Crude oil prices have fallen sharply, Nadir Belbarka, an analyst at XMArabia, said in a statement sent to Rigzone on Friday, highlighting that Brent was at $62.67 per barrel and WTI was at $58.29 per barrel. “The decline reflects rising expectations of oversupply, fading geopolitical supply risks, and growing coverage of reported progress toward a U.S.-endorsed Russia-Ukraine peace agreement,” Belbarka said in the statement. “Upcoming data – including today’s flash PMIs across the U.S., UK, Germany, and France, along with remarks from ECB President Lagarde – will direct near-term sentiment,” Belbarka added. “Weak readings could heighten recession fears and deepen demand destruction before triggering a technical rebound. Positive surprises could strengthen the dollar and reinforce downward pressure on crude,” the XMArabia analyst continued. Belbarka went on to state that, “in the absence of major inventory drawdowns or a significant supply shock, crude is likely to remain constrained within its new trading range through year-end, awaiting meaningful geopolitical or macroeconomic catalysts”. “Close attention to inventories, IEA [International Energy Agency] and OPEC forecasts, and dollar performance remains essential,” Belbarka warned. In a separate market comment sent to Rigzone on Friday, Eric Chia, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness, noted that crude oil prices “were under pressure today, extending this week’s downside bias as the market digested the potential for geopolitical de-escalation and structural oversupply”. “WTI prices were trading below $58 per barrel, down roughly two percent intraday and set for weekly losses of more than three percent,” Chia added. “The emergence of a Russia-Ukraine peace framework could weigh on the oil market as the prospect of future normalization of Russian crude exports tempered the impact of new U.S. sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil,” Chia said. “Higher Russian oil exports could also add to the current oversupply narrative. However, a failed deal could help lift