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What Keeps Data Centers and Their Utility Partners Up at Night: The Power Problem

AI has the potential to revolutionize how we manage the grid, marking a transformative shift in how utilities optimize operations, enhance reliability, and meet evolving consumer demands. Through the deployment of AI-driven algorithms and predictive analytics, utilities can anticipate grid dynamics, optimize energy flows, and proactively address challenges in real time. The integration of AI […]

AI has the potential to revolutionize how we manage the grid, marking a transformative shift in how utilities optimize operations, enhance reliability, and meet evolving consumer demands. Through the deployment of AI-driven algorithms and predictive analytics, utilities can anticipate grid dynamics, optimize energy flows, and proactively address challenges in real time. The integration of AI with cloud infrastructure further enhances efficiency and performance, enabling utilities to leverage vast amounts of data from diverse sources, including weather data, edge data, and advanced metering systems (AMS). 

By leveraging machine learning and analytics to merge and assess data streams and sensored information, utilities can unlock new levels of efficiency and performance. The challenges of our power needs are so complex that a system will be best utilized to process the various permutations and uncertainties; this will need to be a highly sophisticated predictive tool, but if properly developed it can enhance grid equipment lifespans, apply data-driven decision making, identify issues quickly, and reduce unplanned downtime. 

Utilities are increasingly recognizing the importance of leveraging AI to gain intimate insights into their customers’ energy needs and behaviors, allowing them to prepare for future power demands effectively. From improving customer experiences through innovative applications to reimagining day-to-day operations with self-healing grid technology, utilities are embracing AI to drive digital transformation and move beyond their traditional roles. This data-driven approach not only optimizes grid performance but also enhances customer experiences and drives digital transformation within the industry.

Strategic Grid Planning for Looming Demand

Part of the planning that worries them most is not just how to supply power to more data centers. At least data centers clue our local utilities in on our upcoming needs. Electric vehicles are altogether unpredictable, except for areas that have seen regulatory timelines enforced. They also tend to flock together, with charging stations handling many at a time. More than just consumer use, they have potential fleets being converted in bulk.

The proliferation of electric vehicles as well as data centers presents both challenges and opportunities for grid planners. Word on the street is that electrification of the transportation market will double energy usage in 10 years and lead to an 800% increase over the next 20 years. That’s the load that has them most worried, and calculating how many electric vehicles they can handle. They need to get uncomfortably close to what consumers and businesses are going to want in the future to predict and plan for this demand. 

Strategic grid planning is essential to accommodate the surge in electricity demand while ensuring reliability and stability. Utilities are exploring innovative solutions such as smart charging infrastructure, vehicle-to-grid integration, and energy storage to manage peak demand and optimize resource utilization. With the exponential growth of EVs and data centers, grid planning has never been more critical. We must invest in scalable and resilient infrastructure to support this electrified future.

Embracing the Grid Edge and Prosumer Movement

The emergence of the prosumer movement and the evolution of the grid edge are reshaping the traditional utility-consumer relationship, transforming consumers from passive recipients to active participants in the energy transition. This shift is driven by the proliferation of rooftop solar, home energy storage, and distributed energy resources (DERs), highlighting the importance of grid-edge innovations and community energy initiatives.

Consumers are no longer merely consumers; they are prosumers actively shaping the energy landscape. Utilities must adapt to this transformation and empower consumers to become active stakeholders in the energy transition. At the grid edge, where consumers interact directly with energy systems, better data quality, validity, and granularity are achieved, leading to low latency, high reliability, and scalability. This proximity to data sources enables predictive infrastructure and empowers citizens to be part of the solution.

The path to edge intelligence involves various components, including metrology for energy, demand, and power quality, as well as anomaly detection for outage, temperature, loose neutral, and tampering. Despite existing limitations in edge technology, such as firmware-driven systems and communication bottlenecks, rapid advancements in hardware, communication protocols, and software are driving progress. Software deployed at the edge is customizable, agile, and driven by an application mindset, leveraging more advanced algorithms, especially in machine learning.

Overcoming challenges at the edge requires leveraging technologies that enable robust networks capable of making informed decisions and identifying various devices, such as EVs, solar panels, batteries, and pump controls. This necessitates funneling and utilizing data effectively to empower consumers to make informed energy decisions and optimize energy usage. Despite the complexities introduced by IP addresses and evolving technologies, the focus remains on enabling consumers to actively participate in the energy transition while ensuring the reliability and scalability of grid-edge solutions. 

Renewable Energy Integration

Renewable energy integration is driving a significant transformation in the energy landscape, with solar and wind power playing increasingly prominent roles in the generation mix. Utilities are investing in renewable energy infrastructure, grid-scale energy storage, and innovative grid-edge technologies to maximize the potential of renewables and reduce carbon emissions.

With sustainability at the forefront of efforts, integrating renewable energy sources into the grid and leveraging advanced technologies are seen as crucial steps toward achieving environmental goals while ensuring reliability and affordability for customers. Last year, 84% of new installed capacity was renewables and storage, marking a substantial shift in the generation mix. Demand response, accounting for 60% of capacity, is becoming increasingly significant.

Orchestrating the energy transition requires flexible resources and demand-side capabilities, with virtual power plants (VPPs) emerging as cost-effective solutions. However, managing the transition poses challenges, particularly in forecasting net load, VPP capabilities, and battery capacity at scale. Artificial intelligence and machine learning are key applications that can help the industry navigate these transitions and keep moving forward.

Some companies are exploring off-grid solutions due to frustrations with traditional electricity networks. Off-grid technology, once frowned upon, is now considered a necessity for certain operations. Companies like Microsoft and Google are exploring options such as small nuclear plants and zero-emissions fusion power to power energy-intensive operations, although regulatory and land acquisition challenges remain significant hurdles in this endeavor.

Fostering Innovation and Scalability

In the midst of rapid change, utilities are recognizing the critical importance of innovation and scalability in navigating the evolving energy landscape. By fostering a culture of innovation, establishing strategic partnerships, and prioritizing scalability, utilities can unlock new opportunities for success and drive significant progress towards a smarter, more resilient grid.

To meet the challenges of tomorrow, it is essential to invest in cutting-edge technologies and scalable solutions. This proactive approach enables utilities to pioneer the power grid of the future while delivering tangible value to customers and communities alike.

As electrification continues to grow rapidly and new technologies emerge, such as nuclear energy, utilities are embracing innovative projects to enhance reliability and resiliency. For instance, there are some pretty cool utility-driven projects in my local area I’ve been following: Duke Energy’s floating solar project in South Florida and residential battery installations in neighborhoods like Hunter’s Creek exemplify the shift towards cleaner, more resilient energy solutions. Additionally, initiatives like the 100% green hydrogen project in DeBary, FL highlight the ongoing efforts to integrate renewable energy sources and drive sustainability forward.

Not Your Grandparents’ Power Grid

The pulse of energy shapes our present and affords our future. The job to be done itself has not changed over time: people need light and power. What has changed is the complexities that utility providers must navigate in the modern energy landscape: the convergence of AI, EV integration, grid-edge innovations, renewables, and scalable solutions are reshaping the trajectory of the power grid. By embracing these key themes and driving meaningful progress in each area, utilities can unlock new opportunities for growth, sustainability, and resilience, propelling the power grid into a new era of innovation and prosperity. 

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Cisco extends Nexus 9000 support to Intel Gaudi 3 AI accelerators

Partnerships, validated designs strengthen Cisco offerings Cisco’s AI offerings also include Nvidia technologies, such as Spectrum-X-based switches that are part of Cisco Secure AI Factory with Nvidia.  Cisco also works with AMD and its Instinct AI GPUs for networking and compute stack in large AI clusters. In addition, Cisco integrates

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F5 tackles AI security with new platform extensions

F5 AI Guardrails deploys as a proxy between users and AI models. Wormke describes it as being inserted as a proxy layer at the “front door” of AI interaction, between AI applications, users and agents. It intercepts prompts before they reach the model and analyzes outputs before they return to

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USGS notes ‘significant’ undiscovered resources in Woodford, Barnett shales in Permian basin

The Woodford and Barnett shales in the Permian basin contain technically recoverable resources of 28.3 tcf of gas and 1.6 billion bbl of oil in New Mexico and Texas, according to the US Geological Survey (USGS). The gas volumes are enough to supply the United States for 10 months at the current rate of consumption, while the oil volumes account for 10 weeks’ supply for the nation, the USGS said in its Jan. 14 assessment release of undiscovered gas and oil in the Woodford and Barnett shales in the Permian basin. Since production began in the late 1990s, the Woodford and Barnett shales have produced 26 million bbl of oil, equal to one day’s US consumption, USGS said.   The shales of the Woodford and Barnett occur up to 20,000 ft below the surface, at greater depths than other resources in the Permian, USGS said in the release, noting “advances in unconventional production – hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling – now make it possible to produce energy resources from previously inaccessible and technically challenging formations, such as the Woodford and Barnett.”  “The US economy and our way of life depend on energy, and USGS oil and gas assessments point to resources that industry hasn’t discovered yet.  In this case, we have assessed there are significant undiscovered resources in the Woodford and Barnett shales in the Permian Basin,” said Ned Mamula, USGS director.

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Glenfarne’s Texas LNG project fully subscribed, moves focus to financing, FID

Texas LNG Brownsville LLC, part of Glenfarne Group LLC, has signed a definitive 20-year agreement with RWE Supply & Trading for the supply of 1 million tonnes/year (tpy) of LNG from the 4-million tpy Texas LNG export plant to be constructed in the Port of Brownsville, Tex. Deliveries can be shipped by RWE to locations in Europe and worldwide, with expected commissioning commencement in 2030. Glenfarne has now finalized conversion of all of Texas LNG’s previously noted Heads of Agreements to fully binding long-term definitive offtake agreements. “With the completion of offtake negotiations, Glenfarne is now focusing on finalizing the financing process as we advance toward a final investment decision in early 2026,” said Vlad Bluzer, partner at Glenfarne, and co-president Texas LNG. Texas LNG features the use of electric drive motors for LNG production, reducing emissions. The RWE agreement provides a framework to monitor, report, and verify greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) from the well head to LNG loading to document how LNG cargoes produced from the Texas LNG terminal support the reduction of GHG emissions across the LNG value chain. Kiewit is leading the engineering, procurement, and construction of Texas LNG under a lump-sum turnkey structure. The agreement with Texas LNG is RWE’s second long-term supply contract for LNG from the US. In 2022, RWE and Sempra Infrastructure signed a 15-year  supply contract for about 2.25 million tpy of LNG. 

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Beacon begins oil, gas production from Zephyrus field in US Gulf

Beacon Offshore Energy LLC, Houston, has started oil and natural gas production from Zephyrus field in the Gulf of Mexico. Initial well production began in late December 2025. The Miocene aged development lies in Mississippi Canyon Block 759, about 130 miles southeast of New Orleans, La., in water depths of 3,100-3,600 ft. The Zephyrus discovery well (Zephyrus #1) was drilled by Beacon in 2023, encountering high quality oil in the Middle Miocene Cris “I” aged M2 sand (M2), the company noted in its Jan. 16 release. Beacon and partners worked with Shell Offshore Inc. to connect Zephyrus field to the existing Shell-operated West Boreas subsea infrastructure for further processing on the Shell-operated Olympus tension-leg production platform in the Mars Corridor. The infrastructure-led development resulted in reduced emissions, lower development costs, and shortened time to first oil, Beacon said, and was further made possible by incorporating a High Integrity Pressure Protection System into the 9-mi. Zephyrus subsea infrastructure. Beacon drilled a second well in Zephyrus field (Zephyrus #2) reaching total measured depth of 26,270 ft. The well encountered 116 net ft of pay including in the M2 sand currently producing in the Zephyrus #1 well and two additional high quality Miocene sands in the M0 and UM1. Beacon is currently conducting completion operations and expects to begin production from Zephyrus #2 by the end of this year’s first quarter. Beacon is operator of the Zephyrus development. Partners are Houston Energy, HEQ II, Red Willow Offshore, Westlawn Americas Offshore, and Murphy Exploration & Production.

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Vaalco Energy confirms productive reservoirs in Gabon’s Etame field

Vaalco Energy Inc. confirmed a productive reservoir system in Etame field offshore Gabon. The phase three drilling program started in fourth-quarter 2025 with the drilling of two pilot wells. The first well, ET-15P, was drilled to a total depth of 2,397 m in the western Etame-1V fault block, targeting the Gamba and encountered high-quality reservoir sands consistent with pre-drill projections. Pressure data confirmed strong communication with nearby producing wells, supporting the presence of a connected and productive reservoir system with initial estimates of 2.4–3.2 million bbl of oil in place. Additionally, the well successfully evaluated the deeper Dentale formation, where good-quality, oil-bearing sands were encountered confirming the continuity of the original oil-water contact across this part of the field and further strengthening the development potential of the Etame asset. The second pilot well, ET-15P-ST1, was drilled to a depth of 2,175 m on the western side of the main Etame fault block, also targeting the Gamba, and encountered multiple high-quality sand intervals, delivering about 9 m of net reservoir and 4 m of net pay across two sand lobes. Detailed analysis and volumetric assessment are underway to determine future commercial viability. Vaalco is currently drilling the ET-15P, a horizontal production sidetrack, confirmed by the first pilot hole, which the company expects to have on production later in the first quarter. The drilling program in Gabon includes drilling multiple development wells, appraisal or exploration wells, and workovers, with options to drill additional wells. Wells will be drilled at both Etame and Seent platforms, as well as a re-drill and a number of workovers in the Ebouri field to access production and reserves previously removed from proved reserves due to the presence of hydrogen sulfide. Vaalco is operator at the Etame Marin block (58.8%).

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Vår Energi confirms Zagato discovery in Barents Sea

Vår Energi ASA confirmed the Zagato oil discovery in production license (PL) 229 in the Goliat area of the Barents Sea, the Norwegian Offshore Directorate said in a Jan. 16 release. The licensees are considering a tieback of the discovery, which is preliminarily estimated to hold 3.3-11.9 million std cu m of recoverable oil (21-75 MMboe), to existing Goliat field infrastructure. Drilling details Appraisal well 7122/8-3 A, the 14th well drilled in the license, was drilled in 410 m of water by the COSLProspector rig to 2,285 m MD and 2,268 m TVD subsea. Drilling was terminated in the Kobbe formation in the Middle Triassic. The well’s objective was to delineate the 7122/8-3 S Zagato discovery in the formation. The discovery was proven in Lower Jurassic-Upper Triassic reservoir rocks in the Realgrunnen Subgroup and in Middle Triassic reservoir rocks in the Kobbe formation in 2025. The well encountered multiple oil columns totaling 63 m in the Kobbe formation in reservoir rocks comprising a total of 38 m with moderate to good reservoir quality. The total thickness in the Kobbe formation is 189 m. Oil-water contacts were encountered 2,098 m and 2,187 m subsea in respective upper and lower reservoir zones in the Kobbe formation. The oil-water contact was not encountered in the middle reservoir zone in the Kobbe formation. The well has been permanently plugged. Vår Energi is operator of PL 229 (65%) with partner Equinor Energy AS (35%).

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Chevron reaches FID to expand Leviathan production

Chevron Mediterranean Ltd. (CML), a subsidiary of Chevron Corp., has reached a final investment decision (FID) to expand production capacity of the Leviathan production platform 10 km offshore Dor, Israel. Stage 1 of the Eastern Mediterranean includes drilling three offshore wells, adding subsea infrastructure, and enhancing treatment infrastructure on the platform to increase total natural gas delivery to about 21 billion cu m/year (bcmy) from the Leviathan reservoir. Leviathan typically produces about 12 bcmy. There is potential for additonal expansion, said partner NewMed Energy LP in a separate release. Stage 2 would expand total gas production capacity to about 23 bcmy by laying a fourth pipeline between the field and the platform and installing additional subsea systems, the company said. FID for Stage 2 is expected in the coming years, it said. The total budget for Leviathan is about $2.36 billion. First gas from the expansion project is expacted in second-half 2029. The Leviathan reservoir lies within the I/14 Leviathan South and I/15 Leviathan North leases and contains estimated 2P reserves of about 22.4 tcf. Chevron Mediterranean is operator (39.66%) with partners NewMed Energy (45.34%) and Ratio Energies (15%).

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CleanArc’s Virginia Hyperscale Bet Meets the Era of Pay-Your-Way Power

What CleanArc’s Project Really Signals About Scaling in Virginia The more important story is what the project signals about how developers believe they can still scale in Virginia at hyperscale magnitude. To wit: 1) The campus is sized like a grid project, not a real estate project At 900 MW, CleanArc is not simply building a few facilities. It is effectively planning a utility-interface program that will require staged substation, transmission, and interconnection work over many years. The company describes the campus as a “flagship” designed for scalable demand and sustainability-focused procurement. Power delivery is planned in three 300 MW phases: the first targeted for 2027, the second for 2030, and the final block sometime between 2033 and 2035. That scale changes what “site selection” really means. For projects of this magnitude, the differentiator is no longer “Can we entitle buildings?” but “Can we secure a credible path for large power blocks, with predictable commercial terms, while regulators are rewriting the rules?” 2) It’s being marketed as sustainability-forward in a market that increasingly requires it CleanArc frames the campus as aligned with sustainability-focused infrastructure: a posture that is no longer optional for hyperscale procurement teams. That does not mean the grid power itself is automatically carbon-free. It means the campus is being positioned to support the modern contracting stack, involving renewables, clean-energy attributes, and related structures, while still delivering what hyperscalers buy first: capacity, reliability, and delivery certainty. 3) The timing is strategic as Virginia tightens around very large load CleanArc is launching its flagship in the nation’s premier data center corridor at the same moment Virginia has moved to formalize a large-customer category that explicitly includes data centers. The implication is not that Virginia has become anti-data center. It is that the state is entering a phase where it

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xAI’s AI Factories: From Colossus to MACROHARDRR in the Gigawatt Era

Colossus: The Prototype For much of the past year, xAI’s infrastructure story did not unfold across a portfolio of sites. It unfolded inside a single building in Memphis, where the company first tested what an “AI factory” actually looks like in physical form. That building had a name that matched the ambition: Colossus. The Memphis-area facility, carved out of a vacant Electrolux factory, became shorthand for a new kind of AI build: fast, dense, liquid-cooled, and powered on a schedule that often ran ahead of the grid. It was an “AI factory” in the literal sense: not a cathedral of architecture, but a machine for turning electricity into tokens. Colossus began as an exercise in speed. xAI took over a dormant industrial building in Southwest Memphis and turned it into an AI training plant in months, not years. The company has said the first major system was built in about 122 days, and then doubled in roughly 92 more, reaching around 200,000 GPUs. Those numbers matter less for their bravado than for what they reveal about method. Colossus was never meant to be bespoke. It was meant to be repeatable. High-density GPU servers, liquid cooling at the rack, integrated CDUs, and large-scale Ethernet networking formed a standardized building block. The rack, not the room, became the unit of design. Liquid cooling was not treated as a novelty. It was treated as a prerequisite. By pushing heat removal down to the rack, xAI avoided having to reinvent the data hall every time density rose. The building became a container; the rack became the machine. That design logic, e.g. industrial shell plus standardized AI rack, has quietly become the template for everything that followed. Power: Where Speed Met Reality What slowed the story was not compute, cooling, or networking. It was power.

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Sustainable Data Centers in the Age of AI: Page Haun, Chief Marketing and ESG Strategy Officer, Cologix

Artificial intelligence has turned the data center industry into a front-page story, often for the wrong reasons. The narrative usually starts with megawatts, ends with headlines about grid strain, and rarely pauses to explain what operators are actually doing about it. On the latest episode of The Data Center Frontier Show, Page Haun, Chief Marketing and ESG Strategy Officer at Cologix, laid out a more grounded reality: the AI era is forcing sustainability from a side initiative into a core design principle. Not because it sounds good, but because it has to work. From fuel cells in Ohio to closed-loop water systems that dramatically outperform industry norms, Cologix’s approach offers a case study in what “responsible growth” looks like when rack densities climb, power timelines stretch, and communities demand more than promises. The AI-Era Sustainability Baseline AI is changing the math. Power demand is rising faster than grid infrastructure can move. Communities are paying closer attention. Regulators are asking sharper questions. And the industry is discovering that speed without credibility creates friction. Haun described the current moment as a “perfect storm” where grid constraints, community concerns, and regulatory scrutiny all converge around AI-driven growth. But she also pushed back on the idea that the industry is ignoring the problem. Data center operators, utilities, and governments are already working together in ways that didn’t exist a decade ago by sharing load forecasts, coordinating long-lead infrastructure investments, and aligning power planning with customer roadmaps. One of the industry’s biggest gaps, she argued, isn’t engineering; it’s communication. Data centers still struggle to explain their role in the digital economy: education platforms, healthcare systems, streaming media, gaming, and now AI tools that enterprises are rapidly embedding into daily operations. Without that context, power usage becomes the whole story, yet it’s only part of the

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Meta Builds a Nuclear Supply Chain for the AI Era

Meta’s power announcements in January aren’t a simple case of “Meta goes nuclear.” They are better understood as Meta assembling a nuclear supply chain, using three different deal structures to target three different bottlenecks: near-term firm power, medium-term life extension and uprates at existing plants, and longer-term new-build advanced reactors. Meta says the combined package could support up to 6.6 gigawatts (GW) of new and existing clean power by 2035, building on its earlier nuclear offtake agreement with Constellation Energy and folding these moves into its broader push to scale AI and data center infrastructure. Part 1: A 20-Year Offtake Tied to Operating Reactors (Vistra) Meta’s agreement with Vistra isn’t a flashy “new reactor” announcement. It is something more important for the next decade of AI-era power: a long-duration financial commitment designed to keep existing nuclear plants running, push more megawatts (MW) out of them, and justify another round of 20-year license extensions. This is happening inside the tightest, most politically contentious power market in the U.S. right now: PJM, the Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection, currently the largest Regional Transmission Organization in the country. The agreed-upon number is a big one: 20-year power purchase agreements covering more than 2,600 megawatts of zero-carbon nuclear energy tied to three Vistra plants: Perry (Ohio), Davis-Besse (Ohio), and Beaver Valley (Pennsylvania). A meaningful share of that commitment is expected to come from uprates, or capacity increases, rather than simply reallocating existing output. The implication is straightforward. By making this commitment, nuclear power moves from at-risk legacy baseload into foundational power for AI-era infrastructure. Meta is effectively acting as a long-term anchor tenant, similar to how hyperscalers once treated early renewables to catalyze that market; but adapted to a reality where wind and solar alone cannot support 24/7 load growth. This is the fastest path to

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Designing the AI Factory: Cadence’s Sherman Ikemoto on Digital Twins, Power Reality, and the End of Guesswork

The AI data center is no longer just a building full of racks. It is a system: dense, interdependent, and increasingly unforgiving of bad assumptions. That reality sits at the center of the latest episode of The Data Center Frontier Show, where DCF Editor-in-Chief Matt Vincent sits down with Sherman Ikemoto, Senior Director of Product Management at Cadence, to talk about what it now takes to design an “AI factory” that actually works. The conversation ranges from digital twins and GPU-dense power modeling to billion-cycle power analysis and the long-running Cadence–NVIDIA collaboration. But the through-line is simple: the industry is outgrowing rules of thumb. As Ikemoto puts it, data center design has always been a distributed process. Servers are designed by one set of suppliers, cooling by another, power by another. Only at the end does the operator attempt to integrate those parts into a working system. That final integration phase, he argues, has long been underserved by design tools. The risk shows up later, as downtime, cost overruns, or performance shortfalls. Cadence’s answer is a new class of digital infrastructure: what it calls “DC elements,” validated building blocks that let operators assemble and simulate an AI factory before they ever pour concrete. The DGX SuperPOD as a Digital Building Block One of the most significant recent additions is a full behavioral model of NVIDIA’s DGX SuperPOD built around GB200 systems. This is not just a geometry file or a thermal sketch. It is a behaviorally accurate digital representation of how that system consumes power, moves heat, and interacts with airflow and liquid cooling. In practice, that means an operator can drop a DGX SuperPOD element into a digital design and immediately see how it stresses the rest of the facility: power distribution, cooling loops, airflow patterns, and failure scenarios.

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What’s causing the memory shortage?

Something else that they agree on is that OEMs, at least for now, are absorbing the increasing price and not passing it on to customers. However, that’s subject to change if the prices keep going up. “To date, we’ve not heard various vendors talking about increasing prices, but we’ve not seen those price increases hit yet, because most of the systems that are shipped into the channel and that are selling right now were shipped before the dramatic price increases hit,” said Mainelli. “What’s likely to happen, from a market perspective, is we’ll see the market grow less in 26 than we had anticipated but ASPs are likely to stay or increase. So revenues overall may not look too bad, but from a unit volume that’s likely going to be impacted as prices go up,” he said. Finally, they agree that if the often-rumored AI bubble bursting actually happens and construction comes to a stop? If expansion stops, demand will stop and that will free up supply, argue the analysts. “If you decide that you’re going to spend before you have the demand [for AI], then you bet that there’s going to be a lot of AI demand, so you end up increasing your capex as a percent of revenue. And that’s what these guys are doing. If investors complain because it is going to impact what their return is to investors, then eventually they’ll take their foot off the gas, and then that will cause prices to the collapse,” said Handy. “We’ll be watching very closely to look at all the hyperscalers and others that are building and leveraging all this RAM connecting it to all these GPUs in the data center, to see if there’s any indication they might slow down. If they were to slow down, then

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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