Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE

Making the case for context-aware AI

In partnership withCelonis Enterprise AI can generate recommendations, automate tasks, and help organizations make decisions faster. But without an understanding of how a business actually operates, even powerful models can miss the constraints and relationships that determine whether a decision is the right one. As companies look to move AI from experimentation into everyday operations, the challenge ahead is giving technology the context to act usefully within complex business processes. For Devavrat Shah, chief scientist of enterprise AI at Celonis, that context is central to what he calls “decision intelligence.” AI agents can support individual tasks within larger decision-making processes, he argues, but they need to understand the role each task plays and the business conditions surrounding it. “You can’t just do that in a vacuum,” he says. Without the right operational context, agents risk overlooking important constraints, making costly mistakes, or consuming excessive computing resources as they try to work out what they need to know. The solution begins with connecting AI to the processes and data enterprises already use. A contextual layer can help agents understand workflows, operate within defined guardrails, and produce recommendations that people can review and approve. Shah advises organizations to start with a specific business decision, identify its most difficult steps, and test whether AI can improve them. Measuring gains in speed and value can then help determine whether an application is worth scaling. This approach could also change how employees spend their time. Automating repetitive, manual work and coordinating tasks across teams could free people to focus on more complex strategic decisions. Realizing that benefit, however, will require investment in workforce education, so employees can understand AI outputs and their implications instead of just handing decisions over to agents. Looking to the future, Shah sees opportunities extending from routine operational tasks to enterprise-wide planning in areas such as finance, workforce management, marketing, and sales. With the right context, AI could help organizations evaluate options and make consequential decisions more quickly. As Shah puts it, “Now, maybe [resource planning] should not take that much time, and people are actually making the right choices quickly.” This episode of Business Lab is produced in partnership with Celonis. Full Transcript Megan Tatum: From MIT Technology Review, I’m Megan Tatum, and this is Business Lab, the show that helps business leaders make sense of new technologies coming out of the lab and into the marketplace.This podcast is produced in partnership with Celonis.Now, enterprise AI is at something of a crossroads. After years of experimentation, demos, and pilots, leadership teams want clear proof that scaling up will positively impact their bottom line, but many are missing an integral part of the puzzle. By acting without operational context, enterprise AI and AI agents are performing at a significant deficit. They’re applying generalized principles to specialized scenarios and coming up short, leaving business leaders understandably unconvinced and AI’s potential unrealized.Two words for you: context matters.My guest today is Devavrat Shah, chief scientist of enterprise AI at Celonis.Welcome, Devavrat. Devavrat Shah: Hello, Megan. Thanks for having me here. Megan: Thank you so much for being here with us today. Devavrat, just to start, why is it so crucial that organizations are thinking about operational context as it relates to enterprise AI right now? What makes it such a critical part of that transition I was talking about from experimentation to scale? Devavrat: It’s a fantastic question. And as you correctly noted, we’re at the cusp of becoming experimental to mainstream as far as AI is concerned. As you know, I’ve been teaching AI at MIT as a professor for more than the last two decades, so it’s no surprise that I’m very bullish about AI’s future in enterprises.The way I think about where AI can make the biggest difference in enterprises is in decision making, helping enterprise make decisions, or putting it other way, how do we bring decision intelligence to enterprises? As we think about decisions, how do we make decisions today? Take MIT Tech Review, take Celonis, take MIT, take any large organization. We have different types of decisions we want to make in very broad strokes. There are decisions which are strategic decisions like episodic, other decisions which are operational that need to be done with a high frequency. In either of them, we have some processes in place. You do this first, you do that first, you do that first, you do that first. Many of us help coordinate those things. Many of us play roles within it, what Jensen Huang calls task. And once you get those things done step by step, then you reach decision.Now, it’s those tasks, or what I would call roles, that’s where AI can bring in an atomic manner agentic power so that we can at least parts of decisions, if not all of the decisions, we can augment support and maybe sometimes when it’s a painful automate. And to get to that, to know which role to do, which task to do, we really need to know the context. You can’t just do that in a vacuum. And that’s why context with AI put together in the right way would bring what I would call decision intelligence to enterprise. And that’s where I think there’ll be the biggest transformation that would come. Megan: Right. To drill down into that into a bit more detail, we know many organizations are, as you say, embracing identic AI right now with this potential for increasingly autonomous decision making. If context isn’t introduced in parallel, what are the commercial risks at play? Devavrat: Fantastic. Let’s just take the setting I was describing. We are trying to automate a role or support a role or augment a role depending on the type of decision, depending upon type of task. And let’s for a second imagine that all these, as they’re called, frontier labs have built these amazing models and amazing AI infrastructure so that everything that’s happened in the universe and it’s likely to happen in the universe is all there.Now, we have a small decision that we want to make for that very specific context is there. And without having access to that, this massive system, this extremely bright person would figure that out eventually by asking lots of questions, the way we do it as humans, and then finally do the right thing. The problem is to get to that, it will do so much compute at some level that to get simple tasks done, we are spending massive amount of compute. So that’s scenario one. In reality, that’s not going to be the scenario, and we’ll miss some important context, important constraint, important guardrail, and then we’ll make a mistake. And sometimes that mistake can be okay. It’s like me giving you a recommendation saying, go restaurant A, and maybe you may not enjoy the dinner, versus sometimes mistakes will be very, very expensive. That is me telling you what the financial forecast is and somehow that leads to the company’s doom. Megan: Right. So in an enterprise setting, these are really business critical decisions that are being made. So the impact is that much more if we get this wrong, isn’t it? And on a practical level then, what are the different ways that organizations can add in this context layer we’re talking about? How does Celonis, for example, deliver that operational context via a real time digital twin of an organization? Devavrat: Absolutely. I think if it might be useful just to double click on the history of Celonis. As you know, Celonis, as an organization, came into existence with the mission, with the goal of helping organizations adhere to their ideal processes, build better processes, enable people to work with multiple processes in an intertwined manner. And that’s where their primary, let’s call it a DNA, has been about what I would call process intelligence. Take how enterprises help put multiple things together, digitize them, enable people to get their processes better, understand where the issues are, and then how do you re-engineer the process within organizations so that things can happen better. Now, if you want to bring decision intelligence into this, each atomic step of this process that was potentially was done before by experts, people, now we want agents to help us enable that. And that’s where knowing this context of a process within enterprise and then bringing AI agents along with that, what I would like to call it as a roled agents, exactly provide the right way to bring decision intelligence to enterprises. And this is how Celonis brings context to help enterprise make better decision. Megan: Right. And then in terms of how this works as well, how does the context layer relate to both the layer below, that’s the systems of record layer, and also the layer above, that identic layer? Devavrat: That’s a fantastic question, Megan. The layer below primarily is, if we call it system of record, primarily it’s the workflow tools that are there and then the event logs that they generate around it. The layer above is either business user experts consuming information, or they’re consuming that information maybe through agents working on top of that context layer. And this is where the way context model, as Celonis calls it, is designed is to do three things simultaneously. One is to get the right abstraction of the layer below, so that the right pieces of the process can be agentified. Two is to bring the rolled agents for each of these pieces in a structured guardrailed manner. And then the three is to be agent first so that if there are other agentic infrastructure that are already talking to it, they can naturally talk to it so that then they can bring the right output for humans or experts to review, look at it, approve, and maybe then at times automate. Megan: Fantastic. And for all the benefits that we’re talking about with this, are there also challenges when it comes to implementing a context layer? For example, do most organizations have the right data in place to provide AI with the context it needs? And if not, I wonder what some of the practical steps are that they might need to take to address that. Devavrat: It’s again, a crucial question to make this real. We can imagine an ideal world, but if we cannot reach the ideal world, then it’s just ideal. So now in this setting, as we discussed the three layers, one being the layer which is the layer below system of record and workflow tools. In some sense, those things already exist. They don’t need to be complete. They don’t need to be in the cleanest possible manner. The way context model is designed with agentic’s architecture, it manages to connect to those things and make sense of it. And then things on top is very much in control of Celonis’s infrastructure, so it’s not that complicated. The crucial thing here though is when one goes to enterprise, when one opens up, let’s say a system of record or workflow tool, event logs or things like that, one has to go through, what I would call, classical InfoSec to make sure that you can trust a vendor’s software that’s coming into your organization. And I think that is the primary process that is a step between, before and after, if I may call it. Megan: Right. So that’s the real crucial step for people to be taking here. And as AI agents with context are able to make more complex, more accurate hopefully decisions, I wonder what you think the role of human intelligence and input will be moving forward, and how can organizations perhaps strike the balance between the two? Devavrat: There are the benefits and then there are the challenges. Benefits are clear. If you have right AI agents in a right role manner going through your decision processes, hopefully they’re doing it quicker and hence your decisions are taken earlier so that your opportunity cost is not lost. You are taking decisions in time, you can plan much better, et cetera, et cetera. This is especially useful when you have to take very manual, repetitive, grungy tasks where access to workforce, coordination between people become crucial parts of the decision process. In a sense, that’s where the huge value can come in. The flip side of that is that means that people won’t be doing that.On the other hand, the other type of decision that we always make, which are strategic decisions. It could be a small strategic decision, it could be large strategic decision, but the strategic decisions that typically most organizations don’t have bandwidth to take to think, that opportunity would open up and that’s where likely lots of humans and experts would engage more. In a sense, now they would have better support helping them rationally think through what are the choices that they have, how do different choices compare? And then at the end of the day, it’s organization’s role to decide which of the option to take because it belongs to their interest in mind where they want to go.And so in a sense, there will be what I would call shift of workforce in terms of instead of doing a lot more repetitive, a lot less repetitive, but a lot more strategic work and that’s where people will have to spend time.The other place where I am personally very optimistic is like every technology change creates new work that it’s difficult to predict at the time of change. My hope is that there will be another type of opportunity and work that will be created where we’ll be engaging our workforce. Goes without saying, this would mean that we will have to carefully think through reeducating or educating some of our workforce thoughtfully. And I think as an academic in me, as an educator in me, I really feel that the timescale at which these changes are happening are so fast. So we need to also act in a similar manner. Megan: For any decision maker listening to this, how should they start implementing these changes? For example, how can they prepare their workforce? What role should governance play as well? Devavrat: Okay, that’s a great question. If you want to start, the first thing you need to do is identify a decision where you want to bring intelligence. Let’s identify the process around it. Let’s identify each step of the process. Let’s take the most crucial, difficult step in that. Let’s try to bring AI agents to help you to do that. And then from there you go and then let’s measure how much speed are we getting, how much value are we getting? And that’ll help us understand whether this was worth it. So that’s one. Second is governance. Well, we’re going to bring AI in this prescriptive manner for each task in a role. That means that for that role, we can tell what it can or cannot do very clearly. And Celonis prescribes certified role agents for these things. This helps you clearly have an understanding of what sort of contract would be for this.And the third thing, which is people, and now this is where it’s really important, is a part which gets automated, but then there’s a part where experts will be in the loop and this is where they need to understand the outputs of AI, how do you work with that and what its implication would be? And this is where some AI education is needed and then some tool education is needed. Megan: Yes, absolutely. The pace is incredible, isn’t it, in this space? And speaking of, I suppose if we could close with a look ahead, given the right context, of course, what are the use cases perhaps for enterprise AI that are on the horizon that you think could be most impactful or perhaps what you’re simply most excited about? Devavrat: I think I would categorize them into three types. They’re all decision intelligence, decision-making, but there are three types. One, what I would call many repetitive manual labor-intensive, so that’s one.Two, what I would call coordination style tasks. A lot of work that we do right now as an information workforce that’s spent in coordination, that’s why email spreadsheets, et cetera. A lot of that would be done much better, much quicker and less boring, so to speak.And then the third is where, especially as a support to human decision-makers to provide strategic support augmentation, and that’s a third type of decisions that would be done. If I think of any planning process in enterprises, so financial planning, workforce planning, marketing, sales, product, anything, all of those are business critical decisions that we make that take annual planning process, take annual time. Now maybe it should not take that much time, and people are actually making the right choices quickly. Megan: That’d be fantastic, wouldn’t it? Fantastic. Thank you so much for that brilliant conversation, Devavrat. That was Devavrat Shah, chief scientist of enterprise AI at Celonis, whom I spoke with from Brighton in England.That’s it for this episode of Business Lab. I’m your host, Megan Tatum. I’m a contributing editor and host for Insights, the custom publishing division of MIT Technology Review. We were founded in 1899 at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and you can find us in print, on the web, and at events each year around the world. For more information about us and the show, please check out our website at technologyreview.com.This show is available wherever you get your podcasts. And if you enjoyed this episode, we hope you’ll take a moment to rate and review us. Business Lab is a production of MIT Technology Review, and this episode was produced by Giro Studios. Thanks so much for listening. Goodbye. This content was produced by Insights, MIT Technology Review’s custom content arm, not its editorial staff. It was researched and written by humans, with any AI tools that may have been used limited to production processes under human oversight.

In partnership withCelonis

Enterprise AI can generate recommendations, automate tasks, and help organizations make decisions faster. But without an understanding of how a business actually operates, even powerful models can miss the constraints and relationships that determine whether a decision is the right one. As companies look to move AI from experimentation into everyday operations, the challenge ahead is giving technology the context to act usefully within complex business processes.

For Devavrat Shah, chief scientist of enterprise AI at Celonis, that context is central to what he calls “decision intelligence.” AI agents can support individual tasks within larger decision-making processes, he argues, but they need to understand the role each task plays and the business conditions surrounding it. “You can’t just do that in a vacuum,” he says. Without the right operational context, agents risk overlooking important constraints, making costly mistakes, or consuming excessive computing resources as they try to work out what they need to know.

The solution begins with connecting AI to the processes and data enterprises already use. A contextual layer can help agents understand workflows, operate within defined guardrails, and produce recommendations that people can review and approve. Shah advises organizations to start with a specific business decision, identify its most difficult steps, and test whether AI can improve them. Measuring gains in speed and value can then help determine whether an application is worth scaling.

This approach could also change how employees spend their time. Automating repetitive, manual work and coordinating tasks across teams could free people to focus on more complex strategic decisions. Realizing that benefit, however, will require investment in workforce education, so employees can understand AI outputs and their implications instead of just handing decisions over to agents.

Looking to the future, Shah sees opportunities extending from routine operational tasks to enterprise-wide planning in areas such as finance, workforce management, marketing, and sales. With the right context, AI could help organizations evaluate options and make consequential decisions more quickly. As Shah puts it, “Now, maybe [resource planning] should not take that much time, and people are actually making the right choices quickly.”

This episode of Business Lab is produced in partnership with Celonis.

Full Transcript

Megan Tatum: From MIT Technology Review, I’m Megan Tatum, and this is Business Lab, the show that helps business leaders make sense of new technologies coming out of the lab and into the marketplace.

This podcast is produced in partnership with Celonis.

Now, enterprise AI is at something of a crossroads. After years of experimentation, demos, and pilots, leadership teams want clear proof that scaling up will positively impact their bottom line, but many are missing an integral part of the puzzle. By acting without operational context, enterprise AI and AI agents are performing at a significant deficit. They’re applying generalized principles to specialized scenarios and coming up short, leaving business leaders understandably unconvinced and AI’s potential unrealized.

Two words for you: context matters.

My guest today is Devavrat Shah, chief scientist of enterprise AI at Celonis.

Welcome, Devavrat.

Devavrat Shah: Hello, Megan. Thanks for having me here.

Megan: Thank you so much for being here with us today. Devavrat, just to start, why is it so crucial that organizations are thinking about operational context as it relates to enterprise AI right now? What makes it such a critical part of that transition I was talking about from experimentation to scale?

Devavrat: It’s a fantastic question. And as you correctly noted, we’re at the cusp of becoming experimental to mainstream as far as AI is concerned. As you know, I’ve been teaching AI at MIT as a professor for more than the last two decades, so it’s no surprise that I’m very bullish about AI’s future in enterprises.

The way I think about where AI can make the biggest difference in enterprises is in decision making, helping enterprise make decisions, or putting it other way, how do we bring decision intelligence to enterprises? As we think about decisions, how do we make decisions today? Take MIT Tech Review, take Celonis, take MIT, take any large organization. We have different types of decisions we want to make in very broad strokes. There are decisions which are strategic decisions like episodic, other decisions which are operational that need to be done with a high frequency. In either of them, we have some processes in place. You do this first, you do that first, you do that first, you do that first. Many of us help coordinate those things. Many of us play roles within it, what Jensen Huang calls task. And once you get those things done step by step, then you reach decision.

Now, it’s those tasks, or what I would call roles, that’s where AI can bring in an atomic manner agentic power so that we can at least parts of decisions, if not all of the decisions, we can augment support and maybe sometimes when it’s a painful automate. And to get to that, to know which role to do, which task to do, we really need to know the context. You can’t just do that in a vacuum. And that’s why context with AI put together in the right way would bring what I would call decision intelligence to enterprise. And that’s where I think there’ll be the biggest transformation that would come.

Megan: Right. To drill down into that into a bit more detail, we know many organizations are, as you say, embracing identic AI right now with this potential for increasingly autonomous decision making. If context isn’t introduced in parallel, what are the commercial risks at play?

Devavrat: Fantastic. Let’s just take the setting I was describing. We are trying to automate a role or support a role or augment a role depending on the type of decision, depending upon type of task. And let’s for a second imagine that all these, as they’re called, frontier labs have built these amazing models and amazing AI infrastructure so that everything that’s happened in the universe and it’s likely to happen in the universe is all there.

Now, we have a small decision that we want to make for that very specific context is there. And without having access to that, this massive system, this extremely bright person would figure that out eventually by asking lots of questions, the way we do it as humans, and then finally do the right thing. The problem is to get to that, it will do so much compute at some level that to get simple tasks done, we are spending massive amount of compute. So that’s scenario one.

In reality, that’s not going to be the scenario, and we’ll miss some important context, important constraint, important guardrail, and then we’ll make a mistake. And sometimes that mistake can be okay. It’s like me giving you a recommendation saying, go restaurant A, and maybe you may not enjoy the dinner, versus sometimes mistakes will be very, very expensive. That is me telling you what the financial forecast is and somehow that leads to the company’s doom.

Megan: Right. So in an enterprise setting, these are really business critical decisions that are being made. So the impact is that much more if we get this wrong, isn’t it? And on a practical level then, what are the different ways that organizations can add in this context layer we’re talking about? How does Celonis, for example, deliver that operational context via a real time digital twin of an organization?

Devavrat: Absolutely. I think if it might be useful just to double click on the history of Celonis. As you know, Celonis, as an organization, came into existence with the mission, with the goal of helping organizations adhere to their ideal processes, build better processes, enable people to work with multiple processes in an intertwined manner. And that’s where their primary, let’s call it a DNA, has been about what I would call process intelligence. Take how enterprises help put multiple things together, digitize them, enable people to get their processes better, understand where the issues are, and then how do you re-engineer the process within organizations so that things can happen better.

Now, if you want to bring decision intelligence into this, each atomic step of this process that was potentially was done before by experts, people, now we want agents to help us enable that. And that’s where knowing this context of a process within enterprise and then bringing AI agents along with that, what I would like to call it as a roled agents, exactly provide the right way to bring decision intelligence to enterprises. And this is how Celonis brings context to help enterprise make better decision.

Megan: Right. And then in terms of how this works as well, how does the context layer relate to both the layer below, that’s the systems of record layer, and also the layer above, that identic layer?

Devavrat: That’s a fantastic question, Megan. The layer below primarily is, if we call it system of record, primarily it’s the workflow tools that are there and then the event logs that they generate around it. The layer above is either business user experts consuming information, or they’re consuming that information maybe through agents working on top of that context layer. And this is where the way context model, as Celonis calls it, is designed is to do three things simultaneously. One is to get the right abstraction of the layer below, so that the right pieces of the process can be agentified. Two is to bring the rolled agents for each of these pieces in a structured guardrailed manner. And then the three is to be agent first so that if there are other agentic infrastructure that are already talking to it, they can naturally talk to it so that then they can bring the right output for humans or experts to review, look at it, approve, and maybe then at times automate.

Megan: Fantastic. And for all the benefits that we’re talking about with this, are there also challenges when it comes to implementing a context layer? For example, do most organizations have the right data in place to provide AI with the context it needs? And if not, I wonder what some of the practical steps are that they might need to take to address that.

Devavrat: It’s again, a crucial question to make this real. We can imagine an ideal world, but if we cannot reach the ideal world, then it’s just ideal. So now in this setting, as we discussed the three layers, one being the layer which is the layer below system of record and workflow tools. In some sense, those things already exist. They don’t need to be complete. They don’t need to be in the cleanest possible manner. The way context model is designed with agentic’s architecture, it manages to connect to those things and make sense of it.

And then things on top is very much in control of Celonis’s infrastructure, so it’s not that complicated. The crucial thing here though is when one goes to enterprise, when one opens up, let’s say a system of record or workflow tool, event logs or things like that, one has to go through, what I would call, classical InfoSec to make sure that you can trust a vendor’s software that’s coming into your organization. And I think that is the primary process that is a step between, before and after, if I may call it.

Megan: Right. So that’s the real crucial step for people to be taking here. And as AI agents with context are able to make more complex, more accurate hopefully decisions, I wonder what you think the role of human intelligence and input will be moving forward, and how can organizations perhaps strike the balance between the two?

Devavrat: There are the benefits and then there are the challenges. Benefits are clear. If you have right AI agents in a right role manner going through your decision processes, hopefully they’re doing it quicker and hence your decisions are taken earlier so that your opportunity cost is not lost. You are taking decisions in time, you can plan much better, et cetera, et cetera. This is especially useful when you have to take very manual, repetitive, grungy tasks where access to workforce, coordination between people become crucial parts of the decision process. In a sense, that’s where the huge value can come in. The flip side of that is that means that people won’t be doing that.

On the other hand, the other type of decision that we always make, which are strategic decisions. It could be a small strategic decision, it could be large strategic decision, but the strategic decisions that typically most organizations don’t have bandwidth to take to think, that opportunity would open up and that’s where likely lots of humans and experts would engage more. In a sense, now they would have better support helping them rationally think through what are the choices that they have, how do different choices compare? And then at the end of the day, it’s organization’s role to decide which of the option to take because it belongs to their interest in mind where they want to go.

And so in a sense, there will be what I would call shift of workforce in terms of instead of doing a lot more repetitive, a lot less repetitive, but a lot more strategic work and that’s where people will have to spend time.

The other place where I am personally very optimistic is like every technology change creates new work that it’s difficult to predict at the time of change. My hope is that there will be another type of opportunity and work that will be created where we’ll be engaging our workforce. Goes without saying, this would mean that we will have to carefully think through reeducating or educating some of our workforce thoughtfully. And I think as an academic in me, as an educator in me, I really feel that the timescale at which these changes are happening are so fast. So we need to also act in a similar manner.

Megan: For any decision maker listening to this, how should they start implementing these changes? For example, how can they prepare their workforce? What role should governance play as well?

Devavrat: Okay, that’s a great question. If you want to start, the first thing you need to do is identify a decision where you want to bring intelligence. Let’s identify the process around it. Let’s identify each step of the process. Let’s take the most crucial, difficult step in that. Let’s try to bring AI agents to help you to do that. And then from there you go and then let’s measure how much speed are we getting, how much value are we getting? And that’ll help us understand whether this was worth it. So that’s one.

Second is governance. Well, we’re going to bring AI in this prescriptive manner for each task in a role. That means that for that role, we can tell what it can or cannot do very clearly. And Celonis prescribes certified role agents for these things. This helps you clearly have an understanding of what sort of contract would be for this.

And the third thing, which is people, and now this is where it’s really important, is a part which gets automated, but then there’s a part where experts will be in the loop and this is where they need to understand the outputs of AI, how do you work with that and what its implication would be? And this is where some AI education is needed and then some tool education is needed.

Megan: Yes, absolutely. The pace is incredible, isn’t it, in this space? And speaking of, I suppose if we could close with a look ahead, given the right context, of course, what are the use cases perhaps for enterprise AI that are on the horizon that you think could be most impactful or perhaps what you’re simply most excited about?

Devavrat: I think I would categorize them into three types. They’re all decision intelligence, decision-making, but there are three types. One, what I would call many repetitive manual labor-intensive, so that’s one.

Two, what I would call coordination style tasks. A lot of work that we do right now as an information workforce that’s spent in coordination, that’s why email spreadsheets, et cetera. A lot of that would be done much better, much quicker and less boring, so to speak.

And then the third is where, especially as a support to human decision-makers to provide strategic support augmentation, and that’s a third type of decisions that would be done. If I think of any planning process in enterprises, so financial planning, workforce planning, marketing, sales, product, anything, all of those are business critical decisions that we make that take annual planning process, take annual time. Now maybe it should not take that much time, and people are actually making the right choices quickly.

Megan: That’d be fantastic, wouldn’t it? Fantastic. Thank you so much for that brilliant conversation, Devavrat. That was Devavrat Shah, chief scientist of enterprise AI at Celonis, whom I spoke with from Brighton in England.

That’s it for this episode of Business Lab. I’m your host, Megan Tatum. I’m a contributing editor and host for Insights, the custom publishing division of MIT Technology Review. We were founded in 1899 at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and you can find us in print, on the web, and at events each year around the world. For more information about us and the show, please check out our website at technologyreview.com.

This show is available wherever you get your podcasts. And if you enjoyed this episode, we hope you’ll take a moment to rate and review us. Business Lab is a production of MIT Technology Review, and this episode was produced by Giro Studios. Thanks so much for listening. Goodbye.

This content was produced by Insights, MIT Technology Review’s custom content arm, not its editorial staff. It was researched and written by humans, with any AI tools that may have been used limited to production processes under human oversight.

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Tight product supplies lift US summer refinery utilization to highest level since 1998

US refinery utilization averaged more than 95% during May–September 2026, the highest for those months since 1998, as tight global product supplies, particularly for diesel, strengthened margins, and demand for US exports, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). The strong operating rates coincided with a widening profitability gap between US refiners and those in Europe and Asia. In its October Oil Market Report, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said relatively inexpensive crude supplies helped US refiners achieve record margins in September, while rising feedstock and freight costs squeezed competitors overseas. Despite elevated utilization, total US refinery output reached only its highest level since 2019. US refining capacity has declined 4% since then, limiting the output gains available from higher operating rates, EIA said. Utilization eased during the first 3 weeks of October from its summer highs, but remained above the 2021–25 seasonal average. US margins outperform IEA’s US Gulf Coast light sweet cracking margin indicator averaged $49.84/bbl in September, up $5.97/bbl from August. Heavy sour coking margins rose $11.57/bbl to $61.36/bbl, reflecting the advantage of access to lower-cost crude. By comparison, light sweet cracking margins averaged $30.15/bbl in Northwest Europe and $19.26/bbl in Singapore, down $5.97/bbl and $7.34/bbl, respectively. Medium sour cracking margins briefly turned negative in both regions during September. Record tanker freight rates widened regional crude cost differences, helping US refiners outperform competitors in Europe and Asia. IEA warned that deteriorating profitability could prompt some European refiners to reduce runs despite tight product supplies and low inventories. US product inventories also remained tight despite high refinery activity. Combined gasoline, jet fuel, and gasoil/diesel stocks entered October at 352 million bbl, their lowest seasonally adjusted level since 2008, according to IEA. Robust exports and autumn maintenance added pressure on inventories, while unplanned Midwest refinery outages further supported

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EIA: US crude oil inventories down 3.1 million bbl

US crude oil inventories for the week ended Oct. 16, excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, decreased by 3.1 million bbl from the previous week, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). At 412.5 million bbl, US crude oil inventories are 3% below the 5-year average for this time of year, the EIA report indicated. Gasoline inventories decreased 3.0 million bbl, 5% below the 5-year average. Propane-propylene inventories decreased 500,000 bbl, 13% above the 5-year average. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 8.5 million bbl for the week. Distillate inventories increased 1.7 million bbl, 9% below the 5-year average. US crude oil refinery inputs averaged 16.6 million b/d for the week ended Oct. 16, which was 34,000 b/d more than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 93.4% of capacity. Gasoline output averaged 9.8 million b/d, and distillate production increased to 5.2 million b/d. Crude oil imports decreased 291,000 b/d to 5.8 million b/d. The 4-week average of 6.1 million b/d is 2.8% above the year-ago level. Gasoline imports averaged 281,000 b/d; distillate imports averaged 117,000 b/d. Over the past four weeks, total product supplied averaged 21.1 million b/d, up 3.2% year over year. The 4-week average for gasoline product supplied increased 1.5% year over year to 8.7 million b/d, while the 4-week average for distillate product supplied decreased 2.4% to 3.9 million b/d. The 4-week average for jet fuel product supplied increased 1.4% year over year.

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Adura gets NSTA consent to develop Jackdaw North Sea gas field

Adura Energy has received North Sea Transition Authority (NSTA) consent to develop Jackdaw natural gas and condensate field, off the coast of northeast Scotland, following consideration of the company’s environmental statement and agreement to the grant of consent.  NSTA originally granted development consent for Jackdaw to Shell UK in June 2022. But this consent was deemed unlawful and overturned by the Scottish courts in January 2025, following findings that initial environmental approvals had failed to account for the impact of secondary emissions. Estimated reserves at Jackdaw are 72-200 MMboe. The new approval clears the way for Jackdaw to start supplying gas to British homes, power stations, and businesses within weeks, according to Adura, substantially all of the project’s physical infrastructure already having been completed. Alongside Jackdaw’s reapproval, the UK government announced it will launch a £2-billion ($2.7-billion) energy wealth fund fueled by North Sea oil and gas tax revenues to reinvest directly into renewable projects. Adura is a joint venture formed when Shell and Equinor ASA merged their UK offshore oil and gas businesses. The associated Rosebank oil field is following Jackdaw in the regulatory process. An NSTA decision on it is anticipated in the coming weeks. A spokesperson for INEOS Group Ltd. said that “Jackdaw approval is welcome, but the government must stop taxing the North Sea into decline. Approving Jackdaw is the right decision, but this does not stop the damage being done to the North Sea. And it appears Rosebank remains stuck in political limbo.”

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Energy Department Authorizes Exchange from Northeast Home Heating Oil Reserve

WASHINGTON— The U.S. Department of Energy today announced a Request for Proposal for an exchange of up to 315,000 barrels of ultra-low sulfur distillate (fuel oil) from the Northeast Home Heating Oil Reserve (NEHHOR). This solicitation is structured to mitigate supply chain challenges disrupting fuel oil supply. The announced exchange underscores the Trump Administration’s commitment to reliable energy access and lowering costs. Under the terms of the exchange, borrowing companies must return the same volume of fuel oil plus a premium, ensuring that NEHHOR is refilled ahead of the 2027–2028 heating season. “The Trump Administration is committed to doing everything in our power to lower energy costs for the American people,” said U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “After receiving Senators Collins’ and Kings’ letter and extensive discussions with Senator Collins, I have directed the Department to exchange barrels from our Northeast Home Heating Oil Reserve to mitigate heightened home heating oil costs during the upcoming winter. Of course, this is a temporary measure to solve a temporary supply disruption. I encourage the governors of New York and New England to work with the Trump Administration to build the Constitution Pipeline and replace home heating oil with low-cost natural gas. Doing so would save their residents billions of dollars in home heating and electricity costs.” DOE will exchange up to 315,000 barrels of fuel oil from NEHHOR storage sites in South Portland, Maine; Boston, Massachusetts; and New Haven, Connecticut. Fuel transfers or deliveries are scheduled to be completed by November 13, 2026. The minimum offer quantity is 25,000 barrels, but not to exceed 30,000, and the volume available per site shall not exceed 150,000. Offerors may submit multiple offers. This approach ensures a competitive bidding process in which both fuel retailers and terminal holders can participate and that product can

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Shell plans well intervention, drilling campaign to extract more gas from Ormen Lange

A/S Norske Shell and its license partners are investing in a new drilling and well intervention campaign at Ormen Lange in the Norwegian Sea. An investment figure was not disclosed. The campaign, which follows the 2025 start of subsea compression to compensate for the natural pressure drop in the reservoir, includes two sidetracks from existing wells to access additional gas volumes, as well as an option for modifications to a third well. First production is expected in 2029, the operator said in an early October release. The campaign is expected to increase recovery by about 3.5 billion cu m of gas over the life of the field. “Ormen Lange has been producing for almost 20 years, but there is still room for further resources. This investment will enable us to produce gas volumes that today’s wells cannot reach efficiently, thereby creating additional value from the field while contributing to reliable gas supplies to Europe,” said Claire Richardson-Dissel, asset manager for Ormen Lange at Norske Shell. Ormen Lange  Norway’s second largest developed gas field, Ormen Lange was Norway’s first deepwater field development. The field is developed without a platform, with all production from subsea installations installed at depths of up to 1,100 m. Gas from sandstone at a depth of almost 3,000 m is piped up the Storeggakanten peninsula to the onshore plant at Nyhamna in Aukra municipality, where it is processed before export to the UK and the EU.  Shell is operator of Ormen Lange with 17.8% interest. License partners are Petoro AS (36.5%), Equinor Energy AS (25.4%), Orlen Upstream Norway AS (14%), and Vår Energi AS (6.3%).

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Saturn Oil & Gas adds light, oil-weighted assets of Corex Resources

Saturn Oil & Gas Inc., Calgary, has agreed to acquire privately held Corex Resources Ltd. for $302 million (Can.) through a plan of arrangement, expanding its light oil position from southeast Saskatchewan into southwest Manitoba. The acquisition adds about 7,000 b/d of 100% light oil-weighted production and increases Saturn’s forecast 2026 exit production rate to 54,000-56,000 boe/d from its previous outlook, the company said Oct. 19. Corex’s assets lie adjacent to Saturn’s existing southeast Saskatchewan operations. The company said the transaction adds 323 gross (279 net) identified drilling locations, including booked and unbooked development opportunities, as well as potential open-hole multilateral targets. The acquired asset base is characterized by an average working interest of about 96% and includes operated production infrastructure, pipelines, and other infrastructure. Saturn said it has identified about $6 million/year in operating and efficiency synergies. The addition of Corex’s production is not expected to affect Saturn’s full-year 2026 average production guidance of 43,000-44,000 boe/d, but, Saturn said, the deal, along with Saturn’s expanded 2026 capital program, positions the company to exit 2026 with production of 54,000-56,000 boe/d, establishing a base for 2027. The transaction is expected to close in December 2026, subject to customary conditions.

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AI’s Fragmented Regulatory Landscape Becomes a Data Center Design Challenge

Designing for Verifiable Operations For an operator serving tenants across jurisdictions, a claim about where a workload runs must be one that the responsible service provider can substantiate. That means identifying who can administer the workload, how data moves between regions, where backups are maintained, and which records document those arrangements. A tenant promising to run a workload within a particular jurisdiction needs assurance that its data, backups, and access arrangements satisfy the applicable requirements. Workload placement alone cannot establish where a backup resides or from where an administrator can access a system. Those questions must be addressed across compute, storage, network paths, security controls, and third-party access, with responsibilities established during procurement and verified before service begins. Not all of those controls necessarily reside with the data center operator. A colocation provider may be responsible for physical access, facility security, and designated infrastructure services, while a tenant or cloud provider controls the applications, storage configuration, backup locations, and logical access to workloads. The operating agreement must distinguish between what the facility provider can verify directly and what remains within the tenant’s systems. The EU AI Act makes that division of responsibility particularly important. Its requirements for covered high-risk AI systems include logging, documentation, human oversight, robustness, and cybersecurity, subject to the law’s applicable implementation dates. These obligations attach to the relevant providers and deployers of AI systems, rather than automatically to every company hosting them. A data center operator may nevertheless be required by contract to provide physical-access records, security evidence, or information about infrastructure location so that a tenant can substantiate its own compliance. A further distinction concerns data residency. The AI Act is not itself a general requirement to keep all AI workloads or associated data within the European Union. Geographic restrictions may instead arise from data-protection

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Microsoft exits UK AI data center project over electricity delays

“We remain committed to both the Loughton project and the UK, and we are exploring alternative power sources for the site, as well ​as other expansion sites in the UK,” Nscale added. “This decision relates to a single ​site,” a Microsoft spokesperson said of its termination of an agreement for the data ​center in Loughton, Essex, where Nscale had faced delays, with electricity grid ⁠officials telling the AI company they did not expect to supply power to the site ​until the 2030s. “Our relationship with Microsoft remains strong and long-term, and this unfortunate London-wide grid ​issue has no impact on our other contracts,” a spokesperson for Nscale told Reuters.

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AI networks drive SONiC boom

Aviz Networks: Aviz, which received early funding help from Cisco, offers a pre-tested, multi-ASIC, hardware agnostic, enterprise-ready SONiC distro with added features such as bug fixes, telemetry and support. Hedgehog Networks: Founded by former Cisco exec Marc Austin in 2022 to bring SONiC-based disaggregated networking to the enterprise, Hedgehog’s mission is to simplify the deployment of private cloud AI networks with automation and orchestration based on Kubernetes. Upscale AI: This startup has raised $500 million with the goal of building a new networking platform from ground up, starting with its own silicon. The company is targeting AI data centers as its sole market and is using SONiC as the NOS. Most recently, Upscale introduced Token Fabric architecture, which combines the company’s own SkyFabriX scale-up silicon, scale-out systems built on Nvidia Spectrum-X Ethernet, and a common software layer for operations. General availability is planned for early 2027. The announcement builds on two earlier milestones. Upscale, based in Santa Clara, Calif., emerged from stealth in September 2025 with a $100 million seed round. In June, it raised an additional $190 million  4. SONiC expands beyond the data center Community support is the lifeblood of any open-source project. Under the Linux Foundation, the SONiC community has grown to more than 4,300 contributors. Heavyweight members include Alibaba, Arista, Broadcom, Cisco, Dell, Google, Microsoft, Nokia, and Nvidia. The SONiC community is currently working to extend the technology from the data center to the network edge. The PoE Edge Networks with SONiC (PENS) workgroup, led by Aviz, Wistron, Cisco and Celestica, is working to adapt SONiC for edge LANs. Specifically, the group is integrating protocols consistent with Wi-Fi networks and IoT devices, such as Power Over Ethernet (PoE) and 802.1x.

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SONiC momentum continues at OCP Global Summit

This will complete SONiC integration across the Cisco multi-silicon Nexus switching portfolio, according to a blog post by Surbhi Paul, director, product management, for data center AI networking at Cisco.  “For organizations deploying Cisco 8000 Series across WAN backbones and core transport, extending Cisco-validated SONiC to the Nexus switches creates a unified, end-to-end, open network fabric,” Cisco stated. “Customers eliminate vendor silos, leveraging a single supply chain, shared FRR routing tools, and one Technical Assistance Center (TAC) contract from the WAN edge deep into the data center core.” “Built for AI infrastructure providers scaling 8000 to 32,000+ GPU clusters. High-density 400G/800G Cisco Nexus (N9100) switches (NVIDIA Spectrum-X) and Cisco Nexus (Cloud Scale) switches allow architects to tune RoCEv2 congestion algorithms (PFC/ECN) within SONiC, maximizing GPU training efficiency without risking multi-vendor support fragmentation,” Cisco stated.

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AI’s GPU Refresh Cycle Is Becoming a Stranded-Capital Problem

The AI infrastructure buildout is measured in gigawatts and successive generations of accelerators. But as operators bring new compute capacity online, a less visible question is gaining financial urgency: What happens to GPU systems when their first production assignment ends? For hardware that remains functional but no longer meets the performance or efficiency requirements of a leading-edge AI cluster, retirement need not mean obsolescence. Equipment may be redeployed, resold, harvested for components or processed to recover materials. The outcome depends on decisions made long before a system leaves its rack. That was the central argument advanced by Linda Li, chief strategy officer of Re-Teck and its parent company, Li Tong Group, in the latest onsite installment of the DCF Show podcast, hosted by Data Center Frontier Contributing Editor Doug Black at the DCF Trends Summit 2026 in Northern Virginia. For Li, the acceleration of GPU refresh cycles is making lifecycle management a question of capital preservation, facilities design and executive governance—not merely IT asset disposition. Plan for the Exit Before the Equipment Arrives Li draws on more than two decades of her company’s work in reverse supply chains for consumer electronics and telecommunications equipment. Both sectors have managed rapid generational shifts without assuming that every displaced device had exhausted its useful life. “We are dealing with a totally different organism,” she said, describing the combination of rapid accelerator iterations, rising rack power density and increasingly sophisticated thermal requirements. The response, in her view, has two levels. The first is physical infrastructure: facilities designed to accommodate successive generations of servers without extensive reconstruction. Scalable power distribution, adaptable raceways, modular rack systems and high-capacity air and liquid cooling can create room for hardware transitions that may arrive sooner than originally expected. The second is the network of partners and contracts around the

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Beyond Colossus: 5C Advances $575M Memphis AI Factory Expansion

Memphis has emerged as a major center of AI infrastructure development, driven largely by the extraordinary scale of xAI’s Colossus supercomputing operations. But the city’s growing AI computing market extends beyond Elon Musk’s flagship project. At the former headquarters and distribution complex of discount retailer Fred’s, 5C Data Centers is developing another substantial AI computing facility, combining industrial adaptive reuse with a phased expansion strategy and plans for behind-the-meter power generation. On October 6, 2026, a $575 million commercial alteration permit application was filed for the fourth phase of 5C’s MEM01 data center at 4300 Getwell Road. The application covers approximately 504,000 square feet of the property’s 1.1 million-square-foot building, representing the largest construction phase yet proposed at the site. MEM01 is already operating. According to September reporting from The Daily Memphian, 5C had established operations in approximately 200,000 square feet of the former Fred’s property, leaving substantial additional space available for conversion. The latest permit application marks a significant escalation in the scope of the development. The expansion also introduces a major new element to 5C’s power strategy. On October 11, 5C Group Chief Revenue Officer Brad Nimri told The Daily Memphian that the company plans to increase available power at MEM01 from approximately 20 MW to 84 MW over the next six months, using fuel cell technology to supply the additional capacity rather than relying on a corresponding increase in electricity from Memphis Light, Gas and Water (MLGW). Like Colossus, which began with the conversion of a former Electrolux manufacturing facility, 5C’s development reflects the growing role of industrial adaptive reuse in AI infrastructure. The projects differ considerably in scale and their approaches to on-site power generation, but both illustrate the challenge of transforming existing industrial properties into high-density computing environments with substantial electrical requirements. As Memphis considers

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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