Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE

I Tried Making my Own (Bad) LLM Benchmark to Cheat in Escape Rooms

Recently, DeepSeek announced their latest model, R1, and article after article came out praising its performance relative to cost, and how the release of such open-source models could genuinely change the course of LLMs forever. That is really exciting! And also, too big of a scope to write about… but when a model like DeepSeek […]

Recently, DeepSeek announced their latest model, R1, and article after article came out praising its performance relative to cost, and how the release of such open-source models could genuinely change the course of LLMs forever. That is really exciting! And also, too big of a scope to write about… but when a model like DeepSeek comes out of nowhere with a steel chair, boasting similar performance levels to other models, what does performance really mean in this context?

If you follow AI releases, you’ve seen this dance before. Every new model drops with its graphs showing how it’s somehow simultaneously better than GPT-4 on math problems while being smaller and more efficient. But what exactly are these benchmarks measuring? How are they created? And more importantly, how can we cut through the hype to create our own benchmarks for specific use cases?

I wanted to learn more about LLM Benchmarking.

Part 1: What is a Benchmark? (in 3 seconds)

TL:DR — The SATs (multiple, actually) for LLMs.

Part 1.1: What is a Benchmark? (in more than 3 seconds)

Before we dive into the nitty-gritty of specific benchmarks, let’s take a moment to unpack what we even mean by “LLM Benchmark.” Because calling them the “SATs for AI” feels both right and also slightly oversimplified.

LLM benchmarks are, at their core, structured tests used to measure how well large language models perform on certain tasks. These tasks can be anything from identifying if a statement is true or false, to summarizing a legal document, to generating valid Python functions. Think of them as curated obstacle courses specially designed by AI researchers to test every relevant muscle these models might have. These frameworks typically provide a dataset of inputs with known correct outputs, allowing for consistent comparison between models.

Modern benchmarks employ various evaluation methodologies. Classification metrics like accuracy work for tasks with discrete correct answers, while overlap-based metrics (BLEU, ROUGE) evaluate free-form text generation. Some benchmarks use functional testing for code generation, or employ other LLMs as judges to evaluate response quality.

A typical benchmark usually comes packaged as:

  • A standardized dataset of questions, prompts, or tasks (with correct or reference answers).
  • An evaluation protocol specifying how to measure success, like accuracy, F1 score, BLEU/ROUGE for text generation, or pass/fail rates for coding tasks.
  • A leaderboard or some form of comparative scoreboard, often with big flashy graphs.

Some really famous benchmarks include MMLU for testing multitask language understanding, TruthfulQA for assessing factual accuracy, and HumanEval for measuring coding capabilities. Results are pretty often published on public leaderboards, which let’s people perform some transparent comparison between different models.

From the DeepSeek paper: DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning

What Makes a Good Benchmark?

  1. A Clear Task Definition: We want tasks that are unambiguous. The more straightforward and well-specified the challenge, the easier it is to trust the results.
  2. Data Integrity: The test set shouldn’t be floating around in the training data. Because if the model’s seen the exact same question 50 times before, the evaluation is about as useful as giving a math quiz to someone who already has the answer key.
  3. Quantifiable Metrics: You need a standard for scoring performance — like how many times the model’s code passes test cases or how close the generated summary is to a “ground-truth” summary.
  4. Task Diversity & Difficulty: If a benchmark is too easy, everyone just ACES it on day one, and we learn… well, nothing. If it’s too niche (like “We test only the model’s ability to count the digits of Pi for 20 minutes”), that’s also not so helpful.

Life Ain’t All about The Grades

Benchmarks capture only a slice of what LLMs can do. In the real world, your chatbot might need to juggle domain knowledge, keep track of conversation context, abide by your company’s policies, and produce fluent, non-offensive replies. No single standardized test out there fully covers that. As we’ll see in the upcoming case studies, the design and execution of a benchmark can heavily shape the picture you get of your model’s performance… and sometimes lead you astray if you’re not careful with how you measure success.

Now that we have a sense of what Llm Benchmarks are designed to accomplish (and where they might fall short), let’s explore a couple of examples to see how people actually build and use them in practice — with mixed results!

Case Study #1: Leetcode as an LLM Benchmark

As a student in the tech space, the word “Leetcode” popping up during my search for cool benchmarks raised by blood pressure by a statistically significant amount. Unlike Leetcode, which sucks, the paper “Performance Study of LLM-Generated Code on Leetcode” was very interesting — it asks a deceptively simple question: can we use Leetcode to benchmark LLM code generation? Their findings reveal both the promise and pitfalls of this approach.

The Benchmark Design

The researchers built a three-stage validation system. Local tests catch basic errors, Leetcode’s judge verifies correctness, and a custom benchmarking setup measures performance. This setup revealed something critical: benchmarking code performance is harder than it looks.

When they compared local measurements to Leetcode’s metrics, they found only a 0.28 correlation. Leetcode’s measurements showed much higher variation (0.089 vs 0.035 locally). Even worse, Leetcode’s rankings proved unstable — identical solutions could drop from the 77th to 54th percentile just based on submission timing.

A Performance Study of LLM-Generated Code on Leetcode,” In 28th International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering (EASE 2024), Salerno, Italy (2024)

The Real Problems

Three major issues emerged that challenge Leetcode’s viability as a benchmark:

Data Contamination: Using public problems risks LLMs having seen the solutions during training. The researchers had to use only problems from 2023 to mitigate this.

Platform Instability: Leetcode’s metrics drift over time — memory measurements showed a -0.24 correlation with test date. This makes reproducible benchmarking nearly impossible.

Measurement Reliability: The weak correlation between local and platform measurements raises questions about what we’re actually testing.

What It Means for LLM Benchmarking

This study doesn’t just critique Leetcode — it highlights what we need in a code generation benchmark: reproducible measurements, reliable performance metrics, and guaranteed training-test separation. Until we have platforms built specifically for this purpose, we need to be extremely cautious about using competition platforms as benchmarks.

So! We know that not all benchmarks are viable benchmarks — what about a more mainstream one?

Case Study #2: SuperGLUE — Building a Better Language Understanding Benchmark

The SuperGLUE paper tackles a fascinating problem in AI benchmarking: what do you do when models get too good at your tests? When GLUE became insufficient (with models surpassing human performance), the researchers had to rethink how we measure language understanding.

The Benchmark Design

SuperGLUE’s core innovation is its task selection methodology. The researchers collected task proposals from the NLP community and filtered them through a rigorous process: each task needed clear evaluation metrics, public training data, and — most importantly — significant headroom between machine and human performance.

This resulted in eight tasks (I’ve simplified the table from the document here, it’s a little less readable but you should get the sense of what the questions are asking):

SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systems, In 33rd Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2019), Vancouver, Canada (2019)

What makes these tasks special is their diversity in format. Unlike GLUE’s focus on sentence classification, SuperGLUE includes coreference resolution, reading comprehension, and more com plex reasoning tasks. Each task measures different aspects of language understanding while maintaining clear, quantifiable metrics.


Part 2: Let’s Build a Physical Reasoning Benchmark: To Cheat at Escape Rooms

After looking at some benchmarks like SuperGLUE and Leetcode, I had an idea: what if we tested LLMs on something completely different — physical reasoning… through escape room puzzles?

It’s a pretty valid idea — escape rooms poses possibilities and consequences for failure — screw up one too many puzzles, and your friends will think you’re pretty stupid, and relegate you to spectator duty. Luckily for us however, they (or the poor employees) don’t know that you can sneak a phone into an escape room — and you know just who to ask for the answers. Today, LLMs face off against the puzzles of a physical escape room.

Note: This is NOT a rigorous academic benchmark (please don’t cite this in papers, why would you even want to do that?), or even close to it, and it’s just supposed to be a fun way to test LLM benchmarking and evaluation. Please do not destroy my prompts, I am aware they are bad.

Why Physical Reasoning?

For real, though… most LLM benchmarks focus on linguistic tasks (like SuperGLUE) or code generation (like Leetcode). And for good reason — these are well-defined domains with clear evaluation metrics. But real-world problem solving often requires understanding physical principles and their interactions. The famous “Can GPT-4 do physics?” debates usually center around mathematical problem-solving, not practical physical reasoning.

Looking at existing benchmarks taught me a few key principles:

  1. Clear evaluation metrics are crucial (from SuperGLUE’s task-specific scores)
  2. Problems should have unambiguous solutions (from HumanEval’s test cases)
  3. The benchmark should test distinct capabilities (from MMLU’s subject categories)

Designing the Problems

I settled on escape room puzzles for two reasons. First, they naturally combine physical reasoning with clear goals. Second, they have unambiguous success conditions — either you solve it through the intended way, or you don’t. Third, and most importantly, they let me include “red herrings” — irrelevant items that test if the LLM can identify what matters physically. Fourth, I just really like doing escape rooms (did I mention that already?),

I am aware that this is more than two reasons, but if LLMs can’t count how many rs’ there are in strawberry, I’m allowed to mess up once in a while too.

Here’s how I structured the five core problems:

Fluid Dynamics (FLUID_001) (Ping pong ball stuck in a tube)

  • Tests understanding of buoyancy and fluid displacement
  • Inspired by classic physics problems but in practical context
  • Includes intentionally irrelevant items (like squishy food models)

Light Properties (UV_001) (UV light on a push numebr lock)

  • Tests understanding of UV fluorescence and material properties
  • Combines multiple physical principles (light, material science)
  • Requires understanding of environmental conditions

Mechanical Understanding (CIPHER_001) (A cipher ring)

  • Tests spatial reasoning and mechanical alignment
  • No red herrings — tests for correlating a dial to a cypher wheel
  • Requires understanding rotational symmetry

Force Application (VAC_001) (Can stuck in hole)

  • Tests understanding of vacuum forces and surface adhesion
  • Multiple possible solution approaches
  • Requires understanding force multiplication

Collaborative Physics (COLLAB_001) (Can two people shimmy a key?)

  • Tests understanding of physical constraints in multi-agent scenarios
  • Requires combining multiple physical principles
  • Tests understanding of tool creation and friction

Sounds really fancy… but it’s just some basic physical puzzles. You can access them on my GitHub.

The Technical Part

The benchmark implementation has three main components:

Problem Definition Layer

Problems are defined in a structured JSON format that enforces consistent evaluation:

{
    "problem_id": "FLUID_001",
    "setup": {
        "scenario": "A ping pong ball is at the bottom of a narrow tube...",
        "available_items": ["bottle of water", "squishy food models"...],
        "constraints": ["tube too narrow for manual retrieval"]
    },
    "physical_principles": ["buoyancy", "fluid displacement"],
    "red_herrings": ["squishy food models", "milk carton"],
    "solution": {
        "steps": ["pour water into tube", "allow ball to float"],
        "key_insights": ["water displaces air", "ping pong ball less dense"]
    }
}

This structure draws from SuperGLUE’s design — each component is clearly separated and machine-readable. The physical_principles field explicitly lists what’s being tested, while red_herrings helps in scoring the LLM’s ability to ignore irrelevant information.

2. Evaluation Framework

The evaluation system uses Python’s asyncio for concurrent testing, with retry logic for a little bit more API stability:

@retry(stop=stop_after_attempt(3), wait=wait_exponential(min=1, max=10))
async def evaluate_response(self, criteria: JudgingCriteria) -> Dict:
    """Evaluate a model's response using GPT-4 as judge."""
    async with aiohttp.ClientSession() as session:
        # ... evaluation logic

The scoring system looks at three components:

Physical Understanding Score (PUS) ∈ [0,2]

  • Measures understanding of relevant physical principles
  • Calculated as normalized sum of demonstrated principles

Solution Path Score (SPS) ∈ [0,2]

  • Evaluates completeness and correctness of solution steps
  • Considers practical feasibility of proposed solutions

Red Herring Handling (RHH) ∈ {0,1}

  • A Binary score for avoiding irrelevant items
  • Tests ability to focus on physically relevant factors

And yes, there are also so many other scoring methods, better and worse, that could be used! For example, RHH could be about how many irrelevant items are used in the solution, or it could be a measure of how viable the use is… the point is that picking these metrics are often times pretty arbitrary, but are very very important to making your benchmark is credible, which mine is very much not.

Additionally, I did not want to rewrite any code after. Sue me.

3. Model Interface Layer

The benchmark supports multiple LLM backends through a common interface:

class ModelInterface:
    """Interface for different LLM APIs."""
    async def generate_response(self, prompt: str) -> str:
        raise NotImplementedError
class GPT4Interface(ModelInterface):
    async def generate_response(self, prompt: str) -> str:
        # GPT-4 specific implementation
class ClaudeInterface(ModelInterface):
    async def generate_response(self, prompt: str) -> str:
        # Claude specific implementation

Two models… I can’t really afford any more, please understand.

Let’s Test It!

So after some refilling of API balances, I was ready to go. I ran the benchmark, and after totally not wasting credits on like, 5 different errors, the results were in. And they were… interesting! I used GPT4 and Claude 3.5 Haiku (I am aware these are not similarly spec-ed models) as our victims.

The Challenge: A can is stuck in a hole that almost exactly matches its volume. A combination is written on the bottom of the can that needs to be retrieved.

The inspiration
"VAC_001": {
        "problem_id": "VAC_001",
        "setup": {
            "available_items": [
                "ruler",
                "notebook",
                "suction cup",
                "UV light"
            ],
            "constraints": [
                "can fits too tightly for finger grip",
                "hole is same diameter as can",
                "can is clean and dry"
            ]
        },
        "physical_principles": [
            "vacuum suction",
            "surface adhesion",
            "force multiplication"
        ],
        "red_herrings": [
            "ruler",
            "notebook",
            "UV light"
        ],
        "solution": {
            "steps": [
                "inspect suction cup and can surface",
                "ensure can surface is clean",
                "firmly press suction cup onto can top",
                "create vacuum seal",
                "pull can out using suction cup"
            ],
            "key_insights": [
                "suction cup creates vacuum seal",
                "vacuum force allows extraction",
                "other items don't provide necessary force"
            ]
        }

GPT-4’s Solution

Physical Principles: The main physical principle involved in this solution is the concept of air pressure differential, which is the same principle that allows a suction cup to stick to a surface. Air pressure is higher on one side of the suction cup (outside) compared to the other (inside), and this difference in pressure causes the cup to stick to the surface.

Solution Steps:

  1. Attach the suction cup to the top of the can. The flat surface of the can should provide a good contact for the suction cup to adhere to.
  2. Once the suction cup is firmly attached, gently pull upwards. The air pressure differential should cause the suction cup (and thus the can) to be lifted out of the hole.
  3. Once the can is out of the hole, remove the suction cup from the top of the can.
  4. Use the UV light to illuminate the combination written on the bottom of the can. Some inks only become visible under UV light, which is why this step is necessary.
  5. Write down the combination on the notebook to ensure it’s not forgotten.

Required Items:

  • Suction cup: This is required to adhere to the can and pull it out of the hole, as the can fits too tightly for finger grip.
  • UV light: This is required to reveal the combination written on the bottom of the can, as it may be written in ink that only becomes visible under UV light.
  • Notebook: This is required to record the combination once it’s visible, ensuring it’s not forgotten.”

Not bad at all! GPT-4 manages to figure out the physical principle behind the solution (even if it is very wordy), and manages to step-by-step describe how to solve the problem. It does end up using the UV light and notebook, but that’s more of a problem on my end, not punishing the use of unnecessary items in the prompt enough. Also, the uses for these items seem decently reasonable… so why not!

Haiku-3.5’s Solution

Physical Principles: The key physical principles involved in this scenario are the concept of volume and the use of suction to extract the can from the hole. Since the can fits almost exactly into the hole, it is likely that the can is stuck due to the tight fit and the lack of any air gaps or space between the can and the hole. This tight fit creates a vacuum-like effect, making it difficult to grip and pull the can out.

Solution Steps:

  1. Measure the diameter of the can using the ruler. This will help determine the size of the hole and confirm that the can fits tightly within it.
  2. Inspect the bottom of the can to locate the combination written on it. Use the UV light to illuminate the bottom of the can and make the combination visible, if it is not already clearly visible.
  3. Attach the suction cup to the top of the can. The suction cup will create a temporary seal on the can’s surface, allowing you to grip and pull it out of the hole.
  4. Gently pull the can upwards using the suction cup. The suction force should be strong enough to overcome the vacuum-like effect and extract the can from the hole.
  5. Once the can is out, record the combination written on the bottom of the can in the notebook.

Required Items:

  • Ruler: To measure the diameter of the can and confirm the tight fit in the hole.
  • UV light: To illuminate the bottom of the can and make the combination visible, if it is not already clearly visible.
  • Suction cup: To create a temporary seal on the can’s surface and provide the necessary grip to pull the can out of the hole.
  • Notebook: To record the combination written on the bottom of the can.

On the other hand, Haiku’s solution was.. certainly a solution of all time.

First, it wants to measure the diameter of the can using the ruler??? To determine the size of the hole and confirm that the can fits tightly within it? Why would we need to do this? And do we need a ruler for that?

Second, it tells us to inspect the bottom of the can to locate the combination, when the entire problem is about not being able to pull the can out of the hole conventionally. This might just be an issue of order, but now I truly understand my friends’ feelings whenever I would tell them “just fix it man” to their numerous problems.

But it eventually does get the solution. So… not the worst.

Here’s a fancy radar graph of the results!

We see that both models are pretty similar in their capabilities, with GPT-4 being slightly better in physical understanding and solution path, and Haiku being slightly better in red herring handling. Overall though, both models kind of suck. Dang.

There are also only… 5 questions.

If you’d like to see the full breadth of questions, they’re on my GitHub.

LLM-as-a-Judge

By the way, the method I used to generate the evaluations, LLM-as-a-judge, has gained significant traction in the AI community, particularly after the work of Zheng et al. in their 2023 paper “Judging LLM-as-a-Judge.” The technique has proven remarkably effective, achieving over 80% agreement with human evaluators in tasks ranging from code assessment to dialogue quality evaluation!

Here’s where my experiment gets kind of cool (arguably, maybe, subjectively) — I used this methodology and had GPT-4 judge other LLMs’ physical reasoning abilities. Yes, I’m using an AI to judge other AIs.

Why does this work? Well, judging a response is actually a simpler task than generating one. When GPT-4 generates a solution to a physical puzzle, it needs to:

  • Understand the physical principles involved
  • Plan a sequence of steps
  • Consider all constraints
  • Generate a coherent explanation

But when judging, it only needs to check if specific criteria are met in an existing solution. The evaluation prompt is very focused:

def _create_evaluation_prompt(self, criteria: JudgingCriteria) -> str:
    return f"""You are an expert judge evaluating an LLM's understanding of physical reasoning puzzles.
Evaluate based on three criteria:
2. Physical Understanding Score (0-2): Does the solution correctly apply relevant physical principles?
3. Solution Path Score (0-2): Are the steps complete and feasible?
4. Red Herring Handling (0-1): Does it avoid using irrelevant items?
Scenario: {criteria.scenario}
Physical Principles Required: {criteria.correct_principles}
Solution Given: {criteria.model_response}
"""

To validate this approach, I followed the validation framework suggested by Zheng et al., performing spot-checks of GPT-4’s evaluations against my own judgments. Surprisingly (or perhaps unsurprisingly, given the broader research on LLM evaluation), it was remarkably consistent in identifying both correct physical understanding and flawed reasoning.

Is this perfect? Absolutely not. There’s something philosophically weird about using one LLM to evaluate another. But in practice, it can work surprisingly well — just like how I moan and groan about the visual presentation of a dish on Masterchef, while setting my kitchen aflame trying to microwave a hot dog.

What I Learned

Building this benchmark taught me several things about benchmark design:

Clear Metrics Matter: Even for complex tasks like physical reasoning, you need unambiguous scoring criteria.

Red Herrings Are Powerful: Including irrelevant items reveals a lot about an LLM’s reasoning process.

Context Control is Hard: Ensuring LLMs don’t “hallucinate” additional physical context is challenging.

Is this a perfect benchmark? Not even close. Please don’t rub it in. Is it scientifically rigorous? Definitely not. But it’s been a fascinating exploration into an aspect of LLM capabilities, and sometimes the best we can learn can come from just trying things out and seeing what happens.

Now, if you’ll excuse me, I will be sneaking in a phone with an internet connection into my next escape room, for reasons that I am legally unmotivated to disclose.

[1] L. Zheng, W.-L. Chiang, Y. Sheng, S. Zhuang, Z. Wu, Y. Zhuang, Z. Lin, Z. Li, D. Li, E. P. Xing, H. Zhang, J. E. Gonzalez, I. Stoica, “Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arena,” Proceedings of the 37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2023), Datasets and Benchmarks Track (2023)

[2] T. Coignion, C. Quinton, R. Rouvoy, “A Performance Study of LLM-Generated Code on Leetcode,” In 28th International Conference on Evaluation and Assessment in Software Engineering (EASE 2024), Salerno, Italy (2024)

[3] A. Wang, Y. Pruksachatkun, N. Nangia, A. Singh, J. Michael, F. Hill, O. Levy, S. R. Bowman, “SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systems,” In 33rd Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2019), Vancouver, Canada (2019)

[5] DeepSeek-AI, D. Guo, D. Yang, H. Zhang, J. Song, R. Zhang, R. Xu, Q. Zhu, S. Ma, P. Wang, X. Bi, X. Zhang, X. Yu, Y. Wu, Z.F. Wu, Z. Gou, Z. Shao, Z. Li, Z. Gao et al., “DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning,” arXiv preprint arXiv:2501.12948 (2025)

[6] Unless otherwise stated, all images are created by the author.

Shape
Shape
Stay Ahead

Explore More Insights

Stay ahead with more perspectives on cutting-edge power, infrastructure, energy,  bitcoin and AI solutions. Explore these articles to uncover strategies and insights shaping the future of industries.

Shape

OPEC Receives Updated Compensation Plans

A statement posted on OPEC’s website this week announced that the OPEC Secretariat has received updated compensation plans from Iraq, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Kazakhstan, and Oman. A table accompanying this statement showed that these compensation plans amount to a total of 221,000 barrels per day in November, 272,000

Read More »

LogicMonitor closes Catchpoint buy, targets AI observability

The acquisition combines LogicMonitor’s observability platform with Catchpoint’s internet-level intelligence, which monitors performance from thousands of global vantage points. Once integrated, Catchpoint’s synthetic monitoring, network data, and real-user monitoring will feed directly into Edwin AI, LogicMonitor’s intelligence engine. The goal is to let enterprise customers shift from reactive alerting to

Read More »

Akamai acquires Fermyon for edge computing as WebAssembly comes of age

Spin handles compilation from source to WebAssembly bytecode and manages execution on target platforms. The runtime abstracts the underlying technology while preserving WebAssembly’s performance and security characteristics. This bet on WebAssembly standards has paid off as the technology matured.  WebAssembly has evolved significantly beyond its initial browser-focused design to support

Read More »

Winners and losers in the latest Top500 supercomputer list

Winner: Slingshot-11 Slingshot-11 is a 200G proprietary interconnect developed by HPE and its Cray supercomputer subsidiary. As the number of Cray systems increases on the list, so goes the number of Slingshot-11 based systems. The total number of Slingshot-11 systems jumped from 37 and 2024 to 52 this year. Loser:

Read More »

Energy Department Releases National Petroleum Council Recommendations to Accelerate Permitting Reform and Strengthen U.S. Energy Infrastructure

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today released key studies from the National Petroleum Council (NPC) that provide comprehensive recommendations to help modernize America’s energy infrastructure, streamline federal permitting, and remove regulatory barriers that have stalled the development of critical energy projects. The studies, one on gas-electric coordination and the other on oil and natural gas infrastructure permitting, underscore the urgent need for reforms to strengthen grid reliability and expand domestic energy production. The NPC is a federal advisory committee to the Secretary of Energy composed of leaders from oil and natural gas industries, academia, and other stakeholders. These studies were completed at the request of U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright as part of a broader examination of “Future Energy Systems” and support President Trump’s agenda to unleash American energy, accelerate infrastructure build-out, and ensure affordable, reliable and secure energy for American families. “For years, the Biden Administration advanced policies that made it harder to produce American energy,” said U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “The National Petroleum Council’s findings confirm what President Trump has said from day one: America needs more energy infrastructure, less red tape, and serious permitting reform. These recommendations will help make energy more affordable for every American household.” “The studies represent a significant collaborative effort to tackle some of the most complex challenges in our energy infrastructure,” said U.S. Department of Energy Assistant Secretary for the Hydrocarbons and Geothermal Energy Office Kyle Haustveit. “The National Petroleum Council recommendations will be instrumental in guiding the Department’s strategies for enhancing grid reliability and streamlining the development of essential energy projects.” The gas-electric coordination study, Reliable Energy: Delivering on the Promise of Gas-Electric Coordination, evaluates how rising natural gas and electricity demand, combined with shifting usage patterns, is straining natural gas pipelines in key regions of the United States. It

Read More »

Black Sea War Insurance Soars 250 Percent

Insurance rates for ships calling at ports in the Black Sea are surging after a series of Ukrainian attacks on vessels with links to Moscow.  The cost of covering visits to Russian ports in the Black Sea has jumped more than threefold, according to Marsh, the world’s largest insurance broker. Rates were between 0.25% and 0.3% of the value of the ship prior to the recent incidents, Marsh said.  Underwriters are now charging as much as 1% for some Ukrainian ports in the Black Sea, according to two people involved in the market, who spoke on condition of anonymity.  Ukraine has claimed attacks on two tankers from Russia’s so-called shadow fleet — vessels that operate in secrecy to skirt sanctions. There have been two other incidents also involving Moscow-linked ships since the end of last week. “For Russian port calls, underwriters are pricing in a broader range of possible strike locations and a higher likelihood of repetition,” said Munro Anderson, Head of Operations at Vessel Protect, which is part of Pen Underwriting and one of the world’s largest marine war risk insurance specialists. “As strikes escalate, so does the probability of Russian retaliation against ships connected to Ukraine.” The blasts, three of which took place in the Black Sea, come against a backdrop of strikes on wider Russian oil infrastructure that have elevated the danger of sailing in the region over the last few weeks. President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday that Russia could retaliate.  Romania’s defense ministry said Wednesday that divers carried out a mission to neutralize a Sea Baby drone 36 miles east of the city of Constanta, underscoring the risks to shipping for Black Sea nations that aren’t Russia and Ukraine too.  Rates “have been seen to grow steadily and in direct response to further attacks which appear increasingly to

Read More »

Oil Closes Up as Peace Deal Falls Short

Oil edged up after a fresh round of US-Russia talks failed to reach a deal to end Moscow’s war in Ukraine, boosting fears that restrictions on Russian oil supply could remain in place for longer. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.5% to settle near $59, remaining within the tight range prices have been stuck in this week. The Kremlin says talks with a US delegation led by US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were “constructive,” but no deal was made to end the Ukraine war. The talks took place against a backdrop of recent attacks on Russia-linked tankers, with at least one ship manager saying it would stop sending vessels to the country. A deal to end Russia’s war in Ukraine could mean the end of sanctions on Russian oil in a market already staring down concerns about oversupply, providing bearish momentum for crude. Those oversupply fears weren’t heightened, however, after a US government report on Wednesday showed a 574,000 barrel build in crude stocks, smaller than an industry report showing that stockpiles increased by about 2.5 million barrels last week. Gasoline inventories rose the most since May. Geopolitical tensions are keeping the market jittery and adding a risk premium to prices, partly countering surplus concerns. That includes US rhetoric against Venezuela, a major oil producer, with US President Donald Trump suggesting the Pentagon will soon start targeting alleged drug cartels in that country with strikes on land. Oil Prices WTI for January delivery rose 0.53% to settle at $58.95 a barrel in New York. Brent for February settlement gained 0.35% to settle at $62.67 a barrel. What do you think? We’d love to hear from you, join the conversation on the Rigzone Energy Network. The Rigzone Energy Network is a new social experience created for you and all energy

Read More »

Russia Oil Revenue Falls by a Third

The Russian government’s oil proceeds shrank by almost a third in November from a year ago as weaker crude prices and a stronger currency took their toll on revenues. Oil-related taxes declined by 32% to 413.7 billion rubles ($5.3 billion) last month, according to Bloomberg calculations based on finance ministry data published Wednesday. Combined oil and gas revenue fell by 34% to 530.9 billion rubles.  Lower proceeds from those industries — which have accounted for about a quarter of Russia’s budget so far this year — will ramp up pressure on state finances, burdened by military spending on the war against Ukraine that’s well into its fourth year.  Global crude prices have drifted lower ahead of an expected supply glut, and the discount for Russian blends has gotten even steeper after US President Donald Trump blacklisted the nation’s two largest producers, Rosneft PJSC and Lukoil PJSC, to pressure his counterpart Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine.  On a month-to-month basis, oil revenue almost halved, reflecting the fact that one of Russia’s main oil taxes — a profit-based levy — is paid four times a year in March, April, July and October.  Russia’s finance ministry calculated oil revenue based on the average price of Urals — its key export blend — at $53.68 a barrel in October, 17% lower than a year ago. A stronger currency also contributed to lower revenue, as it means producers receive fewer rubles for each dollar earned by selling a barrel of oil. In October, the Russian currency averaged 81.0089 rubles against the US dollar, 15% stronger than a year earlier. WHAT DO YOU THINK? Generated by readers, the comments included herein do not reflect the views and opinions of Rigzone. All comments are subject to editorial review. Off-topic, inappropriate or insulting comments will be

Read More »

USA Gasoline Price Falls to Lowest Level Since May 2021

The average U.S. gasoline price fell to “the lowest level since May 2021” over the weekend, Patrick De Haan, Head of Petroleum Analysis at GasBuddy, highlighted in a blog posted on the GasBuddy website on Monday. “Nearly every state saw average gas prices fall heading into Thanksgiving, with the national average dipping below $3 per gallon for several consecutive days – falling to $2.95 per gallon over the weekend, the lowest level since May 2021,” De Haan said in the blog. “With refinery maintenance largely complete and OPEC increasing oil production for December, oil prices have struggled. Combine those factors and you have a solid recipe for continued downward pressure on gas prices in the weeks ahead,” De Haan added. “A few dozen stations are already offering gas under $2 per gallon, and we could see that number grow as we move further into the holiday season. It couldn’t come at a better time for Americans – with relief arriving just as the holidays kick off,” De Haan continued. Monday’s GasBuddy blog stated that the nation’s average price of gasoline has fallen 8.5 cents over the last week and stands at $2.95 per gallon, according to GasBuddy data compiled from more than 12 million individual price reports covering over 150,000 gas stations across the country. “The national average is down 6.9 cents from a month ago and is 5.4 cents per gallon lower than a year ago,” the blog highlighted. The GasBuddy blog also noted that the “most common U.S. gas price encountered by motorists stood at $2.99 per gallon, unchanged from last week, followed by $2.89, $2.69, $2.79, and $2.59, rounding out the top five most common prices”. The median U.S. gas price is $2.83 per gallon, down six cents from last week and about 12 cents lower than

Read More »

TVA, Holtec to Get Up To $800MM in DOE Funding for SMR Development

The United States Department of Energy (DOE) on Tuesday announced funding for the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) and Holtec Government Services to support the development of light-water small modular reactors (SMRs). “The project teams will receive up to $800 million in federal cost-shared funding to advance initial projects in Tennessee and Michigan and help expand the nation’s capacity while facilitating additional follow-on projects and associated supply chains”, DOE said in an online statement. “The selections announced today will help deliver new nuclear generation in the early 2030s, strengthen domestic supply chains and advance President Trump’s executive orders to usher in a nuclear renaissance and expand America’s energy dominance agenda”. TVA has been allotted up to $400 million to advance the deployment of a GE Vernova Hitachi BWRX-300 at the Clinch River Nuclear site in Tennessee and additional units with Indiana Michigan Power and Elementl, DOE said. “TVA is the first utility in the U.S. to have a construction permit application for a BWRX-300 SMR accepted by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission”, TVA said separately. “The Clinch River project will serve as a national model for how to deploy SMRs safely, efficiently and affordably – laying the groundwork for a new era of American nuclear energy leadership”. TVA president and chief executive Don Moul said, “As AI, data centers and digital infrastructure drive unprecedented energy demand, we’re building our nation’s nuclear energy foundation right here in the Tennessee Valley”. Holtec is also getting up to $400 million to deploy two SMR-300 reactors at the Palisades Nuclear Generating Station site in Covert, Michigan. “Holtec is pursuing an innovative one-stop-shop approach to SMR deployment by fulfilling the roles of technology vendor, supply chain vendor, nuclear plant constructor in partnership with Hyundai Engineering & Construction, plant operator and electricity merchant selling the power to nearby utilities and end-users”, DOE said. Holtec said separately,

Read More »

HPE loads up AI networking portfolio, strengthens Nvidia, AMD partnerships

On the hardware front, HPE is targeting the AI data center edge with a new MX router and the scale-out networking delivery with a new QFX switch. Juniper’s MX series is its flagship routing family aimed at carriers, large-scale enterprise data center and WAN customers, while the QFX line services data center customers anchoring spine/leaf networks as well as top-of-rack systems. The new 1U, 1.6Tbps MX301 multiservice edge router, available now, is aimed at bringing AI inferencing closer to the source of data generation and can be positioned in metro, mobile backhaul, and enterprise routing applications, Rahim said. It includes high-density support for 16 x 1/1025/50GbE, 10 x 100Gb and 4 x 400Gb interfaces. “The MX301 is essentially the on-ramp to provide high speed, secure connections from distributed inference cluster users, devices and agents from the edge all the way to the AI data center,” Rami said. “The requirements here are typically around high performance, but also very high logical skills and integrated security.” In the QFX arena, the new QFX5250 switch, available in 1Q 2026, is a fully liquid-cooled box aimed at tying together Nvidia Rubin and/or AMD MI400 GPUs for AI consumption across the data center. It is built on Broadcom Tomahawk 6 silicon and supports up to 102.4Tbps Ethernet bandwidth, Rahim said.  “The QFX5250 combines HPE liquid cooling technology with Juniper networking software (Junos) and integrated AIops intelligence to deliver a high-performance, power-efficient and simplified operations for next-generation AI inference,” Rami said. Partnership expansions Also key to HPE/Juniper’s AI networking plans are its partnerships with Nvidia and AMD. The company announced its relationship with Nvidia now includes HPE Juniper edge onramp and long-haul data center interconnect (DCI) support in its Nvidia AI Computing by HPE portfolio. This extension uses the MX and Junipers PTX hyperscaler routers to support high-scale, secure

Read More »

What is co-packaged optics? A solution for surging capacity in AI data center networks

When it announced its CPO-capable switches, Nvidia said they would improve resiliency by 10 times at scale compared to previous switch generations. Several factors contribute to this claim, including the fact that the optical switches require four times fewer lasers, Shainer says. Whereas the laser source was previously part of the transceiver, the optical engine is now incorporated onto the ASIC, allowing multiple optical channels to share a single laser. Additionally, in Nvidia’s implementation, the laser source is located outside of the switch. “We want to keep the ability to replace a laser source in case it has failed and needs to be replaced,” he says. “They are completely hot-swappable, so you don’t need to shut down the switch.” Nonetheless, you may often hear that when something fails in a CPO box, you need to replace the entire box. That may be true if it’s the photonics engine embedded in silicon inside the box. “But they shouldn’t fail that often. There are not a lot of moving parts in there,” Wilkinson says. While he understands the argument around failures, he doesn’t expect it to pan out as CPO gets deployed. “It’s a fallacy,” he says. There’s also a simple workaround to the resiliency issue, which hyperscalers are already talking about, Karavalas says: overbuild. “Have 10% more ports than you need or 5%,” he says. “If you lose a port because the optic goes bad, you just move it and plug it in somewhere else.” Which vendors are backing co-packaged optics? In terms of vendors that have or plan to have CPO offerings, the list is not long, unless you include various component players like TSMC. But in terms of major switch vendors, here’s a rundown: Broadcom has been making steady progress on CPO since 2021. It is now shipping “to

Read More »

Nvidia’s $2B Synopsys stake tests independence of open AI interconnect standard

But the concern for enterprise IT leaders is whether Nvidia’s financial stakes in UALink consortium members could influence the development of an open standard specifically designed to compete with Nvidia’s proprietary technology and to give enterprises more choices in the datacenter. Organizations planning major AI infrastructure investments view such open standards as critical to avoiding vendor lock-in and maintaining competitive pricing. “This does put more pressure on UALink since Intel is also a member and also took investment from Nvidia,” Sag said. UALink and Synopsys’s critical role UALink represents the industry’s most significant effort to prevent vendor lock-in for AI infrastructure. The consortium ratified its UALink 200G 1.0 Specification in April, defining an open standard for connecting up to 1,024 AI accelerators within computing pods at 200 Gbps per lane — directly competing with Nvidia’s NVLink for scale-up applications. Synopsys plays a critical role. The company joined UALink’s board in January and in December announced the industry’s first UALink design components, enabling chip designers to build UALink-compatible accelerators. Analysts flag governance concerns Gaurav Gupta, VP analyst at Gartner, acknowledged the tension. “The Nvidia-Synopsys deal does raise questions around the future of UALink as Synopsys is a key partner of the consortium and holds critical IP for UALink, which competes with Nvidia’s proprietary NVLink,” he said. Sanchit Vir Gogia, chief analyst at Greyhound Research, sees deeper structural concerns. “Synopsys is not a peripheral player in this standard; it is the primary supplier of UALink IP and a board member within the UALink Consortium,” he said. “Nvidia’s entry into Synopsys’ shareholder structure risks contaminating that neutrality.”

Read More »

Cooling crisis at CME: A wakeup call for modern infrastructure governance

Organizations should reassess redundancy However, he pointed out, “the deeper concern is that CME had a secondary data center ready to take the load, yet the failover threshold was set too high, and the activation sequence remained manually gated. The decision to wait for the cooling issue to self-correct rather than trigger the backup site immediately revealed a governance model that had not evolved to keep pace with the operational tempo of modern markets.” Thermal failures, he said, “do not unfold on the timelines assumed in traditional disaster recovery playbooks. They escalate within minutes and demand automated responses that do not depend on human certainty about whether a facility will recover in time.” Matt Kimball, VP and principal analyst at Moor Insights & Strategy, said that to some degree what happened in Aurora highlights an issue that may arise on occasion: “the communications gap that can exist between IT executives and data center operators. Think of ‘rack in versus rack out’ mindsets.” Often, he said, the operational elements of that data center environment, such as cooling, power, fire hazards, physical security, and so forth, fall outside the realm of an IT executive focused on delivering IT services to the business. “And even if they don’t fall outside the realm, these elements are certainly not a primary focus,” he noted. “This was certainly true when I was living in the IT world.” Additionally, said Kimball, “this highlights the need for organizations to reassess redundancy and resilience in a new light. Again, in IT, we tend to focus on resilience and redundancy at the app, server, and workload layers. Maybe even cluster level. But as we continue to place more and more of a premium on data, and the terms ‘business critical’ or ‘mission critical’ have real relevance, we have to zoom out

Read More »

Microsoft loses two senior AI infrastructure leaders as data center pressures mount

Microsoft did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Microsoft’s constraints Analysts say the twin departures mark a significant setback for Microsoft at a critical moment in the AI data center race, with pressure mounting from both OpenAI’s model demands and Google’s infrastructure scale. “Losing some of the best professionals working on this challenge could set Microsoft back,” said Neil Shah, partner and co-founder at Counterpoint Research. “Solving the energy wall is not trivial, and there may have been friction or strategic differences that contributed to their decision to move on, especially if they saw an opportunity to make a broader impact and do so more lucratively at a company like Nvidia.” Even so, Microsoft has the depth and ecosystem strength to continue doubling down on AI data centers, said Prabhu Ram, VP for industry research at Cybermedia Research. According to Sanchit Gogia, chief analyst at Greyhound Research, the departures come at a sensitive moment because Microsoft is trying to expand its AI infrastructure faster than physical constraints allow. “The executives who have left were central to GPU cluster design, data center engineering, energy procurement, and the experimental power and cooling approaches Microsoft has been pursuing to support dense AI workloads,” Gogia said. “Their exit coincides with pressures the company has already acknowledged publicly. GPUs are arriving faster than the company can energize the facilities that will house them, and power availability has overtaken chip availability as the real bottleneck.”

Read More »

What is Edge AI? When the cloud isn’t close enough

Many edge devices can periodically send summarized or selected inference output data back to a central system for model retraining or refinement. That feedback loop helps the model improve over time while still keeping most decisions local. And to run efficiently on constrained edge hardware, the AI model is often pre-processed by techniques such as quantization (which reduces precision), pruning (which removes redundant parameters), or knowledge distillation (which trains a smaller model to mimic a larger one). These optimizations reduce the model’s memory, compute, and power demands so it can run more easily on an edge device. What technologies make edge AI possible? The concept of the “edge” always assumes that edge devices are less computationally powerful than data centers and cloud platforms. While that remains true, overall improvements in computational hardware have made today’s edge devices much more capable than those designed just a few years ago. In fact, a whole host of technological developments have come together to make edge AI a reality. Specialized hardware acceleration. Edge devices now ship with dedicated AI-accelerators (NPUs, TPUs, GPU cores) and system-on-chip units tailored for on-device inference. For example, companies like Arm have integrated AI-acceleration libraries into standard frameworks so models can run efficiently on Arm-based CPUs. Connectivity and data architecture. Edge AI often depends on durable, low-latency links (e.g., 5G, WiFi 6, LPWAN) and architectures that move compute closer to data. Merging edge nodes, gateways, and local servers means less reliance on distant clouds. And technologies like Kubernetes can provide a consistent management plane from the data center to remote locations. Deployment, orchestration, and model lifecycle tooling. Edge AI deployments must support model-update delivery, device and fleet monitoring, versioning, rollback and secure inference — especially when orchestrated across hundreds or thousands of locations. VMware, for instance, is offering traffic management

Read More »

Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

Read More »

John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

Read More »

2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

Read More »

OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

Read More »