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The Download: the mysteries surrounding weight-loss drugs, and the economic effects of AI

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. What we still don’t know about weight-loss drugs Weight-loss drugs have been back in the news this week. First, we heard that Eli Lilly, the company behind Mounjaro and Zepbound, became the first healthcare company in the world to achieve a trillion-dollar valuation.But we also learned that, disappointingly, GLP-1 drugs don’t seem to help people with Alzheimer’s disease. And that people who stop taking the drugs when they become pregnant can experience potentially dangerous levels of weight gain. On top of that, some researchers worry that people are using the drugs postpartum to lose pregnancy weight without understanding potential risks. All of this news should serve as a reminder that there’s a lot we still don’t know about these drugs. So let’s look at the enduring questions surrounding GLP-1 agonist drugs. —Jessica Hamzelou This article first appeared in The Checkup, MIT Technology Review’s weekly biotech newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Thursday, and read articles like this first, sign up here. If you’re interested in weight loss drugs and how they affect us, take a look at: + GLP-1 agonists like Wegovy, Ozempic, and Mounjaro might benefit heart and brain health—but research suggests they might also cause pregnancy complications and harm some users. Read the full story.+ We’ve never understood how hunger works. That might be about to change. Read the full story.+ Weight-loss injections have taken over the internet. But what does this mean for people IRL?+ This vibrating weight-loss pill seems to work—in pigs. Read the full story. What we know about how AI is affecting the economy There’s a lot at stake when it comes to understanding how AI is changing the economy right now. Should we be pessimistic? Optimistic? Or is the situation too nuanced for that?Hopefully, we can point you towards some answers. Mat Honan, our editor in chief, will hold a special subscriber-only Roundtables conversation with our editor at large David Rotman, and Richard Waters, Financial Times columnist, exploring what’s happening across different markets. Register here to join us at 1pm ET on Tuesday December 9. The event is part of the Financial Times and MIT Technology Review “The State of AI” partnership, exploring the global impact of artificial intelligence. Over the past month, we’ve been running discussions between our journalists—sign up here to receive future editions every Monday. The must-reads I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology. 1 Tech billionaires are gearing up to fight AI regulation By amassing multi-million dollar war chests ahead of the 2026 US midterm elections. (WSJ $)+ Donald Trump’s “Manhattan Project” for AI is certainly ambitious. (The Information $)2 The EU wants to hold social media platforms liable for financial scamsNew rules will force tech firms to compensate banks if they fail to remove reported scams. (Politico)3 China is worried about a humanoid robot bubbleBecause more than 150 companies there are building very similar machines. (Bloomberg $)+ It could learn some lessons from the current AI bubble. (CNN)+ Why the humanoid workforce is running late. (MIT Technology Review)4 A Myanmar scam compound was blown upBut its residents will simply find new bases for their operations. (NYT $)+ Experts suspect the destruction may have been for show. (Wired $)+ Inside a romance scam compound—and how people get tricked into being there. (MIT Technology Review) 5 Navies across the world are investing in submarine drones They cost a fraction of what it takes to run a traditional manned sub. (The Guardian)+ How underwater drones could shape a potential Taiwan-China conflict. (MIT Technology Review) 6 What to expect from China’s seemingly unstoppable innovation driveIts extremely permissive regulators play a big role. (Economist $)+ Is China about to win the AI race? (MIT Technology Review) 7 The UK is waging a war on VPNsGood luck trying to persuade people to stop using them. (The Verge) 8 We’re learning more about Jeff Bezos’ mysterious clock projectHe’s backed the Clock of the Long Now for years—and construction is amping up. (FT $)+ How aging clocks can help us understand why we age—and if we can reverse it. (MIT Technology Review) 9 Have we finally seen the first hints of dark matter?These researchers seem to think so. (New Scientist $)10 A helpful robot is helping archaeologists reconstruct PompeiiReassembling ancient frescos is fiddly and time-consuming, but less so if you’re a dextrous machine. (Reuters) Quote of the day “We do fail… a lot.” —Defense company Anduril explains its move-fast-and-break-things ethos to the Wall Street Journal in response to reports its systems have been marred by issues in Ukraine. One more thing How to build a better AI benchmark It’s not easy being one of Silicon Valley’s favorite benchmarks. SWE-Bench (pronounced “swee bench”) launched in November 2024 as a way to evaluate an AI model’s coding skill. It has since quickly become one of the most popular tests in AI. A SWE-Bench score has become a mainstay of major model releases from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google—and outside of foundation models, the fine-tuners at AI firms are in constant competition to see who can rise above the pack. Despite all the fervor, this isn’t exactly a truthful assessment of which model is “better.” Entrants have begun to game the system—which is pushing many others to wonder whether there’s a better way to actually measure AI achievement. Read the full story. —Russell Brandom We can still have nice things A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.) + Aww, these sharks appear to be playing with pool toys.+ Strange things are happening over on Easter Island (even weirder than you can imagine) 🗿+ Very cool—archaeologists have uncovered a Roman tomb that’s been sealed shut for 1,700 years.+ This Japanese mass media collage is making my eyes swim, in a good way.

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology.

What we still don’t know about weight-loss drugs

Weight-loss drugs have been back in the news this week. First, we heard that Eli Lilly, the company behind Mounjaro and Zepbound, became the first healthcare company in the world to achieve a trillion-dollar valuation.

But we also learned that, disappointingly, GLP-1 drugs don’t seem to help people with Alzheimer’s disease. And that people who stop taking the drugs when they become pregnant can experience potentially dangerous levels of weight gain. On top of that, some researchers worry that people are using the drugs postpartum to lose pregnancy weight without understanding potential risks.

All of this news should serve as a reminder that there’s a lot we still don’t know about these drugs. So let’s look at the enduring questions surrounding GLP-1 agonist drugs.

—Jessica Hamzelou

This article first appeared in The Checkup, MIT Technology Review’s weekly biotech newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Thursday, and read articles like this first, sign up here.

If you’re interested in weight loss drugs and how they affect us, take a look at:

+ GLP-1 agonists like Wegovy, Ozempic, and Mounjaro might benefit heart and brain health—but research suggests they might also cause pregnancy complications and harm some users. Read the full story.

+ We’ve never understood how hunger works. That might be about to change. Read the full story.

+ Weight-loss injections have taken over the internet. But what does this mean for people IRL?

+ This vibrating weight-loss pill seems to work—in pigs. Read the full story.

What we know about how AI is affecting the economy

There’s a lot at stake when it comes to understanding how AI is changing the economy right now. Should we be pessimistic? Optimistic? Or is the situation too nuanced for that?

Hopefully, we can point you towards some answers. Mat Honan, our editor in chief, will hold a special subscriber-only Roundtables conversation with our editor at large David Rotman, and Richard Waters, Financial Times columnist, exploring what’s happening across different markets. Register here to join us at 1pm ET on Tuesday December 9.

The event is part of the Financial Times and MIT Technology Review “The State of AI” partnership, exploring the global impact of artificial intelligence. Over the past month, we’ve been running discussions between our journalists—sign up here to receive future editions every Monday.

The must-reads

I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology.

1 Tech billionaires are gearing up to fight AI regulation 
By amassing multi-million dollar war chests ahead of the 2026 US midterm elections. (WSJ $)
+ Donald Trump’s “Manhattan Project” for AI is certainly ambitious. (The Information $)

2 The EU wants to hold social media platforms liable for financial scams
New rules will force tech firms to compensate banks if they fail to remove reported scams. (Politico)

3 China is worried about a humanoid robot bubble
Because more than 150 companies there are building very similar machines. (Bloomberg $)
+ It could learn some lessons from the current AI bubble. (CNN)+ Why the humanoid workforce is running late. (MIT Technology Review)

4 A Myanmar scam compound was blown up
But its residents will simply find new bases for their operations. (NYT $)
+ Experts suspect the destruction may have been for show. (Wired $)
+ Inside a romance scam compound—and how people get tricked into being there. (MIT Technology Review)

5 Navies across the world are investing in submarine drones 
They cost a fraction of what it takes to run a traditional manned sub. (The Guardian)
+ How underwater drones could shape a potential Taiwan-China conflict. (MIT Technology Review)

6 What to expect from China’s seemingly unstoppable innovation drive
Its extremely permissive regulators play a big role. (Economist $)
+ Is China about to win the AI race? (MIT Technology Review)

7 The UK is waging a war on VPNs
Good luck trying to persuade people to stop using them. (The Verge)

8 We’re learning more about Jeff Bezos’ mysterious clock project
He’s backed the Clock of the Long Now for years—and construction is amping up. (FT $)
+ How aging clocks can help us understand why we age—and if we can reverse it. (MIT Technology Review)

9 Have we finally seen the first hints of dark matter?
These researchers seem to think so. (New Scientist $)

10 A helpful robot is helping archaeologists reconstruct Pompeii
Reassembling ancient frescos is fiddly and time-consuming, but less so if you’re a dextrous machine. (Reuters)

Quote of the day

“We do fail… a lot.”

—Defense company Anduril explains its move-fast-and-break-things ethos to the Wall Street Journal in response to reports its systems have been marred by issues in Ukraine.

One more thing

How to build a better AI benchmark

It’s not easy being one of Silicon Valley’s favorite benchmarks.

SWE-Bench (pronounced “swee bench”) launched in November 2024 as a way to evaluate an AI model’s coding skill. It has since quickly become one of the most popular tests in AI. A SWE-Bench score has become a mainstay of major model releases from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google—and outside of foundation models, the fine-tuners at AI firms are in constant competition to see who can rise above the pack.

Despite all the fervor, this isn’t exactly a truthful assessment of which model is “better.” Entrants have begun to game the system—which is pushing many others to wonder whether there’s a better way to actually measure AI achievement. Read the full story.

—Russell Brandom

We can still have nice things

A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.)

+ Aww, these sharks appear to be playing with pool toys.
+ Strange things are happening over on Easter Island (even weirder than you can imagine) 🗿
+ Very cool—archaeologists have uncovered a Roman tomb that’s been sealed shut for 1,700 years.
+ This Japanese mass media collage is making my eyes swim, in a good way.

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Fluent Bit vulnerabilities could enable full cloud takeover

Attackers could flood monitoring systems with false or misleading events, hide alerts in the noise, or even hijack the telemetry stream entirely, Katz said. The issue is now tracked as CVE-2025-12969 and awaits a severity valuation. Almost equally troubling are other flaws in the “tag” mechanism, which determines how the records are

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EIA Ups USA Oil Output Forecast, Still Sees Dip in 2026

In its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released on November 6, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its U.S. crude oil production forecast for 2025 and 2026 but still projected a dip in output from this year to next year. According to its November STEO, the EIA now sees U.S. crude oil output, including lease condensate, averaging 13.59 million barrels per day overall in 2025 and 13.58 million barrels per day in 2026. U.S. crude oil production, including lease condensate, averaged 13.23 million barrels per day in 2024, the EIA’s November STEO showed. The EIA sees U.S. crude oil output coming in at 13.82 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of this year, 13.67 million barrels per day in the first quarter of next year, 13.60 million barrels per day in the second quarter, 13.47 million barrels per day in the third quarter, and 13.57 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter, according to its latest STEO. The EIA’s previous STEO, which was released in October, projected that U.S. crude oil production, including lease condensate, would average 13.53 million barrels per day in 2025 and 13.51 million barrels per day in 2026. In that STEO, the EIA forecast that production would come in at 13.66 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2025, 13.62 million barrels per day in the first quarter of next year, 13.53 million barrels per day in the second quarter, 13.40 million barrels per day in the third quarter, and 13.48 million barrels per day in the fourth quarter. In its September STEO, the EIA saw U.S. crude oil production, including lease condensate, averaging 13.44 million barrels per day overall in 2025 and 13.30 million barrels per day in 2026. That STEO projected that U.S. crude oil

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Commodity Futures Trading Stopped After Glitch

(Update) November 28, 2025, 9:46 AM GMT: Article updated. Trading of futures and options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange was halted by a data-center fault, causing hours of disruption to markets across equities, foreign exchange, bonds and commodities. The malfunction is already longer than a similar, hours-long outage due to a technical error back in 2019 and underscores the reach of CME Group and its Globex electronic trading platform. It triggered widespread frustration as market participants contemplated the prospect of a lost trading session. “It’s a bit like flying dark,” said Thomas Helaine, head of equity sales at TP ICAP Europe in Paris. “When you’re trading cash equity like us, US futures give you an indication of where the market is going before the open. I can only imagine how complicated it must be for derivatives desks.” Millions of contracts tracking the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100 trade every weekday virtually around the clock on the CME, one of the world’s largest derivatives exchanges. A spokesman for the group confirmed the outage was due to cooling issues at data centers run by CyrusOne, a Dallas-headquartered operator, but did not provide an estimated reopen time. The outage halted trading of US Treasury futures, while European and UK bond markets that trade on a different exchange were unaffected. EBS, a platform used in foreign exchange, was impacted, hurting price discovery in the market. For some traders, the timing of the disruption on Friday could cause particular inconvenience if it lasts, due to the need to roll positions from one monthly contract to another.  Gold saw erratic moves in early London trading, with the gap between bids and offers about 20 times wider than normal. US crude oil and palm oil on the Bursa Malaysia exchange were also affected. In commodities markets,

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USA LNG Exports at Record High

US liquefied natural gas exports are set to hit a record high this month, helping to tame prices in Asia and Europe as winter begins. The US is expected to ship 10.7 million tons in November, according to predictive ship-tracking data from Kpler. That’s up roughly 40% from the same month last year, the data showed. The additional supply could push gas prices in Europe and Asia lower over the next few months, even though colder weather will boost consumption of the heating fuel. European gas futures fell to the lowest level in more than a year on Thursday, while prices in Asia, home to the largest importers, are at the lowest level in about a month. New projects are set to keep lifting US LNG exports for years, with output poised to double by the end of the decade. The Plaquemines facility is currently ramping-up output, while Golden Pass could send its first shipment before the end of winter. More News: Gail partially awards a swap tender seeking to sell two LNG cargoes from the US for Jan.-March loading US cargoes in exchange for Jan.-Feb. shipments to India Kansai Electric, a Japanese utility, purchased an LNG cargo on a DES basis for early-April delivery to Japan Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand purchased an LNG cargo on a DES basis for Jan. 28-30 delivery to Thailand Indian Oil Corp. purchased an LNG shipment on a DES basis for Jan. 11 delivery to the Dahej terminal for around $10.4/mmbtu The Arctic Vostok tanker, which was carrying a cargo from the US-sanctioned Arctic LNG 2 export plant in Russia, left the Beihai import terminal in southern China on Thursday after unloading Centrica Energy signed a 15-year sale and purchase agreement to supply liquefied natural gas to Honduras Drivers:  China’s 30-day moving average

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USA Crude Oil Inventories Rise Almost 3MM Barrels WoW

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories, excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) increased by 2.8 million barrels from the week ending November 14 to the week ending November 21, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) highlighted in its latest weekly petroleum status report. The report, which was released on November 26 and included data for the week ending November 21, showed that crude oil stocks, not including the SPR, stood at 426.9 million barrels on November 21, 424.2 million barrels on November 14, and 428.4 million barrels on November 22, 2024. The report highlighted that data may not add up to totals due to independent rounding. Crude oil in the SPR stood at 411.4 million barrels on November 21, 410.9 million barrels on November 14, and 390.4 million barrels on November 22, 2024, the report revealed. Total petroleum stocks – including crude oil, total motor gasoline, fuel ethanol, kerosene type jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, propane/propylene, and other oils – stood at 1.682 billion barrels on November 21, the report showed. Total petroleum stocks were up 2.1 million barrels week on week and up 49.8 million barrels year on year, the report pointed out. “At 426.9 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about four percent below the five year average for this time of year,” the EIA said in its latest weekly petroleum status report. “Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 2.5 million barrels from last week and are about three percent below the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline inventories decreased, while blending components inventories increased last week,” it added. “Distillate fuel inventories increased by 1.1 million barrels last week and are about five percent below the five year average for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased 1.1 million

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Ivory Coast Sees Oil and Gas Spurring Growth in Next 5 Years

Ivory Coast’s economic growth is poised to accelerate in the next five years as the country sees an increase in oil and gas activity, Planning and Development Minister Kaba Niale said. “We can do a much stronger growth rate in the coming five years,” Niale said in an interview at an African Development Bank conference in Rabat, Morocco’s capital, on Wednesday. A “strong increase” in production of fossil fuels will raise oil output to at least 200,000 barrels per day in the years 2027 to 2028, she said. The world’s top cocoa producer pumped 44,000 barrels a day in 2024, according to the government. Ivory Coast has been positioning itself as a major regional energy hub, attracting companies such as Eni SpA, Houston-based Vaalco Energy Inc. and Brazil’s Petrobras in the last decade. The entry of these global players stems from a government policy to partner with the private sector in areas it thinks would contribute significantly to long-term economic expansion, Patrick Achi, minister of state and special advisor to President Alassane Ouattara, said during an online press conference.  “It’s a paradigm shift where you don’t find the administration sitting there, waiting, asking you questions instead of moving the journey with you,” Achi said. Ivory Coast aims to accelerate economic growth to 7.2% by 2030, from an average of 6.5% achieved between 2021 and 2025. The target forms part of a five-year national development plan to lift the economy to upper-middle-income status.  The energy ministry forecasts that the country could be among the top five African oil producers by 2035, when crude-oil production is expected to reach at least 500,000 barrels per day and natural gas output will account for 1 million cubic feet per day. WHAT DO YOU THINK? Generated by readers, the comments included herein do not reflect the views

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Romania Ready to Impose Oversight of Cos Hit by International Sanctions

Romania will set up a mechanism to place companies at risk of being hit by international sanctions under special oversight, such as the local unit of Russian state-owned Lukoil PJSC, a cabinet member said.  Justice Minister Radu Marinescu said a draft emergency decree published Wednesday, though it doesn’t name specific companies, would affect Lukoil. The Moscow-based oil producer operates Petrotel, a refinery that processes some 50,000 barrels of crude a day and is set to come under US sanctions announced last month.  “It’s necessary to establish the legal framework for such instances,” Marinescu told Bloomberg News. The decree is written broadly, “but one particular case to which this legislation could apply is Lukoil.”  The proposal, which must be approved by Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan’s government, is designed to shield Romania’s energy sector, where uninterrupted supply is critical to avoid price spikes in a country with the highest inflation and widest budget deficit in the European Union.  Under the decree, the government in Bucharest would be empowered to appoint special administrators to manage local entities affected by sanctions triggered by Russia’s war in Ukraine. The measure can be enacted after determining that “a significant economic” fallout will occur or if the company requests it.  The plan mirrors a decision by neighboring Bulgaria to take control of Lukoil’s Neftohim refinery this month. The moves by the two eastern EU member states underscore their efforts to balance compliance with Western sanctions against Russia while trying to safeguard energy security.  Lukoil didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.  In addition to the Petrotel refinery, Lukoil has a network of more than 300 fueling stations affected US sanctions, which will come into force next month. Petrotel is currently closed for maintenance and is the third-largest in the Black Sea country.  The draft decree may be approved as early

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Microsoft loses two senior AI infrastructure leaders as data center pressures mount

Microsoft did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Microsoft’s constraints Analysts say the twin departures mark a significant setback for Microsoft at a critical moment in the AI data center race, with pressure mounting from both OpenAI’s model demands and Google’s infrastructure scale. “Losing some of the best professionals working on this challenge could set Microsoft back,” said Neil Shah, partner and co-founder at Counterpoint Research. “Solving the energy wall is not trivial, and there may have been friction or strategic differences that contributed to their decision to move on, especially if they saw an opportunity to make a broader impact and do so more lucratively at a company like Nvidia.” Even so, Microsoft has the depth and ecosystem strength to continue doubling down on AI data centers, said Prabhu Ram, VP for industry research at Cybermedia Research. According to Sanchit Gogia, chief analyst at Greyhound Research, the departures come at a sensitive moment because Microsoft is trying to expand its AI infrastructure faster than physical constraints allow. “The executives who have left were central to GPU cluster design, data center engineering, energy procurement, and the experimental power and cooling approaches Microsoft has been pursuing to support dense AI workloads,” Gogia said. “Their exit coincides with pressures the company has already acknowledged publicly. GPUs are arriving faster than the company can energize the facilities that will house them, and power availability has overtaken chip availability as the real bottleneck.”

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What is Edge AI? When the cloud isn’t close enough

Many edge devices can periodically send summarized or selected inference output data back to a central system for model retraining or refinement. That feedback loop helps the model improve over time while still keeping most decisions local. And to run efficiently on constrained edge hardware, the AI model is often pre-processed by techniques such as quantization (which reduces precision), pruning (which removes redundant parameters), or knowledge distillation (which trains a smaller model to mimic a larger one). These optimizations reduce the model’s memory, compute, and power demands so it can run more easily on an edge device. What technologies make edge AI possible? The concept of the “edge” always assumes that edge devices are less computationally powerful than data centers and cloud platforms. While that remains true, overall improvements in computational hardware have made today’s edge devices much more capable than those designed just a few years ago. In fact, a whole host of technological developments have come together to make edge AI a reality. Specialized hardware acceleration. Edge devices now ship with dedicated AI-accelerators (NPUs, TPUs, GPU cores) and system-on-chip units tailored for on-device inference. For example, companies like Arm have integrated AI-acceleration libraries into standard frameworks so models can run efficiently on Arm-based CPUs. Connectivity and data architecture. Edge AI often depends on durable, low-latency links (e.g., 5G, WiFi 6, LPWAN) and architectures that move compute closer to data. Merging edge nodes, gateways, and local servers means less reliance on distant clouds. And technologies like Kubernetes can provide a consistent management plane from the data center to remote locations. Deployment, orchestration, and model lifecycle tooling. Edge AI deployments must support model-update delivery, device and fleet monitoring, versioning, rollback and secure inference — especially when orchestrated across hundreds or thousands of locations. VMware, for instance, is offering traffic management

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Networks, AI, and metaversing

Our first, conservative, view says that AI’s network impact is largely confined to the data center, to connect clusters of GPU servers and the data they use as they crunch large language models. It’s all “horizontal” traffic; one TikTok challenge would generate way more traffic in the wide area. WAN costs won’t rise for you as an enterprise, and if you’re a carrier you won’t be carrying much new, so you don’t have much service revenue upside. If you don’t host AI on premises, you can pretty much dismiss its impact on your network. Contrast that with the radical metaverse view, our third view. Metaverses and AR/VR transform AI missions, and network services, from transaction processing to event processing, because the real world is a bunch of events pushing on you. They also let you visualize the way that process control models (digital twins) relate to the real world, which is critical if the processes you’re modeling involve human workers who rely on their visual sense. Could it be that the reason Meta is willing to spend on AI, is that the most credible application of AI, and the most impactful for networks, is the metaverse concept? In any event, this model of AI, by driving the users’ experiences and activities directly, demands significant edge connectivity, so you could expect it to have a major impact on network requirements. In fact, just dipping your toes into a metaverse could require a major up-front network upgrade. Networks carry traffic. Traffic is messages. More messages, more traffic, more infrastructure, more service revenue…you get the picture. Door number one, to the AI giant future, leads to nothing much in terms of messages. Door number three, metaverses and AR/VR, leads to a message, traffic, and network revolution. I’ll bet that most enterprises would doubt

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Microsoft’s Fairwater Atlanta and the Rise of the Distributed AI Supercomputer

Microsoft’s second Fairwater data center in Atlanta isn’t just “another big GPU shed.” It represents the other half of a deliberate architectural experiment: proving that two massive AI campuses, separated by roughly 700 miles, can operate as one coherent, distributed supercomputer. The Atlanta installation is the latest expression of Microsoft’s AI-first data center design: purpose-built for training and serving frontier models rather than supporting mixed cloud workloads. It links directly to the original Fairwater campus in Wisconsin, as well as to earlier generations of Azure AI supercomputers, through a dedicated AI WAN backbone that Microsoft describes as the foundation of a “planet-scale AI superfactory.” Inside a Fairwater Site: Preparing for Multi-Site Distribution Efficient multi-site training only works if each individual site behaves as a clean, well-structured unit. Microsoft’s intra-site design is deliberately simplified so that cross-site coordination has a predictable abstraction boundary—essential for treating multiple campuses as one distributed AI system. Each Fairwater installation presents itself as a single, flat, high-regularity cluster: Up to 72 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs per rack, using GB200 NVL72 rack-scale systems. NVLink provides the ultra-low-latency, high-bandwidth scale-up fabric within the rack, while the Spectrum-X Ethernet stack handles scale-out. Each rack delivers roughly 1.8 TB/s of GPU-to-GPU bandwidth and exposes a multi-terabyte pooled memory space addressable via NVLink—critical for large-model sharding, activation checkpointing, and parallelism strategies. Racks feed into a two-tier Ethernet scale-out network offering 800 Gbps GPU-to-GPU connectivity with very low hop counts, engineered to scale to hundreds of thousands of GPUs without encountering the classic port-count and topology constraints of traditional Clos fabrics. Microsoft confirms that the fabric relies heavily on: SONiC-based switching and a broad commodity Ethernet ecosystem to avoid vendor lock-in and accelerate architectural iteration. Custom network optimizations, such as packet trimming, packet spray, high-frequency telemetry, and advanced congestion-control mechanisms, to prevent collective

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Land & Expand: Hyperscale, AI Factory, Megascale

Land & Expand is Data Center Frontier’s periodic roundup of notable North American data center development activity, tracking the newest sites, land plays, retrofits, and hyperscale campus expansions shaping the industry’s build cycle. October delivered a steady cadence of announcements, with several megascale projects advancing from concept to commitment. The month was defined by continued momentum in OpenAI and Oracle’s Stargate initiative (now spanning multiple U.S. regions) as well as major new investments from Google, Meta, DataBank, and emerging AI cloud players accelerating high-density reuse strategies. The result is a clearer picture of how the next wave of AI-first infrastructure is taking shape across the country. Google Begins $4B West Memphis Hyperscale Buildout Google formally broke ground on its $4 billion hyperscale campus in West Memphis, Arkansas, marking the company’s first data center in the state and the anchor for a new Mid-South operational hub. The project spans just over 1,000 acres, with initial site preparation and utility coordination already underway. Google and Entergy Arkansas confirmed a 600 MW solar generation partnership, structured to add dedicated renewable supply to the regional grid. As part of the launch, Google announced a $25 million Energy Impact Fund for local community affordability programs and energy-resilience improvements—an unusually early community-benefit commitment for a first-phase hyperscale project. Cooling specifics have not yet been made public. Water sourcing—whether reclaimed, potable, or hybrid seasonal mode—remains under review, as the company finalizes environmental permits. Public filings reference a large-scale onsite water treatment facility, similar to Google’s deployments in The Dalles and Council Bluffs. Local governance documents show that prior to the October announcement, West Memphis approved a 30-year PILOT via Groot LLC (Google’s land assembly entity), with early filings referencing a typical placeholder of ~50 direct jobs. At launch, officials emphasized hundreds of full-time operations roles and thousands

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The New Digital Infrastructure Geography: Green Street’s David Guarino on AI Demand, Power Scarcity, and the Next Phase of Data Center Growth

As the global data center industry races through its most frenetic build cycle in history, one question continues to define the market’s mood: is this the peak of an AI-fueled supercycle, or the beginning of a structurally different era for digital infrastructure? For Green Street Managing Director and Head of Global Data Center and Tower Research David Guarino, the answer—based firmly on observable fundamentals—is increasingly clear. Demand remains blisteringly strong. Capital appetite is deepening. And the very definition of a “data center market” is shifting beneath the industry’s feet. In a wide-ranging discussion with Data Center Frontier, Guarino outlined why data centers continue to stand out in the commercial real estate landscape, how AI is reshaping underwriting and development models, why behind-the-meter power is quietly reorganizing the U.S. map, and what Green Street sees ahead for rents, REITs, and the next wave of hyperscale expansion. A ‘Safe’ Asset in an Uncertain CRE Landscape Among institutional investors, the post-COVID era was the moment data centers stepped decisively out of “niche” territory. Guarino notes that pandemic-era reliance on digital services crystallized a structural recognition: data centers deliver stable, predictable cash flows, anchored by the highest-credit tenants in global real estate. Hyperscalers today dominate new leasing and routinely sign 15-year (or longer) contracts, a duration largely unmatched across CRE categories. When compared with one-year apartment leases, five-year office leases, or mall anchor terms, the stability story becomes plain. “These are AAA-caliber companies signing the longest leases in the sector’s history,” Guarino said. “From a real estate point of view, that combination of tenant quality and lease duration continues to position the asset class as uniquely durable.” And development returns remain exceptional. Even without assuming endless AI growth, the math works: strong demand, rising rents, and high-credit tenants create unusually predictable performance relative to

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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