Operating income was $4.3 billion. Non-GAAP operating income was $6.2 billion, up 9% year-over-year in USD.
• Gross margins: 29% GAAP, 42% non-GAAP.
• Gross margin: $10.4 billion, or 69.7%.
• RPO: $455 billion, up 359%.
• GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) earnings per share: -2% to $1.01, non-GAAP earnings per share up 6% to $1.47.
• Cloud revenue (IaaS plus SaaS): $7.2 billion, up 28% in USD.
• Cloud infrastructure (IaaS) Revenue: $3.3 billion, up 55% in USD.
• Cloud application (SaaS): Revenue $3.8 billion, up 11% in USD.
• Fusion cloud ERP (SaaS) Revenue $1.0 billion, up 17% in USD.
“Multicloud database revenue from Amazon, Google, and Microsoft grew at the incredible rate of 1,529% in Q1,” Ellison said. “We expect multicloud revenue to grow substantially every quarter for several years as we deliver another 37 datacenters to our three hyperscaler partners, for a total of 71.”
“It was an astonishing quarter—and demand for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure continues to build,” Catz said. “Over the next few months, we expect to sign up several additional multibillion-dollar customers, and RPO is likely to exceed half-a-trillion dollars.”
Promising Financial Outlook
Catz declared, “Oracle is off to a brilliant start to FY26.” She said the scale of Oracle’s recent RPO growth allows the company to make a large upward revision to the Cloud Infrastructure portion of Oracle’s overall financial plan.
“We expect Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to grow 77% to $18 billion this fiscal year (2026)—and then increase to $32 billion, $73 billion, $114 billion, and $144 billion over the subsequent four years,” Catz said. “Most of the revenue in this 5-year forecast is already booked in our reported RPO. Oracle is off to a brilliant start to FY26.”
Implications for Data Centers
Oracle’s success or failure is important for data centers because it provides the software, infrastructure, and services many organizations need to store, manage, and process massive amounts of data efficiently and securely. Several factors contribute to this:
• Mission-Critical Databases. Oracle Database is one of the most widely used enterprise database platforms in the world, powering mission-critical applications across industries such as data centers, finance, healthcare, manufacturing, and telecommunications. Because so many essential business systems rely on Oracle databases, data centers often are designed to support these workloads.
• High Performance and Scalability. Oracle’s engineered systems, such as Oracle Exadata, are designed for exceptional performance and scalability, according to the company, allowing data centers to efficiently manage large-scale transaction processing and analytics. These solutions can scale to meet the demands of growing businesses, so they’re well-suited for enterprises with global operations and massive data volumes.
• Cloud and Hybrid Solutions. OCI provides a flexible cloud and hybrid solution to allow organizations to run workloads on-premises, in a private data center, or in Oracle’s public cloud. This supports seamless cloud migration so businesses can optimize their IT infrastructure and transition operations without disruption.
• Automation and Management Tools. These tools, including the Oracle Autonomous Database, are designed to allow data centers to reduce manual administration, improve uptime, and optimize performance. This increased automation can lower operational costs, particularly in large-scale environments, by streamlining tasks and ensuring efficiency.
• Integration with Enterprise Systems. Oracle’s software is a core part of many organizations’ operations, integrating with other key enterprise applications like ERP, CRM, and HR systems. To ensure compatibility, data centers that support these enterprise customers often need Oracle-certified infrastructure.
With record-breaking RPO growth, expanded partnerships across the AI ecosystem, and aggressive guidance for cloud infrastructure and total revenue, Oracle’s management underscores the company’s position as a leader in AI-powered cloud services. Q1’s results and upwardly revised outlook reflect surging demand for both training and inferencing workloads, significant capex commitments, and a broadened moat—ability to maintain a competitive edge over its competitors— driven by proprietary database and networking technologies.