Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE

The Download: AI and the economy, and slop for the masses

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. How AI is changing the economy There’s a lot at stake when it comes to understanding how AI is changing the economy right now. Should we be pessimistic? Optimistic? Or is the situation too nuanced for that?Hopefully, we can point you towards some answers. Mat Honan, our editor in chief, will hold a special subscriber-only Roundtables conversation with our editor at large David Rotman, and Richard Waters, Financial Times columnist, exploring what’s happening across different markets. Register here to join us at 1pm ET on Tuesday December 9. The event is part of the Financial Times and MIT Technology Review “The State of AI” partnership, exploring the global impact of artificial intelligence. Over the past month, we’ve been running discussions between our journalists—sign up here to receive future editions every Monday. If you’re interested in how AI is affecting the economy, take a look at:  + People are worried that AI will take everyone’s jobs. We’ve been here before.+  What will AI mean for economic inequality? If we’re not careful, we could see widening gaps within countries and between them. Read the full story.+ Artificial intelligence could put us on the path to a booming economic future, but getting there will take some serious course corrections. Here’s how to fine-tune AI for prosperity. The AI Hype Index: The people can’t get enough of AI slop Separating AI reality from hyped-up fiction isn’t always easy. That’s why we’ve created the AI Hype Index—a simple, at-a-glance summary of everything you need to know about the state of the industry. Take a look at this month’s edition of the index here, featuring everything from replacing animal testing with AI to our story on why AGI should be viewed as a conspiracy theory.  MIT Technology Review Narrated: How to fix the internet We all know the internet (well, social media) is broken. But it has also provided a haven for marginalized groups and a place for support. It offers information at times of crisis. It can connect you with long-lost friends. It can make you laugh.That makes it worth fighting for. And yet, fixing online discourse is the definition of a hard problem.This is our latest story to be turned into a MIT Technology Review Narrated podcast, which we’re publishing each week on Spotify and Apple Podcasts. Just navigate to MIT Technology Review Narrated on either platform, and follow us to get all our new content as it’s released. The must-reads I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology. 1 How much AI investment is too much AI investment?Tech companies hope to learn from beleaguered Intel. (WSJ $)+ HP is pivoting to AI in the hopes of saving $1 billion a year. (The Guardian)+ The European Central bank has accused tech investors of FOMO. (FT $) 2 ICE is outsourcing immigrant surveillance to private firmsIt’s incentivizing contractors with multi-million dollar rewards. (Wired $)+ Californian residents have been traumatized by recent raids. (The Guardian)+ Another effort to track ICE raids was just taken offline. (MIT Technology Review) 3 Poland plans to use drones to defend its rail network from attackIt’s blaming Russia for a recent line explosion. (FT $)+ This giant microwave may change the future of war. (MIT Technology Review) 4 ChatGPT could eventually have as many subscribers as SpotifyAccording to erm, OpenAI. (The Information $)5 Here’s how your phone-checking habits could shape your daily lifeYou’re probably underestimating just how often you pick it up. (WP $)+ How to log off. (MIT Technology Review)6 Chinese drugs are comingIts drugmakers are on the verge of making more money overseas than at home. (Economist $) 7 Uber is deploying fully driverless robotaxis in an Abu Dhabi islandRoaming 12 square miles of the popular tourist destination. (The Verge)+ Tesla is hoping to double its robotaxi fleet in Austin next month. (Reuters) 8 Apple is set to become the world’s largest smartphone makerAfter more than a decade in Samsung’s shadow. (Bloomberg $) 9 An AI teddy bear that discussed sexual topics is back on saleBut the Teddy Kumma toy is now powered by a different chatbot. (Bloomberg $)+ AI toys are all the rage in China—and now they’re appearing on shelves in the US too. (MIT Technology Review) 10 How Stranger Things became the ultimate algorithmic TV showIts creators mashed a load of pop culture references together and created a streaming phenomenon. (NYT $) Quote of the day “AI is a very powerful tool—it’s a hammer and that doesn’t mean everything is a nail.” —Marketing consultant Ryan Bearden explains to the Wall Street Journal why it pays to be discerning when using AI. One more thing Are we ready to hand AI agents the keys?In recent months, a new class of agents has arrived on the scene: ones built using large language models. Any action that can be captured by text—from playing a video game using written commands to running a social media account—is potentially within the purview of this type of system.LLM agents don’t have much of a track record yet, but to hear CEOs tell it, they will transform the economy—and soon. Despite that, like chatbot LLMs, agents can be chaotic and unpredictable. Here’s what could happen as we try to integrate them into everything. —Grace Huckins We can still have nice things A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.) + The entries for this year’s Nature inFocus Photography Awards are fantastic.+ There’s nothing like a good karaoke sesh.+ Happy heavenly birthday Tina Turner, who would have turned 86 years old today.+ Stop the presses—the hotly-contested list of the world’s top 50 vineyards has officially been announced 🍇

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology.

How AI is changing the economy

There’s a lot at stake when it comes to understanding how AI is changing the economy right now. Should we be pessimistic? Optimistic? Or is the situation too nuanced for that?

Hopefully, we can point you towards some answers. Mat Honan, our editor in chief, will hold a special subscriber-only Roundtables conversation with our editor at large David Rotman, and Richard Waters, Financial Times columnist, exploring what’s happening across different markets. Register here to join us at 1pm ET on Tuesday December 9.

The event is part of the Financial Times and MIT Technology Review “The State of AI” partnership, exploring the global impact of artificial intelligence. Over the past month, we’ve been running discussions between our journalists—sign up here to receive future editions every Monday.

If you’re interested in how AI is affecting the economy, take a look at: 

+ People are worried that AI will take everyone’s jobs. We’ve been here before.

+  What will AI mean for economic inequality? If we’re not careful, we could see widening gaps within countries and between them. Read the full story.

+ Artificial intelligence could put us on the path to a booming economic future, but getting there will take some serious course corrections. Here’s how to fine-tune AI for prosperity.

The AI Hype Index: The people can’t get enough of AI slop

Separating AI reality from hyped-up fiction isn’t always easy. That’s why we’ve created the AI Hype Index—a simple, at-a-glance summary of everything you need to know about the state of the industry. Take a look at this month’s edition of the index here, featuring everything from replacing animal testing with AI to our story on why AGI should be viewed as a conspiracy theory

MIT Technology Review Narrated: How to fix the internet

We all know the internet (well, social media) is broken. But it has also provided a haven for marginalized groups and a place for support. It offers information at times of crisis. It can connect you with long-lost friends. It can make you laugh.

That makes it worth fighting for. And yet, fixing online discourse is the definition of a hard problem.

This is our latest story to be turned into a MIT Technology Review Narrated podcast, which we’re publishing each week on Spotify and Apple Podcasts. Just navigate to MIT Technology Review Narrated on either platform, and follow us to get all our new content as it’s released.

The must-reads

I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology.

1 How much AI investment is too much AI investment?
Tech companies hope to learn from beleaguered Intel. (WSJ $)
+ HP is pivoting to AI in the hopes of saving $1 billion a year. (The Guardian)
+ The European Central bank has accused tech investors of FOMO. (FT $)

2 ICE is outsourcing immigrant surveillance to private firms
It’s incentivizing contractors with multi-million dollar rewards. (Wired $)
+ Californian residents have been traumatized by recent raids. (The Guardian)
+ Another effort to track ICE raids was just taken offline. (MIT Technology Review)

3 Poland plans to use drones to defend its rail network from attack
It’s blaming Russia for a recent line explosion. (FT $)
+ This giant microwave may change the future of war. (MIT Technology Review)

4 ChatGPT could eventually have as many subscribers as Spotify
According to erm, OpenAI. (The Information $)

5 Here’s how your phone-checking habits could shape your daily life
You’re probably underestimating just how often you pick it up. (WP $)
+ How to log off. (MIT Technology Review)

6 Chinese drugs are coming
Its drugmakers are on the verge of making more money overseas than at home. (Economist $)

7 Uber is deploying fully driverless robotaxis in an Abu Dhabi island
Roaming 12 square miles of the popular tourist destination. (The Verge)
+ Tesla is hoping to double its robotaxi fleet in Austin next month. (Reuters)

8 Apple is set to become the world’s largest smartphone maker
After more than a decade in Samsung’s shadow. (Bloomberg $)

9 An AI teddy bear that discussed sexual topics is back on sale
But the Teddy Kumma toy is now powered by a different chatbot. (Bloomberg $)
+ AI toys are all the rage in China—and now they’re appearing on shelves in the US too. (MIT Technology Review)

10 How Stranger Things became the ultimate algorithmic TV show
Its creators mashed a load of pop culture references together and created a streaming phenomenon. (NYT $)

Quote of the day

“AI is a very powerful tool—it’s a hammer and that doesn’t mean everything is a nail.”

—Marketing consultant Ryan Bearden explains to the Wall Street Journal why it pays to be discerning when using AI.

One more thing

Are we ready to hand AI agents the keys?

In recent months, a new class of agents has arrived on the scene: ones built using large language models. Any action that can be captured by text—from playing a video game using written commands to running a social media account—is potentially within the purview of this type of system.

LLM agents don’t have much of a track record yet, but to hear CEOs tell it, they will transform the economy—and soon. Despite that, like chatbot LLMs, agents can be chaotic and unpredictable. Here’s what could happen as we try to integrate them into everything.

—Grace Huckins

We can still have nice things

A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.)

+ The entries for this year’s Nature inFocus Photography Awards are fantastic.
+ There’s nothing like a good karaoke sesh.
+ Happy heavenly birthday Tina Turner, who would have turned 86 years old today.
+ Stop the presses—the hotly-contested list of the world’s top 50 vineyards has officially been announced 🍇

Shape
Shape
Stay Ahead

Explore More Insights

Stay ahead with more perspectives on cutting-edge power, infrastructure, energy,  bitcoin and AI solutions. Explore these articles to uncover strategies and insights shaping the future of industries.

Shape

Fluent Bit vulnerabilities could enable full cloud takeover

Attackers could flood monitoring systems with false or misleading events, hide alerts in the noise, or even hijack the telemetry stream entirely, Katz said. The issue is now tracked as CVE-2025-12969 and awaits a severity valuation. Almost equally troubling are other flaws in the “tag” mechanism, which determines how the records are

Read More »

NFL, AWS drive football modernization with cloud, AI

AWS Next Gen Stats: Initially used for player participation tracking (replacing manual photo-taking), Next Gen Stats uses sensors to capture center-of-mass and contact information, which is then used to generate performance insights. Computer vision: Computer vision was initially insufficient, but the technology has improved greatly over the past few years.

Read More »

Apstra founder launches Aria to tackle AI networking performance

Aria’s technical approach differs from incumbent vendors in its focus on end-to-end path optimization rather than individual switch performance. Karam argues that traditional networking vendors think of themselves primarily as switch companies, with software efforts concentrated on switch operating systems rather than cluster-wide operational models. “It’s no longer just about

Read More »

Rystad Warns ‘Volatility Far from Over’ for Energy Markets

In a market update sent to Rigzone by the Rystad Energy team late Tuesday, Rystad Energy’s Head of Geopolitical Analysis, Jorge Leon, warned that “volatility is far from over” for energy markets. That Rystad update highlighted that “U.S. and Ukrainian officials said they have reached broad agreement on the basic terms of a peace proposal” but added that “questions remain regarding crucial details and Russia’s willingness to accept it”. “Energy markets responded to the potential geopolitical breakthrough with a dip in both oil and gas prices, followed by a quick reversal,” the update stated, noting that “U.S. talks with Russian officials are reportedly ongoing in Abu Dhabi”. Leon pointed out in the update that “the news of a revised peace proposal and ongoing negotiations, with Ukraine’s agreement in principle … prompted an immediate reaction across energy markets”. He highlighted that oil prices initially fell by around two percent, and that European natural gas prices dropped by a similar amount, “as traders priced in a lower risk of further escalation”. “However, those early declines have already partially reversed, underscoring how sensitive markets remain to every headline,” Leon said in Tuesday’s update. The Rystad Energy head went on to state in the update that, “crucially, the devil is still in the details”. “What are being described as ‘minor points to be resolved’ will determine whether this proposal is accepted by both sides, especially as hostilities have continued in the form of deadly strikes,” Leon said. “Key issues, including territorial arrangements, security guarantees and implementation timelines, could require several additional rounds of revision. Above all, while some outlets have reported on Ukraine’s agreement in principle, the world is still waiting for an official response by both parties,” he added. “Early signals, including comments from Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, indicate that Moscow could

Read More »

Venezuela Taps Chevron for Feedstock After USA Blocks Ship

Venezuela is tapping Chevron Corp. for supplies of a key feedstock after a US warship blocked the path of a Russian vessel near the country’s coast, threatening to roil deliveries of the much-needed material.  The oil major can only load crude oil after it delivers a cargo of diluent naphtha — used to help oil flow in pipelines — to Venezuela, according to a person with knowledge of the situation.  The Chevron-booked ship Nave Neutrino, which was scheduled to load a parcel of crude oil at the Venezuelan government-controlled terminal of Jose, left the coast empty after two days, said two people, asking not to be named because the information is private. The vessel instead sailed to the US Virgin Islands, where it is loading naphtha for Venezuela. After discharging at Jose, it will be able to load crude, one of the people said.  Chevron, which regularly buys naphtha for its projects in Venezuela, said in a statement that its operations there “continue in full compliance with laws and regulations applicable to its business, as well as the sanctions frameworks provided for by the U.S. government.” The last-minute change came after the Russian vessel Seahorse, on its way to back to Venezuela from Cuba, hit the brakes when the US destroyer USS Stockdale crossed its path. The Seahorse made its way to the Venezuelan coast after the warship moved away, according to ship movements tracked by Bloomberg.  The rerouting of the Nave Neutrino underscores the challenges Venezuela has faced since the US beefed up its military presence in the region as part of a campaign to force leader Nicolas Maduro from office. Oil production, already severely constrained, now faces a new setback as dark-fleet ships reconsider approaching Venezuela’s ports. Supplies of naphtha are tight in Venezuela after an explosion at

Read More »

Strategists See Near 5MM Barrel WoW USA Crude Stock Rise

In an oil and gas report sent to Rigzone by the Macquarie team late Monday, Macquarie strategists, including Walt Chancellor, revealed that they are forecasting that U.S. crude inventories will be up by 4.9 million barrels for the week ending November 21. “This follows a 3.4 million barrel draw in the prior week, with the crude balance realizing relatively close to our expectations,” the strategists said in the report. “For this week’s balance, from refineries, we model a small increase in crude runs (+0.1 million barrels per day),” they added. “Among net imports, we model a large increase, with exports lower (-0.6 million barrels per day) and imports higher (+0.3 million barrels per day) on a nominal basis,” they continued. The Macquarie strategists warned in the report that the timing of cargoes remains a source of potential volatility in this week’s crude balance. “From implied domestic supply (prod.+adj.+transfers), we look for an increase (+0.3 million barrels per day) on a nominal basis this week,” the strategists went on to note. “Rounding out the picture, we anticipate a similar increase (+0.5 million barrels) in SPR [U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve] stocks this week,” they added. The Macquarie strategists also noted in the report that, “among products”, they “look for a draw in gasoline (-0.6 million barrels), with builds in distillate (+3.3 million barrels) and jet (+0.7 million barrels)”. “We model implied demand for these three products at ~13.8 million barrels per day for the week ending November 21,” the Macquarie strategists went on to state in the report. In its latest weekly petroleum status report at the time of writing, which was released on November 19 and included data for the week ending November 14, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) highlighted that U.S. commercial crude oil inventories, excluding those in the

Read More »

Energy Secretary Secures Grid Reliability in Mid-Atlantic Ahead of Winter

Emergency order increases grid stability, lowers energy costs, and minimizes the risk of energy shortfalls in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States ahead of cold winter months.   WASHINGTON—U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright today issued an emergency order to minimize the risk of blackouts in the Mid-Atlantic region of the United States. Secretary Wright’s order directs PJM Interconnection (PJM), in coordination with Constellation Energy, to ensure Units 3 and 4 of the Eddystone Generating Station in Pennsylvania remain available for operation and to take every step to minimize costs for the American people. The production of electricity from the units will continue to be critical to maintaining reliability in PJM over the coming winter months.    “Thanks to President Trump’s leadership, the Department of Energy is using all tools available to keep the lights on and heat running for the American people,” said Energy Secretary Wright. “This emergency order is needed to strengthen grid reliability and will help provide affordable, reliable, and secure power when Americans need it most.” As outlined in DOE’s Resource Adequacy Report, power outages could increase by 100 times in 2030 if the U.S. continues to take reliable power offline. Secretary Wright ordered that the two Eddystone Generating Station units remain online past their planned retirement date in a May 30, 2025 emergency order. Keeping these units operational over the summer strengthened energy security in the PJM region, as demonstrated when PJM called on the Eddystone Units to generate electricity during heat waves that hit the region in June and July.  A subsequent order was issued on August 28, 2025. PJM’s service area will continue to face emergency conditions both in the near and long term. In January 2025, PJM reached a new record peak for winter demand, exceeding the previous winter peak set in 2015. This order is in effect

Read More »

Oil Closes the Day Near Month Low

Oil fell as signs of progress in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia buoyed expectations that Moscow’s supply will stay online. West Texas Intermediate futures fell 1.5% to settle near $58 a barrel, the lowest in a month, as talks to end the war in Ukraine show signs of progress. Crude had dropped sharply earlier in the session after ABC News reported Kyiv agreed to the terms of a revised peace deal aimed at ending Russia’s nearly four-year war. Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said talks on a peace plan are continuing with the US. There are key points still to be resolved between US and Ukraine, including the thorniest issues, according to a person familiar with the matter. A White House spokesperson signaled optimism around the efforts while warning some details still need to be sorted as Russia’s position on the plan remains unclear. Moscow and Ukraine carried out airstrikes overnight. “Flat crude prices got hammered on news that Ukraine appeared open to the broad contours of the US-proposed peace plan,” said Rory Johnston of Commodity Context. The physical market tells a different story, with “prompt Brent timespreads continuing to strengthen, indicating continued tightness” in near-term supply. An end to the war would have significant ramifications for the oil market. Russia is one of the world’s top producers and its flows are heavily sanctioned by the US, European Union and UK. In October the US announced new sanctions on its two major producers. It’s still far from certain, though, that Russia will accept a revised peace plan that cut several points from an initial proposal following input from European officials. “For energy markets, this means volatility is far from over,” said Jorge Leon, head of geopolitical analysis at Rystad Energy A/S. “Prices reacted swiftly to the initial optimism for an

Read More »

OPEC+ Again Faces Thorny Issue of How Much It Can Pump

OPEC+ nations gathering this weekend are once again grappling with the thorny question of how much oil they’re physically able to pump. In May, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies launched a new assessment of members’ “maximum sustainable capacity” to help set production quotas in 2027. With output levels for the months ahead already set, delegates say this longer-term review will likely be one area of focus at Sunday’s meeting. The process looks increasingly necessary, as the struggle by some OPEC+ members to increase supplies as much as agreed this year indicates they may be nearing output limits. Clarifying their full capacity would help align quotas more closely with reality — and make any future cutbacks more credible. OPEC’s readiness to make new curbs could be tested in 2026 amid signs of a swelling global oil surplus and downward pressure on crude prices, which have slumped to near $60 a barrel in London. In a report on Monday, JPMorgan Chase & Co. indicated that the alliance may need to slash output next year to avert a plunge into the $40s. But the capacity assessment also poses an area of friction for the organization, as some countries push for a higher estimate of their abilities and others refuse to admit they can’t produce as much as claimed. In 2023, discord over the process led to the exit of long-term OPEC member Angola. While group leader Saudi Arabia is capable of boosting output significantly, the outlook for other nations is less clear-cut. The United Arab Emirates and Iraq have been eager to expand capacity, but some members like Russia are challenged by international sanctions.  The review will be conducted with the assistance of several energy consulting firms, which in the past have included Wood Mackenzie and IHS, which is

Read More »

Microsoft loses two senior AI infrastructure leaders as data center pressures mount

Microsoft did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Microsoft’s constraints Analysts say the twin departures mark a significant setback for Microsoft at a critical moment in the AI data center race, with pressure mounting from both OpenAI’s model demands and Google’s infrastructure scale. “Losing some of the best professionals working on this challenge could set Microsoft back,” said Neil Shah, partner and co-founder at Counterpoint Research. “Solving the energy wall is not trivial, and there may have been friction or strategic differences that contributed to their decision to move on, especially if they saw an opportunity to make a broader impact and do so more lucratively at a company like Nvidia.” Even so, Microsoft has the depth and ecosystem strength to continue doubling down on AI data centers, said Prabhu Ram, VP for industry research at Cybermedia Research. According to Sanchit Gogia, chief analyst at Greyhound Research, the departures come at a sensitive moment because Microsoft is trying to expand its AI infrastructure faster than physical constraints allow. “The executives who have left were central to GPU cluster design, data center engineering, energy procurement, and the experimental power and cooling approaches Microsoft has been pursuing to support dense AI workloads,” Gogia said. “Their exit coincides with pressures the company has already acknowledged publicly. GPUs are arriving faster than the company can energize the facilities that will house them, and power availability has overtaken chip availability as the real bottleneck.”

Read More »

What is Edge AI? When the cloud isn’t close enough

Many edge devices can periodically send summarized or selected inference output data back to a central system for model retraining or refinement. That feedback loop helps the model improve over time while still keeping most decisions local. And to run efficiently on constrained edge hardware, the AI model is often pre-processed by techniques such as quantization (which reduces precision), pruning (which removes redundant parameters), or knowledge distillation (which trains a smaller model to mimic a larger one). These optimizations reduce the model’s memory, compute, and power demands so it can run more easily on an edge device. What technologies make edge AI possible? The concept of the “edge” always assumes that edge devices are less computationally powerful than data centers and cloud platforms. While that remains true, overall improvements in computational hardware have made today’s edge devices much more capable than those designed just a few years ago. In fact, a whole host of technological developments have come together to make edge AI a reality. Specialized hardware acceleration. Edge devices now ship with dedicated AI-accelerators (NPUs, TPUs, GPU cores) and system-on-chip units tailored for on-device inference. For example, companies like Arm have integrated AI-acceleration libraries into standard frameworks so models can run efficiently on Arm-based CPUs. Connectivity and data architecture. Edge AI often depends on durable, low-latency links (e.g., 5G, WiFi 6, LPWAN) and architectures that move compute closer to data. Merging edge nodes, gateways, and local servers means less reliance on distant clouds. And technologies like Kubernetes can provide a consistent management plane from the data center to remote locations. Deployment, orchestration, and model lifecycle tooling. Edge AI deployments must support model-update delivery, device and fleet monitoring, versioning, rollback and secure inference — especially when orchestrated across hundreds or thousands of locations. VMware, for instance, is offering traffic management

Read More »

Networks, AI, and metaversing

Our first, conservative, view says that AI’s network impact is largely confined to the data center, to connect clusters of GPU servers and the data they use as they crunch large language models. It’s all “horizontal” traffic; one TikTok challenge would generate way more traffic in the wide area. WAN costs won’t rise for you as an enterprise, and if you’re a carrier you won’t be carrying much new, so you don’t have much service revenue upside. If you don’t host AI on premises, you can pretty much dismiss its impact on your network. Contrast that with the radical metaverse view, our third view. Metaverses and AR/VR transform AI missions, and network services, from transaction processing to event processing, because the real world is a bunch of events pushing on you. They also let you visualize the way that process control models (digital twins) relate to the real world, which is critical if the processes you’re modeling involve human workers who rely on their visual sense. Could it be that the reason Meta is willing to spend on AI, is that the most credible application of AI, and the most impactful for networks, is the metaverse concept? In any event, this model of AI, by driving the users’ experiences and activities directly, demands significant edge connectivity, so you could expect it to have a major impact on network requirements. In fact, just dipping your toes into a metaverse could require a major up-front network upgrade. Networks carry traffic. Traffic is messages. More messages, more traffic, more infrastructure, more service revenue…you get the picture. Door number one, to the AI giant future, leads to nothing much in terms of messages. Door number three, metaverses and AR/VR, leads to a message, traffic, and network revolution. I’ll bet that most enterprises would doubt

Read More »

Microsoft’s Fairwater Atlanta and the Rise of the Distributed AI Supercomputer

Microsoft’s second Fairwater data center in Atlanta isn’t just “another big GPU shed.” It represents the other half of a deliberate architectural experiment: proving that two massive AI campuses, separated by roughly 700 miles, can operate as one coherent, distributed supercomputer. The Atlanta installation is the latest expression of Microsoft’s AI-first data center design: purpose-built for training and serving frontier models rather than supporting mixed cloud workloads. It links directly to the original Fairwater campus in Wisconsin, as well as to earlier generations of Azure AI supercomputers, through a dedicated AI WAN backbone that Microsoft describes as the foundation of a “planet-scale AI superfactory.” Inside a Fairwater Site: Preparing for Multi-Site Distribution Efficient multi-site training only works if each individual site behaves as a clean, well-structured unit. Microsoft’s intra-site design is deliberately simplified so that cross-site coordination has a predictable abstraction boundary—essential for treating multiple campuses as one distributed AI system. Each Fairwater installation presents itself as a single, flat, high-regularity cluster: Up to 72 NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs per rack, using GB200 NVL72 rack-scale systems. NVLink provides the ultra-low-latency, high-bandwidth scale-up fabric within the rack, while the Spectrum-X Ethernet stack handles scale-out. Each rack delivers roughly 1.8 TB/s of GPU-to-GPU bandwidth and exposes a multi-terabyte pooled memory space addressable via NVLink—critical for large-model sharding, activation checkpointing, and parallelism strategies. Racks feed into a two-tier Ethernet scale-out network offering 800 Gbps GPU-to-GPU connectivity with very low hop counts, engineered to scale to hundreds of thousands of GPUs without encountering the classic port-count and topology constraints of traditional Clos fabrics. Microsoft confirms that the fabric relies heavily on: SONiC-based switching and a broad commodity Ethernet ecosystem to avoid vendor lock-in and accelerate architectural iteration. Custom network optimizations, such as packet trimming, packet spray, high-frequency telemetry, and advanced congestion-control mechanisms, to prevent collective

Read More »

Land & Expand: Hyperscale, AI Factory, Megascale

Land & Expand is Data Center Frontier’s periodic roundup of notable North American data center development activity, tracking the newest sites, land plays, retrofits, and hyperscale campus expansions shaping the industry’s build cycle. October delivered a steady cadence of announcements, with several megascale projects advancing from concept to commitment. The month was defined by continued momentum in OpenAI and Oracle’s Stargate initiative (now spanning multiple U.S. regions) as well as major new investments from Google, Meta, DataBank, and emerging AI cloud players accelerating high-density reuse strategies. The result is a clearer picture of how the next wave of AI-first infrastructure is taking shape across the country. Google Begins $4B West Memphis Hyperscale Buildout Google formally broke ground on its $4 billion hyperscale campus in West Memphis, Arkansas, marking the company’s first data center in the state and the anchor for a new Mid-South operational hub. The project spans just over 1,000 acres, with initial site preparation and utility coordination already underway. Google and Entergy Arkansas confirmed a 600 MW solar generation partnership, structured to add dedicated renewable supply to the regional grid. As part of the launch, Google announced a $25 million Energy Impact Fund for local community affordability programs and energy-resilience improvements—an unusually early community-benefit commitment for a first-phase hyperscale project. Cooling specifics have not yet been made public. Water sourcing—whether reclaimed, potable, or hybrid seasonal mode—remains under review, as the company finalizes environmental permits. Public filings reference a large-scale onsite water treatment facility, similar to Google’s deployments in The Dalles and Council Bluffs. Local governance documents show that prior to the October announcement, West Memphis approved a 30-year PILOT via Groot LLC (Google’s land assembly entity), with early filings referencing a typical placeholder of ~50 direct jobs. At launch, officials emphasized hundreds of full-time operations roles and thousands

Read More »

The New Digital Infrastructure Geography: Green Street’s David Guarino on AI Demand, Power Scarcity, and the Next Phase of Data Center Growth

As the global data center industry races through its most frenetic build cycle in history, one question continues to define the market’s mood: is this the peak of an AI-fueled supercycle, or the beginning of a structurally different era for digital infrastructure? For Green Street Managing Director and Head of Global Data Center and Tower Research David Guarino, the answer—based firmly on observable fundamentals—is increasingly clear. Demand remains blisteringly strong. Capital appetite is deepening. And the very definition of a “data center market” is shifting beneath the industry’s feet. In a wide-ranging discussion with Data Center Frontier, Guarino outlined why data centers continue to stand out in the commercial real estate landscape, how AI is reshaping underwriting and development models, why behind-the-meter power is quietly reorganizing the U.S. map, and what Green Street sees ahead for rents, REITs, and the next wave of hyperscale expansion. A ‘Safe’ Asset in an Uncertain CRE Landscape Among institutional investors, the post-COVID era was the moment data centers stepped decisively out of “niche” territory. Guarino notes that pandemic-era reliance on digital services crystallized a structural recognition: data centers deliver stable, predictable cash flows, anchored by the highest-credit tenants in global real estate. Hyperscalers today dominate new leasing and routinely sign 15-year (or longer) contracts, a duration largely unmatched across CRE categories. When compared with one-year apartment leases, five-year office leases, or mall anchor terms, the stability story becomes plain. “These are AAA-caliber companies signing the longest leases in the sector’s history,” Guarino said. “From a real estate point of view, that combination of tenant quality and lease duration continues to position the asset class as uniquely durable.” And development returns remain exceptional. Even without assuming endless AI growth, the math works: strong demand, rising rents, and high-credit tenants create unusually predictable performance relative to

Read More »

Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

Read More »

John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

Read More »

2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

Read More »

OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

Read More »