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The foundations of America’s prosperity are being dismantled

Ever since World War II, the US has been the global leader in science and technology—and benefited immensely from it. Research fuels American innovation and the economy in turn. Scientists around the world want to study in the US and collaborate with American scientists to produce more of that research. These international collaborations play a critical role in American soft power and diplomacy. The products Americans can buy, the drugs they have access to, the diseases they’re at risk of catching—are all directly related to the strength of American research and its connections to the world’s scientists. That scientific leadership is now being dismantled, according to more than 10 federal workers who spoke to MIT Technology Review, as the Trump administration—spearheaded by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)—slashes personnel, programs, and agencies. Meanwhile, the president himself has gone after relationships with US allies.    These workers come from several agencies, including the Departments of State, Defense, and Commerce, the US Agency for International Development, and the National Science Foundation. All of them occupy scientific and technical roles, many of which the average American has never heard of but which are nevertheless critical, coordinating research, distributing funding, supporting policymaking, or advising diplomacy. They warn that dismantling the behind-the-scenes scientific research programs that backstop American life could lead to long-lasting, perhaps irreparable damage to everything from the quality of health care to the public’s access to next-generation consumer technologies. The US took nearly a century to craft its rich scientific ecosystem; if the unraveling that has taken place over the past month continues, Americans will feel the effects for decades to come.  Most of the federal workers spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk or for fear of being targeted. Many are completely stunned and terrified by the scope and totality of the actions. While every administration brings its changes, keeping the US a science and technology leader has never been a partisan issue. No one predicted the wholesale assault on these foundations of American prosperity. “If you believe that innovation is important to economic development, then throwing a wrench in one of the most sophisticated and productive innovation machines in world history is not a good idea,” says Deborah Seligsohn, an assistant professor of political science at Villanova University who worked for two decades in the State Department on science issues. “They’re setting us up for economic decline.” The biggest funder of innovation The US currently has the most top-quality research institutes in the world. This includes world-class universities like MIT (which publishes MIT Technology Review) and the University of California, Berkeley; national labs like Oak Ridge and Los Alamos; and federal research facilities run by agencies like the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Department of Defense. Much of this network was developed by the federal government after World War II to bolster the US position as a global superpower.  Before the Trump administration’s wide-ranging actions, which now threaten to slash federal research funding, the government remained by far the largest supporter of scientific progress. Outside of its own labs and facilities, it funded more than 50% of research and development across higher education, according to data from the National Science Foundation. In 2023, that came to nearly $60 billion out of the $109 billion that universities spent on basic science and engineering.  The return on these investments is difficult to measure. It can often take years or decades for this kind of basic science research to have tangible effects on the lives of Americans and people globally, and on the US’s place in the world. But history is littered with examples of the transformative effect that this funding produces over time. The internet and GPS were first developed through research backed by the Department of Defense, as was the quantum dot technology behind high-resolution QLED television screens. Well before they were useful or commercially relevant, the development of neural networks that underpin nearly all modern AI systems was substantially supported by the National Science Foundation. The decades-long drug discovery process that led to Ozempic was incubated by the Department of Veterans Affairs and the National Institutes of Health. Microchips. Self-driving cars. MRIs. The flu shot. The list goes on and on.  In her 2013 book The Entrepreneurial State, Mariana Mazzucato, a leading economist studying innovation at University College London, found that every major technological transformation in the US, from electric cars to Google to the iPhone, can trace its roots back to basic science research once funded by the federal government. If the past offers any lesson, that means every major transformation in the future could be shortchanged with the destruction of that support. The Trump administration’s distaste for regulation will arguably be a boon in the short term for some parts of the tech industry, including crypto and AI. But the federal workers said the president’s and Musk’s undermining of basic science research will hurt American innovation in the long run. “Rather than investing in the future, you’re burning through scientific capital,” an employee at the State Department said. “You can build off the things you already know, but you’re not learning anything new. Twenty years later, you fall behind because you stopped making new discoveries.” A global currency The government doesn’t just give money, either. It supports American science in numerous other ways, and the US reaps the returns. The Department of State helps attract the best students from around the world to American universities. Amid stagnating growth in the number of homegrown STEM PhD graduates, recruiting foreign students remains one of the strongest pathways for the US to expand its pool of technical talent, especially in strategic areas like batteries and semiconductors. Many of those students stay for years, if not the rest of their lives; even if they leave the country, they’ve already spent some of their most productive years in the US and will retain a wealth of professional connections with whom they’ll collaborate, thereby continuing to contribute to US science. The State Department also establishes agreements between the US and other countries and helps broker partnerships between American and international universities. That helps scientists collaborate across borders on everything from global issues like climate change to research that requires equipment on opposite sides of the world, such as the measurement of gravitational waves. The international development work of USAID in global health, poverty reduction, and conflict alleviation—now virtually shut down in its entirety—was designed to build up goodwill toward the US globally; it improved regional stability for decades. In addition to its inherent benefits, this allowed American scientists to safely access diverse geographies and populations, as well as plant and animal species not found in the US. Such international interchange played just as critical a role as government funding in many crucial inventions. Several federal agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Environmental Protection Agency, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, also help collect and aggregate critical data on disease, health trends, air quality, weather, and more from disparate sources that feed into the work of scientists across the country. The National Institutes of Health, for example, has since 2015 been running the Precision Medicine Initiative, the only effort of its kind to collect extensive and granular health data from over 1 million Americans who volunteer their medical records, genetic history, and even Fitbit data to help researchers understand health disparities and develop personalized and more effective treatments for disorders from heart and lung disease to cancer. The data set, which is too expensive for any one university to assemble and maintain, has already been used in hundreds of papers that will lay the foundation for the next generation of life-saving pharmaceuticals. Beyond fueling innovation, a well-supported science and technology ecosystem bolsters US national security and global influence. When people want to study at American universities, attend international conferences hosted on American soil, or move to the US to work or to found their own companies, the US stays the center of global innovation activity. This ensures that the country continues to get access to the best people and ideas, and gives it an outsize role in setting global scientific practices and priorities. US research norms, including academic freedom and a robust peer review system, become global research norms that lift the overall quality of science. International agencies like the World Health Organization take significant cues from American guidance. US scientific leadership has long been one of the country’s purest tools of soft power and diplomacy as well. Countries keen to learn from the American innovation ecosystem and to have access to American researchers and universities have been more prone to partner with the US and align with its strategic priorities. Just one example: Science diplomacy has long played an important role in maintaining the US’s strong relationship with the Netherlands, which is home to ASML, the only company in the world that can produce the extreme ultraviolet lithography machines needed to produce the most advanced semiconductors. These are critical for both AI development and national security. International science cooperation has also served as a stabilizing force in otherwise difficult relationships. During the Cold War, the US and USSR continued to collaborate on the International Space Station; during the recent heightened economic competition between the US and China, the countries have remained each other’s top scientific partners. “Actively working together to solve problems that we both care about helps maintain the connections and the context but also helps build respect,” Seligsohn says. The federal government itself is a significant beneficiary of the country’s convening power for technical expertise. Among other things, experts both inside and outside the government support its sound policymaking in science and technology. During the US Senate AI Insight Forums, co-organized by Senator Chuck Schumer through the fall of 2023, for example, the Senate heard from more than 150 experts, many of whom were born abroad and studying at American universities, working at or advising American companies, or living permanently in the US as naturalized American citizens. Federal scientists and technical experts at government agencies also work on wide-ranging goals critical to the US, including building resilience in the face of an increasingly erratic climate; researching strategic technologies such as next-generation battery technology to reduce the country’s reliance on minerals not found in the US; and monitoring global infectious diseases to prevent the next pandemic. “Every issue that the US faces, there are people that are trying to do research on it and there are partnerships that have to happen,” the State Department employee said. A system in jeopardy Now the breadth and velocity of the Trump administration’s actions has led to an unprecedented assault on every pillar upholding American scientific leadership. For starters, the purging of tens of thousands—and perhaps soon hundreds of thousands—of federal workers is removing scientists and technologists from the government and paralyzing the ability of critical agencies to function. Across multiple agencies, science and technology fellowship programs, designed to bring in talented early-career staff with advanced STEM degrees, have shuttered. Many other federal scientists were among the thousands who were terminated as probationary employees, a status they held because of the way scientific roles are often contractually structured. Some agencies that were supporting or conducting their own research, including the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation, are no longer functionally operational. USAID has effectively shuttered, eliminating a bastion of US expertise, influence, and credibility overnight. “Diplomacy is built on relationships. If we’ve closed all these clinics and gotten rid of technical experts in our knowledge base inside the government, why would any foreign government have respect for the US in our ability to hold our word and in our ability to actually be knowledgeable?” a terminated USAID worker said. “I really hope America can save itself.” Now the Trump administration has sought to reverse some terminations after discovering that many were key to national security, including nuclear safety employees responsible for designing, building, and maintaining the country’s nuclear weapons arsenal. But many federal workers I spoke to can no longer imagine staying in the public sector. Some are considering going into industry. Others are wondering whether it will be better to move abroad. “It’s just such a waste of American talent,” said Fiona Coleman, a terminated federal scientist, her voice cracking with emotion as she described the long years of schooling and training she and her colleagues went through to serve the government. Many fear the US has also singlehandedly kneecapped its own ability to attract talent from abroad. Over the last 10 years, even as American universities have continued to lead the world, many universities in other countries have rapidly leveled up. That includes those in Canada, where liberal immigration policies and lower tuition fees have driven a 200% increase in international student enrollment over the last decade, according to Anna Esaki-Smith, cofounder of a higher-education research consultancy called Education Rethink and author of Make College Your Superpower. Germany has also seen an influx, thanks to a growing number of English-taught programs and strong connections between universities and German industry. Chinese students, who once represented the largest share of foreign students in the US, are increasingly staying at home or opting to study in places like Hong Kong, Singapore, and the UK. During the first Trump administration, many international students were already more reluctant to come to the US because of the president’s hostile rhetoric. With the return and rapid escalation of that rhetoric, Esaki-Smith is hearing from some universities that international students are declining their admissions offers. Add to that the other recent developments—the potential dramatic cuts in federal research funding, the deletion of scores of rich public data sets on health and the environment, the clampdown on academic freedom for research that appears related to diversity, equity, and inclusion and the fear that these restrictions could ultimately encompass other politically charged topics like climate change or vaccines—and many more international science and engineering students could decide to head elsewhere. “I’ve been hearing this increasingly from several postdocs and early-career professors, fearing the cuts in NIH or NSF grants, that they’re starting to look for funding or job opportunities in other countries,” Coleman told me. “And then we’re going to be training up the US’s competitors.” The attacks could similarly weaken the productivity of those who stay at American universities. While many of the Trump administration’s actions are now being halted and scrutinized by US judges, the chaos has weakened a critical prerequisite for tackling the toughest research problems: a long-term stable environment. With reports that the NSF is combing through research grants for words like “women,” “diverse,” and “institutional” to determine whether they violate President Trump’s executive order on DEIA programs, a chilling effect is also setting in among federally funded academics uncertain whether they’ll get caught in the dragnet. To scientists abroad, the situation in the US government has marked American institutions and researchers as potentially unreliable partners, several federal workers told me. If international researchers think collaborations with the US can end at any moment when funds are abruptly pulled or certain topics or keywords are suddenly blacklisted, many of them could steer clear and look to other countries. “I’m really concerned about the instability we’re showing,” another employee at the State Department said. “What’s the point in even engaging? Because science is a long-term initiative and process that outlasts administrations and political cycles.” Meanwhile, international scientists have far more options these days for high-caliber colleagues to collaborate with outside America. In recent years, for example, China has made a remarkable ascent to become a global peer in scientific discoveries. By some metrics, it has even surpassed the US; it started accounting for more of the top 1% of most-cited papers globally, often called the Nobel Prize tier, back in 2019 and has continued to improve the quality of the rest of its research.  Where Chinese universities can also entice international collaborators with substantial resources, the US is more limited in its ability to offer tangible funding, the State employee said. Until now, the US has maintained its advantage in part through the prestige of its institutions and its more open cultural norms, including stronger academic freedom. But several federal scientists warn that this advantage is dissipating.  “America is made up of so many different people contributing to it. There’s such a powerful global community that makes this country what it is, especially in science and technology and academia and research. We’re going to lose that; there’s not a chance in the world that we’re not going to lose that through stuff like this,” says Brigid Cakouros, a federal scientist who was also terminated from USAID. “I have no doubt that the international science community will ultimately be okay. It’ll just be a shame for the US to isolate themselves from it.”

Ever since World War II, the US has been the global leader in science and technology—and benefited immensely from it. Research fuels American innovation and the economy in turn. Scientists around the world want to study in the US and collaborate with American scientists to produce more of that research. These international collaborations play a critical role in American soft power and diplomacy. The products Americans can buy, the drugs they have access to, the diseases they’re at risk of catching—are all directly related to the strength of American research and its connections to the world’s scientists.

That scientific leadership is now being dismantled, according to more than 10 federal workers who spoke to MIT Technology Review, as the Trump administration—spearheaded by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)—slashes personnel, programs, and agencies. Meanwhile, the president himself has gone after relationships with US allies.   

These workers come from several agencies, including the Departments of State, Defense, and Commerce, the US Agency for International Development, and the National Science Foundation. All of them occupy scientific and technical roles, many of which the average American has never heard of but which are nevertheless critical, coordinating research, distributing funding, supporting policymaking, or advising diplomacy.

They warn that dismantling the behind-the-scenes scientific research programs that backstop American life could lead to long-lasting, perhaps irreparable damage to everything from the quality of health care to the public’s access to next-generation consumer technologies. The US took nearly a century to craft its rich scientific ecosystem; if the unraveling that has taken place over the past month continues, Americans will feel the effects for decades to come. 

Most of the federal workers spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk or for fear of being targeted. Many are completely stunned and terrified by the scope and totality of the actions. While every administration brings its changes, keeping the US a science and technology leader has never been a partisan issue. No one predicted the wholesale assault on these foundations of American prosperity.

“If you believe that innovation is important to economic development, then throwing a wrench in one of the most sophisticated and productive innovation machines in world history is not a good idea,” says Deborah Seligsohn, an assistant professor of political science at Villanova University who worked for two decades in the State Department on science issues. “They’re setting us up for economic decline.”

The biggest funder of innovation

The US currently has the most top-quality research institutes in the world. This includes world-class universities like MIT (which publishes MIT Technology Review) and the University of California, Berkeley; national labs like Oak Ridge and Los Alamos; and federal research facilities run by agencies like the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Department of Defense. Much of this network was developed by the federal government after World War II to bolster the US position as a global superpower. 

Before the Trump administration’s wide-ranging actions, which now threaten to slash federal research funding, the government remained by far the largest supporter of scientific progress. Outside of its own labs and facilities, it funded more than 50% of research and development across higher education, according to data from the National Science Foundation. In 2023, that came to nearly $60 billion out of the $109 billion that universities spent on basic science and engineering. 

The return on these investments is difficult to measure. It can often take years or decades for this kind of basic science research to have tangible effects on the lives of Americans and people globally, and on the US’s place in the world. But history is littered with examples of the transformative effect that this funding produces over time. The internet and GPS were first developed through research backed by the Department of Defense, as was the quantum dot technology behind high-resolution QLED television screens. Well before they were useful or commercially relevant, the development of neural networks that underpin nearly all modern AI systems was substantially supported by the National Science Foundation. The decades-long drug discovery process that led to Ozempic was incubated by the Department of Veterans Affairs and the National Institutes of Health. Microchips. Self-driving cars. MRIs. The flu shot. The list goes on and on. 

In her 2013 book The Entrepreneurial State, Mariana Mazzucato, a leading economist studying innovation at University College London, found that every major technological transformation in the US, from electric cars to Google to the iPhone, can trace its roots back to basic science research once funded by the federal government. If the past offers any lesson, that means every major transformation in the future could be shortchanged with the destruction of that support.

The Trump administration’s distaste for regulation will arguably be a boon in the short term for some parts of the tech industry, including crypto and AI. But the federal workers said the president’s and Musk’s undermining of basic science research will hurt American innovation in the long run. “Rather than investing in the future, you’re burning through scientific capital,” an employee at the State Department said. “You can build off the things you already know, but you’re not learning anything new. Twenty years later, you fall behind because you stopped making new discoveries.”

A global currency

The government doesn’t just give money, either. It supports American science in numerous other ways, and the US reaps the returns. The Department of State helps attract the best students from around the world to American universities. Amid stagnating growth in the number of homegrown STEM PhD graduates, recruiting foreign students remains one of the strongest pathways for the US to expand its pool of technical talent, especially in strategic areas like batteries and semiconductors. Many of those students stay for years, if not the rest of their lives; even if they leave the country, they’ve already spent some of their most productive years in the US and will retain a wealth of professional connections with whom they’ll collaborate, thereby continuing to contribute to US science.

The State Department also establishes agreements between the US and other countries and helps broker partnerships between American and international universities. That helps scientists collaborate across borders on everything from global issues like climate change to research that requires equipment on opposite sides of the world, such as the measurement of gravitational waves.

The international development work of USAID in global health, poverty reduction, and conflict alleviation—now virtually shut down in its entirety—was designed to build up goodwill toward the US globally; it improved regional stability for decades. In addition to its inherent benefits, this allowed American scientists to safely access diverse geographies and populations, as well as plant and animal species not found in the US. Such international interchange played just as critical a role as government funding in many crucial inventions.

Several federal agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Environmental Protection Agency, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, also help collect and aggregate critical data on disease, health trends, air quality, weather, and more from disparate sources that feed into the work of scientists across the country.

The National Institutes of Health, for example, has since 2015 been running the Precision Medicine Initiative, the only effort of its kind to collect extensive and granular health data from over 1 million Americans who volunteer their medical records, genetic history, and even Fitbit data to help researchers understand health disparities and develop personalized and more effective treatments for disorders from heart and lung disease to cancer. The data set, which is too expensive for any one university to assemble and maintain, has already been used in hundreds of papers that will lay the foundation for the next generation of life-saving pharmaceuticals.

Beyond fueling innovation, a well-supported science and technology ecosystem bolsters US national security and global influence. When people want to study at American universities, attend international conferences hosted on American soil, or move to the US to work or to found their own companies, the US stays the center of global innovation activity. This ensures that the country continues to get access to the best people and ideas, and gives it an outsize role in setting global scientific practices and priorities. US research norms, including academic freedom and a robust peer review system, become global research norms that lift the overall quality of science. International agencies like the World Health Organization take significant cues from American guidance.

US scientific leadership has long been one of the country’s purest tools of soft power and diplomacy as well. Countries keen to learn from the American innovation ecosystem and to have access to American researchers and universities have been more prone to partner with the US and align with its strategic priorities.

Just one example: Science diplomacy has long played an important role in maintaining the US’s strong relationship with the Netherlands, which is home to ASML, the only company in the world that can produce the extreme ultraviolet lithography machines needed to produce the most advanced semiconductors. These are critical for both AI development and national security.

International science cooperation has also served as a stabilizing force in otherwise difficult relationships. During the Cold War, the US and USSR continued to collaborate on the International Space Station; during the recent heightened economic competition between the US and China, the countries have remained each other’s top scientific partners. “Actively working together to solve problems that we both care about helps maintain the connections and the context but also helps build respect,” Seligsohn says.

The federal government itself is a significant beneficiary of the country’s convening power for technical expertise. Among other things, experts both inside and outside the government support its sound policymaking in science and technology. During the US Senate AI Insight Forums, co-organized by Senator Chuck Schumer through the fall of 2023, for example, the Senate heard from more than 150 experts, many of whom were born abroad and studying at American universities, working at or advising American companies, or living permanently in the US as naturalized American citizens.

Federal scientists and technical experts at government agencies also work on wide-ranging goals critical to the US, including building resilience in the face of an increasingly erratic climate; researching strategic technologies such as next-generation battery technology to reduce the country’s reliance on minerals not found in the US; and monitoring global infectious diseases to prevent the next pandemic.

“Every issue that the US faces, there are people that are trying to do research on it and there are partnerships that have to happen,” the State Department employee said.

A system in jeopardy

Now the breadth and velocity of the Trump administration’s actions has led to an unprecedented assault on every pillar upholding American scientific leadership.

For starters, the purging of tens of thousands—and perhaps soon hundreds of thousands—of federal workers is removing scientists and technologists from the government and paralyzing the ability of critical agencies to function. Across multiple agencies, science and technology fellowship programs, designed to bring in talented early-career staff with advanced STEM degrees, have shuttered. Many other federal scientists were among the thousands who were terminated as probationary employees, a status they held because of the way scientific roles are often contractually structured.

Some agencies that were supporting or conducting their own research, including the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation, are no longer functionally operational. USAID has effectively shuttered, eliminating a bastion of US expertise, influence, and credibility overnight.

“Diplomacy is built on relationships. If we’ve closed all these clinics and gotten rid of technical experts in our knowledge base inside the government, why would any foreign government have respect for the US in our ability to hold our word and in our ability to actually be knowledgeable?” a terminated USAID worker said. “I really hope America can save itself.”

Now the Trump administration has sought to reverse some terminations after discovering that many were key to national security, including nuclear safety employees responsible for designing, building, and maintaining the country’s nuclear weapons arsenal. But many federal workers I spoke to can no longer imagine staying in the public sector. Some are considering going into industry. Others are wondering whether it will be better to move abroad.

“It’s just such a waste of American talent,” said Fiona Coleman, a terminated federal scientist, her voice cracking with emotion as she described the long years of schooling and training she and her colleagues went through to serve the government.

Many fear the US has also singlehandedly kneecapped its own ability to attract talent from abroad. Over the last 10 years, even as American universities have continued to lead the world, many universities in other countries have rapidly leveled up. That includes those in Canada, where liberal immigration policies and lower tuition fees have driven a 200% increase in international student enrollment over the last decade, according to Anna Esaki-Smith, cofounder of a higher-education research consultancy called Education Rethink and author of Make College Your Superpower.

Germany has also seen an influx, thanks to a growing number of English-taught programs and strong connections between universities and German industry. Chinese students, who once represented the largest share of foreign students in the US, are increasingly staying at home or opting to study in places like Hong Kong, Singapore, and the UK.

During the first Trump administration, many international students were already more reluctant to come to the US because of the president’s hostile rhetoric. With the return and rapid escalation of that rhetoric, Esaki-Smith is hearing from some universities that international students are declining their admissions offers.

Add to that the other recent developments—the potential dramatic cuts in federal research funding, the deletion of scores of rich public data sets on health and the environment, the clampdown on academic freedom for research that appears related to diversity, equity, and inclusion and the fear that these restrictions could ultimately encompass other politically charged topics like climate change or vaccines—and many more international science and engineering students could decide to head elsewhere.

“I’ve been hearing this increasingly from several postdocs and early-career professors, fearing the cuts in NIH or NSF grants, that they’re starting to look for funding or job opportunities in other countries,” Coleman told me. “And then we’re going to be training up the US’s competitors.”

The attacks could similarly weaken the productivity of those who stay at American universities. While many of the Trump administration’s actions are now being halted and scrutinized by US judges, the chaos has weakened a critical prerequisite for tackling the toughest research problems: a long-term stable environment. With reports that the NSF is combing through research grants for words like “women,” “diverse,” and “institutional” to determine whether they violate President Trump’s executive order on DEIA programs, a chilling effect is also setting in among federally funded academics uncertain whether they’ll get caught in the dragnet.

To scientists abroad, the situation in the US government has marked American institutions and researchers as potentially unreliable partners, several federal workers told me. If international researchers think collaborations with the US can end at any moment when funds are abruptly pulled or certain topics or keywords are suddenly blacklisted, many of them could steer clear and look to other countries. “I’m really concerned about the instability we’re showing,” another employee at the State Department said. “What’s the point in even engaging? Because science is a long-term initiative and process that outlasts administrations and political cycles.”

Meanwhile, international scientists have far more options these days for high-caliber colleagues to collaborate with outside America. In recent years, for example, China has made a remarkable ascent to become a global peer in scientific discoveries. By some metrics, it has even surpassed the US; it started accounting for more of the top 1% of most-cited papers globally, often called the Nobel Prize tier, back in 2019 and has continued to improve the quality of the rest of its research. 

Where Chinese universities can also entice international collaborators with substantial resources, the US is more limited in its ability to offer tangible funding, the State employee said. Until now, the US has maintained its advantage in part through the prestige of its institutions and its more open cultural norms, including stronger academic freedom. But several federal scientists warn that this advantage is dissipating. 

“America is made up of so many different people contributing to it. There’s such a powerful global community that makes this country what it is, especially in science and technology and academia and research. We’re going to lose that; there’s not a chance in the world that we’re not going to lose that through stuff like this,” says Brigid Cakouros, a federal scientist who was also terminated from USAID. “I have no doubt that the international science community will ultimately be okay. It’ll just be a shame for the US to isolate themselves from it.”

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US waives Russia sanctions as Gulf oil shipments face renewed disruption

President Donald Trump signed an executive order Oct. 16 waiving key sanctions and tariffs under the Graham Act, including duties on Russian goods and penalties for countries that buy Russian oil and gas. The measures were due to take effect within days. Earlier Russia sanctions imposed under previous executive orders remain in place. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the administration would use up to 60 days to assess the economic effects. The order specifies no expiration date, and the waiver remains in effect pending further action by the administration. Brent crude futures fell Oct. 19 from a 5-month high as traders weighed the prospect of more Russian supply against continued Middle East risks. December Brent futures traded around $108/bbl in morning dealings, down 1% to 2%. Diesel deal The waiver follows a separate diesel agreement. Trump said Russia would immediately supply more than 300,000 tonnes of diesel to the US and global markets, followed by 500,000 tonnes in November and 1 million tonnes after that. He also cited a further 3 million tonnes, depending on the condition of Russian refineries. Delivery remains uncertain. Ukrainian strikes have damaged Russian refineries, while Moscow’s diesel export restrictions remain partly in place despite easing on Oct. 10. Middle East risks The potential increase in Russian fuel exports comes as shipping disruptions continue to constrain Middle Eastern oil supplies. According to Kpler data, Gulf crude flows fell to an average of about 8.5 million b/d last week, compared with more than 20 million b/d the preceding week. Shipping security has also deteriorated. Kpler reported at least 10 confirmed incidents involving commercial vessels last week. Separately, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said a tanker struck a naval mine and exploded in the southern Strait of Hormuz on Oct. 18, according to Iranian media cited

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Energy Department Advances Constitution Pipeline Project with $42 Million in Defense Production Act Funding

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) announced today that it will use up to $42 million in Defense Production Act (DPA) Title III funding to advance the development of a proposed 125-mile natural gas pipeline from Pennsylvania to New York.  Constitution Pipeline Company, LLC’s project will transport natural gas to markets across the Northeast that currently experience limited access to the low-cost reliable fuel. By leveraging DPA authorities, DOE is helping strengthen the security of the nation’s energy system and defense industrial base. The project will also dramatically lower electricity and home heating costs across the region. “Despite America having an abundant supply of low-cost natural gas, tens of millions of Americans have limited access to this reliable energy source due to a lack of pipeline infrastructure,” said U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “President Trump promised to lower energy costs and reverse the energy emergency he inherited that was caused by 17 years of energy subtraction policies. That is why he promised to build the Constitution Pipeline – a project that will transform the lives and economic opportunities for Americans across New York and New England. It will also reduce the risk of blackouts during periods of peak electricity demand and make our nation more secure.” “For too long, families and businesses in New York and other blue states have paid the price for anti-energy policies that kneecap production, block critical infrastructure and drive up costs,” said Secretary of the Interior and Chairman of the National Energy Dominance Council Doug Burgum. “President Trump is reversing that failed approach, choosing abundance over government-imposed scarcity. This historic investment in New York will help deliver the reliable, secure energy Americans deserve while saving families across the Northeast billions of dollars.” This investment supports President Trump’s commitment to ensuring all Americans have access

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FERC proposes faster LNG approvals, changes pipeline air reviews

The US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) Oct. 15 proposed rules allowing certain LNG plant activities to proceed without case-specific authorization orders and separately proposed changes to its review of operational air-quality effects from gas pipelines and other projects. The proposals would accelerate infrastructure development by streamlining authorizations and reducing duplicative environmental reviews. FERC unanimously proposed a blanket authorization program for eligible LNG plant activities modeled on the commission’s blanket certificate program for interstate natural gas pipelines, which has operated for about 40 years. Under the three-tier framework, LNG developers could gain authorization for major construction projects, including new liquefaction trains, storage tanks, and marine berths, following a 90-day notice-and-protest period. Eligible projects could extend beyond an existing plant’s footprint but permanently occupy no more than 25 acres of previously disturbed or developed land or waterways in industrially zoned or unzoned areas. Developers also would be required to use the same or upgraded versions of equipment previously evaluated and authorized at the terminal. Projects that increase authorized capacity while remaining within an existing footprint and equipment design limits could gain authorization after a 60-day notice period. Other activities would qualify for automatic authorization, subject to notification and reporting requirements, provided they would not increase authorized capacity, expand the plant footprint, or exceed equipment design limits. Unlike the existing pipeline blanket certificate program, the LNG proposal contains no dollar limits on eligible projects. FERC will accept comments for 60 days after publication in the Federal Register. Air permitting requirements FERC also issued a draft policy statement that would change how it evaluates operational air-quality effects from natural gas pipelines and other projects under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). Under the proposal, FERC would stop requiring applicants to submit air-dispersion modeling and would no longer use the modeling in its NEPA

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Vår Energi discovers gas, condensate in Norwegian Sea Lakris prospect

Vår Energi ASA has discovered gas and condensate in the Lakris prospect in Gimsan basin on the Halten Terrace in the Norwegian Sea. Well 6407/5-3 S was drilled by the COSL Prospector semisubmersible drilling rig about 170 km northwest of Kristiansund in production license 1002 to a vertical depth of 4,225 m subsea. It was terminated in the lower Jurassic. Water depth at the site is 218 m. Preliminary calculations place the size of the discovery at 0.2-0.9 million standard cu m of recoverable oil equivalent (1.3-5.5 MMboe), the Norwegian Offshore Directorate reported. The objective of the well was to prove petroleum in Cretaceous reservoir rocks in the Nise formation, as well as in Lower Jurassic reservoir rocks in the Tilje formation. The well encountered gas and condensate in the upper Tilje formation in heterolithic reservoir rocks totaling 54 m, with moderate to poor reservoir quality. The gas-water contact was not encountered in the well. Hydrocarbon shows were proven in the lower Tilje formation. The well did not encounter a sandstone reservoir in the Nise formation, but elevated gas values were recorded in the interval. The Garn, Ile, and Tofte formations were also investigated, but the intervals were aquiferous and the reservoir quality was moderate to poor. The well was not formation-tested, but data and samples were collected. The well will now be permanently plugged. Vår Energy is operator of the license. Equinor serves as partner.

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Chord Energy names Lou as president, CEO

Chord Energy Corp., Houston, has appointed Michael Lou as president and chief executive officer (CEO), effective Oct. 19, 2026. Lou also has been appointed and elected to the company’s board of directors. Lou succeeds Danny Brown, who stepped down as president and CEO to take on the chief executive role at Expand Energy Corp. Lou holds has more than 25 years’ experience in the oil and gas industry, including 17 years in various leadership positions at Chord and its predecessor companies. Before his appointment as president and CEO, Lou served as Chord Energy’s executive vice-president, chief strategy officer, and chief commercial officer from March 2024 through October 2026. Formerly, he was executive vice-president and chief financial officer (CFO) from July 2022 to March 2024. Prior to the merger of Whiting Petroleum and Oasis Petroleum, he served in roles including CFO and executive vice-president for Oasis Petroleum and its subsidiaries and president and director of the general partner of Oasis Midstream Partners. Lou began his career in investment banking, where he spent 10 years holding positions of increasing responsibility at several global investment banks focused in the energy sector.

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Beyond Colossus: 5C Advances $575M Memphis AI Factory Expansion

Memphis has emerged as a major center of AI infrastructure development, driven largely by the extraordinary scale of xAI’s Colossus supercomputing operations. But the city’s growing AI computing market extends beyond Elon Musk’s flagship project. At the former headquarters and distribution complex of discount retailer Fred’s, 5C Data Centers is developing another substantial AI computing facility, combining industrial adaptive reuse with a phased expansion strategy and plans for behind-the-meter power generation. On October 6, 2026, a $575 million commercial alteration permit application was filed for the fourth phase of 5C’s MEM01 data center at 4300 Getwell Road. The application covers approximately 504,000 square feet of the property’s 1.1 million-square-foot building, representing the largest construction phase yet proposed at the site. MEM01 is already operating. According to September reporting from The Daily Memphian, 5C had established operations in approximately 200,000 square feet of the former Fred’s property, leaving substantial additional space available for conversion. The latest permit application marks a significant escalation in the scope of the development. The expansion also introduces a major new element to 5C’s power strategy. On October 11, 5C Group Chief Revenue Officer Brad Nimri told The Daily Memphian that the company plans to increase available power at MEM01 from approximately 20 MW to 84 MW over the next six months, using fuel cell technology to supply the additional capacity rather than relying on a corresponding increase in electricity from Memphis Light, Gas and Water (MLGW). Like Colossus, which began with the conversion of a former Electrolux manufacturing facility, 5C’s development reflects the growing role of industrial adaptive reuse in AI infrastructure. The projects differ considerably in scale and their approaches to on-site power generation, but both illustrate the challenge of transforming existing industrial properties into high-density computing environments with substantial electrical requirements. As Memphis considers

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DCF Global: The Nordics’ AI Boom Meets the Power Test

Sustainability Becomes an Infrastructure Requirement Sustainability has long been central to the Nordic data center proposition. Hydropower, nuclear generation, wind resources and relatively cool ambient temperatures provide advantages for operators pursuing lower-carbon operations and efficient facility design. However, the growing concentration of AI infrastructure investment is changing the terms of that discussion. Rather than evaluating sustainability primarily through electricity sourcing or annualized power usage effectiveness, developers increasingly face questions about their contribution to regional energy systems, electricity supply, environmental protection and local economic development. One area where the Nordics offer a particularly developed model is waste-heat reuse. District heating networks are widespread across northern Europe, creating opportunities to recover thermal energy from data centers and distribute it to homes, businesses and other facilities. The approach has a long history in the region, including the Danish and Swedish projects explored by Rich Miller in Data Center Frontier’s earlier coverage of using server heat to warm nearby homes. In Espoo, Finland, atNorth has begun supplying recovered heat from its FIN02 data center to a neighboring retail property operated by Kesko. The system became operational in November 2025, providing a tangible example of data center thermal energy being put to productive use. In Helsinki, AI infrastructure developer OnZero has reached an agreement with municipal energy company Helen to connect a planned AI data center to the district heating network. The project is designed to supply as much as 525,000 MWh of recovered heat annually once operational, with service targeted for 2027. Denmark offers another variation on the approach. atNorth and Selected Group are advancing a project in Ølgod that would use surplus heat from atNorth’s DEN02 campus to support greenhouse food production. In October, Selected Group reported approval of the local development plan. The first phase involves two 10-hectare greenhouses, with the initial

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AI datacenter capex will far exceed forecast revenue through 2030

Investors are pouring more into AI data center infrastructure than they can hope to recoup by 2030, according to Gartner. “Enterprise and consumer AI revenue will be insufficient to support profitable returns on all planned AI capital expenditures during this period,” said Gartner Senior Director Analyst Will Sommer. AI data center owners would need to generate $8.5 trillion in revenue through 2030 to cover announced capital spending, financing costs and expected investment returns, he said. “However, total enterprise and consumer AI revenue that can be attributed to AI data centers during this period is forecast to reach no more than $3.6 trillion.”

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OCP 2026: AI Infrastructure Moves From Scaling to Coordination

Google: Using AI to Engineer the AI Factory Google Vice President and Engineering Fellow Parthasarathy Ranganathan closed the keynote program by extending the discussion beyond infrastructure designed for AI toward infrastructure increasingly designed and operated with AI. The distinction was central to his presentation. For several years, hyperscalers have pursued progressively more sophisticated custom systems to meet the demands of artificial intelligence. Google’s own approach has included TPUs, custom CPUs, optical networking, power distribution, liquid cooling, and extensive hardware-software co-design. But Ranganathan argued that the next opportunity involves applying AI directly to the processes of systems engineering. Google has already been pursuing the concept of agile and fungible data centers, capable of accommodating changing generations of computing hardware without requiring fundamental redesigns of every supporting system. Its OCP contributions include Project Deschutes, an open cooling distribution unit architecture; Project Brazos, intended to bring liquid cooling capabilities into existing air-cooled facilities; and power distribution specifications supporting higher-voltage DC architectures. Ranganathan also highlighted collaborative work involving Google, Meta, Microsoft, and NVIDIA on specifications intended to improve coordination between AI data centers and utility systems. Those efforts address the physical infrastructure required to support AI. The next stage, he suggested, is to apply AI to the engineering processes themselves. Google is exploring AI-assisted hardware architecture, automated software vulnerability detection and repair, data center climate modeling, and infrastructure capacity planning. Among the examples Ranganathan discussed were agentic systems capable of evaluating computer architecture choices and accelerating engineering workflows, alongside AI-assisted tools for software maintenance and operational optimization. In data center design, the company is applying AI and climate modeling to decisions involving cooling capacity, extreme weather risk, and long-term infrastructure investment. The approach could enable more site-specific designs, reducing the need to rely on broad assumptions about operating conditions throughout a facility’s useful life.

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OPC Global Summit: News spans AI-optimized hardware, cooling equipment

Arm announces methodology for evaluating CPU performance Arm released a white paper, developed with partners, that proposes a use-case-driven methodology for measuring the CPU’s contribution to agentic AI systems. It defines five representative workload types—software engineering, enterprise operations, financial and scientific research, personal assistants, and robotics—and pairs component-level benchmarking with end-to-end task measurement built on re-playable agent trajectories. Arm also highlighted independent testing by Signal65 that found its AGI CPU could deliver up to twice the rack-level performance of AMD’s Epyc Turin generation server processors across select agentic AI workloads. The comparison emphasizes completed work under rack-level constraints rather than conventional CPU benchmarks alone. In the testing, an Arm AGI CPU averaged 1.7x better performance for tooling, 2.0x for agentic workflows and orchestration, and 2.2x for reasoning and planning in modeled per-rack performance versus an AMD Epyc Turin processor. Arm’s AGI CPU reduces sandbox creation latency by up to 45% versus AMD Epyc 9965, helping agents spin up isolated execution environments faster, according to Arm. Kioxia introduces SSDs for AI Kioxia unveiled its LD4 Series enterprise solid-state drives (SSD), designed to increase flash storage density in hyperscale data centers and high density 1U servers. The drives target read-intensive workloads, including data storage applications supporting artificial intelligence infrastructure.

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Virginia’s New Data Center Bargain: Power, Permits and the Right to Build

What Took Effect—and What Still Requires Legislation Spanberger laid out the administration’s rationale in announcing the framework: “In the years before I took office, data centers came to Virginia and the Commonwealth did not have a clear or coordinated plan to address their impacts on Virginians — on their electric bills, their water, their land, their air, or their quality of life. That changes today. I have said many times that Virginia should be leading the nation in setting the highest standards for this industry. And now, I believe we are doing just that.” The distinction between what Virginia has already implemented and what the administration intends to pursue is consequential. Executive Order 22 establishes immediate directives for state agencies, while significant portions of the broader Data Center Accountability Framework remain proposals for the 2027 General Assembly or future regulatory action. Among the immediate changes, executive-branch agencies are prohibited from entering into or enforcing new nondisclosure agreements that conceal material information about proposed commercial data centers, public incentives, resource demands or community impacts. Existing contractual commitments are preserved, with limited exceptions contemplated for extraordinary circumstances, including national security. The prohibition does not yet extend automatically to local governments. The order also excludes new data center projects with anticipated peak electrical demand of 25 MW or greater from the Virginia Business Ready Sites Program and similar discretionary state site-readiness and expedited-review assistance. A separate, potentially more consequential proposal would eliminate by-right development approval for data centers using more than 25 MW, requiring local approval even for projects with prior authorizations. That provision has not been enacted statewide and could introduce significant legal questions concerning established development rights. The administration is also accelerating environmental oversight. Within 120 days of the order, the Office of the Chief Energy Officer must publish an initial

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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