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The Download: inside a deepfake marketplace, and EV batteries’ future

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. Inside the marketplace powering bespoke AI deepfakes of real women Civitai—an online marketplace for buying and selling AI-generated content, backed by the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz—is letting users buy custom instruction files for generating celebrity deepfakes. Some of these files were specifically designed to make pornographic images banned by the site, a new analysis has found. The study, from researchers at Stanford and Indiana University, looked at people’s requests for content on the site, called “bounties.” The researchers found that between mid-2023 and the end of 2024, most bounties asked for animated content—but a significant portion were for deepfakes of real people, and 90% of these deepfake requests targeted women. Read the full story.
—James O’Donnell
What’s next for EV batteries in 2026 Demand for electric vehicles and the batteries that power them has never been hotter. In 2025, EVs made up over a quarter of new vehicle sales globally, up from less than 5% in 2020. Some regions are seeing even higher uptake: In China, more than 50% of new vehicle sales last year were battery electric or plug-in hybrids. In Europe, more purely electric vehicles hit the roads in December than gas-powered ones. (The US is the notable exception here, dragging down the global average with a small sales decline from 2024.) As EVs become increasingly common on the roads, the battery world is growing too. Here’s what’s coming next for EV batteries in 2026 and beyond. —Casey Crownhart This story is part of MIT Technology Review’s What’s Next series, which examines industries, trends, and technologies to give you a first look at the future. You can read the rest of them here. TR10: Base-edited baby

Kyle “KJ” Muldoon Jr. was born with a rare, potentially fatal genetic disorder that left his body unable to remove toxic ammonia from his blood. The University of Pennsylvania offered his parents an alternative to a liver transplant: gene-editing therapies. The team set to work developing a tailored treatment using base editing—a form of CRISPR that can correct genetic “misspellings” by changing single bases, the basic units of DNA. KJ received an initial low dose when he was seven months old, and later received two higher doses. Today, KJ is doing well. At an event in October last year, his happy parents described how he was meeting all his developmental milestones. Others have received gene-editing therapies intended to treat conditions including sickle cell disease and a predisposition to high cholesterol. But KJ was the first to receive a personalized treatment—one that was designed just for him and will probably never be used again. Read why we made it one of our 10 Breakthrough Technologies this year, and check out the rest of the list. The must-reads I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology. 1 A social network for AI agents is vulnerable to abuseA misconfiguration meant anyone could take control of any agent. (404 Media)+ Moltbook is loosely modeled on Reddit, but humans are unable to post. (FT $)2 Google breached its own ethics rules to help an Israeli contractorIt helped a military worker to analyze drone footage, a whistleblower has claimed. (WP $) 3 Capgemini is selling its unit linked to ICEAfter the French government asked it to clarify its work for the agency. (Bloomberg $) + The company has signed $12.2mn in contracts under the Trump administration. (FT $)+ Here’s how to film ICE activities as safely as possible. (Wired $)4 China has a plan to prime its next generation of AI experts Thanks to its elite genius class system. (FT $)+ The country is going all-in on AI healthcare. (Rest of World)+ The State of AI: Is China about to win the race? (MIT Technology Review)
5 Indonesia has reversed its ban on xAI’s GrokAfter it announced plans to improve its compliance with the country’s laws. (Reuters)+ Indonesia maintains a strict stance against pornographic content. (NYT $)+ Malaysia and the Philippines have also lifted bans on the chatbot. (TechCrunch)6 Don’t expect to hitch a ride on a Blue Origin rocket anytime soonJeff Bezos’ venture won’t be taking tourists into space for at least two years. (NYT $)+ Artemis II astronauts are due to set off for the moon soon. (IEEE Spectrum)+ Commercial space stations are on our list of 10 Breakthrough Technologies for 2026. (MIT Technology Review)7 America’s push for high-speed internet is under threatThere aren’t enough skilled workers to meet record demand. (WSJ $) 8 Can AI help us grieve better?A growing cluster of companies are trying to find out. (The Atlantic $)+ Technology that lets us “speak” to our dead relatives has arrived. Are we ready? (MIT Technology Review)
9 How to fight future insect infestations 🍄A certain species of fungus could play a key role. (Ars Technica)+ How do fungi communicate? (MIT Technology Review)10 What a robot-made latte tastes like, according to a former baristaDamn fine, apparently. (The Verge) Quote of the day  “It feels like a wild bison rampaging around in my computer.” —A user who signed up to AI agent Moltbot remarks on the bot’s unpredictable behavior, Rest of World reports.
One more thing How Wi-Fi sensing became usable techWi-Fi sensing is a tantalizing concept: that the same routers bringing you the internet could also detect your movements. But, as a way to monitor health, it’s mostly been eclipsed by other technologies, like ultra-wideband radar.  Despite that, Wi-Fi sensing hasn’t gone away. Instead, it has quietly become available in millions of homes, supported by leading internet service providers, smart-home companies, and chip manufacturers.Soon it could be invisibly monitoring our day-to-day movements for all sorts of surprising—and sometimes alarming—purposes. Read the full story.  —Meg Duff
We can still have nice things A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.) + These intrepid Scottish bakers created the largest ever Empire biscuit (a classic shortbread cookie covered in icing) 🍪+ My, what big tentacles you have!+ If you’ve been feeling like you’re stuck in a rut lately, this advice could be exactly what you need to overcome it.+ These works of psychedelic horror are guaranteed to send a shiver down your spine.

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Iran Hopes Diplomacy Push Will Avert War With USA

(Update) February 2, 2026, 11:49 AM GMT: Article updated with reports on potential talks from the first paragraph. Iran said talks with the US over a new nuclear deal could get underway in coming days, building on a flurry of diplomatic activity aimed at averting war between the two sides.  President Masoud Pezeshkian ordered the start of negotiations with Washington “within the framework of the nuclear issue,” Iran’s semi-official Fars news service reported Monday, citing a government source. Talks could include senior officials from both countries such as US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, the Tasnim news service said, citing a source it didn’t identify. “We’re ready for diplomacy, but they must understand that diplomacy is not compatible with threats, intimidation or pressure,” Araghchi said on state TV. “We will remain steadfast on this path and hope to see its results soon.” Multiple countries in the Middle East have been acting as intermediaries between Tehran and Washington, said Esmail Baghaei, a spokesman for the Islamic Republic’s foreign ministry. The developments underline the international effort to ease Middle East tensions as US President Donald Trump threatens the Islamic Republic with military action if it doesn’t reach an agreement to curb its nuclear program. American naval assets have been dispatched toward Iran and Trump said Sunday they were “a couple of days” away, even while unspecified Gulf allies negotiate to “make a deal.” Oil prices fell sharply in early trading on Monday, partly because of the heightened diplomatic maneuvers, with Brent dropping around 5% to below $66 a barrel. Prices are still up roughly 8.5% this year because of the still-high chances of a conflict in the oil-rich region. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei warned Sunday of a “regional war” if his country is attacked. Tehran has previously threatened to

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Saudi Supply Hikes Help Drive Best GDP Growth Since 2022

Saudi Arabia’s economy expanded at the fastest pace in three years in 2025, with the oil sector emerging as a stronger engine of growth under new OPEC+ supply policy. Gross domestic product rose 4.5% in the 12 months through December, according to preliminary data published by the statistics office on Sunday. The expansion was the strongest since 2022, as was the 5.6% growth rate seen for the oil economy. Non-oil activities slowed for a third straight year, though the sector was still the biggest contributor to overall economic expansion in 2025. Real GDP for the whole economy grew 4.9% year on year in the final quarter of the year. State oil giant Saudi Aramco has been pumping more crude since around mid-2025 as part of supply increases agreed to by OPEC+, led by the kingdom and Russia. The Gulf nation churned out about 10 million barrels a day in the final three months of last year, the most since early 2023, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. While Saudi officials say oil activities are less important than in the past given their focus on growing other areas, the oil sector still makes up about half of the economy.  Sunday’s GDP data underscores that Saudi Arabia’s economic activity remains a bright spot for a government that’s currently adjusting its strategy to spend more efficiently and contend with fresh volatility for both oil prices and geopolitics. Benchmark Brent crude topped $70 a barrel last week for the first time in months as geopolitical tensions between Iran, Israel and the US flared. While any sustained increase in prices would boost Saudi oil revenues, a renewed conflict risks slowing growth in the country’s broader economy. Saudi Arabia’s main stock exchange dropped the most since April on Sunday, in a sign of the investor angst. For now, economic momentum

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What’s next for EV batteries in 2026

MIT Technology Review’s What’s Next series looks across industries, trends, and technologies to give you a first look at the future. You can read the rest of them here. Demand for electric vehicles and the batteries that power them has never been hotter. In 2025, EVs made up over a quarter of new vehicle sales globally, up from less than 5% in 2020. Some regions are seeing even higher uptake: In China, more than 50% of new vehicle sales last year were battery electric or plug-in hybrids. In Europe, more purely electric vehicles hit the roads in December than gas-powered ones. (The US is the notable exception here, dragging down the global average with a small sales decline from 2024.) As EVs become increasingly common on the roads, the battery world is growing too. Looking ahead, we could soon see wider adoption of new chemistries, including some that deliver lower costs or higher performance. Meanwhile, the geopolitics of batteries are shifting, and so is the policy landscape. Here’s what’s coming next for EV batteries in 2026 and beyond.
A big opportunity for sodium-ion batteries Lithium-ion batteries are the default chemistry used in EVs, personal devices, and even stationary storage systems on the grid today. But in a tough environment in some markets like the US, there’s a growing interest in cheaper alternatives. Automakers right now largely care just about batteries’ cost, regardless of performance improvements, says Kara Rodby, a technical principal at Volta Energy Technologies, a venture capital firm that focuses on energy storage technology. Sodium-ion cells have long been held up as a potentially less expensive alternative to lithium. The batteries are limited in their energy density, so they deliver a shorter range than lithium-ion. But sodium is also more abundant, so they could be cheaper.
Sodium’s growth has been cursed, however, by the very success of lithium-based batteries, says Shirley Meng, a professor of molecular engineering at the University of Chicago. A lithium-ion battery cell cost $568 per kilowatt-hour in 2013, but that cost had fallen to just $74 per kilowatt-hour by 2025—quite the moving target for cheaper alternatives to chase. Sodium-ion batteries currently cost about $59 per kilowatt-hour on average. That’s less expensive than the average lithium-ion battery. But if you consider only lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cells, a lower-end type of lithium-ion battery that averages $52 per kilowatt-hour, sodium is still more expensive today.  We could soon see an opening for sodium-batteries, though. Lithium prices have been ticking up in recent months, a shift that could soon slow or reverse the steady downward march of prices for lithium-based batteries.  Sodium-ion batteries are already being used commercially, largely for stationary storage on the grid. But we’re starting to see sodium-ion cells incorporated into vehicles, too. The Chinese companies Yadea, JMEV, and HiNa Battery have all started producing sodium-ion batteries in limited numbers for EVs, including small, short-range cars and electric scooters that don’t require a battery with high energy density. CATL, a Chinese battery company that’s the world’s largest, says it recently began producing sodium-ion cells. The company plans to launch its first EV using the chemistry by the middle of this year.  Ask AIWhy it matters to you?BETAHere’s why this story might matter to you, according to AI. This is a beta feature and AI hallucinates—it might get weirdTell me why it matters Today, both production and demand for sodium-ion batteries are heavily centered in China. That’s likely to continue, especially after a cutback in tax credits and other financial support for the battery and EV industries in the US. One of the biggest sodium-battery companies in the US, Natron, ceased operations last year after running into funding issues. We could also see progress in sodium-ion research: Companies and researchers are developing new materials for components including the electrolyte and electrodes, so the cells could get more comparable to lower-end lithium-ion cells in terms of energy density, Meng says.  Major tests for solid-state batteries As we enter the second half of this decade, many eyes in the battery world are on big promises and claims about solid-state batteries. These batteries could pack more energy into a smaller package by removing the liquid electrolyte, the material that ions move through when a battery is charging and discharging. With a higher energy density, they could unlock longer-range EVs.

Companies have been promising solid-state batteries for years. Toyota, for example, once planned to have them in vehicles by 2020. That timeline has been delayed several times, though the company says it’s now on track to launch the new cells in cars in 2027 or 2028. Historically, battery makers have struggled to produce solid-state batteries at the scale needed to deliver a commercially relevant supply for EVs. There’s been progress in manufacturing techniques, though, and companies could soon actually make good on their promises, Meng says.  Factorial Energy, a US-based company making solid-state batteries, provided cells for a Mercedes test vehicle that drove over 745 miles on a single charge in a real-world test in September. The company says it plans to bring its tech to market as soon as 2027. Quantumscape, another major solid-state player in the US, is testing its cells with automotive partners and plans to have its batteries in commercial production later this decade.   Before we see true solid-state batteries, we could see hybrid technologies, often referred to as semi-solid-state batteries. These commonly use materials like gel electrolytes, reducing the liquid inside cells without removing it entirely. Many Chinese companies are looking to build semi-solid-state batteries before transitioning to entirely solid-state ones, says Evelina Stoikou, head of battery technologies and supply chains at BloombergNEF, an energy consultancy. A global patchwork The picture for the near future of the EV industry looks drastically different depending on where you’re standing. Last year, China overtook Japan as the country with the most global auto sales. And more than one in three EVs made in 2025 had a CATL battery in it. Simply put, China is dominating the global battery industry, and that doesn’t seem likely to change anytime soon. China’s influence outside its domestic market is growing especially quickly. CATL is expected to begin production this year at its second European site; the factory, located in Hungary, is an $8.2 billion project that will supply automakers including BMW and the Mercedes-Benz group. Canada recently signed a deal that will lower the import tax on Chinese EVs from 100% to roughly 6%, effectively opening the Canadian market for Chinese EVs. Some countries that haven’t historically been major EV markets could become bigger players in the second half of the decade. Annual EV sales in Thailand and Vietnam, where the market was virtually nonexistent just a few years ago, broke 100,000 in 2025. Brazil, in particular, could see its new EV sales more than double in 2026 as major automakers including Volkswagen and BYD set up or ramp up production in the country. 
On the flip side, EVs are facing a real test in 2026 in the US, as this will be the first calendar year after the sunset of federal tax credits that were designed to push more drivers to purchase the vehicles. With those credits gone, growth in sales is expected to continue lagging.  One bright spot for batteries in the US is outside the EV market altogether. Battery manufacturers are starting to produce low-cost LFP batteries in the US, largely for energy storage applications. LG opened a massive factory to make LFP batteries in mid-2025 in Michigan, and the Korean battery company SK On plans to start making LFP batteries at its facility in Georgia later this year. Those plants could help battery companies cash in on investments as the US EV market faces major headwinds.  Even as the US lags behind, the world is electrifying transportation. By 2030, 40% of new vehicles sold around the world are projected to be electric. As we approach that milestone, expect to see more global players, a wider selection of EVs, and an even wider menu of batteries to power them. 

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Quantum computing is getting closer, but quantum-proof encryption remains elusive

Meanwhile, some people are still unconvinced of the urgency. Somebody else’s problem Quantum computing has been ten to twenty years away for decades. Is today any different? I wouldn’t blame someone if they thought that way. And, according to ICASA’s recent survey of more than 2,600 security and privacy professionals, only 5% say that PQC is a high business priority for the near future. There’s a lot happening in the business world right now and by the time quantum computers arrive, someone else will be in charge and they can deal with it. Twenty years, ten years, even five years seems like a lifetime right now. Who knows what the world will even look like then or if jobs will even exist? Plus, who does their own encryption these days, anyway? According to the IBM survey, 62% of executives believe that vendors will handle the PQC transition. And that might move the needle for some organizations, says Thales’ Canavan, but organizations with highly sensitive data, like large financial institutions, aren’t going to rely on blind faith. “Trust but verify is absolutely essential,” he says. HSBC, for example, brought in a big chunk of its vendor community, he says. “All of us are part of their cryptographic center of excellence,” he says. “And are verifying all the scenarios.” Signs of progress In an October report, content delivery network Cloudflare announced that a major milestone had just been passed: More than half of human-initiated traffic on the network is now using post-quantum encryption. In other news, symmetric encryption is already quantum safe. Symmetric encryption is when the same key is used to both encrypt and decrypt data, and it’s commonly used by organizations when they store their data. It’s asymmetric encryption, the kind used for public communications, online purchases, and banking transactions,

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Artificial intelligence in energy markets: The case for AI-ready data and human expertise

Power markets are entering a new era of increased load and transmission demand. Artificial intelligence can help you navigate these markets faster than before, especially when paired with datasets that are clean, accurate and complete. Combining human and artificial intelligence Human expertise and artificial intelligence are complementary forces: AI can help accelerate insights, uncover patterns and reduce repetitive work, while human intelligence ensures decisions are accurate, strategic and aligned with market realities. The future of AI in the energy sector isn’t just about technology. It’s about the intersection of trusted data and expert insight.  Trust before speed Power markets are among the world’s most complex and data-rich commodity markets, making them ideal for AI and algorithmic decision-making but only when datasets are ready. Studies show that nearly half of enterprise AI projects fail due to inadequate data preparation.  The convergence of AI and energy markets presents unprecedented opportunities to transform how decisions are made and value created, but only for those who build on a foundation of trusted, AI-ready data.  What makes data truly “AI-ready”? The term “AI-ready” is buzzing about, but how do you know if your organization is truly prepared to deploy models into decision-making workflows? Start by asking these questions: Can you recreate what you knew at the time of a decision? AI models trained on overwritten or backfilled historical data may perform well in testing but fail in production because they rely on information that wouldn’t have been available when your team made a decision. Point-in-time snapshots and clear handling of late or revised values are essential to avoid misleading results. Is the dataset meaningfully documented? Teams should be able to quickly answer: What does each field mean? What are the units? What changed over time? If teams can’t confidently explain what a field represents, how

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The Download: inside a deepfake marketplace, and EV batteries’ future

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. Inside the marketplace powering bespoke AI deepfakes of real women Civitai—an online marketplace for buying and selling AI-generated content, backed by the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz—is letting users buy custom instruction files for generating celebrity deepfakes. Some of these files were specifically designed to make pornographic images banned by the site, a new analysis has found. The study, from researchers at Stanford and Indiana University, looked at people’s requests for content on the site, called “bounties.” The researchers found that between mid-2023 and the end of 2024, most bounties asked for animated content—but a significant portion were for deepfakes of real people, and 90% of these deepfake requests targeted women. Read the full story.
—James O’Donnell
What’s next for EV batteries in 2026 Demand for electric vehicles and the batteries that power them has never been hotter. In 2025, EVs made up over a quarter of new vehicle sales globally, up from less than 5% in 2020. Some regions are seeing even higher uptake: In China, more than 50% of new vehicle sales last year were battery electric or plug-in hybrids. In Europe, more purely electric vehicles hit the roads in December than gas-powered ones. (The US is the notable exception here, dragging down the global average with a small sales decline from 2024.) As EVs become increasingly common on the roads, the battery world is growing too. Here’s what’s coming next for EV batteries in 2026 and beyond. —Casey Crownhart This story is part of MIT Technology Review’s What’s Next series, which examines industries, trends, and technologies to give you a first look at the future. You can read the rest of them here. TR10: Base-edited baby

Kyle “KJ” Muldoon Jr. was born with a rare, potentially fatal genetic disorder that left his body unable to remove toxic ammonia from his blood. The University of Pennsylvania offered his parents an alternative to a liver transplant: gene-editing therapies. The team set to work developing a tailored treatment using base editing—a form of CRISPR that can correct genetic “misspellings” by changing single bases, the basic units of DNA. KJ received an initial low dose when he was seven months old, and later received two higher doses. Today, KJ is doing well. At an event in October last year, his happy parents described how he was meeting all his developmental milestones. Others have received gene-editing therapies intended to treat conditions including sickle cell disease and a predisposition to high cholesterol. But KJ was the first to receive a personalized treatment—one that was designed just for him and will probably never be used again. Read why we made it one of our 10 Breakthrough Technologies this year, and check out the rest of the list. The must-reads I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology. 1 A social network for AI agents is vulnerable to abuseA misconfiguration meant anyone could take control of any agent. (404 Media)+ Moltbook is loosely modeled on Reddit, but humans are unable to post. (FT $)2 Google breached its own ethics rules to help an Israeli contractorIt helped a military worker to analyze drone footage, a whistleblower has claimed. (WP $) 3 Capgemini is selling its unit linked to ICEAfter the French government asked it to clarify its work for the agency. (Bloomberg $) + The company has signed $12.2mn in contracts under the Trump administration. (FT $)+ Here’s how to film ICE activities as safely as possible. (Wired $)4 China has a plan to prime its next generation of AI experts Thanks to its elite genius class system. (FT $)+ The country is going all-in on AI healthcare. (Rest of World)+ The State of AI: Is China about to win the race? (MIT Technology Review)
5 Indonesia has reversed its ban on xAI’s GrokAfter it announced plans to improve its compliance with the country’s laws. (Reuters)+ Indonesia maintains a strict stance against pornographic content. (NYT $)+ Malaysia and the Philippines have also lifted bans on the chatbot. (TechCrunch)6 Don’t expect to hitch a ride on a Blue Origin rocket anytime soonJeff Bezos’ venture won’t be taking tourists into space for at least two years. (NYT $)+ Artemis II astronauts are due to set off for the moon soon. (IEEE Spectrum)+ Commercial space stations are on our list of 10 Breakthrough Technologies for 2026. (MIT Technology Review)7 America’s push for high-speed internet is under threatThere aren’t enough skilled workers to meet record demand. (WSJ $) 8 Can AI help us grieve better?A growing cluster of companies are trying to find out. (The Atlantic $)+ Technology that lets us “speak” to our dead relatives has arrived. Are we ready? (MIT Technology Review)
9 How to fight future insect infestations 🍄A certain species of fungus could play a key role. (Ars Technica)+ How do fungi communicate? (MIT Technology Review)10 What a robot-made latte tastes like, according to a former baristaDamn fine, apparently. (The Verge) Quote of the day  “It feels like a wild bison rampaging around in my computer.” —A user who signed up to AI agent Moltbot remarks on the bot’s unpredictable behavior, Rest of World reports.
One more thing How Wi-Fi sensing became usable techWi-Fi sensing is a tantalizing concept: that the same routers bringing you the internet could also detect your movements. But, as a way to monitor health, it’s mostly been eclipsed by other technologies, like ultra-wideband radar.  Despite that, Wi-Fi sensing hasn’t gone away. Instead, it has quietly become available in millions of homes, supported by leading internet service providers, smart-home companies, and chip manufacturers.Soon it could be invisibly monitoring our day-to-day movements for all sorts of surprising—and sometimes alarming—purposes. Read the full story.  —Meg Duff
We can still have nice things A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.) + These intrepid Scottish bakers created the largest ever Empire biscuit (a classic shortbread cookie covered in icing) 🍪+ My, what big tentacles you have!+ If you’ve been feeling like you’re stuck in a rut lately, this advice could be exactly what you need to overcome it.+ These works of psychedelic horror are guaranteed to send a shiver down your spine.

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Iran Hopes Diplomacy Push Will Avert War With USA

(Update) February 2, 2026, 11:49 AM GMT: Article updated with reports on potential talks from the first paragraph. Iran said talks with the US over a new nuclear deal could get underway in coming days, building on a flurry of diplomatic activity aimed at averting war between the two sides.  President Masoud Pezeshkian ordered the start of negotiations with Washington “within the framework of the nuclear issue,” Iran’s semi-official Fars news service reported Monday, citing a government source. Talks could include senior officials from both countries such as US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, the Tasnim news service said, citing a source it didn’t identify. “We’re ready for diplomacy, but they must understand that diplomacy is not compatible with threats, intimidation or pressure,” Araghchi said on state TV. “We will remain steadfast on this path and hope to see its results soon.” Multiple countries in the Middle East have been acting as intermediaries between Tehran and Washington, said Esmail Baghaei, a spokesman for the Islamic Republic’s foreign ministry. The developments underline the international effort to ease Middle East tensions as US President Donald Trump threatens the Islamic Republic with military action if it doesn’t reach an agreement to curb its nuclear program. American naval assets have been dispatched toward Iran and Trump said Sunday they were “a couple of days” away, even while unspecified Gulf allies negotiate to “make a deal.” Oil prices fell sharply in early trading on Monday, partly because of the heightened diplomatic maneuvers, with Brent dropping around 5% to below $66 a barrel. Prices are still up roughly 8.5% this year because of the still-high chances of a conflict in the oil-rich region. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei warned Sunday of a “regional war” if his country is attacked. Tehran has previously threatened to

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Saudi Supply Hikes Help Drive Best GDP Growth Since 2022

Saudi Arabia’s economy expanded at the fastest pace in three years in 2025, with the oil sector emerging as a stronger engine of growth under new OPEC+ supply policy. Gross domestic product rose 4.5% in the 12 months through December, according to preliminary data published by the statistics office on Sunday. The expansion was the strongest since 2022, as was the 5.6% growth rate seen for the oil economy. Non-oil activities slowed for a third straight year, though the sector was still the biggest contributor to overall economic expansion in 2025. Real GDP for the whole economy grew 4.9% year on year in the final quarter of the year. State oil giant Saudi Aramco has been pumping more crude since around mid-2025 as part of supply increases agreed to by OPEC+, led by the kingdom and Russia. The Gulf nation churned out about 10 million barrels a day in the final three months of last year, the most since early 2023, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. While Saudi officials say oil activities are less important than in the past given their focus on growing other areas, the oil sector still makes up about half of the economy.  Sunday’s GDP data underscores that Saudi Arabia’s economic activity remains a bright spot for a government that’s currently adjusting its strategy to spend more efficiently and contend with fresh volatility for both oil prices and geopolitics. Benchmark Brent crude topped $70 a barrel last week for the first time in months as geopolitical tensions between Iran, Israel and the US flared. While any sustained increase in prices would boost Saudi oil revenues, a renewed conflict risks slowing growth in the country’s broader economy. Saudi Arabia’s main stock exchange dropped the most since April on Sunday, in a sign of the investor angst. For now, economic momentum

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What’s next for EV batteries in 2026

MIT Technology Review’s What’s Next series looks across industries, trends, and technologies to give you a first look at the future. You can read the rest of them here. Demand for electric vehicles and the batteries that power them has never been hotter. In 2025, EVs made up over a quarter of new vehicle sales globally, up from less than 5% in 2020. Some regions are seeing even higher uptake: In China, more than 50% of new vehicle sales last year were battery electric or plug-in hybrids. In Europe, more purely electric vehicles hit the roads in December than gas-powered ones. (The US is the notable exception here, dragging down the global average with a small sales decline from 2024.) As EVs become increasingly common on the roads, the battery world is growing too. Looking ahead, we could soon see wider adoption of new chemistries, including some that deliver lower costs or higher performance. Meanwhile, the geopolitics of batteries are shifting, and so is the policy landscape. Here’s what’s coming next for EV batteries in 2026 and beyond.
A big opportunity for sodium-ion batteries Lithium-ion batteries are the default chemistry used in EVs, personal devices, and even stationary storage systems on the grid today. But in a tough environment in some markets like the US, there’s a growing interest in cheaper alternatives. Automakers right now largely care just about batteries’ cost, regardless of performance improvements, says Kara Rodby, a technical principal at Volta Energy Technologies, a venture capital firm that focuses on energy storage technology. Sodium-ion cells have long been held up as a potentially less expensive alternative to lithium. The batteries are limited in their energy density, so they deliver a shorter range than lithium-ion. But sodium is also more abundant, so they could be cheaper.
Sodium’s growth has been cursed, however, by the very success of lithium-based batteries, says Shirley Meng, a professor of molecular engineering at the University of Chicago. A lithium-ion battery cell cost $568 per kilowatt-hour in 2013, but that cost had fallen to just $74 per kilowatt-hour by 2025—quite the moving target for cheaper alternatives to chase. Sodium-ion batteries currently cost about $59 per kilowatt-hour on average. That’s less expensive than the average lithium-ion battery. But if you consider only lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cells, a lower-end type of lithium-ion battery that averages $52 per kilowatt-hour, sodium is still more expensive today.  We could soon see an opening for sodium-batteries, though. Lithium prices have been ticking up in recent months, a shift that could soon slow or reverse the steady downward march of prices for lithium-based batteries.  Sodium-ion batteries are already being used commercially, largely for stationary storage on the grid. But we’re starting to see sodium-ion cells incorporated into vehicles, too. The Chinese companies Yadea, JMEV, and HiNa Battery have all started producing sodium-ion batteries in limited numbers for EVs, including small, short-range cars and electric scooters that don’t require a battery with high energy density. CATL, a Chinese battery company that’s the world’s largest, says it recently began producing sodium-ion cells. The company plans to launch its first EV using the chemistry by the middle of this year.  Ask AIWhy it matters to you?BETAHere’s why this story might matter to you, according to AI. This is a beta feature and AI hallucinates—it might get weirdTell me why it matters Today, both production and demand for sodium-ion batteries are heavily centered in China. That’s likely to continue, especially after a cutback in tax credits and other financial support for the battery and EV industries in the US. One of the biggest sodium-battery companies in the US, Natron, ceased operations last year after running into funding issues. We could also see progress in sodium-ion research: Companies and researchers are developing new materials for components including the electrolyte and electrodes, so the cells could get more comparable to lower-end lithium-ion cells in terms of energy density, Meng says.  Major tests for solid-state batteries As we enter the second half of this decade, many eyes in the battery world are on big promises and claims about solid-state batteries. These batteries could pack more energy into a smaller package by removing the liquid electrolyte, the material that ions move through when a battery is charging and discharging. With a higher energy density, they could unlock longer-range EVs.

Companies have been promising solid-state batteries for years. Toyota, for example, once planned to have them in vehicles by 2020. That timeline has been delayed several times, though the company says it’s now on track to launch the new cells in cars in 2027 or 2028. Historically, battery makers have struggled to produce solid-state batteries at the scale needed to deliver a commercially relevant supply for EVs. There’s been progress in manufacturing techniques, though, and companies could soon actually make good on their promises, Meng says.  Factorial Energy, a US-based company making solid-state batteries, provided cells for a Mercedes test vehicle that drove over 745 miles on a single charge in a real-world test in September. The company says it plans to bring its tech to market as soon as 2027. Quantumscape, another major solid-state player in the US, is testing its cells with automotive partners and plans to have its batteries in commercial production later this decade.   Before we see true solid-state batteries, we could see hybrid technologies, often referred to as semi-solid-state batteries. These commonly use materials like gel electrolytes, reducing the liquid inside cells without removing it entirely. Many Chinese companies are looking to build semi-solid-state batteries before transitioning to entirely solid-state ones, says Evelina Stoikou, head of battery technologies and supply chains at BloombergNEF, an energy consultancy. A global patchwork The picture for the near future of the EV industry looks drastically different depending on where you’re standing. Last year, China overtook Japan as the country with the most global auto sales. And more than one in three EVs made in 2025 had a CATL battery in it. Simply put, China is dominating the global battery industry, and that doesn’t seem likely to change anytime soon. China’s influence outside its domestic market is growing especially quickly. CATL is expected to begin production this year at its second European site; the factory, located in Hungary, is an $8.2 billion project that will supply automakers including BMW and the Mercedes-Benz group. Canada recently signed a deal that will lower the import tax on Chinese EVs from 100% to roughly 6%, effectively opening the Canadian market for Chinese EVs. Some countries that haven’t historically been major EV markets could become bigger players in the second half of the decade. Annual EV sales in Thailand and Vietnam, where the market was virtually nonexistent just a few years ago, broke 100,000 in 2025. Brazil, in particular, could see its new EV sales more than double in 2026 as major automakers including Volkswagen and BYD set up or ramp up production in the country. 
On the flip side, EVs are facing a real test in 2026 in the US, as this will be the first calendar year after the sunset of federal tax credits that were designed to push more drivers to purchase the vehicles. With those credits gone, growth in sales is expected to continue lagging.  One bright spot for batteries in the US is outside the EV market altogether. Battery manufacturers are starting to produce low-cost LFP batteries in the US, largely for energy storage applications. LG opened a massive factory to make LFP batteries in mid-2025 in Michigan, and the Korean battery company SK On plans to start making LFP batteries at its facility in Georgia later this year. Those plants could help battery companies cash in on investments as the US EV market faces major headwinds.  Even as the US lags behind, the world is electrifying transportation. By 2030, 40% of new vehicles sold around the world are projected to be electric. As we approach that milestone, expect to see more global players, a wider selection of EVs, and an even wider menu of batteries to power them. 

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Quantum computing is getting closer, but quantum-proof encryption remains elusive

Meanwhile, some people are still unconvinced of the urgency. Somebody else’s problem Quantum computing has been ten to twenty years away for decades. Is today any different? I wouldn’t blame someone if they thought that way. And, according to ICASA’s recent survey of more than 2,600 security and privacy professionals, only 5% say that PQC is a high business priority for the near future. There’s a lot happening in the business world right now and by the time quantum computers arrive, someone else will be in charge and they can deal with it. Twenty years, ten years, even five years seems like a lifetime right now. Who knows what the world will even look like then or if jobs will even exist? Plus, who does their own encryption these days, anyway? According to the IBM survey, 62% of executives believe that vendors will handle the PQC transition. And that might move the needle for some organizations, says Thales’ Canavan, but organizations with highly sensitive data, like large financial institutions, aren’t going to rely on blind faith. “Trust but verify is absolutely essential,” he says. HSBC, for example, brought in a big chunk of its vendor community, he says. “All of us are part of their cryptographic center of excellence,” he says. “And are verifying all the scenarios.” Signs of progress In an October report, content delivery network Cloudflare announced that a major milestone had just been passed: More than half of human-initiated traffic on the network is now using post-quantum encryption. In other news, symmetric encryption is already quantum safe. Symmetric encryption is when the same key is used to both encrypt and decrypt data, and it’s commonly used by organizations when they store their data. It’s asymmetric encryption, the kind used for public communications, online purchases, and banking transactions,

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Artificial intelligence in energy markets: The case for AI-ready data and human expertise

Power markets are entering a new era of increased load and transmission demand. Artificial intelligence can help you navigate these markets faster than before, especially when paired with datasets that are clean, accurate and complete. Combining human and artificial intelligence Human expertise and artificial intelligence are complementary forces: AI can help accelerate insights, uncover patterns and reduce repetitive work, while human intelligence ensures decisions are accurate, strategic and aligned with market realities. The future of AI in the energy sector isn’t just about technology. It’s about the intersection of trusted data and expert insight.  Trust before speed Power markets are among the world’s most complex and data-rich commodity markets, making them ideal for AI and algorithmic decision-making but only when datasets are ready. Studies show that nearly half of enterprise AI projects fail due to inadequate data preparation.  The convergence of AI and energy markets presents unprecedented opportunities to transform how decisions are made and value created, but only for those who build on a foundation of trusted, AI-ready data.  What makes data truly “AI-ready”? The term “AI-ready” is buzzing about, but how do you know if your organization is truly prepared to deploy models into decision-making workflows? Start by asking these questions: Can you recreate what you knew at the time of a decision? AI models trained on overwritten or backfilled historical data may perform well in testing but fail in production because they rely on information that wouldn’t have been available when your team made a decision. Point-in-time snapshots and clear handling of late or revised values are essential to avoid misleading results. Is the dataset meaningfully documented? Teams should be able to quickly answer: What does each field mean? What are the units? What changed over time? If teams can’t confidently explain what a field represents, how

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Energy Secretary Secures Florida’s Grid During Prolonged Cold Snap

Secretary Wright issued seven emergency orders over the weekend to stabilize Florida’s grid and lower costs ahead of prolonged cold temperatures. WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) issued seven emergency orders over the weekend to mitigate the risk of blackouts in Florida as exceptionally low temperatures hit the state and are expected to persist through early next week. Pursuant to Section 202(c) of the Federal Power Act, the orders were issued to Homestead Public Services Energy (HPS/Energy), Duke Energy Florida, LLC (Duke), Orlando Utilities Commission (OUC), Florida Municipal Power Agency (FMPA), and the city of Lakeland, Florida on behalf of Lakeland Electric. If these utilities determine that additional generation is necessary to meet electricity demand, the orders authorize them to dispatch units only as needed to maintain reliability. Three of the orders specifically authorize certain generating units and backup generating units within the service areas of FPMA, Lakeland Electric and OUC to operate up to their maximum generation output levels, notwithstanding air emissions or other permit limitations. These actions follow a letter Secretary Wright sent on January 22nd to grid operators asking them to be prepared to use backup generation if needed to mitigate the risk of blackouts from extreme weather. DOE estimates more than 35 GW of unused backup generation remains available nationwide. “As extreme, prolonged cold hits Florida, maintaining affordable, reliable, and secure power in the region is non-negotiable,” said U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “The previous administration’s energy subtraction policies weakened the grid, leaving Americans more vulnerable to blackouts and higher electricity prices. Thanks to President Trump’s leadership, we are reversing those failures and using every available tool to keep the lights on and Florida homes heated through this cold snap.” On day one, President Trump declared a national energy emergency after the Biden Administration’s energy

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US DOE Seeks State Partnerships to Build Integrated Nuclear Sites

The United States Department of Energy (DOE) has issued a call to state governments for expressions of interest in end-to-end sites that would expand the entire nuclear value chain. The Request for Information on Nuclear Lifecycle Innovation Campuses “marks the first step towards potentially establishing voluntary federal-state partnerships designed to advance regional economic growth, enhance national energy security and build a coherent, end-to-end nuclear energy strategy for the country”, DOE said in an online statement. “The proposed campuses could support activities across the full nuclear fuel lifecycle, including fuel fabrication, enrichment, reprocessing used nuclear fuel and disposition of waste”, DOE added. “Depending on state priorities and regional capabilities, the sites could also host advanced reactor deployment, power generation, advanced manufacturing and co-located data centers”. “Submissions should outline state priorities such as workforce development, infrastructure investment, economic diversification or technology leadership – and describe the scope of activities the state envisions hosting”, DOE said. “States are also encouraged to identify the funding structures, risk sharing approaches, incentives and federal partnerships required to successfully establish and sustain a full-cycle Innovation Campus”. The Donald Trump administration has taken a spate of actions to scale up the supply chain in support of the president’s goal – spelled out in an executive order May 23, 2025 – to grow the U.S.’ nuclear energy capacity from about 100 gigawatts (GW) currently to 400 GW by 2050.  Earlier this year DOE said it had awarded $2.7 billion orders to American Centrifuge Operating LLC, General Matter Inc and Orano Federal Services LLC for enrichment services to enable the production of low-enriched uranium (LEU) and high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU). “Today’s awards show that this administration is committed to restoring a secure domestic nuclear fuel supply chain capable of producing the nuclear fuels needed to power the reactors of today and the advanced

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Chevron Sees Self-Funding Model in VEN to Safeguard Cash

Chevron Corp. intends to finance Venezuelan oil investments with cash from oil sales rather than committing new capital to the country, Chief Financial Officer Eimear Bonner said in an interview.  Chevron plans to increase its Venezuelan production by 50% within the next two years but will do so without changing overall capital spending, said Bonner, who’s Chevron career has included tours of duty from Thailand and the UK to Central Asia.  The Venezuelan growth plan requires additional authorizations from the US Treasury, she noted.  “Our model is a venture-funded model,” Bonner said. “Any change in our investment levels or capital levels, we’d look at this like any asset opportunity or investment opportunity that we have in the portfolio. It would need to have an appropriate return on investment.”  The only oil supermajor operating in Venezuela, Chevron’s cautious stance on injecting fresh capital is a reality check on how quickly the nation’s oil industry can be revived. While it has the world’s biggest reserves on paper, socialist regimes leaders have a history of nationalizing oilfields drilled by US and European operators.  Chevron currently produces about 250,000 barrels a day from joint ventures with state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela SA. The country accounts for about 2% of Chevron’s annual cash flow.  Bonner welcomed Acting President Delcy Rodriguez’s efforts to reform the country’s nationalist oil policies in moves that promises to lower taxes and permit more foreign investment.  “It appears that those reforms are working toward ensuring all the things that would make Venezuela an attractive place for future investment: rule of law, commercial stability, competitiveness,” Bonner said. “It seems like a step in the right direction.”  WHAT DO YOU THINK? Generated by readers, the comments included herein do not reflect the views and opinions of Rigzone. All comments are subject to editorial review. Off-topic, inappropriate

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Oil Closes Lower but Posts Strong Monthly Gain

Oil edged lower, though still notched its biggest monthly gain since 2022, as US President Donald Trump reiterated openness to negotiations with Iran, though investors remain on edge about the potential for further tensions. West Texas Intermediate fell 0.3% to settle near $65 a barrel, snapping a breathless three-day rally, while Brent ended the day above $70. Prices tumbled after Trump told reporters that Iran wants to make a deal. The US president’s messaging has shifted from punishing Tehran for its deadly crackdown on protesters to this week trying to extract a new nuclear agreement. That siphoned some risk premium out of a market on edge after Trump ordered naval assets to the region, with an aircraft-carrier strike group recently arriving in the Middle East. The Islamic Republic is the fifth-biggest producer in the OPEC+ alliance, when including Russia. The de-escalatory remarks from Trump aren’t necessarily new, but heading into the weekend, the market is trying to gauge where Trump’s head is at, said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group. “Any signal that he may lean toward diplomacy rather than military action creates immediate selling pressure,” she added. Crude had earlier fallen alongside other markets as Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair led to a debate about how far he would cut interest rates. The US president later said that Warsh “certainly wants to cut rates.” Several bullish factors are still at play, limiting the slide. In the US, coastal cities are bracing for a record-setting cold spell to intensify in coming days, in a potential disruption to production and boost to heating demand. The storm would come just a week after Winter Storm Fern shut in nearly 2 million barrels a day of US oil production at its peak,

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Greece Warns Shipowners Against Sailing Near Iran Coast

Greece, home to the world’s largest oil tanker fleet, told the nation’s vessel owners to do what they can to stay away from Iran’s coast — a task that is all but impossible for those entering the Persian Gulf to collect cargoes of Middle East crude. Shipowners were directed to sail closer to the United Arab Emirates and Oman when transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to two advisories seen by Bloomberg. They were issued by the Greek shipping ministry to local shipowner associations on Jan. 27 and 29. The advisories said more warships were operating near the strait and warned that the European Union’s latest sanctions on Iran risked further inflaming tensions around Hormuz, the Persian Gulf and southern parts of the Red Sea. They were sent to the Hellenic Chamber of Shipping, the Union of Greek Shipowners and the Hellenic Shortsea Shipowners Association. A spokesman for Greece’s shipping ministry confirmed the notices had been sent. The global shipping community and oil traders are closely watching developments in the Middle East after the US dispatched an aircraft-carrier strike group to the region. President Donald Trump said he hoped he would not have to use it against Iran, which monitoring groups have accused of killing thousands of people during recent protests. The Strait of Hormuz is critical to the global oil supply, with roughly a quarter of the world’s seaborne crude passing through the corridor. Much of that oil is transported on Greek-owned vessels. Greece is the biggest tanker owner by tonnage, according to Clarkson Research Services, a unit of the world’s largest shipbroker. WHAT DO YOU THINK? Generated by readers, the comments included herein do not reflect the views and opinions of Rigzone. All comments are subject to editorial review. Off-topic, inappropriate or insulting comments will be removed.

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Exxon, Chevron Lift Oil Production, Blunting Price Drop

Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. surpassed profit expectations as higher oil production helped offset the blow from lower crude prices.  The titans of the US oil industry expanded output from the US Permian Basin, Guyana and other regions. For Exxon, full-year production hit a 40-year high while Chevron benefited from the integration of its $48 billion takeover of Hess Corp. The outperformance comes as major US drillers face growing pressure to assist in the Trump administration’s aspiration to revive the Venezuelan oil sector after the ouster of strongman Nicolas Maduro.   Chevron intends to finance a 50% increase in its Venezuelan oil production with cash from oil sales rather than committing new capital to the country, Chief Financial Officer Eimear Bonner said during an interview.  As the only major oil explorer with ongoing operations in the South American nation, Chevron has a leg up on rivals that departed years ago during a nationalization campaign by Maduro’s predecessor, the late former leader Hugo Chavez. Late Thursday, The Trump administration took steps to begin relaxing some of the punishing sanctions that have isolated the Venezuelan energy industry. The move gives other US companies the go-ahead to work with the state-controlled oil producer, with restrictions such as a prohibition on transactions with Chinese-tied entities.   Exxon’s adjusted fourth-quarter net income of $1.71 a share was 2 cents higher than the average estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Chevron earned $1.52 a share, 14 cents higher than expected. For both companies, debt ratios crept higher during the final three months of 2025. Exxon shares fell 1% at 9:35 a.m. in New York. Chevron rose 1.1%. “We’re capturing more value from every barrel and molecule we produce and building growth platforms at scale,” Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods said in a statement. The strategy is “creating a

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National Grid, Con Edison urge FERC to adopt gas pipeline reliability requirements

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission should adopt reliability-related requirements for gas pipeline operators to ensure fuel supplies during cold weather, according to National Grid USA and affiliated utilities Consolidated Edison Co. of New York and Orange and Rockland Utilities. In the wake of power outages in the Southeast and the near collapse of New York City’s gas system during Winter Storm Elliott in December 2022, voluntary efforts to bolster gas pipeline reliability are inadequate, the utilities said in two separate filings on Friday at FERC. The filings were in response to a gas-electric coordination meeting held in November by the Federal-State Current Issues Collaborative between FERC and the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners. National Grid called for FERC to use its authority under the Natural Gas Act to require pipeline reliability reporting, coupled with enforcement mechanisms, and pipeline tariff reforms. “Such data reporting would enable the commission to gain a clearer picture into pipeline reliability and identify any problematic trends in the quality of pipeline service,” National Grid said. “At that point, the commission could consider using its ratemaking, audit, and civil penalty authority preemptively to address such identified concerns before they result in service curtailments.” On pipeline tariff reforms, FERC should develop tougher provisions for force majeure events — an unforeseen occurence that prevents a contract from being fulfilled — reservation charge crediting, operational flow orders, scheduling and confirmation enhancements, improved real-time coordination, and limits on changes to nomination rankings, National Grid said. FERC should support efforts in New England and New York to create financial incentives for gas-fired generators to enter into winter contracts for imported liquefied natural gas supplies, or other long-term firm contracts with suppliers and pipelines, National Grid said. Con Edison and O&R said they were encouraged by recent efforts such as North American Energy Standard

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US BOEM Seeks Feedback on Potential Wind Leasing Offshore Guam

The United States Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) on Monday issued a Call for Information and Nominations to help it decide on potential leasing areas for wind energy development offshore Guam. The call concerns a contiguous area around the island that comprises about 2.1 million acres. The area’s water depths range from 350 meters (1,148.29 feet) to 2,200 meters (7,217.85 feet), according to a statement on BOEM’s website. Closing April 7, the comment period seeks “relevant information on site conditions, marine resources, and ocean uses near or within the call area”, the BOEM said. “Concurrently, wind energy companies can nominate specific areas they would like to see offered for leasing. “During the call comment period, BOEM will engage with Indigenous Peoples, stakeholder organizations, ocean users, federal agencies, the government of Guam, and other parties to identify conflicts early in the process as BOEM seeks to identify areas where offshore wind development would have the least impact”. The next step would be the identification of specific WEAs, or wind energy areas, in the larger call area. BOEM would then conduct environmental reviews of the WEAs in consultation with different stakeholders. “After completing its environmental reviews and consultations, BOEM may propose one or more competitive lease sales for areas within the WEAs”, the Department of the Interior (DOI) sub-agency said. BOEM Director Elizabeth Klein said, “Responsible offshore wind development off Guam’s coast offers a vital opportunity to expand clean energy, cut carbon emissions, and reduce energy costs for Guam residents”. Late last year the DOI announced the approval of the 2.4-gigawatt (GW) SouthCoast Wind Project, raising the total capacity of federally approved offshore wind power projects to over 19 GW. The project owned by a joint venture between EDP Renewables and ENGIE received a positive Record of Decision, the DOI said in

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Biden Bars Offshore Oil Drilling in USA Atlantic and Pacific

President Joe Biden is indefinitely blocking offshore oil and gas development in more than 625 million acres of US coastal waters, warning that drilling there is simply “not worth the risks” and “unnecessary” to meet the nation’s energy needs.  Biden’s move is enshrined in a pair of presidential memoranda being issued Monday, burnishing his legacy on conservation and fighting climate change just two weeks before President-elect Donald Trump takes office. Yet unlike other actions Biden has taken to constrain fossil fuel development, this one could be harder for Trump to unwind, since it’s rooted in a 72-year-old provision of federal law that empowers presidents to withdraw US waters from oil and gas leasing without explicitly authorizing revocations.  Biden is ruling out future oil and gas leasing along the US East and West Coasts, the eastern Gulf of Mexico and a sliver of the Northern Bering Sea, an area teeming with seabirds, marine mammals, fish and other wildlife that indigenous people have depended on for millennia. The action doesn’t affect energy development under existing offshore leases, and it won’t prevent the sale of more drilling rights in Alaska’s gas-rich Cook Inlet or the central and western Gulf of Mexico, which together provide about 14% of US oil and gas production.  The president cast the move as achieving a careful balance between conservation and energy security. “It is clear to me that the relatively minimal fossil fuel potential in the areas I am withdrawing do not justify the environmental, public health and economic risks that would come from new leasing and drilling,” Biden said. “We do not need to choose between protecting the environment and growing our economy, or between keeping our ocean healthy, our coastlines resilient and the food they produce secure — and keeping energy prices low.” Some of the areas Biden is protecting

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Biden Admin Finalizes Hydrogen Tax Credit Favoring Cleaner Production

The Biden administration has finalized rules for a tax incentive promoting hydrogen production using renewable power, with lower credits for processes using abated natural gas. The Clean Hydrogen Production Credit is based on carbon intensity, which must not exceed four kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent per kilogram of hydrogen produced. Qualified facilities are those whose start of construction falls before 2033. These facilities can claim credits for 10 years of production starting on the date of service placement, according to the draft text on the Federal Register’s portal. The final text is scheduled for publication Friday. Established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, the four-tier scheme gives producers that meet wage and apprenticeship requirements a credit of up to $3 per kilogram of “qualified clean hydrogen”, to be adjusted for inflation. Hydrogen whose production process makes higher lifecycle emissions gets less. The scheme will use the Energy Department’s Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions and Energy Use in Transportation (GREET) model in tiering production processes for credit computation. “In the coming weeks, the Department of Energy will release an updated version of the 45VH2-GREET model that producers will use to calculate the section 45V tax credit”, the Treasury Department said in a statement announcing the finalization of rules, a process that it said had considered roughly 30,000 public comments. However, producers may use the GREET model that was the most recent when their facility began construction. “This is in consideration of comments that the prospect of potential changes to the model over time reduces investment certainty”, explained the statement on the Treasury’s website. “Calculation of the lifecycle GHG analysis for the tax credit requires consideration of direct and significant indirect emissions”, the statement said. For electrolytic hydrogen, electrolyzers covered by the scheme include not only those using renewables-derived electricity (green hydrogen) but

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Xthings unveils Ulticam home security cameras powered by edge AI

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Xthings announced that its Ulticam security camera brand has a new model out today: the Ulticam IQ Floodlight, an edge AI-powered home security camera. The company also plans to showcase two additional cameras, Ulticam IQ, an outdoor spotlight camera, and Ulticam Dot, a portable, wireless security camera. All three cameras offer free cloud storage (seven days rolling) and subscription-free edge AI-powered person detection and alerts. The AI at the edge means that it doesn’t have to go out to an internet-connected data center to tap AI computing to figure out what is in front of the camera. Rather, the processing for the AI is built into the camera itself, and that sets a new standard for value and performance in home security cameras. It can identify people, faces and vehicles. CES 2025 attendees can experience Ulticam’s entire lineup at Pepcom’s Digital Experience event on January 6, 2025, and at the Venetian Expo, Halls A-D, booth #51732, from January 7 to January 10, 2025. These new security cameras will be available for purchase online in the U.S. in Q1 and Q2 2025 at U-tec.com, Amazon, and Best Buy. The Ulticam IQ Series: smart edge AI-powered home security cameras Ulticam IQ home security camera. The Ulticam IQ Series, which includes IQ and IQ Floodlight, takes home security to the next level with the most advanced AI-powered recognition. Among the very first consumer cameras to use edge AI, the IQ Series can quickly and accurately identify people, faces and vehicles, without uploading video for server-side processing, which improves speed, accuracy, security and privacy. Additionally, the Ulticam IQ Series is designed to improve over time with over-the-air updates that enable new AI features. Both cameras

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Intel unveils new Core Ultra processors with 2X to 3X performance on AI apps

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Intel unveiled new Intel Core Ultra 9 processors today at CES 2025 with as much as two or three times the edge performance on AI apps as before. The chips under the Intel Core Ultra 9 and Core i9 labels were previously codenamed Arrow Lake H, Meteor Lake H, Arrow Lake S and Raptor Lake S Refresh. Intel said it is pushing the boundaries of AI performance and power efficiency for businesses and consumers, ushering in the next era of AI computing. In other performance metrics, Intel said the Core Ultra 9 processors are up to 5.8 times faster in media performance, 3.4 times faster in video analytics end-to-end workloads with media and AI, and 8.2 times better in terms of performance per watt than prior chips. Intel hopes to kick off the year better than in 2024. CEO Pat Gelsinger resigned last month without a permanent successor after a variety of struggles, including mass layoffs, manufacturing delays and poor execution on chips including gaming bugs in chips launched during the summer. Intel Core Ultra Series 2 Michael Masci, vice president of product management at the Edge Computing Group at Intel, said in a briefing that AI, once the domain of research labs, is integrating into every aspect of our lives, including AI PCs where the AI processing is done in the computer itself, not the cloud. AI is also being processed in data centers in big enterprises, from retail stores to hospital rooms. “As CES kicks off, it’s clear we are witnessing a transformative moment,” he said. “Artificial intelligence is moving at an unprecedented pace.” The new processors include the Intel Core 9 Ultra 200 H/U/S models, with up to

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Bringing AI to the next generation of fusion energy

We’re partnering with Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) to bring clean, safe, limitless fusion energy closer to reality.Fusion, the process that powers the sun, promises clean, abundant energy without long-lived radioactive waste. Making it work here on Earth means keeping an ionized gas, known as plasma, stable at temperatures over 100 million degrees Celsius — all within a fusion energy machine’s limits. This is a highly complex physics problem that we’re working to solve with artificial intelligence (AI).Today, we’re announcing our research partnership with Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS), a global leader in fusion energy. CFS is pioneering a faster path to clean, safe and effectively limitless fusion energy with its compact, powerful tokamak machine called SPARC.SPARC leverages powerful high-temperature superconducting magnets and aims to be the first magnetic fusion machine in history to generate net fusion energy — more power from fusion than it takes to sustain it. That landmark achievement is known as crossing “breakeven,” and a critical milestone on the path to viable fusion energy.This partnership builds on our groundbreaking work using AI to successfully control a plasma. With academic partners at the Swiss Plasma Center at EPFL (École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne), we showed that deep reinforcement learning can control the magnets of a tokamak to stabilize complex plasma shapes. To cover a wider range of physics, we developed TORAX, a fast and differentiable plasma simulator written in JAX.Now, we’re bringing that work to CFS to accelerate the timeline to deliver fusion energy to the grid. We’ve been collaborating on three key areas so far:Producing a fast, accurate, differentiable simulation of a fusion plasma.Finding the most efficient and robust path to maximizing fusion energy.Using reinforcement learning to discover novel real-time control strategies.The combination of our AI expertise with CFS’s cutting-edge hardware makes this the ideal partnership to advance foundational discoveries in fusion energy for the benefit of the worldwide research community, and ultimately, the whole world.Simulating fusion plasmaTo optimize the performance of a tokamak, we need to simulate how heat, electric current and matter flow through the core of a plasma and interact with the systems around it. Last year, we released TORAX, an open-source plasma simulator built for optimization and control, expanding the scope of physics questions we could address beyond magnetic simulation. TORAX is built in JAX, so it can run easily on both CPUs and GPUs and can smoothly integrate AI-powered models, including our own, to achieve even better performance.TORAX will help CFS teams test and refine their operating plans by running millions of virtual experiments before SPARC is even turned on. It also gives them flexibility to quickly adapt their plans once the first data arrives.This software has become a linchpin in CFS’s daily workflows, helping them understand how the plasma will behave under different conditions, saving precious time and resources.

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T5Gemma: A new collection of encoder-decoder Gemma models

In the rapidly evolving landscape of large language models (LLMs), the spotlight has largely focused on the decoder-only architecture. While these models have shown impressive capabilities across a wide range of generation tasks, the classic encoder-decoder architecture, such as T5 (The Text-to-Text Transfer Transformer), remains a popular choice for many real-world applications. Encoder-decoder models often excel at summarization, translation, QA, and more due to their high inference efficiency, design flexibility, and richer encoder representation for understanding input. Nevertheless, the powerful encoder-decoder architecture has received little relative attention.Today, we revisit this architecture and introduce T5Gemma, a new collection of encoder-decoder LLMs developed by converting pretrained decoder-only models into the encoder-decoder architecture through a technique called adaptation. T5Gemma is based on the Gemma 2 framework, including adapted Gemma 2 2B and 9B models as well as a set of newly trained T5-sized models (Small, Base, Large and XL). We are excited to release pretrained and instruction-tuned T5Gemma models to the community to unlock new opportunities for research and development.From decoder-only to encoder-decoderIn T5Gemma, we ask the following question: can we build top-tier encoder-decoder models based on pretrained decoder-only models? We answer this question by exploring a technique called model adaptation. The core idea is to initialize the parameters of an encoder-decoder model using the weights of an already pretrained decoder-only model, and then further adapt them via UL2 or PrefixLM-based pre-training.

An overview of our approach, showing how we initialize a new encoder-decoder model using the parameters from a pretrained, decoder-only model.

This adaptation method is highly flexible, allowing for creative combinations of model sizes. For instance, we can pair a large encoder with a small decoder (e.g., a 9B encoder with a 2B decoder) to create an “unbalanced” model. This allows us to fine-tune the quality-efficiency trade-off for specific tasks, such as summarization, where a deep understanding of the input is more critical than the complexity of the generated output.Towards better quality-efficiency trade-offHow does T5Gemma perform?In our experiments, T5Gemma models achieve comparable or better performance than their decoder-only Gemma counterparts, nearly dominating the quality-inference efficiency pareto frontier across several benchmarks, such as SuperGLUE which measures the quality of the learned representation.

Encoder-decoder models consistently offer better performance for a given level of inference compute, leading the quality-efficiency frontier across a range of benchmarks.

This performance advantage isn’t just theoretical; it translates to real-world quality and speed too. When measuring the actual latency for GSM8K (math reasoning), T5Gemma provided a clear win. For example, T5Gemma 9B-9B achieves higher accuracy than Gemma 2 9B but with a similar latency. Even more impressively, T5Gemma 9B-2B delivers a significant accuracy boost over the 2B-2B model, yet its latency is nearly identical to the much smaller Gemma 2 2B model. Ultimately, these experiments showcase that encoder-decoder adaptation offers a flexible, powerful way to balance across quality and inference speed.Unlocking foundational and fine-tuned capabilitiesCould encoder-decoder LLMs have similar capabilities to decoder-only models?Yes, T5Gemma shows promising capabilities both before and after instruction tuning.After pre-training, T5Gemma achieves impressive gains on complex tasks that require reasoning. For instance, T5Gemma 9B-9B scores over 9 points higher on GSM8K (math reasoning) and 4 points higher on DROP (reading comprehension) than the original Gemma 2 9B model. This pattern demonstrates that the encoder-decoder architecture, when initialized via adaptation, has the potential to create a more capable, performant foundational model.

Detailed results for pretrained models, illustrating how adapted models have significant gains on several reasoning-intensive benchmarks compared to decoder-only Gemma 2.

These foundational improvements from pre-training set the stage for even more dramatic gains after instruction tuning. For example, comparing Gemma 2 IT to T5Gemma IT, the performance gap widens significantly across the board. T5Gemma 2B-2B IT sees its MMLU score jump by nearly 12 points over the Gemma 2 2B, and its GSM8K score increases from 58.0% to 70.7%. The adapted architecture not only potentially provides a better starting point but also responds more effectively to instruction-tuning, ultimately leading to a substantially more capable and helpful final model.

Detailed results for fine-tuned + RLHFed models, illustrating the capabilities of post-training to significantly amplify the performance advantages of the encoder-decoder architecture.

Explore our models: Releasing T5Gemma checkpointsWe’re very excited to present this new method of building powerful, general purpose encoder-decoder models by adapting from pretrained decoder-only LLMs like Gemma 2. To help accelerate further research and allow the community to build on this work, we are excited to release a suite of our T5Gemma checkpoints.The release includes:Multiple Sizes: Checkpoints for T5-sized models (Small, Base, Large, and XL), the Gemma 2-based models (2B and 9B), as well as an additional model in between T5 Large and T5 XL.Multiple Variants: Pretrained and instruction-tuned models.Flexible Configurations: A powerful and efficient unbalanced 9B-2B checkpoint to explore the trade-offs between encoder and decoder size.Different Training Objectives: Models trained with either PrefixLM or UL2 objectives to provide either state-of-the-art generative performance or representation quality.We hope these checkpoints will provide a valuable resource for investigating model architecture, efficiency, and performance.Getting started with T5GemmaWe can’t wait to see what you build with T5Gemma. Please see the following links for more information:Learn about the research behind this project by reading the paper.Explore the models capabilities or fine-tune them for your own use cases with the Colab notebook.

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Exploring the context of online images with Backstory

AcknowledgementsWe would like to thank Zoubin Ghahramani, Helen King, Rahul Sukthankar, Raia Hadsell, and Chandu Thota for their leadership and support.This work was done thanks to the contributions of Mevan Babakar, Hannah Forbes-Pollard, Nikki Hariri, Thomas Leung, Nick Dufour, Ben Usman, Min Ma, Steve Pucci, Spudde Childs, Kate Harrison, Alanna Slocum, Reza Aghajani, Sri Rajendran, Alexey Vorobyov, Ashley Eden, Rishub Jain, Stephanie Chan, Sophie Bridgers, Michiel Bakker, Sures Kumar Thoddu Srinivasan, Tesh Goyal, and Ashish Chaudhary.We would also like to thank Kent Walker, Camino Rojo, Clement Wolf, J.D. Velazquez, Tom Lue, Ndidi Elue, Rachel Stigler, M.H. Tessler, Ricardo Prada, William Isaac, Tom Stepleton, Zoe Darme, Gail Kent, Vincent Ryan, Aaron Donsbach, Abhishek Bapna, Verena Rieser, Christian Plagemann, Anca Dragan, Joelle Barral, Edward Grefenstette, Sara Mahdavi, Sven Gowal, Florian Stimberg, Christopher Savcak, Allison Garcia, Eve Novakovic, Armin Senoner, Arielle Bier, and the greater Google DeepMind and Google teams for their support, help, and feedback.

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Advanced version of Gemini with Deep Think officially achieves gold-medal standard at the International Mathematical Olympiad

AcknowledgementsWe thank the International Mathematical Olympiad organization for their support.This project was a large-scale collaboration, and its success is due to the combined efforts of many individuals and teams. Thang Luong led the overall technical direction for IMO 2025 effort and co-led with Edward Lockhart on the overall coordination.The leads and key contributors of the IMO 2025 team are the following; Dawsen Hwang, Junehyuk Jung, Jonathan Lee, Nate Kushman, Pol Moreno, Yi Tay, Lei Yu, Golnaz Ghiasi, Garrett Bingham, Lalit Jain, Vincent Cohen-Addad and Theophane Weber, Ankesh Anand, Steven Zheng, Vinh Tran, Vinay Ramasesh, Andreas Kirsch, Jieming Mao, Zicheng Xu, Wilfried Bounsi, Vahab Mirrokni, Hoang Nguyen, Fred Zhang, Mahan Malihi, Yangsibo Huang, Yuri Chervonyi, Trieu Trinh, Junsu Kim, Mirek Olšák, Marcelo Menegali, Xiaomeng Yang, Richard Song, Miklós Z. Horváth, Aja Huang, Goran Žužić.The advanced Gemini model with Deep Think for IMO was built on foundational research from the Deep Think team with sponsorship of the GDM Thinking area, and corresponding post-training efforts including; Archit Sharma, Shubha Raghvendra, Tong He, Pei Sun, Tianhe (Kevin) Yu, Eric Ni, Siamak Shakeri, Hanzhao (Maggie) Lin, Cosmo Du, Sid Lall, Le Hou, Yuan Zhang, Yujing Zhang, Yong Cheng, Luheng He, and Chenxi Liu.This effort was advised by Quoc Le and Pushmeet Kohli, with program management from Kristen Chiafullo and Alex Goldin.We’d also like to thank our experts for providing data and evaluations: Insuk Seo (lead), Jiwon Kang, Donghyun Kim, Junsu Kim, Jimin Kim, Seongbin Jeon, Yoonho Na, Seunghwan Lee, Jihoo Lee, Younghun Jo, Yongsuk Hur, Seongjae Park, Kyuhyeon Choi, Minkyu Choi, Su-Hyeok Moon, Seojin Kim, Yueun Lee, Taehun Kim, Jeeho Ryu, Seungwoo Lee, Dain Kim, Sanha Lee, Hyunwoo Choi, Aiden Jung, Youngbeom Jin, Jeonghyun Ahn, Junhwi Bae, Gyumin Kim, Nam Dung Tran, Quoc Ba Can Vo, Van Huyen Nguyen, Tuan Anh Nguyen, Thanh Dat Vo, Nguyen Nam Hung Tran, Van Khai Luong, Son Vu, Son Tra Dao, Dai Dinh Phong Tran, Thanh Dat Le, Cheng-Chiang Tsai, Kari Ragnarsson, Kiat Chuan Tan, Yahya Tabesh, Hamed Mahdavi, Azin Nazari, Chu-Lan Kao, Steven Creech, Tony Feng, Daogao Liu, and Ciprian Manolescu.Further thanks to the following people for support, collaboration, and advice; Omer Levy, Timothy Lillicrap, Jack Rae, Yifeng Lu, Heng-tze Cheng, Denny Zhou, Ed Chi, Vahab Mirrokni, Tulsee Doshi, Madhavi Sewak, Melvin Johnson, Fernando Pereira, Benoit Schillings, Koray Kavukcuoglu, Oriol Vinyals, Jeff Dean, Demis Hassabis, Sergey Brin, Jessica Lo, Sajjad Zafar, Tom Simpson, Jane Labanowski, Andy Forbes, Sean Nakamoto, Jonathan Lai, Fabian Pedregosa, Samuel Albanie, Alex Zhai, Sara Javanmardi, Divy Thakkar, YaGuang Li, Nigamaa Nayakanti, Chenjie Gu, Chenkai Kuang, Swaroop Mishra, Filipe Miguel de Almeida, Silvio Lattanzi, Ashkan Norouzi Fard, Tal Schuster, Ziwei Ji, Honglu Fan, Xuezhi Wang, Aditi Mavalankar, Tom Schaul, Rosemary Ke, Xiangzhuo Ding, Adam Brown, Emanuel Taropa, Charlie Chen, Joe Stanton, Cip Baetu, Alvin Abdagic, Federico Lebron, Ioana Mihailescu, Soheil Hassas Yeganeh, Ashish Shenoy, and Minh GiangFinally, we thank Prof Gregor Dolinar from the IMO Board for the support and endorsement.The IMO have confirmed that our submitted answers are complete and correct solutions. It is important to note that their review does not extend to validating our system, processes, or underlying model (see more).

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Behind “ANCESTRA”: combining Veo with live-action filmmaking

Today, Eliza McNitt’s short film, “ANCESTRA,” premieres at the Tribeca Festival. It’s the story of a mother, and what happens when her child is born with a hole in its heart. Inspired by the dramatic events of McNitt’s own birth, the film portrays a mother’s love as a cosmic, life-saving force.This is the first of three short films produced in partnership between our team at Google DeepMind and Primordial Soup, a new venture dedicated to storytelling innovation founded by director Darren Aronofsky. Together, we founded this partnership to put the world’s best generative AI into the hands of top filmmakers, to advance the frontiers of storytelling and technology.“ANCESTRA” combined live-action scenes with sequences generated by Veo, our state-of-the-art video generation model. McNitt described her experience working with our technology: “Veo is another lens through which I get to imagine the universe around me.”To create “ANCESTRA”, Google DeepMind assembled a multidisciplinary creative team of animators, art directors, designers, writers, technologists and researchers who worked closely with more than 200 experts in traditional filmmaking and production, a live-action crew and cast, plus an editorial team, visual effects (VFX) artists, sound designers and music composers.

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AlphaEarth Foundations helps map our planet in unprecedented detail

New AI model integrates petabytes of Earth observation data to generate a unified data representation that revolutionizes global mapping and monitoringEvery day, satellites capture information-rich images and measurements, providing scientists and experts with a nearly real-time view of our planet. While this data has been incredibly impactful, its complexity, multimodality and refresh rate creates a new challenge: connecting disparate datasets and making use of them all effectively.Today, we’re introducing AlphaEarth Foundations, an artificial intelligence (AI) model that functions like a virtual satellite. It accurately and efficiently characterizes the planet’s entire terrestrial land and coastal waters by integrating huge amounts of Earth observation data into a unified digital representation, or “embedding,” that computer systems can easily process. This allows the model to provide scientists with a more complete and consistent picture of our planet’s evolution, helping them make more informed decisions on critical issues like food security, deforestation, urban expansion, and water resources.To accelerate research and unlock use cases, we are now releasing a collection of AlphaEarth Foundations’ annual embeddings as the Satellite Embedding dataset in Google Earth Engine. Over the past year, we’ve been working with more than 50 organizations to test this dataset on their real-world applications.Our partners are already seeing significant benefits, using the data to better classify unmapped ecosystems, understand agricultural and environmental changes, and greatly increase the accuracy and speed of their mapping work. In this blog, we are excited to highlight some of their feedback and showcase the tangible impact of this new technology.

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The Download: inside a deepfake marketplace, and EV batteries’ future

This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology. Inside the marketplace powering bespoke AI deepfakes of real women Civitai—an online marketplace for buying and selling AI-generated content, backed by the venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz—is letting users buy custom instruction files for generating celebrity deepfakes. Some of these files were specifically designed to make pornographic images banned by the site, a new analysis has found. The study, from researchers at Stanford and Indiana University, looked at people’s requests for content on the site, called “bounties.” The researchers found that between mid-2023 and the end of 2024, most bounties asked for animated content—but a significant portion were for deepfakes of real people, and 90% of these deepfake requests targeted women. Read the full story.
—James O’Donnell
What’s next for EV batteries in 2026 Demand for electric vehicles and the batteries that power them has never been hotter. In 2025, EVs made up over a quarter of new vehicle sales globally, up from less than 5% in 2020. Some regions are seeing even higher uptake: In China, more than 50% of new vehicle sales last year were battery electric or plug-in hybrids. In Europe, more purely electric vehicles hit the roads in December than gas-powered ones. (The US is the notable exception here, dragging down the global average with a small sales decline from 2024.) As EVs become increasingly common on the roads, the battery world is growing too. Here’s what’s coming next for EV batteries in 2026 and beyond. —Casey Crownhart This story is part of MIT Technology Review’s What’s Next series, which examines industries, trends, and technologies to give you a first look at the future. You can read the rest of them here. TR10: Base-edited baby

Kyle “KJ” Muldoon Jr. was born with a rare, potentially fatal genetic disorder that left his body unable to remove toxic ammonia from his blood. The University of Pennsylvania offered his parents an alternative to a liver transplant: gene-editing therapies. The team set to work developing a tailored treatment using base editing—a form of CRISPR that can correct genetic “misspellings” by changing single bases, the basic units of DNA. KJ received an initial low dose when he was seven months old, and later received two higher doses. Today, KJ is doing well. At an event in October last year, his happy parents described how he was meeting all his developmental milestones. Others have received gene-editing therapies intended to treat conditions including sickle cell disease and a predisposition to high cholesterol. But KJ was the first to receive a personalized treatment—one that was designed just for him and will probably never be used again. Read why we made it one of our 10 Breakthrough Technologies this year, and check out the rest of the list. The must-reads I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology. 1 A social network for AI agents is vulnerable to abuseA misconfiguration meant anyone could take control of any agent. (404 Media)+ Moltbook is loosely modeled on Reddit, but humans are unable to post. (FT $)2 Google breached its own ethics rules to help an Israeli contractorIt helped a military worker to analyze drone footage, a whistleblower has claimed. (WP $) 3 Capgemini is selling its unit linked to ICEAfter the French government asked it to clarify its work for the agency. (Bloomberg $) + The company has signed $12.2mn in contracts under the Trump administration. (FT $)+ Here’s how to film ICE activities as safely as possible. (Wired $)4 China has a plan to prime its next generation of AI experts Thanks to its elite genius class system. (FT $)+ The country is going all-in on AI healthcare. (Rest of World)+ The State of AI: Is China about to win the race? (MIT Technology Review)
5 Indonesia has reversed its ban on xAI’s GrokAfter it announced plans to improve its compliance with the country’s laws. (Reuters)+ Indonesia maintains a strict stance against pornographic content. (NYT $)+ Malaysia and the Philippines have also lifted bans on the chatbot. (TechCrunch)6 Don’t expect to hitch a ride on a Blue Origin rocket anytime soonJeff Bezos’ venture won’t be taking tourists into space for at least two years. (NYT $)+ Artemis II astronauts are due to set off for the moon soon. (IEEE Spectrum)+ Commercial space stations are on our list of 10 Breakthrough Technologies for 2026. (MIT Technology Review)7 America’s push for high-speed internet is under threatThere aren’t enough skilled workers to meet record demand. (WSJ $) 8 Can AI help us grieve better?A growing cluster of companies are trying to find out. (The Atlantic $)+ Technology that lets us “speak” to our dead relatives has arrived. Are we ready? (MIT Technology Review)
9 How to fight future insect infestations 🍄A certain species of fungus could play a key role. (Ars Technica)+ How do fungi communicate? (MIT Technology Review)10 What a robot-made latte tastes like, according to a former baristaDamn fine, apparently. (The Verge) Quote of the day  “It feels like a wild bison rampaging around in my computer.” —A user who signed up to AI agent Moltbot remarks on the bot’s unpredictable behavior, Rest of World reports.
One more thing How Wi-Fi sensing became usable techWi-Fi sensing is a tantalizing concept: that the same routers bringing you the internet could also detect your movements. But, as a way to monitor health, it’s mostly been eclipsed by other technologies, like ultra-wideband radar.  Despite that, Wi-Fi sensing hasn’t gone away. Instead, it has quietly become available in millions of homes, supported by leading internet service providers, smart-home companies, and chip manufacturers.Soon it could be invisibly monitoring our day-to-day movements for all sorts of surprising—and sometimes alarming—purposes. Read the full story.  —Meg Duff
We can still have nice things A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or skeet ’em at me.) + These intrepid Scottish bakers created the largest ever Empire biscuit (a classic shortbread cookie covered in icing) 🍪+ My, what big tentacles you have!+ If you’ve been feeling like you’re stuck in a rut lately, this advice could be exactly what you need to overcome it.+ These works of psychedelic horror are guaranteed to send a shiver down your spine.

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Iran Hopes Diplomacy Push Will Avert War With USA

(Update) February 2, 2026, 11:49 AM GMT: Article updated with reports on potential talks from the first paragraph. Iran said talks with the US over a new nuclear deal could get underway in coming days, building on a flurry of diplomatic activity aimed at averting war between the two sides.  President Masoud Pezeshkian ordered the start of negotiations with Washington “within the framework of the nuclear issue,” Iran’s semi-official Fars news service reported Monday, citing a government source. Talks could include senior officials from both countries such as US envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, the Tasnim news service said, citing a source it didn’t identify. “We’re ready for diplomacy, but they must understand that diplomacy is not compatible with threats, intimidation or pressure,” Araghchi said on state TV. “We will remain steadfast on this path and hope to see its results soon.” Multiple countries in the Middle East have been acting as intermediaries between Tehran and Washington, said Esmail Baghaei, a spokesman for the Islamic Republic’s foreign ministry. The developments underline the international effort to ease Middle East tensions as US President Donald Trump threatens the Islamic Republic with military action if it doesn’t reach an agreement to curb its nuclear program. American naval assets have been dispatched toward Iran and Trump said Sunday they were “a couple of days” away, even while unspecified Gulf allies negotiate to “make a deal.” Oil prices fell sharply in early trading on Monday, partly because of the heightened diplomatic maneuvers, with Brent dropping around 5% to below $66 a barrel. Prices are still up roughly 8.5% this year because of the still-high chances of a conflict in the oil-rich region. Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei warned Sunday of a “regional war” if his country is attacked. Tehran has previously threatened to

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Saudi Supply Hikes Help Drive Best GDP Growth Since 2022

Saudi Arabia’s economy expanded at the fastest pace in three years in 2025, with the oil sector emerging as a stronger engine of growth under new OPEC+ supply policy. Gross domestic product rose 4.5% in the 12 months through December, according to preliminary data published by the statistics office on Sunday. The expansion was the strongest since 2022, as was the 5.6% growth rate seen for the oil economy. Non-oil activities slowed for a third straight year, though the sector was still the biggest contributor to overall economic expansion in 2025. Real GDP for the whole economy grew 4.9% year on year in the final quarter of the year. State oil giant Saudi Aramco has been pumping more crude since around mid-2025 as part of supply increases agreed to by OPEC+, led by the kingdom and Russia. The Gulf nation churned out about 10 million barrels a day in the final three months of last year, the most since early 2023, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. While Saudi officials say oil activities are less important than in the past given their focus on growing other areas, the oil sector still makes up about half of the economy.  Sunday’s GDP data underscores that Saudi Arabia’s economic activity remains a bright spot for a government that’s currently adjusting its strategy to spend more efficiently and contend with fresh volatility for both oil prices and geopolitics. Benchmark Brent crude topped $70 a barrel last week for the first time in months as geopolitical tensions between Iran, Israel and the US flared. While any sustained increase in prices would boost Saudi oil revenues, a renewed conflict risks slowing growth in the country’s broader economy. Saudi Arabia’s main stock exchange dropped the most since April on Sunday, in a sign of the investor angst. For now, economic momentum

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What’s next for EV batteries in 2026

MIT Technology Review’s What’s Next series looks across industries, trends, and technologies to give you a first look at the future. You can read the rest of them here. Demand for electric vehicles and the batteries that power them has never been hotter. In 2025, EVs made up over a quarter of new vehicle sales globally, up from less than 5% in 2020. Some regions are seeing even higher uptake: In China, more than 50% of new vehicle sales last year were battery electric or plug-in hybrids. In Europe, more purely electric vehicles hit the roads in December than gas-powered ones. (The US is the notable exception here, dragging down the global average with a small sales decline from 2024.) As EVs become increasingly common on the roads, the battery world is growing too. Looking ahead, we could soon see wider adoption of new chemistries, including some that deliver lower costs or higher performance. Meanwhile, the geopolitics of batteries are shifting, and so is the policy landscape. Here’s what’s coming next for EV batteries in 2026 and beyond.
A big opportunity for sodium-ion batteries Lithium-ion batteries are the default chemistry used in EVs, personal devices, and even stationary storage systems on the grid today. But in a tough environment in some markets like the US, there’s a growing interest in cheaper alternatives. Automakers right now largely care just about batteries’ cost, regardless of performance improvements, says Kara Rodby, a technical principal at Volta Energy Technologies, a venture capital firm that focuses on energy storage technology. Sodium-ion cells have long been held up as a potentially less expensive alternative to lithium. The batteries are limited in their energy density, so they deliver a shorter range than lithium-ion. But sodium is also more abundant, so they could be cheaper.
Sodium’s growth has been cursed, however, by the very success of lithium-based batteries, says Shirley Meng, a professor of molecular engineering at the University of Chicago. A lithium-ion battery cell cost $568 per kilowatt-hour in 2013, but that cost had fallen to just $74 per kilowatt-hour by 2025—quite the moving target for cheaper alternatives to chase. Sodium-ion batteries currently cost about $59 per kilowatt-hour on average. That’s less expensive than the average lithium-ion battery. But if you consider only lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cells, a lower-end type of lithium-ion battery that averages $52 per kilowatt-hour, sodium is still more expensive today.  We could soon see an opening for sodium-batteries, though. Lithium prices have been ticking up in recent months, a shift that could soon slow or reverse the steady downward march of prices for lithium-based batteries.  Sodium-ion batteries are already being used commercially, largely for stationary storage on the grid. But we’re starting to see sodium-ion cells incorporated into vehicles, too. The Chinese companies Yadea, JMEV, and HiNa Battery have all started producing sodium-ion batteries in limited numbers for EVs, including small, short-range cars and electric scooters that don’t require a battery with high energy density. CATL, a Chinese battery company that’s the world’s largest, says it recently began producing sodium-ion cells. The company plans to launch its first EV using the chemistry by the middle of this year.  Ask AIWhy it matters to you?BETAHere’s why this story might matter to you, according to AI. This is a beta feature and AI hallucinates—it might get weirdTell me why it matters Today, both production and demand for sodium-ion batteries are heavily centered in China. That’s likely to continue, especially after a cutback in tax credits and other financial support for the battery and EV industries in the US. One of the biggest sodium-battery companies in the US, Natron, ceased operations last year after running into funding issues. We could also see progress in sodium-ion research: Companies and researchers are developing new materials for components including the electrolyte and electrodes, so the cells could get more comparable to lower-end lithium-ion cells in terms of energy density, Meng says.  Major tests for solid-state batteries As we enter the second half of this decade, many eyes in the battery world are on big promises and claims about solid-state batteries. These batteries could pack more energy into a smaller package by removing the liquid electrolyte, the material that ions move through when a battery is charging and discharging. With a higher energy density, they could unlock longer-range EVs.

Companies have been promising solid-state batteries for years. Toyota, for example, once planned to have them in vehicles by 2020. That timeline has been delayed several times, though the company says it’s now on track to launch the new cells in cars in 2027 or 2028. Historically, battery makers have struggled to produce solid-state batteries at the scale needed to deliver a commercially relevant supply for EVs. There’s been progress in manufacturing techniques, though, and companies could soon actually make good on their promises, Meng says.  Factorial Energy, a US-based company making solid-state batteries, provided cells for a Mercedes test vehicle that drove over 745 miles on a single charge in a real-world test in September. The company says it plans to bring its tech to market as soon as 2027. Quantumscape, another major solid-state player in the US, is testing its cells with automotive partners and plans to have its batteries in commercial production later this decade.   Before we see true solid-state batteries, we could see hybrid technologies, often referred to as semi-solid-state batteries. These commonly use materials like gel electrolytes, reducing the liquid inside cells without removing it entirely. Many Chinese companies are looking to build semi-solid-state batteries before transitioning to entirely solid-state ones, says Evelina Stoikou, head of battery technologies and supply chains at BloombergNEF, an energy consultancy. A global patchwork The picture for the near future of the EV industry looks drastically different depending on where you’re standing. Last year, China overtook Japan as the country with the most global auto sales. And more than one in three EVs made in 2025 had a CATL battery in it. Simply put, China is dominating the global battery industry, and that doesn’t seem likely to change anytime soon. China’s influence outside its domestic market is growing especially quickly. CATL is expected to begin production this year at its second European site; the factory, located in Hungary, is an $8.2 billion project that will supply automakers including BMW and the Mercedes-Benz group. Canada recently signed a deal that will lower the import tax on Chinese EVs from 100% to roughly 6%, effectively opening the Canadian market for Chinese EVs. Some countries that haven’t historically been major EV markets could become bigger players in the second half of the decade. Annual EV sales in Thailand and Vietnam, where the market was virtually nonexistent just a few years ago, broke 100,000 in 2025. Brazil, in particular, could see its new EV sales more than double in 2026 as major automakers including Volkswagen and BYD set up or ramp up production in the country. 
On the flip side, EVs are facing a real test in 2026 in the US, as this will be the first calendar year after the sunset of federal tax credits that were designed to push more drivers to purchase the vehicles. With those credits gone, growth in sales is expected to continue lagging.  One bright spot for batteries in the US is outside the EV market altogether. Battery manufacturers are starting to produce low-cost LFP batteries in the US, largely for energy storage applications. LG opened a massive factory to make LFP batteries in mid-2025 in Michigan, and the Korean battery company SK On plans to start making LFP batteries at its facility in Georgia later this year. Those plants could help battery companies cash in on investments as the US EV market faces major headwinds.  Even as the US lags behind, the world is electrifying transportation. By 2030, 40% of new vehicles sold around the world are projected to be electric. As we approach that milestone, expect to see more global players, a wider selection of EVs, and an even wider menu of batteries to power them. 

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Quantum computing is getting closer, but quantum-proof encryption remains elusive

Meanwhile, some people are still unconvinced of the urgency. Somebody else’s problem Quantum computing has been ten to twenty years away for decades. Is today any different? I wouldn’t blame someone if they thought that way. And, according to ICASA’s recent survey of more than 2,600 security and privacy professionals, only 5% say that PQC is a high business priority for the near future. There’s a lot happening in the business world right now and by the time quantum computers arrive, someone else will be in charge and they can deal with it. Twenty years, ten years, even five years seems like a lifetime right now. Who knows what the world will even look like then or if jobs will even exist? Plus, who does their own encryption these days, anyway? According to the IBM survey, 62% of executives believe that vendors will handle the PQC transition. And that might move the needle for some organizations, says Thales’ Canavan, but organizations with highly sensitive data, like large financial institutions, aren’t going to rely on blind faith. “Trust but verify is absolutely essential,” he says. HSBC, for example, brought in a big chunk of its vendor community, he says. “All of us are part of their cryptographic center of excellence,” he says. “And are verifying all the scenarios.” Signs of progress In an October report, content delivery network Cloudflare announced that a major milestone had just been passed: More than half of human-initiated traffic on the network is now using post-quantum encryption. In other news, symmetric encryption is already quantum safe. Symmetric encryption is when the same key is used to both encrypt and decrypt data, and it’s commonly used by organizations when they store their data. It’s asymmetric encryption, the kind used for public communications, online purchases, and banking transactions,

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Artificial intelligence in energy markets: The case for AI-ready data and human expertise

Power markets are entering a new era of increased load and transmission demand. Artificial intelligence can help you navigate these markets faster than before, especially when paired with datasets that are clean, accurate and complete. Combining human and artificial intelligence Human expertise and artificial intelligence are complementary forces: AI can help accelerate insights, uncover patterns and reduce repetitive work, while human intelligence ensures decisions are accurate, strategic and aligned with market realities. The future of AI in the energy sector isn’t just about technology. It’s about the intersection of trusted data and expert insight.  Trust before speed Power markets are among the world’s most complex and data-rich commodity markets, making them ideal for AI and algorithmic decision-making but only when datasets are ready. Studies show that nearly half of enterprise AI projects fail due to inadequate data preparation.  The convergence of AI and energy markets presents unprecedented opportunities to transform how decisions are made and value created, but only for those who build on a foundation of trusted, AI-ready data.  What makes data truly “AI-ready”? The term “AI-ready” is buzzing about, but how do you know if your organization is truly prepared to deploy models into decision-making workflows? Start by asking these questions: Can you recreate what you knew at the time of a decision? AI models trained on overwritten or backfilled historical data may perform well in testing but fail in production because they rely on information that wouldn’t have been available when your team made a decision. Point-in-time snapshots and clear handling of late or revised values are essential to avoid misleading results. Is the dataset meaningfully documented? Teams should be able to quickly answer: What does each field mean? What are the units? What changed over time? If teams can’t confidently explain what a field represents, how

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