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USA EIA Boosts Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Forecasts

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its Henry Hub natural gas spot price forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released on April 10. According to its April STEO, the EIA now sees the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.27 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2025 and $4.60 per MMBtu in 2026. In its previous STEO, which was released in March, the EIA saw the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.19 per MMBtu in 2025 and $4.47 per MMBtu in 2026. The EIA projected in its April STEO that the Henry Hub spot price will come in at $3.93 per MMBtu in the second quarter of 2025, $4.34 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.68 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.93 per MMBtu in the first quarter of next year, $4.18 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.61 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.66 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter. The EIA highlighted in its latest STEO that the Henry Hub spot price averaged $4.15 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025 and $2.19 per MMBtu overall in 2024. In its March STEO, the EIA projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $3.88 per MMBtu in the second quarter of this year, $4.30 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.49 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.66 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2026, $4.13 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.50 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.60 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter of next year. The EIA’s March STEO projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $4.11 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025. This STEO also highlighted that the commodity came in at $2.19

Read More »

Major shareholder revolt against BP chairman amid climate clash

Outgoing BP chairman Helge Lund received a near 25% vote against his reelection at the UK oil major’s annual general meeting in a shareholder revolt. The company’s board was dealt a bloody nose from shareholders as it faced conflicting pressures over climate goals during the meeting at its Sunbury-on-Thames hub on Thursday. It follows BP announcing a drastic shift away from investing in renewables in February after some shareholders pushed for a refocus on fossil fuels to boost its profits and share price, which have lagged behind its rivals. But ahead of the AGM, a group of 48 institutional investors criticised the board for not offering a direct vote on the oil major’s revised strategy, while environmental groups fiercely criticised the climate row-back. A resolution for Lund’s reelection received a provisional 24.3% of opposed votes, which marks a major rebuttal for a FTSE 100 company. © Supplied by Kenny Elrick/DC ThomBP’s North Sea HQ in Dyce, Aberdeen. Lund, who played a key role in setting BP’s green agenda, announced he will step down as the company plots a new course, meaning votes against his reelection were largely seen as a protest. Tarek Bouhouch, from the activist group Follow This, argued a vote against of 10% or more would have a “sole ESG purpose” and send a “strong signal”. According to the campaign group, a vote against the chairman likely never breached 10% in the firm’s history, or at least in the last decades. “Double digits is history,” Bouhouch said, claiming BP had never seen an oppose vote hit 10% at an AGM, at least not in the last decade. During the 90-minute meeting, board members and executives discussed the new strategy, with a large sign saying “A reset BP” on the set above their seats. Lund spoke about recent concerns

Read More »

TGS Expands its Mauritania 3D Seismic Library

Energy data and intelligence provider TGS has expanded its multi-client data library offshore Mauritania with the addition of over 101,500 square kilometers (39,189 square miles) of high-quality 3D seismic data. This expansion adds to the existing library of over 19,000 square kilometers (7,335.9 square miles) of reprocessed PSDM 3D seismic data and multiple regional 2D seismic surveys, TGS said in a media release. Together, these integrated datasets provide a more comprehensive and nuanced view of the subsurface, helping to refine known plays while revealing new exploration opportunities.  This data was released in collaboration with the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, the company said. Initial insights are beginning to surface through the integration of regional geological expertise and comprehensive mapping of trap trends, which extend from shelf-edge wells to deeper outboard fairways. Significantly, the discovery of Late Cretaceous channel-fan systems within the basin region is offering a renewed understanding of the area’s hydrocarbon potential, TGS said. “With the extension of our offshore data library with new 3D seismic data, Mauritania is opening the door to a new era of energy exploration. Our rich, underexplored basins and stable investment climate make Mauritania one of the most exciting frontiers for oil and gas”, Mohamed Ould Khaled, the Mauritanian Minister of Energy and Petroleum, said. “We are ready to work hand in hand with international partners to unlock this immense potential and deliver long-term, mutually beneficial growth”. “Aside from greatly expanding the quantity of high-quality multi-client subsurface data in West Africa, the true value of this extensive regional study lies in its ability to contextualize borehole data across the area. By re-evaluating historical exploration results – both successes and failures – exploration teams are better equipped to de-risk future ventures and make informed investment decisions”, David Hajovsky, Executive Vice President of Multi-Client, commented. TGS said

Read More »

Meeting unprecedented load growth: Challenges and opportunities for resource adequacy

Samuel Newell is a principal at The Brattle Group. The U.S. electric system is under more pressure than ever before. In order to meet the challenges of unprecedented growth in electricity demand from data centers, re-shoring and other uses, the U.S. electricity grid will have to expand more than five times faster than in the previous two decades. All regions of the country will need massive amounts of new resources and increased grid capability yet face lagging infrastructure, supply chain issues and slow-moving planning processes. Current forecasts, based on Brattle’s aggregation of most recent RTO and utility forecasts across the country, suggest peak loads will increase by 175 GW by 2030, and 270 GW by 2035 (24% and 36%, respectively) relative to 2024. Annual energy use is projected to grow even faster, adding 53% by 2035, since many of the new loads have higher load factors than existing loads. Forecast of annual electric use (TWh), based on individual RTOs’ and utilities’ most recent forecasts. Permission granted by The Brattle Group These forecasts are uncertain, with wider error bars than in more stable periods. Uncertainties surround the firmness of hyperscalers’ plans for new data centers and their future expansion, as everything about artificial intelligence training, usage and computational efficiencies evolve. There is also uncertainty around whether planned manufacturing plants will proceed with federal incentives that have been depended upon. Perhaps there is more downside than upside if some service requests are tentative or duplicative of requests in other candidate locations. Yet even if only half materializes, the growth rate will still far exceed that experienced in recent decades. This rate of growth is difficult to meet because of its sheer magnitude and because it is so much higher than anticipated in forecasts from even a mere 1.5 years ago, which were closer

Read More »

Trump administration ordered to resume IRA funding

A federal judge Tuesday ordered the Trump administration to take “immediate steps” to reinstate already awarded funding from the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, after the president broadly froze the disbursements on his first day in office.  Judge Mary McElroy of the U.S. District Court for Rhode Island ordered the Departments of Energy, Housing and Urban Development, Interior and Agriculture, as well as the Environmental Protection Agency, to release awards previously withheld, after the ruling found the agencies lacked authority to freeze the funding.  The decision applies to all awardees nationwide, and will remain in effect until McElroy rules on the merits of the lawsuit. The agencies must update the court of the status of their compliance by 5 p.m. EST on Wednesday.  “Agencies do not have unlimited authority to further a President’s agenda, nor do they have unfettered power to hamstring in perpetuity two statutes passed by Congress during the previous administration,” McElroy wrote in her decision.  The decision is a blow to President Donald Trump’s plans to dismantle the Biden administration’s hallmark climate funding law. The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in August 2022, provides hundreds of billions of dollars in direct funding and loan financing. It also offers lucrative tax credits for manufacturers that meet domestic production requirements, incentivizing a host of companies to invest in domestic facilities over the past three years. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, also provides billions of dollars in clean energy funding.  Following the funding freeze, six nonprofits — Woonasquatucket River Watershed Council, Eastern Rhode Island Conservation District, Childhood Lead Action Project, Codman Square Neighborhood Development Corp., Green Infrastructure Center, and National Council of Nonprofits — sued the agencies in March in a bid to access their awarded funding, after other court orders failed. McElroy’s

Read More »

‘Critical’ Greenlink connects the UK and Ireland

The Greenlink interconnector between Wales and Ireland has come online, doubling capacity to one gigawatt. Spanning from County Wexford to National Grid’s Pembroke substation, the 504MW interconnector has been welcomed by both the Irish and UK governments. Irish minister for climate, environment and energy Darragh O’Brien said: “I want to congratulate the team at Greenlink for bringing this critical piece of energy infrastructure for Ireland and the UK to life.” The infrastructure connects into the electricity transmission networks of the UK’s National Grid and Ireland’s EirGrid, with the latter operating the link. Michael Kelly, interim chief operations and asset management officer at EirGrid, commented: “This latest connection marks a vital step forward in strengthening our shared commitment to energy resilience and security and was made possible through combining expertise, resources and innovation with our UK colleagues and through collaboration with the Greenlink team.” The interconnector is made up of two 320kV high-voltage direct current (HVDC) subsea cables and associated converter stations. National Grid has claimed that the project “strengthens energy security”, while UK minister Michael Shanks said that it will allow both nations to achieve their “clean energy potential.” The energy minister said: “It is important that Ireland and the UK work together to strengthen our mutual energy security, and drive forward in reaching our clean energy potential. “This cable between Wexford and Wales will help deliver our clean power 2030 mission and support Ireland’s renewable expansion by allowing us to trade more cheaper-to-generate clean energy with each other, helping both nations to move away from volatile fossil fuel markets.” © Mathew Perry/DCT MediaUK Energy Minister Michael Shanks speaking at the 2024 OEUK Conference. O’Brien added that the delivery of Greenlink is a symbol of the “ever-strengthening energy relationship” between the UK and Ireland. “Increased electricity interconnection will be a

Read More »

USA EIA Boosts Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Forecasts

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its Henry Hub natural gas spot price forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released on April 10. According to its April STEO, the EIA now sees the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.27 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2025 and $4.60 per MMBtu in 2026. In its previous STEO, which was released in March, the EIA saw the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.19 per MMBtu in 2025 and $4.47 per MMBtu in 2026. The EIA projected in its April STEO that the Henry Hub spot price will come in at $3.93 per MMBtu in the second quarter of 2025, $4.34 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.68 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.93 per MMBtu in the first quarter of next year, $4.18 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.61 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.66 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter. The EIA highlighted in its latest STEO that the Henry Hub spot price averaged $4.15 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025 and $2.19 per MMBtu overall in 2024. In its March STEO, the EIA projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $3.88 per MMBtu in the second quarter of this year, $4.30 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.49 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.66 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2026, $4.13 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.50 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.60 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter of next year. The EIA’s March STEO projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $4.11 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025. This STEO also highlighted that the commodity came in at $2.19

Read More »

Major shareholder revolt against BP chairman amid climate clash

Outgoing BP chairman Helge Lund received a near 25% vote against his reelection at the UK oil major’s annual general meeting in a shareholder revolt. The company’s board was dealt a bloody nose from shareholders as it faced conflicting pressures over climate goals during the meeting at its Sunbury-on-Thames hub on Thursday. It follows BP announcing a drastic shift away from investing in renewables in February after some shareholders pushed for a refocus on fossil fuels to boost its profits and share price, which have lagged behind its rivals. But ahead of the AGM, a group of 48 institutional investors criticised the board for not offering a direct vote on the oil major’s revised strategy, while environmental groups fiercely criticised the climate row-back. A resolution for Lund’s reelection received a provisional 24.3% of opposed votes, which marks a major rebuttal for a FTSE 100 company. © Supplied by Kenny Elrick/DC ThomBP’s North Sea HQ in Dyce, Aberdeen. Lund, who played a key role in setting BP’s green agenda, announced he will step down as the company plots a new course, meaning votes against his reelection were largely seen as a protest. Tarek Bouhouch, from the activist group Follow This, argued a vote against of 10% or more would have a “sole ESG purpose” and send a “strong signal”. According to the campaign group, a vote against the chairman likely never breached 10% in the firm’s history, or at least in the last decades. “Double digits is history,” Bouhouch said, claiming BP had never seen an oppose vote hit 10% at an AGM, at least not in the last decade. During the 90-minute meeting, board members and executives discussed the new strategy, with a large sign saying “A reset BP” on the set above their seats. Lund spoke about recent concerns

Read More »

TGS Expands its Mauritania 3D Seismic Library

Energy data and intelligence provider TGS has expanded its multi-client data library offshore Mauritania with the addition of over 101,500 square kilometers (39,189 square miles) of high-quality 3D seismic data. This expansion adds to the existing library of over 19,000 square kilometers (7,335.9 square miles) of reprocessed PSDM 3D seismic data and multiple regional 2D seismic surveys, TGS said in a media release. Together, these integrated datasets provide a more comprehensive and nuanced view of the subsurface, helping to refine known plays while revealing new exploration opportunities.  This data was released in collaboration with the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, the company said. Initial insights are beginning to surface through the integration of regional geological expertise and comprehensive mapping of trap trends, which extend from shelf-edge wells to deeper outboard fairways. Significantly, the discovery of Late Cretaceous channel-fan systems within the basin region is offering a renewed understanding of the area’s hydrocarbon potential, TGS said. “With the extension of our offshore data library with new 3D seismic data, Mauritania is opening the door to a new era of energy exploration. Our rich, underexplored basins and stable investment climate make Mauritania one of the most exciting frontiers for oil and gas”, Mohamed Ould Khaled, the Mauritanian Minister of Energy and Petroleum, said. “We are ready to work hand in hand with international partners to unlock this immense potential and deliver long-term, mutually beneficial growth”. “Aside from greatly expanding the quantity of high-quality multi-client subsurface data in West Africa, the true value of this extensive regional study lies in its ability to contextualize borehole data across the area. By re-evaluating historical exploration results – both successes and failures – exploration teams are better equipped to de-risk future ventures and make informed investment decisions”, David Hajovsky, Executive Vice President of Multi-Client, commented. TGS said

Read More »

Meeting unprecedented load growth: Challenges and opportunities for resource adequacy

Samuel Newell is a principal at The Brattle Group. The U.S. electric system is under more pressure than ever before. In order to meet the challenges of unprecedented growth in electricity demand from data centers, re-shoring and other uses, the U.S. electricity grid will have to expand more than five times faster than in the previous two decades. All regions of the country will need massive amounts of new resources and increased grid capability yet face lagging infrastructure, supply chain issues and slow-moving planning processes. Current forecasts, based on Brattle’s aggregation of most recent RTO and utility forecasts across the country, suggest peak loads will increase by 175 GW by 2030, and 270 GW by 2035 (24% and 36%, respectively) relative to 2024. Annual energy use is projected to grow even faster, adding 53% by 2035, since many of the new loads have higher load factors than existing loads. Forecast of annual electric use (TWh), based on individual RTOs’ and utilities’ most recent forecasts. Permission granted by The Brattle Group These forecasts are uncertain, with wider error bars than in more stable periods. Uncertainties surround the firmness of hyperscalers’ plans for new data centers and their future expansion, as everything about artificial intelligence training, usage and computational efficiencies evolve. There is also uncertainty around whether planned manufacturing plants will proceed with federal incentives that have been depended upon. Perhaps there is more downside than upside if some service requests are tentative or duplicative of requests in other candidate locations. Yet even if only half materializes, the growth rate will still far exceed that experienced in recent decades. This rate of growth is difficult to meet because of its sheer magnitude and because it is so much higher than anticipated in forecasts from even a mere 1.5 years ago, which were closer

Read More »

Trump administration ordered to resume IRA funding

A federal judge Tuesday ordered the Trump administration to take “immediate steps” to reinstate already awarded funding from the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, after the president broadly froze the disbursements on his first day in office.  Judge Mary McElroy of the U.S. District Court for Rhode Island ordered the Departments of Energy, Housing and Urban Development, Interior and Agriculture, as well as the Environmental Protection Agency, to release awards previously withheld, after the ruling found the agencies lacked authority to freeze the funding.  The decision applies to all awardees nationwide, and will remain in effect until McElroy rules on the merits of the lawsuit. The agencies must update the court of the status of their compliance by 5 p.m. EST on Wednesday.  “Agencies do not have unlimited authority to further a President’s agenda, nor do they have unfettered power to hamstring in perpetuity two statutes passed by Congress during the previous administration,” McElroy wrote in her decision.  The decision is a blow to President Donald Trump’s plans to dismantle the Biden administration’s hallmark climate funding law. The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in August 2022, provides hundreds of billions of dollars in direct funding and loan financing. It also offers lucrative tax credits for manufacturers that meet domestic production requirements, incentivizing a host of companies to invest in domestic facilities over the past three years. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, also provides billions of dollars in clean energy funding.  Following the funding freeze, six nonprofits — Woonasquatucket River Watershed Council, Eastern Rhode Island Conservation District, Childhood Lead Action Project, Codman Square Neighborhood Development Corp., Green Infrastructure Center, and National Council of Nonprofits — sued the agencies in March in a bid to access their awarded funding, after other court orders failed. McElroy’s

Read More »

‘Critical’ Greenlink connects the UK and Ireland

The Greenlink interconnector between Wales and Ireland has come online, doubling capacity to one gigawatt. Spanning from County Wexford to National Grid’s Pembroke substation, the 504MW interconnector has been welcomed by both the Irish and UK governments. Irish minister for climate, environment and energy Darragh O’Brien said: “I want to congratulate the team at Greenlink for bringing this critical piece of energy infrastructure for Ireland and the UK to life.” The infrastructure connects into the electricity transmission networks of the UK’s National Grid and Ireland’s EirGrid, with the latter operating the link. Michael Kelly, interim chief operations and asset management officer at EirGrid, commented: “This latest connection marks a vital step forward in strengthening our shared commitment to energy resilience and security and was made possible through combining expertise, resources and innovation with our UK colleagues and through collaboration with the Greenlink team.” The interconnector is made up of two 320kV high-voltage direct current (HVDC) subsea cables and associated converter stations. National Grid has claimed that the project “strengthens energy security”, while UK minister Michael Shanks said that it will allow both nations to achieve their “clean energy potential.” The energy minister said: “It is important that Ireland and the UK work together to strengthen our mutual energy security, and drive forward in reaching our clean energy potential. “This cable between Wexford and Wales will help deliver our clean power 2030 mission and support Ireland’s renewable expansion by allowing us to trade more cheaper-to-generate clean energy with each other, helping both nations to move away from volatile fossil fuel markets.” © Mathew Perry/DCT MediaUK Energy Minister Michael Shanks speaking at the 2024 OEUK Conference. O’Brien added that the delivery of Greenlink is a symbol of the “ever-strengthening energy relationship” between the UK and Ireland. “Increased electricity interconnection will be a

Read More »

USA EIA Boosts Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Forecasts

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its Henry Hub natural gas spot price forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released on April 10. According to its April STEO, the EIA now sees the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.27 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2025 and $4.60 per MMBtu in 2026. In its previous STEO, which was released in March, the EIA saw the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.19 per MMBtu in 2025 and $4.47 per MMBtu in 2026. The EIA projected in its April STEO that the Henry Hub spot price will come in at $3.93 per MMBtu in the second quarter of 2025, $4.34 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.68 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.93 per MMBtu in the first quarter of next year, $4.18 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.61 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.66 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter. The EIA highlighted in its latest STEO that the Henry Hub spot price averaged $4.15 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025 and $2.19 per MMBtu overall in 2024. In its March STEO, the EIA projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $3.88 per MMBtu in the second quarter of this year, $4.30 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.49 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.66 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2026, $4.13 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.50 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.60 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter of next year. The EIA’s March STEO projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $4.11 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025. This STEO also highlighted that the commodity came in at $2.19

Read More »

Major shareholder revolt against BP chairman amid climate clash

Outgoing BP chairman Helge Lund received a near 25% vote against his reelection at the UK oil major’s annual general meeting in a shareholder revolt. The company’s board was dealt a bloody nose from shareholders as it faced conflicting pressures over climate goals during the meeting at its Sunbury-on-Thames hub on Thursday. It follows BP announcing a drastic shift away from investing in renewables in February after some shareholders pushed for a refocus on fossil fuels to boost its profits and share price, which have lagged behind its rivals. But ahead of the AGM, a group of 48 institutional investors criticised the board for not offering a direct vote on the oil major’s revised strategy, while environmental groups fiercely criticised the climate row-back. A resolution for Lund’s reelection received a provisional 24.3% of opposed votes, which marks a major rebuttal for a FTSE 100 company. © Supplied by Kenny Elrick/DC ThomBP’s North Sea HQ in Dyce, Aberdeen. Lund, who played a key role in setting BP’s green agenda, announced he will step down as the company plots a new course, meaning votes against his reelection were largely seen as a protest. Tarek Bouhouch, from the activist group Follow This, argued a vote against of 10% or more would have a “sole ESG purpose” and send a “strong signal”. According to the campaign group, a vote against the chairman likely never breached 10% in the firm’s history, or at least in the last decades. “Double digits is history,” Bouhouch said, claiming BP had never seen an oppose vote hit 10% at an AGM, at least not in the last decade. During the 90-minute meeting, board members and executives discussed the new strategy, with a large sign saying “A reset BP” on the set above their seats. Lund spoke about recent concerns

Read More »

TGS Expands its Mauritania 3D Seismic Library

Energy data and intelligence provider TGS has expanded its multi-client data library offshore Mauritania with the addition of over 101,500 square kilometers (39,189 square miles) of high-quality 3D seismic data. This expansion adds to the existing library of over 19,000 square kilometers (7,335.9 square miles) of reprocessed PSDM 3D seismic data and multiple regional 2D seismic surveys, TGS said in a media release. Together, these integrated datasets provide a more comprehensive and nuanced view of the subsurface, helping to refine known plays while revealing new exploration opportunities.  This data was released in collaboration with the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, the company said. Initial insights are beginning to surface through the integration of regional geological expertise and comprehensive mapping of trap trends, which extend from shelf-edge wells to deeper outboard fairways. Significantly, the discovery of Late Cretaceous channel-fan systems within the basin region is offering a renewed understanding of the area’s hydrocarbon potential, TGS said. “With the extension of our offshore data library with new 3D seismic data, Mauritania is opening the door to a new era of energy exploration. Our rich, underexplored basins and stable investment climate make Mauritania one of the most exciting frontiers for oil and gas”, Mohamed Ould Khaled, the Mauritanian Minister of Energy and Petroleum, said. “We are ready to work hand in hand with international partners to unlock this immense potential and deliver long-term, mutually beneficial growth”. “Aside from greatly expanding the quantity of high-quality multi-client subsurface data in West Africa, the true value of this extensive regional study lies in its ability to contextualize borehole data across the area. By re-evaluating historical exploration results – both successes and failures – exploration teams are better equipped to de-risk future ventures and make informed investment decisions”, David Hajovsky, Executive Vice President of Multi-Client, commented. TGS said

Read More »

Trump administration ordered to resume IRA funding

A federal judge Tuesday ordered the Trump administration to take “immediate steps” to reinstate already awarded funding from the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, after the president broadly froze the disbursements on his first day in office.  Judge Mary McElroy of the U.S. District Court for Rhode Island ordered the Departments of Energy, Housing and Urban Development, Interior and Agriculture, as well as the Environmental Protection Agency, to release awards previously withheld, after the ruling found the agencies lacked authority to freeze the funding.  The decision applies to all awardees nationwide, and will remain in effect until McElroy rules on the merits of the lawsuit. The agencies must update the court of the status of their compliance by 5 p.m. EST on Wednesday.  “Agencies do not have unlimited authority to further a President’s agenda, nor do they have unfettered power to hamstring in perpetuity two statutes passed by Congress during the previous administration,” McElroy wrote in her decision.  The decision is a blow to President Donald Trump’s plans to dismantle the Biden administration’s hallmark climate funding law. The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in August 2022, provides hundreds of billions of dollars in direct funding and loan financing. It also offers lucrative tax credits for manufacturers that meet domestic production requirements, incentivizing a host of companies to invest in domestic facilities over the past three years. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, also provides billions of dollars in clean energy funding.  Following the funding freeze, six nonprofits — Woonasquatucket River Watershed Council, Eastern Rhode Island Conservation District, Childhood Lead Action Project, Codman Square Neighborhood Development Corp., Green Infrastructure Center, and National Council of Nonprofits — sued the agencies in March in a bid to access their awarded funding, after other court orders failed. McElroy’s

Read More »

Meeting unprecedented load growth: Challenges and opportunities for resource adequacy

Samuel Newell is a principal at The Brattle Group. The U.S. electric system is under more pressure than ever before. In order to meet the challenges of unprecedented growth in electricity demand from data centers, re-shoring and other uses, the U.S. electricity grid will have to expand more than five times faster than in the previous two decades. All regions of the country will need massive amounts of new resources and increased grid capability yet face lagging infrastructure, supply chain issues and slow-moving planning processes. Current forecasts, based on Brattle’s aggregation of most recent RTO and utility forecasts across the country, suggest peak loads will increase by 175 GW by 2030, and 270 GW by 2035 (24% and 36%, respectively) relative to 2024. Annual energy use is projected to grow even faster, adding 53% by 2035, since many of the new loads have higher load factors than existing loads. Forecast of annual electric use (TWh), based on individual RTOs’ and utilities’ most recent forecasts. Permission granted by The Brattle Group These forecasts are uncertain, with wider error bars than in more stable periods. Uncertainties surround the firmness of hyperscalers’ plans for new data centers and their future expansion, as everything about artificial intelligence training, usage and computational efficiencies evolve. There is also uncertainty around whether planned manufacturing plants will proceed with federal incentives that have been depended upon. Perhaps there is more downside than upside if some service requests are tentative or duplicative of requests in other candidate locations. Yet even if only half materializes, the growth rate will still far exceed that experienced in recent decades. This rate of growth is difficult to meet because of its sheer magnitude and because it is so much higher than anticipated in forecasts from even a mere 1.5 years ago, which were closer

Read More »

‘Critical’ Greenlink connects the UK and Ireland

The Greenlink interconnector between Wales and Ireland has come online, doubling capacity to one gigawatt. Spanning from County Wexford to National Grid’s Pembroke substation, the 504MW interconnector has been welcomed by both the Irish and UK governments. Irish minister for climate, environment and energy Darragh O’Brien said: “I want to congratulate the team at Greenlink for bringing this critical piece of energy infrastructure for Ireland and the UK to life.” The infrastructure connects into the electricity transmission networks of the UK’s National Grid and Ireland’s EirGrid, with the latter operating the link. Michael Kelly, interim chief operations and asset management officer at EirGrid, commented: “This latest connection marks a vital step forward in strengthening our shared commitment to energy resilience and security and was made possible through combining expertise, resources and innovation with our UK colleagues and through collaboration with the Greenlink team.” The interconnector is made up of two 320kV high-voltage direct current (HVDC) subsea cables and associated converter stations. National Grid has claimed that the project “strengthens energy security”, while UK minister Michael Shanks said that it will allow both nations to achieve their “clean energy potential.” The energy minister said: “It is important that Ireland and the UK work together to strengthen our mutual energy security, and drive forward in reaching our clean energy potential. “This cable between Wexford and Wales will help deliver our clean power 2030 mission and support Ireland’s renewable expansion by allowing us to trade more cheaper-to-generate clean energy with each other, helping both nations to move away from volatile fossil fuel markets.” © Mathew Perry/DCT MediaUK Energy Minister Michael Shanks speaking at the 2024 OEUK Conference. O’Brien added that the delivery of Greenlink is a symbol of the “ever-strengthening energy relationship” between the UK and Ireland. “Increased electricity interconnection will be a

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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Three Aberdeen oil company headquarters sell for £45m

Three Aberdeen oil company headquarters have been sold in a deal worth £45 million. The CNOOC, Apache and Taqa buildings at the Prime Four business park in Kingswells have been acquired by EEH Ventures. The trio of buildings, totalling 275,000 sq ft, were previously owned by Canadian firm BMO. The financial services powerhouse first bought the buildings in 2014 but took the decision to sell the buildings as part of a “long-standing strategy to reduce their office exposure across the UK”. The deal was the largest to take place throughout Scotland during the last quarter of 2024. Trio of buildings snapped up London headquartered EEH Ventures was founded in 2013 and owns a number of residential, offices, shopping centres and hotels throughout the UK. All three Kingswells-based buildings were pre-let, designed and constructed by Aberdeen property developer Drum in 2012 on a 15-year lease. © Supplied by CBREThe Aberdeen headquarters of Taqa. Image: CBRE The North Sea headquarters of Middle-East oil firm Taqa has previously been described as “an amazing success story in the Granite City”. Taqa announced in 2023 that it intends to cease production from all of its UK North Sea platforms by the end of 2027. Meanwhile, Apache revealed at the end of last year it is planning to exit the North Sea by the end of 2029 blaming the windfall tax. The US firm first entered the North Sea in 2003 but will wrap up all of its UK operations by 2030. Aberdeen big deals The Prime Four acquisition wasn’t the biggest Granite City commercial property sale of 2024. American private equity firm Lone Star bought Union Square shopping centre from Hammerson for £111m. © ShutterstockAberdeen city centre. Hammerson, who also built the property, had originally been seeking £150m. BP’s North Sea headquarters in Stoneywood, Aberdeen, was also sold. Manchester-based

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2025 ransomware predictions, trends, and how to prepare

Zscaler ThreatLabz research team has revealed critical insights and predictions on ransomware trends for 2025. The latest Ransomware Report uncovered a surge in sophisticated tactics and extortion attacks. As ransomware remains a key concern for CISOs and CIOs, the report sheds light on actionable strategies to mitigate risks. Top Ransomware Predictions for 2025: ● AI-Powered Social Engineering: In 2025, GenAI will fuel voice phishing (vishing) attacks. With the proliferation of GenAI-based tooling, initial access broker groups will increasingly leverage AI-generated voices; which sound more and more realistic by adopting local accents and dialects to enhance credibility and success rates. ● The Trifecta of Social Engineering Attacks: Vishing, Ransomware and Data Exfiltration. Additionally, sophisticated ransomware groups, like the Dark Angels, will continue the trend of low-volume, high-impact attacks; preferring to focus on an individual company, stealing vast amounts of data without encrypting files, and evading media and law enforcement scrutiny. ● Targeted Industries Under Siege: Manufacturing, healthcare, education, energy will remain primary targets, with no slowdown in attacks expected. ● New SEC Regulations Drive Increased Transparency: 2025 will see an uptick in reported ransomware attacks and payouts due to new, tighter SEC requirements mandating that public companies report material incidents within four business days. ● Ransomware Payouts Are on the Rise: In 2025 ransom demands will most likely increase due to an evolving ecosystem of cybercrime groups, specializing in designated attack tactics, and collaboration by these groups that have entered a sophisticated profit sharing model using Ransomware-as-a-Service. To combat damaging ransomware attacks, Zscaler ThreatLabz recommends the following strategies. ● Fighting AI with AI: As threat actors use AI to identify vulnerabilities, organizations must counter with AI-powered zero trust security systems that detect and mitigate new threats. ● Advantages of adopting a Zero Trust architecture: A Zero Trust cloud security platform stops

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The Download: the US office that tracks foreign disinformation is being eliminated, and explaining vibe coding

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. US office that counters foreign disinformation is being eliminated The only office within the US State Department that monitors foreign disinformation is to be eliminated, according to US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, confirming reporting by MIT Technology Review. The Counter Foreign Information Manipulation and Interference (R/FIMI) Hub is a small office in the State Department’s Office of Public Diplomacy that tracks and counters foreign disinformation campaigns.The culling of the office leaves the State Department without a way to actively counter the increasingly sophisticated disinformation campaigns from foreign governments like those of Russia, Iran, and China. Read the full story.
—Eileen Guo
What is vibe coding, exactly? When OpenAI cofounder Andrej Karpathy excitedly took to X back in February to post about his new hobby, he probably had no idea he was about to coin a phrase that encapsulated an entire movement steadily gaining momentum across the world. “There’s a new kind of coding I call ‘vibe coding’, where you fully give in to the vibes, embrace exponentials, and forget that the code even exists,” he said. “I’m building a project or webapp, but it’s not really coding—I just see stuff, say stuff, run stuff, and copy paste stuff, and it mostly works.”  If this all sounds very different from poring over lines of code, that’s because Karpathy was talking about a particular style of coding with AI assistance. His words struck a chord among software developers and enthusiastic amateurs alike.  In the months since, his post has sparked think pieces and impassioned debates across the internet. But what exactly is vibe coding? Who does it benefit, and what’s its likely future? Read the full story. —Rhiannon Williams This story is the latest for MIT Technology Review Explains, our series untangling the complex, messy world of technology to help you understand what’s coming next. You can read more from the series here.

These four charts sum up the state of AI and energy You’ve probably read that AI will drive an increase in electricity demand. But how that fits into the context of the current and future grid can feel less clear from the headlines. A new report from the International Energy Agency digs into the details of energy and AI, and I think it’s worth looking at some of the data to help clear things up. Here are four charts from the report that sum up the crucial points about AI and energy demand.  —Casey Crownhart This article is from The Spark, MIT Technology Review’s weekly climate newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Wednesday, sign up here. We need targeted policies, not blunt tariffs, to drive “American energy dominance” —Addison Killean Stark
President Trump and his appointees have repeatedly stressed the need to establish “American energy dominance.”  But the White House’s profusion of executive orders and aggressive tariffs, along with its determined effort to roll back clean-energy policies, are moving the industry in the wrong direction, creating market chaos and economic uncertainty that are making it harder for both legacy players and emerging companies to invest, grow, and compete. Read the full story.
This story is part of Heat Exchange, MIT Technology Review’s guest opinion series, offering expert commentary on legal, political and regulatory issues related to climate change and clean energy. You can read the rest of the pieces here. MIT Technology Review Narrated: Will we ever trust robots? If most robots still need remote human operators to be safe and effective, why should we welcome them into our homes? This is our latest story to be turned into a MIT Technology Review Narrated podcast, which  we’re publishing each week on Spotify and Apple Podcasts. Just navigate to MIT Technology Review Narrated on either platform, and follow us to get all our new content as it’s released.
The must-reads I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology. 1 The Trump administration has cancelled lifesaving aid to foreign childrenAfter Elon Musk previously promised to preserve it. (The Atlantic $)+ DOGE worker Jeremy Lewin, who dismantled USAID, has a new role. (Fortune $)+ The department attempted to embed its staff in an independent non-profit. (The Guardian)+ Elon Musk, DOGE, and the Evil Housekeeper Problem. (MIT Technology Review) 2 Astronomers have detected a possible signature of life on a distant planetIt’s the first time the potential for life has been spotted on a habitable planet. (NYT $)+ Maybe we should be building observatories on the moon. (Ars Technica)
3 OpenAI’s new AI models can reason with imagesThey’re capable of integrating images directly into their reasoning process. (VentureBeat)+ But they’re still vulnerable to making mistakes. (Ars Technica)+ AI reasoning models can cheat to win chess games. (MIT Technology Review)  4 Trump’s new chip crackdown will cost US firms billionsIt’s not just Nvidia that’s set to suffer. (WP $)+ But Jensen Huang isn’t giving up on China altogether. (WSJ $)+ He’s said the company follows export laws ‘to the letter.’ (CNBC) 5 Elon Musk reportedly used X to search for potential mothers of his childrenSources suggest he has many more children than is publicly known. (WSJ $) 6 Local US cops are being trained as immigration enforcersCritics say the rollout is ripe for civil rights abuses. (The Markup)+ ICE is still bound by constitutional limits—for now. (The Conversation) 7 This electronic weapon can fry drone swarms from a distanceThe RapidDestroyer uses a high-power radio frequency to take down multiple drones. (FT $)+ Meet the radio-obsessed civilian shaping Ukraine’s drone defense. (MIT Technology Review) 8 TikTok is attempting to fight back against misinformationIt’s rolling out an X-style community notes feature. (Bloomberg $) 9 A deceased composer’s brain is still making musicThree years after Alvin Lucier’s death, cerebral organoids made from his white blood cells are making sounds. (Popular Mechanics)+ AI is coming for music, too. (MIT Technology Review) 10 This AI agent can switch personalitiesDepending what you need it to do. (Wired $) Quote of the day “Yayy, we get one last meal before getting on the electric chair.” —Jing Levine, who runs a party goods business with her husband that’s heavily reliant on suppliers in China, reacts to Donald Trump’s plans to pause tariffs except for China, the New York Times reports. The big story AI means the end of internet search as we’ve known it We all know what it means, colloquially, to google something. You pop a few words in a search box and in return get a list of blue links to the most relevant results. Fundamentally, it’s just fetching information that’s already out there on the internet and showing it to you, in a structured way. But all that is up for grabs. We are at a new inflection point. The biggest change to the way search engines deliver information to us since the 1990s is happening right now. No more keyword searching. Instead, you can ask questions in natural language. And instead of links, you’ll increasingly be met with answers written by generative AI and based on live information from across the internet, delivered the same way.  Not everyone is excited for the change. Publishers are completely freaked out. And people are also worried about what these new LLM-powered results will mean for our fundamental shared reality. Read the full story. —Mat Honan We can still have nice things A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.) + Essential viewing: Sweden is broadcasting its beloved moose spring migration for 20 days straight.+ Fearsome warlord Babur was obsessed with melons, and frankly, I don’t blame him.+ Great news for squid fans: a colossal squid has been captured on film for the first time! 🦑+ Who stole my cheese?

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How a 1980s toy robot arm inspired modern robotics

As a child of an electronic engineer, I spent a lot of time in our local Radio Shack as a kid. While my dad was locating capacitors and resistors, I was in the toy section. It was there, in 1984, that I discovered the best toy of my childhood: the Armatron robotic arm.  A drawing from the patent application for the Armatron robotic arm.COURTESY OF TAKARA TOMY Described as a “robot-like arm to aid young masterminds in scientific and laboratory experiments,” it was the rare toy that lived up to the hype printed on the front of the box. This was a legit robotic arm. You could rotate the arm to spin around its base, tilt it up and down, bend it at the “elbow” joint, rotate the “wrist,” and open and close the bright-­orange articulated hand in elegant chords of movement, all using only the twistable twin joysticks.  Anyone who played with this toy will also remember the sound it made. Once you slid the power button to the On position, you heard a constant whirring sound of plastic gears turning and twisting. And if you tried to push it past its boundaries, it twitched and protested with a jarring “CLICK … CLICK … CLICK.” It wasn’t just kids who found the Armatron so special. It was featured on the cover of the November/December 1982 issue of Robotics Age magazine, which noted that the $31.95 toy (about $96 today) had “capabilities usually found only in much more expensive experimental arms.” JIM GOLDEN A few years ago I found my Armatron, and when I opened the case to get it working again, I was startled to find that other than the compartment for the pair of D-cell batteries, a switch, and a tiny three-volt DC motor, this thing was totally devoid of any electronic components. It was purely mechanical. Later, I found the patent drawings for the Armatron online and saw how incredibly complex the schematics of the gearbox were. This design was the work of a genius—or a madman. The man behind the arm I needed to know the story of this toy. I reached out to the manufacturer, Tomy (now known as Takara Tomy), which has been in business in Japan for over 100 years. It put me in touch with Hiroyuki Watanabe, a 69-year-old engineer and toy designer living in Tokyo. He’s retired now, but he worked at Tomy for 49 years, building many classic handheld electronic toys of the ’80s, including Blip, Digital Diamond, Digital Derby, and Missile Strike. Watanabe’s name can be found on 44 patents, and he was involved in bringing between 50 and 60 products to market. Watanabe answered emailed questions via video, and his responses were translated from Japanese.
“I didn’t have a period where I studied engineering professionally. Instead, I enrolled in what Japan would call a technical high school that trains technical engineers, and I actually [entered] the electrical department there,” he told me.  Afterward, he worked at Komatsu Manufacturing—because, he said, he liked bulldozers. But in 1974, he saw that Tomy was hiring, and he wanted to make toys. “I was told that it was the No. 1 toy company in Japan, so I decided [it was worth a look],” he said. “I took a night train from Tohoku to Tokyo to take a job exam, and that’s how I ended up joining the company.”
The inspiration for the Armatron came from a newspaper clipping that Watanabe’s boss brought to him one day. “It showed an image of a [mechanical arm] holding an egg with three fingers. I think we started out thinking, ‘This is where things are heading these days, so let’s make this,’” he recalled.  As the lead of a small team, Watanabe briefly turned his attention to another project, and by the time he returned to the robotic arm, the team had a prototype. But it was quite different from the Armatron’s final form. “The hand stuck out from the main body to the side and could only move about 90 degrees. The control panel also had six movement positions, and they were switched using six switches. I personally didn’t like that,” said Watanabe. So he went back to work. The Armatron’s inventor, Hiroyuki Watanabe, in Tokyo in 2025COURTESY OF TAKARA TOMY Watanabe’s breakthrough was inspired by the radio-controlled helicopters he operated as a hobby. Holding up a radio remote controller with dual joystick controls, he told me, “This stick operation allows you to perform four movements with two arms, but I thought that if you twist this part, you can use six movements.” Watanabe at work at Tomy in Tokyo in 1982.COURTESY OF HIROYUKI WATANABE “I had always wanted to create a system that could rotate 360 degrees, so I thought about how to make that system work,” he added. Watanabe stressed that while he is listed as the Armatron’s primary inventor, it was a team effort. A designer created the case, colors, and logo, adding touches to mimic features seen on industrial robots of the time, such as the rubber tubes (which are just for looks).  When the Armatron first came out, in 1981, robotics engineers started contacting Watanabe. “I wasn’t so much hearing from people at toy stores, but rather from researchers at university laboratories, factories, and companies that were making industrial robots,” he said. “They were quite encouraging, and we often talked together.” The long reach of the robot at Radio Shack The bold look and function of Armatron made quite an impression on many young kids who would one day have a career in robotics. One of them was Adam Burrell, a mechanical design engineer who has been building robots for 15 years at Boston Dynamics, including Petman, the YouTube-famous Atlas, and the dog-size quadruped called Spot. 

Burrell grew up a few blocks away from a Radio Shack in New York City. “If I was going to the subway station, we would walk right by Radio Shack. I would stop in and play with it and set the timer, do the challenges,” he says. “I know it was a toy, but that was a real robot.” The Armatron was the hook that lured him into Radio Shack and then sparked his lifelong interest in engineering: “I would roll pennies and use them to buy soldering irons and solder at Radio Shack.”  “There’s research to this day using AI to try to figure out optimal ways to grab objects that [a robot] sees in a bin or out in the world.” Burrell had a fateful reunion with the toy while in grad school for engineering. “One of my office mates had an Armatron at his desk,” he recalls, “and it was broken. We took it apart together, and that was the first time I had seen the guts of it.  “It had this fantastic mechanical gear train to just engage and disengage this one motor in a bunch of different ways. And it was really fascinating that it had done so much—the one little motor. And that sort of got me back thinking about industrial robot arms again.”  Eric Paulos, a professor of electrical engineering and computer science at the University of California, Berkeley, recalls nagging his parents about what an educational gift Armatron would make. Ultimately, he succeeded in his lobbying.  “It was just endless exploration of picking stuff up and moving it around and even just watching it move. It was mesmerizing to me. I felt like I really owned my own little robot,” he recalls. “I cherish this thing. I still have it to this day, and it’s still working.”  The Armatron on the cover of the November/December 1982 issue of Robotics Age magazine.PUBLIC DOMAIN Today, Paulos builds robots and teaches his students how to build their own. He challenges them to solve problems within constraints, such as building with cardboard or Play-Doh; he believes the restrictions facing Watanabe and his team ultimately forced them to be more creative in their engineering. It’s not very hard to draw connections between the Armatron—an impossibly analog robot—and highly advanced machines that are today learning to move in incredible new ways, powered by AI advancements like computer vision and reinforcement learning. Paulos sees parallels between the problems he tackled as a kid with his Armatron and those that researchers are still trying to deal with today: “What happens when you pick things up and they’re too heavy, but you can sort of pick it up if you approach it from different angles? Or how do you grip things? There’s research to this day using AI to try to figure out optimal ways to grab objects that [a robot] sees in a bin or out in the world.”
While AI may be taking over the world of robotics, the field still requires engineers—builders and tinkerers who can problem-solve in the physical world.  A page from the 1984 Radio Shack catalogue, featuring the Armatron for $31.95.COURTESY OF RADIOSHACKCATALOGS.COM The Armatron encouraged kids to explore these analog mechanics, a reminder that not all breakthroughs happen on a computer screen. And that hands-on curiosity hasn’t faded. Today, a new generation of fans are rediscovering the Armatron through online communities and DIY modifications. Dozens of Armatron videos are on YouTube, including one where the arm has been modified to run on steam power.  “I’m very happy to see people who love mechanisms are amazed,” Watanabe told me. “I’m really happy that there are still people out there who love our products in this way.”  Jon Keegan writes about technology and AI and publishes Beautiful Public Data, a curated collection of government data sets (beautifulpublicdata.com).

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These four charts sum up the state of AI and energy

While it’s rare to look at the news without finding some headline related to AI and energy, a lot of us are stuck waving our hands when it comes to what it all means. Sure, you’ve probably read that AI will drive an increase in electricity demand. But how that fits into the context of the current and future grid can feel less clear from the headlines. That’s true even for people working in the field.  A new report from the International Energy Agency digs into the details of energy and AI, and I think it’s worth looking at some of the data to help clear things up. Here are four charts from the report that sum up the crucial points about AI and energy demand. 1. AI is power hungry, and the world will need to ramp up electricity supply to meet demand.  This point is the most obvious, but it bears repeating: AI is exploding, and it’s going to lead to higher energy demand from data centers. “AI has gone from an academic pursuit to an industry with trillions of dollars at stake,” as the IEA report’s executive summary puts it.
Data centers used less than 300 terawatt-hours of electricity in 2020. That could increase to nearly 1,000 terawatt-hours in the next five years, which is more than Japan’s total electricity consumption today. Today, the US has about 45% of the world’s data center capacity, followed by China. Those two countries will continue to represent the overwhelming majority of capacity through 2035.  
2. The electricity needed to power data centers will largely come from fossil fuels like coal and natural gas in the near term, but nuclear and renewables could play a key role, especially after 2030. The IEA report is relatively optimistic on the potential for renewables to power data centers, projecting that nearly half of global growth by 2035 will be met with renewables like wind and solar. (In Europe, the IEA projects, renewables will meet 85% of new demand.) In the near term, though, natural gas and coal will also expand. An additional 175 terawatt-hours from gas will help meet demand in the next decade, largely in the US, according to the IEA’s projections. Another report, published this week by the energy consultancy BloombergNEF, suggests that fossil fuels will play an even larger role than the IEA projects, accounting for two-thirds of additional electricity generation between now and 2035. Nuclear energy, a favorite of big tech companies looking to power operations without generating massive emissions, could start to make a dent after 2030, according to the IEA data. 3. Data centers are just a small piece of expected electricity demand growth this decade. We should be talking more about appliances, industry, and EVs when we talk about energy! Electricity demand is on the rise from a whole host of sources: Electric vehicles, air-conditioning, and appliances will each drive more electricity demand than data centers between now and the end of the decade. In total, data centers make up a little over 8% of electricity demand expected between now and 2030. There are interesting regional effects here, though. Growing economies will see more demand from the likes of air-conditioning than from data centers. On the other hand, the US has seen relatively flat electricity demand from consumers and industry for years, so newly rising demand from high-performance computing will make up a larger chunk.  4. Data centers tend to be clustered together and close to population centers, making them a unique challenge for the power grid.   The grid is no stranger to facilities that use huge amounts of energy: Cement plants, aluminum smelters, and coal mines all pull a lot of power in one place. However, data centers are a unique sort of beast. First, they tend to be closely clustered together. Globally, data centers make up about 1.5% of total electricity demand. However, in Ireland, that number is 20%, and in Virginia, it’s 25%. That trend looks likely to continue, too: Half of data centers under development in the US are in preexisting clusters. Data centers also tend to be closer to urban areas than other energy-intensive facilities like factories and mines. 

Since data centers are close both to each other and to communities, they could have significant impacts on the regions where they’re situated, whether by bringing on more fossil fuels close to urban centers or by adding strain to the local grid. Or both. Overall, AI and data centers more broadly are going to be a major driving force for electricity demand. It’s not the whole story, but it’s a unique part of our energy picture to continue watching moving forward.  This article is from The Spark, MIT Technology Review’s weekly climate newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Wednesday, sign up here.

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NASA has made an air traffic control system for drones

On Thanksgiving weekend of 2013, Jeff Bezos, then Amazon’s CEO, took to 60 Minutes to make a stunning announcement: Amazon was a few years away from deploying drones that would deliver packages to homes in less than 30 minutes.  It lent urgency to a problem that Parimal Kopardekar, director of the NASA Aeronautics Research Institute, had begun thinking about earlier that year. “How do you manage and accommodate large-scale drone operations without overloading the air traffic control system?” Kopardekar, who goes by PK, recalls wondering. Busy managing all airplane takeoffs and landings, air traffic controllers clearly wouldn’t have the capacity to oversee the fleets of package-delivering drones Amazon was promising.  The solution PK devised, which subsequently grew into a collaboration between federal agencies, researchers, and industry, is a system called unmanned-­aircraft-system traffic management, or UTM. Instead of verbally communicating with air traffic controllers, drone operators using UTM share their intended flight paths with each other via a cloud-based network. This highly scalable approach may finally open the skies to a host of commercial drone applications that have yet to materialize. Amazon Prime Air launched in 2022 but was put on hold after crashes at a testing facility, for example. On any given day, only 8,500 or so unmanned aircraft fly in US airspace, the vast majority of which are used for recreational purposes rather than for services like search and rescue missions, real estate inspections, video surveillance, or farmland surveys.  One obstacle to wider use has been concern over possible midair drone-to-drone collisions. (Drones are typically restricted to airspace below 400 feet and their access to airports is limited, which significantly lowers the risk of drone-airplane collisions.) Under Federal Aviation Administration regulations, drones generally cannot fly beyond an operator’s visual line of sight, limiting flights to about a third of a mile. This prevents most collisions but also most use cases, such as delivering medication to a patient’s doorstep or dispatching a police drone to an active crime scene so first responders can better prepare before arriving.
Now, though, drone operators are increasingly incorporating UTM into their flights. The system uses path planning algorithms, like those that run in Google Maps, to chart a course that considers not only weather and obstacles like buildings and trees but the flight paths of nearby drones. It’ll automatically reroute a flight before takeoff if another drone has reserved the same volume of airspace at the same time, making the new flight trajectory visible to subsequent pilots. Drones can then fly autonomously to and from their destination, and no air traffic controller is required.  Over the past decade, NASA and industry have demonstrated to the FAA through a series of tests that drones can safely maneuver around each other by adhering to UTM. And last summer, the agency gave the go-ahead for multiple drone delivery companies using UTM to begin flying simultaneously in the same airspace above Dallas—a first in US aviation history. Drone operators without in-house UTM capabilities have also begun licensing UTM services from FAA-approved third-party providers.
UTM only works if all participants abide by the same rules and agree to share data, and it’s enabled a level of collaboration unusual for companies competing to gain a foothold in a young, hot field, notes Peter Sachs, head of airspace integration strategy at Zipline, a drone delivery company based in South San Francisco that’s approved to use UTM.  “We all agree that we need to collaborate on the practical, behind-the-scenes nuts and bolts to make sure that this preflight deconfliction for drones works really well,” Sachs says. (“Strategic deconfliction” is the technical term for processes that minimize drone-drone collisions.) Zipline and the drone delivery companies Wing, Flytrex, and DroneUp all operate in the Dallas area and are racing to expand to more cities, yet they disclose where they’re flying to one another in the interest of keeping the airspace conflict-free. Greater adoption of UTM may be on the way. The FAA is expected to soon release a new rule called Part 108 that may allow operators to fly beyond visual line of sight if, among other requirements, they have some UTM capability, eliminating the need for the difficult-­to-obtain waiver the agency currently requires for these flights. To safely manage this additional drone traffic, drone companies will have to continue working together to keep their aircraft out of each other’s way.  Yaakov Zinberg is a writer based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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We need targeted policies, not blunt tariffs, to drive “American energy dominance”

MIT Technology Review’s guest opinion series, offering expert commentary on legal, political and regulatory issues related to climate change and clean energy. You can read the rest of the pieces here. The current 90-day pause on rolling out most of the administration’s so-called “reciprocal” tariffs presents a critical opportunity. Rather than defaulting to broad, blunt tariffs, the administration should use this window to align trade policy with a focused industrial strategy—one aimed at winning the global race to become a manufacturing powerhouse in next-generation energy technologies. 
By tightly aligning tariff design with US strengths in R&D and recent government investments in the energy innovation lifecycle, the administration can turn a regressive trade posture into a proactive plan for economic growth and geopolitical advantage. The president is right to point out that America is blessed with world-leading energy resources. Over the past decade, the country has grown from being a net importer to a net exporter of oil and the world’s largest producer of oil and gas. These resources are undeniably crucial to America’s ability to reindustrialize and rebuild a resilient domestic industrial base, while also providing strategic leverage abroad. 
But the world is slowly but surely moving beyond the centuries-old model of extracting and burning fossil fuels, a change driven initially by climate risks but increasingly by economic opportunities. America will achieve true energy dominance only by evolving beyond being a mere exporter of raw, greenhouse-gas-emitting energy commodities—and becoming the world’s manufacturing and innovation hub for sophisticated, high-value energy technologies. Notably, the nation took a lead role in developing essential early components of the cleantech sector, including solar photovoltaics and electric vehicles. Yet too often, the fruits of that innovation—especially manufacturing jobs and export opportunities—have ended up overseas, particularly in China. China, which is subject to Trump’s steepest tariffs and wasn’t granted any reprieve in the 90-day pause, has become the world’s dominant producer of lithium-ion batteries, EVs, wind turbines, and other key components of the clean-energy transition. Today, the US is again making exciting strides in next-generation technologies, including fusion energy, clean steel, advanced batteries, industrial heat pumps, and thermal energy storage. These advances can transform industrial processes, cut emissions, improve air quality, and maximize the strategic value of our fossil-fuel resources. That means not simply burning them for their energy content, but instead using them as feedstocks for higher-value materials and chemicals that power the modern economy. The US’s leading role in energy innovation didn’t develop by accident. For several decades, legislators on both sides of the political divide supported increasing government investments into energy innovation—from basic research at national labs and universities to applied R&D through ARPA-E and, more recently, to the creation of the Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations, which funds first-of-a-kind technology deployments. These programs have laid the foundation for the technologies we need—not just to meet climate goals, but to achieve global competitiveness. Early-stage companies in competitive, global industries like energy do need extra support to help them get to the point where they can stand up on their own. This is especially true for cleantech companies whose overseas rivals have much lower labor, land, and environmental compliance costs. That’s why, for starters, the White House shouldn’t work to eliminate federal investments made in these sectors under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law and the Inflation Reduction Act, as it’s reportedly striving to do as part of the federal budget negotiations. Instead, the administration and its Republican colleagues in Congress should preserve and refine these programs, which have already helped expand America’s ability to produce advanced energy products like batteries and EVs. Success should be measured not only in barrels produced or watts generated, but in dollars of goods exported, jobs created, and manufacturing capacity built.

The Trump administration should back this industrial strategy with smarter trade policy as well. Steep, sweeping tariffs won’t  build long-term economic strength.  But there are certain instances where reasonable, modern, targeted tariffs can be a useful tool in supporting domestic industries or countering unfair trade practices elsewhere. That’s why we’ve seen leaders of both parties, including Presidents Biden and Obama, apply them in recent years. Such levies can be used to protect domestic industries where we’re competing directly with geopolitical rivals like China, and where American companies need breathing room to scale and thrive. These aims can be achieved by imposing tariffs on specific strategic technologies, such as EVs and next-generation batteries. But to be clear, targeted tariffs on a few strategic sectors are starkly different from Trump’s tariffs, which now include 145% levies on most Chinese goods, a 10% “universal” tariff on other nations and 25% fees on steel and aluminum.  Another option is implementing a broader border adjustment policy, like the Foreign Pollution Fee Act recently reintroduced by Senators Cassidy and Graham, which is designed to create a level playing field that would help clean manufacturers in the US compete with heavily polluting businesses overseas.   Just as important, the nation must avoid counterproductive tariffs on critical raw materials like steel, aluminum, and copper or retaliatory restrictions on critical minerals—all of which are essential inputs for US manufacturing. The nation does not currently produce enough of these materials to meet demand, and it would take years to build up that capacity. Raising input costs through tariffs only slows our ability to keep or bring key industries home. Finally, we must be strategic in how we deploy the country’s greatest asset: our workforce. Americans are among the most educated and capable workers in the world. Their time, talent, and ingenuity shouldn’t be spent assembling low-cost, low-margin consumer goods like toasters. Instead, we should focus on building cutting-edge industrial technologies that the world is demanding. These are the high-value products that support strong wages, resilient supply chains, and durable global leadership. The worldwide demand for clean, efficient energy technologies is rising rapidly, and the US cannot afford to be left behind. The energy transition presents not just an environmental imperative but a generational opportunity for American industrial renewal. The Trump administration has a chance to define energy dominance not just in terms of extraction, but in terms of production—of technology, of exports, of jobs, and of strategic influence. Let’s not let that opportunity slip away. Addison Killean Stark is the chief executive and cofounder of AtmosZero, an industrial steam heat pump startup based in Loveland, Colorado. He was previously a fellow at the Department of Energy’s ARPA-E division, which funds research and development of advanced energy technologies.

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Swapping LLMs isn’t plug-and-play: Inside the hidden cost of model migration

Swapping large language models (LLMs) is supposed to be easy, isn’t it? After all, if they all speak “natural language,” switching from GPT-4o to Claude or Gemini should be as simple as changing an API key… right?

In reality, each model interprets and responds to prompts differently, making the transition anything but seamless. Enterprise teams who treat model switching as a “plug-and-play” operation often grapple with unexpected regressions: broken outputs, ballooning token costs or shifts in reasoning quality.

This story explores the hidden complexities of cross-model migration, from tokenizer quirks and formatting preferences to response structures and context window performance. Based on hands-on comparisons and real-world tests, this guide unpacks what happens when you switch from OpenAI to Anthropic or Google’s Gemini and what your team needs to watch for.

Understanding Model Differences

Each AI model family has its own strengths and limitations. Some key aspects to consider include:

Tokenization variations—Different models use different tokenization strategies, which impact the input prompt length and its total associated cost.

Context window differences—Most flagship models allow a context window of 128K tokens; however, Gemini extends this to 1M and 2M tokens.

Instruction following – Reasoning models prefer simpler instructions, while chat-style models require clean and explicit instructions. 

Formatting preferences – Some models prefer markdown while others prefer XML tags for formatting.

Model response structure—Each model has its own style of generating responses, which affects verbosity and factual accuracy. Some models perform better when allowed to “speak freely,” i.e., without adhering to an output structure, while others prefer JSON-like output structures. Interesting research shows the interplay between structured response generation and overall model performance.

Migrating from OpenAI to Anthropic

Imagine a real-world scenario where you’ve just benchmarked GPT-4o, and now your CTO wants to try Claude 3.5. Make sure to refer to the pointers below before making any decision:

Tokenization variations

All model providers pitch extremely competitive per-token costs. For example, this post shows how the tokenization costs for GPT-4 plummeted in just one year between 2023 and 2024. However, from a machine learning (ML) practitioner’s viewpoint, making model choices and decisions based on purported per-token costs can often be misleading. 

A practical case study comparing GPT-4o and Sonnet 3.5 exposes the verbosity of Anthropic models’ tokenizers. In other words, the Anthropic tokenizer tends to break down the same text input into more tokens than OpenAI’s tokenizer. 

Context window differences

Each model provider is pushing the boundaries to allow longer and longer input text prompts. However, different models may handle different prompt lengths differently. For example, Sonnet-3.5 offers a larger context window up to 200K tokens as compared to the 128K context window of GPT-4. Despite this, it is noticed that OpenAI’s GPT-4 is the most performant in handling contexts up to 32K, whereas Sonnet-3.5’s performance declines with increased prompts longer than 8K-16K tokens.

Moreover, there is evidence that different context lengths are treated differently within intra-family models by the LLM, i.e., better performance at short contexts and worse performance at longer contexts for the same given task. This means that replacing one model with another (either from the same or a different family) might result in unexpected performance deviations.

Formatting preferences

Unfortunately, even the current state-of-the-art LLMs are highly sensitive to minor prompt formatting. This means the presence or absence of formatting in the form of markdown and XML tags can highly vary the model performance on a given task.

Empirical results across multiple studies suggest that OpenAI models prefer markdownified prompts including sectional delimiters, emphasis, lists, etc. In contrast, Anthropic models prefer XML tags for delineating different parts of the input prompt. This nuance is commonly known to data scientists and there is ample discussion on the same in public forums (Has anyone found that using markdown in the prompt makes a difference?, Formatting plain text to markdown, Use XML tags to structure your prompts).

For more insights, check out the official best prompt engineering practices released by OpenAI and Anthropic, respectively.  

Model response structure

OpenAI GPT-4o models are generally biased toward generating JSON-structured outputs. However, Anthropic models tend to adhere equally to the requested JSON or XML schema, as specified in the user prompt.However, imposing or relaxing the structures on models’ outputs is a model-dependent and empirically driven decision based on the underlying task. During a model migration phase, modifying the expected output structure would also entail slight adjustments in the post-processing of the generated responses.

Cross-model platforms and ecosystems

LLM switching is more complicated than it looks. Recognizing the challenge, major enterprises are increasingly focusing on providing solutions to tackle it. Companies like Google (Vertex AI), Microsoft (Azure AI Studio) and AWS (Bedrock) are actively investing in tools to support flexible model orchestration and robust prompt management.

For example, Google Cloud Next 2025 recently announced that Vertex AI allows users to work with more than 130 models by facilitating an expanded model garden, unified API access, and the new feature AutoSxS, which enables head-to-head comparisons of different model outputs by providing detailed insights into why one model’s output is better than the other.

Standardizing model and prompt methodologies

Migrating prompts across AI model families requires careful planning, testing and iteration. By understanding the nuances of each model and refining prompts accordingly, developers can ensure a smooth transition while maintaining output quality and efficiency.

ML practitioners must invest in robust evaluation frameworks, maintain documentation of model behaviors and collaborate closely with product teams to ensure the model outputs align with end-user expectations. Ultimately, standardizing and formalizing the model and prompt migration methodologies will equip teams to future-proof their applications, leverage best-in-class models as they emerge, and deliver users more reliable, context-aware, and cost-efficient AI experiences.

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USA EIA Boosts Henry Hub Natural Gas Price Forecasts

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) increased its Henry Hub natural gas spot price forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its latest short term energy outlook (STEO), which was released on April 10. According to its April STEO, the EIA now sees the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.27 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2025 and $4.60 per MMBtu in 2026. In its previous STEO, which was released in March, the EIA saw the Henry Hub spot price averaging $4.19 per MMBtu in 2025 and $4.47 per MMBtu in 2026. The EIA projected in its April STEO that the Henry Hub spot price will come in at $3.93 per MMBtu in the second quarter of 2025, $4.34 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.68 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.93 per MMBtu in the first quarter of next year, $4.18 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.61 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.66 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter. The EIA highlighted in its latest STEO that the Henry Hub spot price averaged $4.15 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025 and $2.19 per MMBtu overall in 2024. In its March STEO, the EIA projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $3.88 per MMBtu in the second quarter of this year, $4.30 per MMBtu in the third quarter, $4.49 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter, $4.66 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2026, $4.13 per MMBtu in the second quarter, $4.50 per MMBtu in the third quarter, and $4.60 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter of next year. The EIA’s March STEO projected that the Henry Hub spot price would average $4.11 per MMBtu in the first quarter of 2025. This STEO also highlighted that the commodity came in at $2.19

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Major shareholder revolt against BP chairman amid climate clash

Outgoing BP chairman Helge Lund received a near 25% vote against his reelection at the UK oil major’s annual general meeting in a shareholder revolt. The company’s board was dealt a bloody nose from shareholders as it faced conflicting pressures over climate goals during the meeting at its Sunbury-on-Thames hub on Thursday. It follows BP announcing a drastic shift away from investing in renewables in February after some shareholders pushed for a refocus on fossil fuels to boost its profits and share price, which have lagged behind its rivals. But ahead of the AGM, a group of 48 institutional investors criticised the board for not offering a direct vote on the oil major’s revised strategy, while environmental groups fiercely criticised the climate row-back. A resolution for Lund’s reelection received a provisional 24.3% of opposed votes, which marks a major rebuttal for a FTSE 100 company. © Supplied by Kenny Elrick/DC ThomBP’s North Sea HQ in Dyce, Aberdeen. Lund, who played a key role in setting BP’s green agenda, announced he will step down as the company plots a new course, meaning votes against his reelection were largely seen as a protest. Tarek Bouhouch, from the activist group Follow This, argued a vote against of 10% or more would have a “sole ESG purpose” and send a “strong signal”. According to the campaign group, a vote against the chairman likely never breached 10% in the firm’s history, or at least in the last decades. “Double digits is history,” Bouhouch said, claiming BP had never seen an oppose vote hit 10% at an AGM, at least not in the last decade. During the 90-minute meeting, board members and executives discussed the new strategy, with a large sign saying “A reset BP” on the set above their seats. Lund spoke about recent concerns

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TGS Expands its Mauritania 3D Seismic Library

Energy data and intelligence provider TGS has expanded its multi-client data library offshore Mauritania with the addition of over 101,500 square kilometers (39,189 square miles) of high-quality 3D seismic data. This expansion adds to the existing library of over 19,000 square kilometers (7,335.9 square miles) of reprocessed PSDM 3D seismic data and multiple regional 2D seismic surveys, TGS said in a media release. Together, these integrated datasets provide a more comprehensive and nuanced view of the subsurface, helping to refine known plays while revealing new exploration opportunities.  This data was released in collaboration with the Islamic Republic of Mauritania, the company said. Initial insights are beginning to surface through the integration of regional geological expertise and comprehensive mapping of trap trends, which extend from shelf-edge wells to deeper outboard fairways. Significantly, the discovery of Late Cretaceous channel-fan systems within the basin region is offering a renewed understanding of the area’s hydrocarbon potential, TGS said. “With the extension of our offshore data library with new 3D seismic data, Mauritania is opening the door to a new era of energy exploration. Our rich, underexplored basins and stable investment climate make Mauritania one of the most exciting frontiers for oil and gas”, Mohamed Ould Khaled, the Mauritanian Minister of Energy and Petroleum, said. “We are ready to work hand in hand with international partners to unlock this immense potential and deliver long-term, mutually beneficial growth”. “Aside from greatly expanding the quantity of high-quality multi-client subsurface data in West Africa, the true value of this extensive regional study lies in its ability to contextualize borehole data across the area. By re-evaluating historical exploration results – both successes and failures – exploration teams are better equipped to de-risk future ventures and make informed investment decisions”, David Hajovsky, Executive Vice President of Multi-Client, commented. TGS said

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Meeting unprecedented load growth: Challenges and opportunities for resource adequacy

Samuel Newell is a principal at The Brattle Group. The U.S. electric system is under more pressure than ever before. In order to meet the challenges of unprecedented growth in electricity demand from data centers, re-shoring and other uses, the U.S. electricity grid will have to expand more than five times faster than in the previous two decades. All regions of the country will need massive amounts of new resources and increased grid capability yet face lagging infrastructure, supply chain issues and slow-moving planning processes. Current forecasts, based on Brattle’s aggregation of most recent RTO and utility forecasts across the country, suggest peak loads will increase by 175 GW by 2030, and 270 GW by 2035 (24% and 36%, respectively) relative to 2024. Annual energy use is projected to grow even faster, adding 53% by 2035, since many of the new loads have higher load factors than existing loads. Forecast of annual electric use (TWh), based on individual RTOs’ and utilities’ most recent forecasts. Permission granted by The Brattle Group These forecasts are uncertain, with wider error bars than in more stable periods. Uncertainties surround the firmness of hyperscalers’ plans for new data centers and their future expansion, as everything about artificial intelligence training, usage and computational efficiencies evolve. There is also uncertainty around whether planned manufacturing plants will proceed with federal incentives that have been depended upon. Perhaps there is more downside than upside if some service requests are tentative or duplicative of requests in other candidate locations. Yet even if only half materializes, the growth rate will still far exceed that experienced in recent decades. This rate of growth is difficult to meet because of its sheer magnitude and because it is so much higher than anticipated in forecasts from even a mere 1.5 years ago, which were closer

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Trump administration ordered to resume IRA funding

A federal judge Tuesday ordered the Trump administration to take “immediate steps” to reinstate already awarded funding from the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, after the president broadly froze the disbursements on his first day in office.  Judge Mary McElroy of the U.S. District Court for Rhode Island ordered the Departments of Energy, Housing and Urban Development, Interior and Agriculture, as well as the Environmental Protection Agency, to release awards previously withheld, after the ruling found the agencies lacked authority to freeze the funding.  The decision applies to all awardees nationwide, and will remain in effect until McElroy rules on the merits of the lawsuit. The agencies must update the court of the status of their compliance by 5 p.m. EST on Wednesday.  “Agencies do not have unlimited authority to further a President’s agenda, nor do they have unfettered power to hamstring in perpetuity two statutes passed by Congress during the previous administration,” McElroy wrote in her decision.  The decision is a blow to President Donald Trump’s plans to dismantle the Biden administration’s hallmark climate funding law. The Inflation Reduction Act, passed in August 2022, provides hundreds of billions of dollars in direct funding and loan financing. It also offers lucrative tax credits for manufacturers that meet domestic production requirements, incentivizing a host of companies to invest in domestic facilities over the past three years. The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, also provides billions of dollars in clean energy funding.  Following the funding freeze, six nonprofits — Woonasquatucket River Watershed Council, Eastern Rhode Island Conservation District, Childhood Lead Action Project, Codman Square Neighborhood Development Corp., Green Infrastructure Center, and National Council of Nonprofits — sued the agencies in March in a bid to access their awarded funding, after other court orders failed. McElroy’s

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‘Critical’ Greenlink connects the UK and Ireland

The Greenlink interconnector between Wales and Ireland has come online, doubling capacity to one gigawatt. Spanning from County Wexford to National Grid’s Pembroke substation, the 504MW interconnector has been welcomed by both the Irish and UK governments. Irish minister for climate, environment and energy Darragh O’Brien said: “I want to congratulate the team at Greenlink for bringing this critical piece of energy infrastructure for Ireland and the UK to life.” The infrastructure connects into the electricity transmission networks of the UK’s National Grid and Ireland’s EirGrid, with the latter operating the link. Michael Kelly, interim chief operations and asset management officer at EirGrid, commented: “This latest connection marks a vital step forward in strengthening our shared commitment to energy resilience and security and was made possible through combining expertise, resources and innovation with our UK colleagues and through collaboration with the Greenlink team.” The interconnector is made up of two 320kV high-voltage direct current (HVDC) subsea cables and associated converter stations. National Grid has claimed that the project “strengthens energy security”, while UK minister Michael Shanks said that it will allow both nations to achieve their “clean energy potential.” The energy minister said: “It is important that Ireland and the UK work together to strengthen our mutual energy security, and drive forward in reaching our clean energy potential. “This cable between Wexford and Wales will help deliver our clean power 2030 mission and support Ireland’s renewable expansion by allowing us to trade more cheaper-to-generate clean energy with each other, helping both nations to move away from volatile fossil fuel markets.” © Mathew Perry/DCT MediaUK Energy Minister Michael Shanks speaking at the 2024 OEUK Conference. O’Brien added that the delivery of Greenlink is a symbol of the “ever-strengthening energy relationship” between the UK and Ireland. “Increased electricity interconnection will be a

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