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USA Upstream M&A Regains Momentum

In a statement sent to Rigzone by the Enverus team recently, Enverus subsidiary Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR) said U.S. upstream M&A “regained momentum” in the fourth quarter of 2025. “After a midyear slowdown, U.S. upstream M&A regained momentum in 4Q25, closing with $23.5 billion in announced deals and pushing full-year 2025 activity to $65 billion,” […]

In a statement sent to Rigzone by the Enverus team recently, Enverus subsidiary Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR) said U.S. upstream M&A “regained momentum” in the fourth quarter of 2025.

“After a midyear slowdown, U.S. upstream M&A regained momentum in 4Q25, closing with $23.5 billion in announced deals and pushing full-year 2025 activity to $65 billion,” EIR said in the statement.

“The rebound reflects a deeper bench of motivated buyers including refunded private equity teams, increased use of securitized financing, and new international entrants all competing for scarce assets,” it added.

A table included in the statement highlighted that the top five U.S. upstream deals of the fourth quarter comprised a deal between SM Energy and Civitas Resources for $7.691 billion, a deal between Harbour Energy and LLOG Holdings for $3.200 billion, a deal between Antero Resources and HG Energy II for $2.8 billion, a deal between an “undisclosed buyer” and Baytex Energy for $2.305 billion, and a deal between JERA and GEP Haynesville/Williams for $1.5 billion.

“In the closing months of 2025 it looks like the market found its edge again even with fewer headline-making mega-mergers as it reached a faster pace of acquisitions and divestments,” Andrew Dittmar, principal analyst at EIR, said in the statement.

“Fresh capital is back in the field, and the buyer mix has broadened in a way that keeps pricing firm. Reloaded private equity is hunting, ABS-backed groups are bidding aggressively for cash-flowing production, and international companies are no longer limiting their U.S. interest to the most obvious gas trades,” he added.

“That combination helped deal activity finish the year in strong form and sets up an active 2026,” Dittmar continued.

In the statement, EIR highlighted that international buyers accounted for roughly $6 billion of 4Q25 acquisitions, “underscoring a continued willingness to pay for exposure to U.S. commodities”.

“Last year international capital reached a seven-year high for acquisitions of U.S. upstream assets. Besides the obvious Haynesville deals, buyers chased Gulf of Mexico and DJ Basin assets,” EIR noted in the statement.

“International buying in U.S. upstream markets soared to a seven year high of $7.4 billion in 2025, only to be topped in the first month of 2026 as Mitsubishi made a blockbuster $7.5 billion purchase of Aethon Energy,” it added.

“That deal returned attention to the core Haynesville focus region as international buyers continue to prioritize Gulf Coast gas,” it said.

“With opportunities in the Haynesville becoming sparse, EIR expects buyers to look at other options including Eagle Ford and Anadarko Basin options for gas exposure,” EIR continued.

“At the same time, buyers deploying asset-backed securitization (ABS) have become increasingly influential, particularly in transactions centered on production-heavy assets with second-tier inventory, adding competition in segments that historically traded at wider discounts,” EIR went on to state.

In the statement, the company said deal flow in 4Q25 highlighted stronger activity outside the Permian’s premium corridors.

“Gulf Coast gas pricing continued to climb on intensifying demand, while Appalachia remained steady with public buyers prioritizing adjacency and operational fit,” EIR noted.

“By contrast, Permian-only transactions were a minor portion of 4Q25 value reflecting the scarcity of top-tier packages coming to market and limited willingness among Permian pure-play E&Ps to exit,” it added.

“The few remaining private operators holding high-quality Permian assets are likely waiting for a more constructive crude price environment in order to receive top dollar. Given the challenge of buying back in, they may view current holdings as the last chance to make a big splash on a Permian sale,” it highlighted.

“The biggest fourth quarter bet on the Permian came from SM Energy’s corporate merger with Civitas Resources, a multi-basin deal that also included significant holdings in the DJ Basin,” it pointed out.

EIR went on to state in its report that its analysis continues to show A&D or asset markets ascribing more value to inventory than public equities.

“This creates a strategic tension for public E&Ps: divestitures can crystallize value that equity markets do not fully recognize, but selling too much inventory raises concerns about duration,” EIR said.

“The result is a cautious posture from public companies that may favor matching non-core sales with acquisition opportunities in core focus regions that build operational synergies,” it added.

EIR said statement that there were “a couple [of] noteworthy public E&P mergers in 2025 with the tie-ups of Crescent Energy with Vital Energy and the fourth quarter merger of SM Energy and Civitas Resources”.

“These deals represent smaller public E&Ps like Civitas and Vital with challenging strategic options moving forward deciding to exit,” EIR noted.

“However, the yardstick for markets approving of these types of deals is high with operational synergies expected. The lack of attractive strategic combinations has likely put a damper on further consolidation. But more multi-basin tie-ups always remain a possibility,” it said.

Dittmar went on to note in the statement that “public equity investors are demanding precision in deals”.

“In 2025 investors rewarded deals that were clearly additive with overlapping operations, credible cost synergies, and durable inventory quality but penalized transactions that looked like scale for scale’s sake,” he added.

“At the same time, private market clearing prices for inventory have stayed resilient, which is why we’re seeing a wider gap between what assets can fetch in M&A and how similar inventory is valued in equities,” he said.

“That gap is likely to keep non-core divestitures on the table in 2026 with the Anadarko Basin, Williston Basin and Utica likely focus regions,” he continued.

EIR went on to note in its statement that, as 2026 begins, it expects upstream M&A to remain active, “led by A&D and supported by fresh private capital, ABS-backed buyers and sustained international interest”.

“With fewer top-tier Permian packages transacting, the market’s center of gravity should continue to broaden toward gas-weighted plays and non-core regional opportunities,” EIR said.

“The key themes to watch are the durability of the equity-versus-M&A valuation gap, the pace of public-company divestitures, and continued consolidation in Canada,” it added.

Dittmar went on to highlight in the statement that “the biggest questions headed into 2026 will be around commodity prices and the strategic direction taken by public companies”.

“Price stability should keep markets rolling while an influx of volatility from multiple geopolitical risk factors could derail markets. We know private capital is ready to buy, the question is whether public E&Ps are ready to sell,” he added.

In a market update sent to Rigzone by the Rystad Energy team recently, Rystad noted that global upstream M&A activity is expected to be lower in 2026 than in 2025.

Rystad highlighted in that update that, according to its analysis, “nearly $152 billion worth of opportunities [are] on the market as of January this year”. The company added that “timing and execution will determine whether several mega deals will go through, with numerous high value assets still on the market waiting for the right buyers”.

According to a chart included in the Rystad update, which showed annual upstream M&A activity by continent and deal count, global upstream M&A deal value came in at $170 billion in 2025, $204 billion in 2024, $255 billion in 2023, $152 billion in 2022, $184 billion in 2021, $103 billion in 2020, and $154 billion in 2019.

This chart highlighted that it excluded “government mandated deals and production sharing contract awards/expiry”.

Rystad noted in its update that global upstream M&A activity “dipped 17 percent year on year to approximately $170 billion in 2025, with deal count decreasing 12 percent to 466”.

“Consolidation within North American shale plays, LNG investments across U.S. and Argentina, and majors’ spinning off assets in Asia and the UK to form new regional joint ventures emerged as key themes last year,” Rystad said in the update.

In a statement sent to Rigzone back in October 2025, EIR noted that, “after a hot start to the year”, U.S. upstream mergers and acquisitions “slid into a slump in the third quarter, with deal value dropping to $9.7 billion, marking the third straight quarterly decline”.

“Persistently low crude prices have kept many buyers on the bench, particularly for oil-weighted private equity-backed oil and gas exits that fueled much of the activity in the recent past,” EIR said in that statement.

To contact the author, email [email protected]

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USA Upstream M&A Regains Momentum

In a statement sent to Rigzone by the Enverus team recently, Enverus subsidiary Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR) said U.S. upstream M&A “regained momentum” in the fourth quarter of 2025. “After a midyear slowdown, U.S. upstream M&A regained momentum in 4Q25, closing with $23.5 billion in announced deals and pushing full-year 2025 activity to $65 billion,” EIR said in the statement. “The rebound reflects a deeper bench of motivated buyers including refunded private equity teams, increased use of securitized financing, and new international entrants all competing for scarce assets,” it added. A table included in the statement highlighted that the top five U.S. upstream deals of the fourth quarter comprised a deal between SM Energy and Civitas Resources for $7.691 billion, a deal between Harbour Energy and LLOG Holdings for $3.200 billion, a deal between Antero Resources and HG Energy II for $2.8 billion, a deal between an “undisclosed buyer” and Baytex Energy for $2.305 billion, and a deal between JERA and GEP Haynesville/Williams for $1.5 billion. “In the closing months of 2025 it looks like the market found its edge again even with fewer headline-making mega-mergers as it reached a faster pace of acquisitions and divestments,” Andrew Dittmar, principal analyst at EIR, said in the statement. “Fresh capital is back in the field, and the buyer mix has broadened in a way that keeps pricing firm. Reloaded private equity is hunting, ABS-backed groups are bidding aggressively for cash-flowing production, and international companies are no longer limiting their U.S. interest to the most obvious gas trades,” he added. “That combination helped deal activity finish the year in strong form and sets up an active 2026,” Dittmar continued. In the statement, EIR highlighted that international buyers accounted for roughly $6 billion of 4Q25 acquisitions, “underscoring a continued willingness to pay for exposure

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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