Stay Ahead, Stay ONMINE

Want to get a data center online quickly? Give it some flex.

At the end of a tense and scoreless first half of a soccer match between the English men’s team and rival Germany, millions of Brits let out a collective sigh and did what they so often do in moments of stress: They made tea. That wave of electric kettles clicking on, however, caused a different kind of stress: a huge and sudden increase in demand for electricity. But National Grid, which operates the local transmission network, was ready. Just as those kettles started heating up, an AI program sent instructions to a data center in London to slow down some of the facility’s power-hungry chips. This reduction helped make sure there was enough supply to match demand, staving off potential blackouts or damage to electrical hardware. For data centers, which normally guzzle power without consideration for anyone or anything else’s needs, it was a radical departure. It was also a simulation. In December 2025, engineers sought to test a new breed of data center built to be flexible about its electricity needs, so they re-created the energy demand facing the UK’s grid during a match from the 2020 Euro tournament. They wanted to see how their software, called Conductor, would have responded had it been online at the time. Conductor is the signature product of Emerald AI, a firm based in Washington, DC, that’s part of a wave of companies trying to figure out whether data centers can work within the confines of the existing electric grid. This year, Emerald is set to deploy Conductor in a new facility in the part of Virginia known as Data Center Alley, this time connected to the live grid. When overall demand spikes, Conductor will turn down the power used by the data center, while making sure its servers still carry out their timeliest and most important jobs. Emerald’s partners on the project—which include Nvidia and the giant data-center operator Digital Realty—bill it as one of the world’s first “power-flexible AI factories.” Demonstrating that data centers can participate in this kind of give-and-take could ease what many tech leaders identify as the bottleneck in getting facilities online: It takes far longer to get approval for, construct, and connect new power plants than to build data centers. PJM, the grid operator in Virginia and the largest one in the US, for instance, needs eight years to bring new generation online, according to RMI, an energy research and advocacy group. “We need to solve the energy equation,” says Josh Parker, head of sustainability at Nvidia. “AI factory flexibility is the bridge between the incredible demand for AI and the immediate limitations of our energy grid.” Speed, though, is only one of the issues. Once facilities do plug in, neighbors often criticize them for drawing too much electricity and contributing to rising prices. They say the data centers generate more noise than they do long-term jobs, contribute to pollution, and threaten to put people out of work. Organizers stalled over $150 billion worth of projects in 2025, according to Data Center Watch, and policymakers alert to the public mood are starting to impose limitations on development. More than a dozen states are considering bans, and local moratoriums are in effect in places like Minneapolis and DeKalb County in Georgia. At the federal level, the GRID Act, a bipartisan bill in the US Senate, proposes to sever new data centers from public grids entirely. Some operators are already moving that way by trying to develop their own power generation. Rather than rushing to build new power plants, companies could find part of the solution to the crunch right under our noses—or, more precisely, in the transmission lines under our feet and above our heads. The existing system operates near its full capacity during only a small number of high-demand hours throughout the year. This means, some grid experts argue, that if data centers can limit the power they draw during those stretches, they won’t need to wait for big infrastructure upgrades or build their own off-grid generation.  Indeed, a growing number of studies have shown there could be plenty of power available for data centers that can flex. A widely discussed 2025 report from researchers at Duke University found that the US grid could offer an additional 76 gigawatts—about 5% of its entire capacity, and about enough to accommodate projected data-center growth in the US through 2030—to facilities that are willing to reduce their usage just 0.25% of the time. That’s about 22 hours a year. And when researchers from Princeton University and two grid-modernization companies looked at locations for new data centers in the PJM region, their report, which was funded by Google, found that a 500-megawatt facility capable of flexing for less than 1% of the year could reach full operation three to five years faster than one that’s inflexible.  Flexible power connections could also help data centers address some of their PR problems. By decreasing their draw at times of grid stress, for instance, they could avoid diverting power from where it’s most needed, thus boosting stability. By using existing capacity, they might be able to reduce the need for new fossil-fuel power plants and spread fixed costs over more electricity users, pushing prices down.  The AI power pinch is attracting resources and research into strategies for grid flexibility overall, which could help negotiate a tricky period: Taken together with electric vehicles, air-conditioning, and other sectors, data centers are helping drive what analysts predict will be a 25% increase in US electricity demand by 2030 compared with 2023 levels. Ideally, flexibility gives grid operators more control over the flow of electrons, making them leaders of a harmonious ensemble rather than hostages to inflexible electricity requirements. That will help them manage demand spikes across the entire system and deal more effectively with the intermittent nature of renewables like wind and solar. “Demand flexibility is incredibly useful for power grids,” says Johanna Mathieu, a grid expert at the University of Michigan. “It helps reduce electricity costs and improve grid reliability.” But while advocates see plenty of benefits, the concept brings complexity. For data centers, compromising on energy needs can be a hard sell. Flexibility requires utilities and grid operators, which tend to be operationally conservative, to change long-held practices. And some skeptics also say that flexibility distracts from the very real need to build more grid infrastructure faster, and could even pose risks to our electricity supply.  Still, some technologists, grid operators, and utilities are hoping to show that flexibility works—not only in white papers or simulations but in real life.  The poster children for data-center growth default toward inflexibility. Hyperscalers like Microsoft and Oracle have proposed enormous new centers, many of which would rely on off-grid, natural-­gas-burning power plants. When xAI wanted to speed up the buildout of the Colossus site outside Memphis, Tennessee, it rolled up with gas turbines on flatbed trucks. The facility, now in operation, is facing blowback from regulators and residents about the spike it’s causing in emissions and other pollution. In any case, there aren’t enough gas turbines worldwide to meet the demand from data-center operators.  One big obstacle for anyone demanding a lot of power is that our grids are mostly rigid. They’re designed to supply enough power to meet total demand when it’s highest, even if that’s for only a relatively small number of hours a year. That conservative approach is a simple route to reliability, but it means that the grid has quite a bit of headroom. “The grid is already overbuilt by a lot. If you were an airline running at 30% utilization, you would not buy more planes,” says Amit Narayan, the cofounder and CEO of GridCare, a company developing flexibility technologies, referring to a 2025 Stanford study of transmission lines in western North America. “If you are running a grid at 30% utilization, there’s no scientific reason you can’t go to 60.”  “If you were an airline running at 30% utilization, you would not buy more planes. If you are running a grid at 30% utilization, there’s no scientific reason you can’t go to 60.” To be fair, the idea of flexibility isn’t entirely foreign to grid operators. For decades, they’ve practiced a technique called demand response: When it looks as if demand will get too close to supply, as it might during a heat wave when many people turn on the AC at the same time, they call large commercial or industrial facilities and ask them to shut down parts of their operations. This method can help avoid the need to fire up so-called peaker plants, which run on fossil fuels, but it’s slow, imprecise, and hard to scale. In the 2000s, as the adoption of technologies like electric cars and solar panels presented new challenges, more internet-­connected grids also provided new means of flexibility. Virtual power plants, or VPPs, offered a smarter, faster, more granular alternative. Electricity customers ranging from factories to homeowners with smart thermostats, solar panels, or big batteries would allow the utility to adjust their draw to help meet demand—often getting paid for their (frequently unnoticed) trouble.  After the generative AI boom began with the release of ChatGPT in 2022, some companies began to see flexibility as a way to get data centers set up more easily, efficiently, and affordably. If they bring AI money into existing grids and reduce or defer the need for expensive upgrades, data centers could actually help spread out fixed costs so as to lower rates for other users. A study from Duke University published this past February, for instance, found that flexibility could reduce rates by 0.5% to 2.8%.  PETRA PÉTERFFY The trick is figuring out how data centers, notorious power hogs, can keep operating when their flexible connections are throttled. Flexibility specialists envision three possible ways. The simplest is for the new data center to install on-site backup power storage or generation to tap when the grid is maxed out—at their own expense, of course. A facility could also fill the gap by drawing on a VPP. The utility would turn down the electricity going to users who signed up for the VPP, and the data center would pay them for their flexibility. This method wouldn’t require any major infrastructure, but it would require the utility to have a big VPP program and to coordinate the exchange at a time when the grid was under stress. While VPPs exist to some extent in nearly 40 states, the rules governing them vary widely, and they are empowered to do more in some areas than in others.  Finally, a data center could simply use less power at peak times. The conventional wisdom is that they won’t go for such limits, particularly when every number-­crunching server can feel like a goose potentially laying little golden eggs. But some experts are betting that the value of getting up and running quickly is enough to change their minds. “There is a clear and growing trend,” says Ayse Coskun, chief scientist at Emerald AI. “Operators are increasingly willing to trade some level of flexibility for faster grid interconnection.”  GridCare, a startup based in Silicon Valley, was one of the first companies to use flexibility to get data centers online quickly. Instead of looking at grids only in worst-case scenarios when electricity demand is highest, the company analyzes the system under all conditions, explains CEO Narayan, who studied smart grids at Stanford. It feeds every part of the grid—including power plants, lines, substations, and homes—into a generative AI model that creates a “digital twin” for different grid configurations. It then picks out results that could unlock capacity while maintaining reliability, and it feeds those into another model trained on the physics of electrical components like resistors and capacitors to make sure they’re realistic. GridCare found its first customer in the Silicon Forest, an area in the Pacific Northwest named for the trees that dominate the landscape and the IT industry that has more recently sprouted up there. The local grid needed more capacity to support more data centers. “Data centers wanted ‘speed to power,’” says Isaac Barrow, a manager of data-center relations at Portland General Electric, or PGE, the local power generator and distributor, “but transmission buildout is a long process that’s very costly.” In 2024, Aligned Data Centers came to PGE wanting to expand its operation in Hillsboro, Oregon, and PGE followed a recommendation from GridCare. Aligned will install a 31-megawatt battery, set to be in service in May 2027, and decrease its draw by up to that amount when the grid becomes congested. Bundled with other flexibility measures, that battery has allowed PGE to increase the capacity it can offer Aligned and other nearby operators by 80 megawatts without any new power plants. Though the buildout of data centers in Hillsboro has faced plenty of pushback from locals, Barrow points out that it could have the knock-on effect of lowering costs for ratepayers, because it spreads out the tab. Other companies are promoting different flavors of flexibility. Google has been moving processing loads from facilities in areas experiencing demand spikes to those in less stressed spots since 2023. It’s signed agreements with five utilities, including the Tennessee Valley Authority and Indiana Michigan Power, that add as much as a gigawatt of flexibility.  Voltus, a major VPP provider across the US and Canada, markets a “bring your own capacity” program in which a data-­center company can fund a VPP nearby. The grid operator can use the VPP to decrease demand at busy times, and participants get a financial thank-you. “We can spin up new VPPs on the order of months,” says Emily Orvis, Voltus’s vice president of energy markets. In June, the company signed their first such data-center deal: a three-year plan in which Google will bankroll a VPP in the PJM interconnection. Of all the approaches to flexibility, Emerald AI’s may be the most ambitious: asking data centers to dial into the grid’s needs. The company’s Conductor software, which can run on premises or in the cloud, builds on the research of chief scientist Coskun. Her group at Boston University showed in a pair of 2013 papers that a data center could watch the grid and help balance big power fluctuations, such as the intermittent effects of solar and wind power. By 2022, she and her colleagues had tested their methods on a cluster of 36 research servers and shown that the system could respect power limits without breaking the processes it was running.  One of the most important questions for Conductor is deciding which AI processes can be slowed down to save energy without kneecapping performance. A lot of companies label their jobs by priority—a real-time chatbot query, for instance, might outrank something like a web search that’s part of a deep research project. When they don’t, Emerald AI tries to infer priority from the nature of the job. Conductor then analyzes the AI workload to determine how tweaking the power to a given processor will affect the performance and help meet the usage limits set by the grid operator. “The performance curve changes for different kinds of workloads,” says Coskun. “Each AI job is going to have a different location on that curve. Our intelligence is figuring out where you are on that curve.”  PETRA PÉTERFFY Last year, Emerald AI began assessing the technology’s readiness for real-world use in a series of tests, raising the difficulty each time. The trials were carried out in partnership with the Data Center Flexible Load Initiative—a collaboration among tech companies like Google and Nvidia, utilities like Duke Energy, and grid operators like PJM that aims to help establish a repeatable framework for power-­flexible data centers. The first challenge was in Phoenix, a fast-growing computing hub. For the test, Conductor took control of a group of server racks laden with 256 Nvidia A100 GPUs—hardware that can use about as much power as around 170 US homes. When presented with a simulation of a busy grid, Conductor reduced the power to the chips by 25% for three hours, while maintaining acceptable computing performance. Emerald AI and its partners reported the results in a paper in Nature Energy in December 2025. The next trial forced the system to juggle surprise grid fluctuations without advance warning and redirect AI jobs from a data center in Virginia to a less busy one in Chicago. Then, in London, Conductor took the reins of equipment beyond the main GPU processors and faced a more complicated mix of fluctuations, including very short and long bouts of congestion—plus the notorious teakettle effect. The progress so far shows that flexibility can work, at least in some situations, but only a small fraction of operators have pursued it as yet. “We’re just in the beginning innings of the game,” says Jesse Jenkins, one of the authors of the 2025 Princeton study and cofounder of Firma, a startup that works on data-center flexibility. “People are recognizing that this is a potential solution. The motivation is there; there are some bespoke examples. But there’s no uniform solution set that’s the default option, which is where we need to get.” While data centers are going up across the US, no place on Earth comes close to the accumulated computing muscle in Northern Virginia’s Data Center Alley. The region is home to around 500 compute-crunching facilities, which represent 13% of the entire world’s capacity; the next two hot spots, Beijing and Oregon, contain 6% each. There are proposals to build hundreds more facilities in Virginia, but a government study found that the state’s electricity demand will increase 183% (around 26 gigawatts) by 2040 if they all go forward, and supporting even half would be difficult. The power-flexible data center that Emerald AI, Nvidia, Digital Realty, and their partners are building in the suburb of Manassas could demonstrate how data centers can squeeze the power they need out of existing capacity. The facility, slated to come online later this year, is intended to give Conductor the chance to manage power at the largest scale yet and to respond to conditions on a live grid for the first time. In the UK demonstration, Conductor managed a 130-kilowatt AI cluster; in Manassas, it will pull the strings of a 96-megawatt hyperscale AI factory.  Some degree of flex will play a key role as we transition away from fossil fuels and toward a future that has to juggle technologies like solar and wind power, batteries, and electric cars. For PJM, the Manassas facility points to a potential path through the current power crunch. “We think data-center flexibility, in different forms, will be essential for the reliable integration of data-center load over the short to mid term,” says Scott Baker, who manages demand-side markets at PJM.  But not all grid experts are so sanguine. PJM’s market monitor, which oversees the grid operator, says there are no workarounds when it comes to adding capacity. “The notion that large amounts of data-center load can be added without adding new generation is magical thinking,” says Joseph Bowring, an economist and the head of PJM’s market monitor since 1999. One problem, he says, is that there’s no way to guarantee that a data center will actually take less power when demand is high. That is, absent any legal or regulatory push for flexibility or compliance, the utility won’t be able to step in to help prevent, say, a blackout. Utilities can rely on resources like power plants, but they can’t control or rely on data centers. “They do not want to be fully interruptible,” Bowring says of the facilities. Stephen Empedocles, an advisor for technology companies, views flexibility as more of a tool than a silver bullet. “These approaches are excellent for improving grid reliability and getting more out of the infrastructure we already have,” he says, “but they are optimization tools.” They’re not substitutes for the “generation, transmission, and distribution expansion that will still be required,” he continues. Flexibility advocates agree that over the long term, whether or not AI continues to boom, electrification will drive a need for more generation and transmission. Some degree of flex will play a key role in using grid infrastructure better as we transition away from fossil fuels and toward a future that has to juggle technologies like solar and wind power, batteries, and electric cars. A report published by the International Renewable Energy Agency in January 2026 found that grids around the world will need three times as much flexibility in 2030 as they had in 2019—and 10 times as much by 2050—to balance increasing demand with fluctuating supplies of renewable energy.  The challenge of powering AI could provide just the spark we need to do the work of designing and building smarter, more flexible grids, says Coskun. “I think with a crisis like this, there’s no quick solution,” she says. “Sometimes a crisis like this creates an opportunity to do something differently.”  Amos Zeeberg is a freelance science and technology journalist based in Bucharest. He’s developing a book about technology networks, including electric grids.

At the end of a tense and scoreless first half of a soccer match between the English men’s team and rival Germany, millions of Brits let out a collective sigh and did what they so often do in moments of stress: They made tea. That wave of electric kettles clicking on, however, caused a different kind of stress: a huge and sudden increase in demand for electricity. But National Grid, which operates the local transmission network, was ready.

Just as those kettles started heating up, an AI program sent instructions to a data center in London to slow down some of the facility’s power-hungry chips. This reduction helped make sure there was enough supply to match demand, staving off potential blackouts or damage to electrical hardware. For data centers, which normally guzzle power without consideration for anyone or anything else’s needs, it was a radical departure.

It was also a simulation. In December 2025, engineers sought to test a new breed of data center built to be flexible about its electricity needs, so they re-created the energy demand facing the UK’s grid during a match from the 2020 Euro tournament. They wanted to see how their software, called Conductor, would have responded had it been online at the time.

Conductor is the signature product of Emerald AI, a firm based in Washington, DC, that’s part of a wave of companies trying to figure out whether data centers can work within the confines of the existing electric grid.

This year, Emerald is set to deploy Conductor in a new facility in the part of Virginia known as Data Center Alley, this time connected to the live grid. When overall demand spikes, Conductor will turn down the power used by the data center, while making sure its servers still carry out their timeliest and most important jobs. Emerald’s partners on the project—which include Nvidia and the giant data-center operator Digital Realty—bill it as one of the world’s first “power-flexible AI factories.”

Demonstrating that data centers can participate in this kind of give-and-take could ease what many tech leaders identify as the bottleneck in getting facilities online: It takes far longer to get approval for, construct, and connect new power plants than to build data centers. PJM, the grid operator in Virginia and the largest one in the US, for instance, needs eight years to bring new generation online, according to RMI, an energy research and advocacy group. “We need to solve the energy equation,” says Josh Parker, head of sustainability at Nvidia. “AI factory flexibility is the bridge between the incredible demand for AI and the immediate limitations of our energy grid.”

Speed, though, is only one of the issues. Once facilities do plug in, neighbors often criticize them for drawing too much electricity and contributing to rising prices. They say the data centers generate more noise than they do long-term jobs, contribute to pollution, and threaten to put people out of work. Organizers stalled over $150 billion worth of projects in 2025, according to Data Center Watch, and policymakers alert to the public mood are starting to impose limitations on development.

More than a dozen states are considering bans, and local moratoriums are in effect in places like Minneapolis and DeKalb County in Georgia. At the federal level, the GRID Act, a bipartisan bill in the US Senate, proposes to sever new data centers from public grids entirely. Some operators are already moving that way by trying to develop their own power generation.

Rather than rushing to build new power plants, companies could find part of the solution to the crunch right under our noses—or, more precisely, in the transmission lines under our feet and above our heads. The existing system operates near its full capacity during only a small number of high-demand hours throughout the year. This means, some grid experts argue, that if data centers can limit the power they draw during those stretches, they won’t need to wait for big infrastructure upgrades or build their own off-grid generation. 

Indeed, a growing number of studies have shown there could be plenty of power available for data centers that can flex. A widely discussed 2025 report from researchers at Duke University found that the US grid could offer an additional 76 gigawatts—about 5% of its entire capacity, and about enough to accommodate projected data-center growth in the US through 2030—to facilities that are willing to reduce their usage just 0.25% of the time. That’s about 22 hours a year. And when researchers from Princeton University and two grid-modernization companies looked at locations for new data centers in the PJM region, their report, which was funded by Google, found that a 500-megawatt facility capable of flexing for less than 1% of the year could reach full operation three to five years faster than one that’s inflexible. 

Flexible power connections could also help data centers address some of their PR problems. By decreasing their draw at times of grid stress, for instance, they could avoid diverting power from where it’s most needed, thus boosting stability. By using existing capacity, they might be able to reduce the need for new fossil-fuel power plants and spread fixed costs over more electricity users, pushing prices down. 

The AI power pinch is attracting resources and research into strategies for grid flexibility overall, which could help negotiate a tricky period: Taken together with electric vehicles, air-conditioning, and other sectors, data centers are helping drive what analysts predict will be a 25% increase in US electricity demand by 2030 compared with 2023 levels.

Ideally, flexibility gives grid operators more control over the flow of electrons, making them leaders of a harmonious ensemble rather than hostages to inflexible electricity requirements. That will help them manage demand spikes across the entire system and deal more effectively with the intermittent nature of renewables like wind and solar. “Demand flexibility is incredibly useful for power grids,” says Johanna Mathieu, a grid expert at the University of Michigan. “It helps reduce electricity costs and improve grid reliability.”

But while advocates see plenty of benefits, the concept brings complexity. For data centers, compromising on energy needs can be a hard sell. Flexibility requires utilities and grid operators, which tend to be operationally conservative, to change long-held practices. And some skeptics also say that flexibility distracts from the very real need to build more grid infrastructure faster, and could even pose risks to our electricity supply. 

Still, some technologists, grid operators, and utilities are hoping to show that flexibility works—not only in white papers or simulations but in real life. 


The poster children for data-center growth default toward inflexibility. Hyperscalers like Microsoft and Oracle have proposed enormous new centers, many of which would rely on off-grid, natural-­gas-burning power plants. When xAI wanted to speed up the buildout of the Colossus site outside Memphis, Tennessee, it rolled up with gas turbines on flatbed trucks. The facility, now in operation, is facing blowback from regulators and residents about the spike it’s causing in emissions and other pollution. In any case, there aren’t enough gas turbines worldwide to meet the demand from data-center operators. 

One big obstacle for anyone demanding a lot of power is that our grids are mostly rigid. They’re designed to supply enough power to meet total demand when it’s highest, even if that’s for only a relatively small number of hours a year. That conservative approach is a simple route to reliability, but it means that the grid has quite a bit of headroom. “The grid is already overbuilt by a lot. If you were an airline running at 30% utilization, you would not buy more planes,” says Amit Narayan, the cofounder and CEO of GridCare, a company developing flexibility technologies, referring to a 2025 Stanford study of transmission lines in western North America. “If you are running a grid at 30% utilization, there’s no scientific reason you can’t go to 60.” 

“If you were an airline running at 30% utilization, you would not buy more planes. If you are running a grid at 30% utilization, there’s no scientific reason you can’t go to 60.”

To be fair, the idea of flexibility isn’t entirely foreign to grid operators. For decades, they’ve practiced a technique called demand response: When it looks as if demand will get too close to supply, as it might during a heat wave when many people turn on the AC at the same time, they call large commercial or industrial facilities and ask them to shut down parts of their operations. This method can help avoid the need to fire up so-called peaker plants, which run on fossil fuels, but it’s slow, imprecise, and hard to scale.

In the 2000s, as the adoption of technologies like electric cars and solar panels presented new challenges, more internet-­connected grids also provided new means of flexibility. Virtual power plants, or VPPs, offered a smarter, faster, more granular alternative. Electricity customers ranging from factories to homeowners with smart thermostats, solar panels, or big batteries would allow the utility to adjust their draw to help meet demand—often getting paid for their (frequently unnoticed) trouble. 

After the generative AI boom began with the release of ChatGPT in 2022, some companies began to see flexibility as a way to get data centers set up more easily, efficiently, and affordably. If they bring AI money into existing grids and reduce or defer the need for expensive upgrades, data centers could actually help spread out fixed costs so as to lower rates for other users. A study from Duke University published this past February, for instance, found that flexibility could reduce rates by 0.5% to 2.8%. 

PETRA PÉTERFFY

The trick is figuring out how data centers, notorious power hogs, can keep operating when their flexible connections are throttled. Flexibility specialists envision three possible ways. The simplest is for the new data center to install on-site backup power storage or generation to tap when the grid is maxed out—at their own expense, of course.

A facility could also fill the gap by drawing on a VPP. The utility would turn down the electricity going to users who signed up for the VPP, and the data center would pay them for their flexibility. This method wouldn’t require any major infrastructure, but it would require the utility to have a big VPP program and to coordinate the exchange at a time when the grid was under stress. While VPPs exist to some extent in nearly 40 states, the rules governing them vary widely, and they are empowered to do more in some areas than in others. 

Finally, a data center could simply use less power at peak times. The conventional wisdom is that they won’t go for such limits, particularly when every number-­crunching server can feel like a goose potentially laying little golden eggs. But some experts are betting that the value of getting up and running quickly is enough to change their minds. “There is a clear and growing trend,” says Ayse Coskun, chief scientist at Emerald AI. “Operators are increasingly willing to trade some level of flexibility for faster grid interconnection.” 


GridCare, a startup based in Silicon Valley, was one of the first companies to use flexibility to get data centers online quickly. Instead of looking at grids only in worst-case scenarios when electricity demand is highest, the company analyzes the system under all conditions, explains CEO Narayan, who studied smart grids at Stanford. It feeds every part of the grid—including power plants, lines, substations, and homes—into a generative AI model that creates a “digital twin” for different grid configurations. It then picks out results that could unlock capacity while maintaining reliability, and it feeds those into another model trained on the physics of electrical components like resistors and capacitors to make sure they’re realistic.

GridCare found its first customer in the Silicon Forest, an area in the Pacific Northwest named for the trees that dominate the landscape and the IT industry that has more recently sprouted up there. The local grid needed more capacity to support more data centers. “Data centers wanted ‘speed to power,’” says Isaac Barrow, a manager of data-center relations at Portland General Electric, or PGE, the local power generator and distributor, “but transmission buildout is a long process that’s very costly.”

In 2024, Aligned Data Centers came to PGE wanting to expand its operation in Hillsboro, Oregon, and PGE followed a recommendation from GridCare. Aligned will install a 31-megawatt battery, set to be in service in May 2027, and decrease its draw by up to that amount when the grid becomes congested. Bundled with other flexibility measures, that battery has allowed PGE to increase the capacity it can offer Aligned and other nearby operators by 80 megawatts without any new power plants. Though the buildout of data centers in Hillsboro has faced plenty of pushback from locals, Barrow points out that it could have the knock-on effect of lowering costs for ratepayers, because it spreads out the tab.

Other companies are promoting different flavors of flexibility. Google has been moving processing loads from facilities in areas experiencing demand spikes to those in less stressed spots since 2023. It’s signed agreements with five utilities, including the Tennessee Valley Authority and Indiana Michigan Power, that add as much as a gigawatt of flexibility. 

Voltus, a major VPP provider across the US and Canada, markets a “bring your own capacity” program in which a data-­center company can fund a VPP nearby. The grid operator can use the VPP to decrease demand at busy times, and participants get a financial thank-you. “We can spin up new VPPs on the order of months,” says Emily Orvis, Voltus’s vice president of energy markets. In June, the company signed their first such data-center deal: a three-year plan in which Google will bankroll a VPP in the PJM interconnection.

Of all the approaches to flexibility, Emerald AI’s may be the most ambitious: asking data centers to dial into the grid’s needs. The company’s Conductor software, which can run on premises or in the cloud, builds on the research of chief scientist Coskun. Her group at Boston University showed in a pair of 2013 papers that a data center could watch the grid and help balance big power fluctuations, such as the intermittent effects of solar and wind power. By 2022, she and her colleagues had tested their methods on a cluster of 36 research servers and shown that the system could respect power limits without breaking the processes it was running. 

One of the most important questions for Conductor is deciding which AI processes can be slowed down to save energy without kneecapping performance. A lot of companies label their jobs by priority—a real-time chatbot query, for instance, might outrank something like a web search that’s part of a deep research project. When they don’t, Emerald AI tries to infer priority from the nature of the job. Conductor then analyzes the AI workload to determine how tweaking the power to a given processor will affect the performance and help meet the usage limits set by the grid operator.

“The performance curve changes for different kinds of workloads,” says Coskun. “Each AI job is going to have a different location on that curve. Our intelligence is figuring out where you are on that curve.” 

PETRA PÉTERFFY

Last year, Emerald AI began assessing the technology’s readiness for real-world use in a series of tests, raising the difficulty each time. The trials were carried out in partnership with the Data Center Flexible Load Initiative—a collaboration among tech companies like Google and Nvidia, utilities like Duke Energy, and grid operators like PJM that aims to help establish a repeatable framework for power-­flexible data centers.

The first challenge was in Phoenix, a fast-growing computing hub. For the test, Conductor took control of a group of server racks laden with 256 Nvidia A100 GPUs—hardware that can use about as much power as around 170 US homes. When presented with a simulation of a busy grid, Conductor reduced the power to the chips by 25% for three hours, while maintaining acceptable computing performance. Emerald AI and its partners reported the results in a paper in Nature Energy in December 2025.

The next trial forced the system to juggle surprise grid fluctuations without advance warning and redirect AI jobs from a data center in Virginia to a less busy one in Chicago. Then, in London, Conductor took the reins of equipment beyond the main GPU processors and faced a more complicated mix of fluctuations, including very short and long bouts of congestion—plus the notorious teakettle effect.

The progress so far shows that flexibility can work, at least in some situations, but only a small fraction of operators have pursued it as yet. “We’re just in the beginning innings of the game,” says Jesse Jenkins, one of the authors of the 2025 Princeton study and cofounder of Firma, a startup that works on data-center flexibility. “People are recognizing that this is a potential solution. The motivation is there; there are some bespoke examples. But there’s no uniform solution set that’s the default option, which is where we need to get.”


While data centers are going up across the US, no place on Earth comes close to the accumulated computing muscle in Northern Virginia’s Data Center Alley. The region is home to around 500 compute-crunching facilities, which represent 13% of the entire world’s capacity; the next two hot spots, Beijing and Oregon, contain 6% each.

There are proposals to build hundreds more facilities in Virginia, but a government study found that the state’s electricity demand will increase 183% (around 26 gigawatts) by 2040 if they all go forward, and supporting even half would be difficult. The power-flexible data center that Emerald AI, Nvidia, Digital Realty, and their partners are building in the suburb of Manassas could demonstrate how data centers can squeeze the power they need out of existing capacity. The facility, slated to come online later this year, is intended to give Conductor the chance to manage power at the largest scale yet and to respond to conditions on a live grid for the first time. In the UK demonstration, Conductor managed a 130-kilowatt AI cluster; in Manassas, it will pull the strings of a 96-megawatt hyperscale AI factory. 

Some degree of flex will play a key role as we transition away from fossil fuels and toward a future that has to juggle technologies like solar and wind power, batteries, and electric cars.

For PJM, the Manassas facility points to a potential path through the current power crunch. “We think data-center flexibility, in different forms, will be essential for the reliable integration of data-center load over the short to mid term,” says Scott Baker, who manages demand-side markets at PJM. 

But not all grid experts are so sanguine. PJM’s market monitor, which oversees the grid operator, says there are no workarounds when it comes to adding capacity. “The notion that large amounts of data-center load can be added without adding new generation is magical thinking,” says Joseph Bowring, an economist and the head of PJM’s market monitor since 1999.

One problem, he says, is that there’s no way to guarantee that a data center will actually take less power when demand is high. That is, absent any legal or regulatory push for flexibility or compliance, the utility won’t be able to step in to help prevent, say, a blackout. Utilities can rely on resources like power plants, but they can’t control or rely on data centers. “They do not want to be fully interruptible,” Bowring says of the facilities.

Stephen Empedocles, an advisor for technology companies, views flexibility as more of a tool than a silver bullet. “These approaches are excellent for improving grid reliability and getting more out of the infrastructure we already have,” he says, “but they are optimization tools.” They’re not substitutes for the “generation, transmission, and distribution expansion that will still be required,” he continues.

Flexibility advocates agree that over the long term, whether or not AI continues to boom, electrification will drive a need for more generation and transmission. Some degree of flex will play a key role in using grid infrastructure better as we transition away from fossil fuels and toward a future that has to juggle technologies like solar and wind power, batteries, and electric cars. A report published by the International Renewable Energy Agency in January 2026 found that grids around the world will need three times as much flexibility in 2030 as they had in 2019—and 10 times as much by 2050—to balance increasing demand with fluctuating supplies of renewable energy. 

The challenge of powering AI could provide just the spark we need to do the work of designing and building smarter, more flexible grids, says Coskun. “I think with a crisis like this, there’s no quick solution,” she says. “Sometimes a crisis like this creates an opportunity to do something differently.” 

Amos Zeeberg is a freelance science and technology journalist based in Bucharest. He’s developing a book about technology networks, including electric grids.

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Aker BP, Höegh Evi secure EU funding for Atlas CCS project

Aker BP and Höegh Evi have been awarded €223 million (about US$250 million) from the European Union Innovation Fund to support development of the Atlas carbon capture and storage (CCS) project in Norway. The Atlas project is designed as a large-scale CCS network linking industrial CO2 emitters in Europe with

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Extreme wants to use idle network compute capacity for local AI

“We’ve spent decades building networks that reach every corner of the enterprise, and those networks hold a lot of idle compute. Exchange zones will put that compute to work, letting AI run locally on infrastructure customers already own. That delivers sovereignty, local inferencing, and better economics than sending everything to

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Equinor lets Wisting FPSO topsides FEED contract to Aibel

@import url(‘https://fonts.googleapis.com/css2?family=Inter:wght@100..900&display=swap’); .ebm-page__main h1, .ebm-page__main h2, .ebm-page__main h3, .ebm-page__main h4, .ebm-page__main h5, .ebm-page__main h6 { font-family: Inter; } body { line-height: 150%; letter-spacing: 0.025em; } button, .ebm-button-wrapper { font-family: Inter; } .label-style { text-transform: uppercase; color: var(–color-grey); font-weight: 600; font-size: 0.75rem; } .caption-style { font-size: 0.75rem; color: color-mix(in srgb, currentColor 60%, transparent); } <!–> Equinor Energy AS awarded Aibel a front-end engineering and design (FEED) study contract covering topside modules for the proposed floating production, storage, and offloading (FPSO) vessel for Wisting field development in the Barents Sea. The contract includes FEED work and further maturation of the FPSO topsides design to support the Wisting partners’ project execution decision. It also contains an option for engineering, procurement, and project management (EPma) services. Any contract for fabrication of the topside modules would be awarded later, Equinor said. Work will begin immediately and is scheduled for completion in late 2027. The FEED study will form part of the basis for the Wisting license partners’ planned investment decision in late 2027. Equinor and partners plan to decide on concept selection and the project’s further progression by yearend 2026. “We are at an early stage in the development of Wisting, and considerable work remains to develop a project that is profitable and feasible,” said Trond Bokn, Equinor’s senior vice-president for project development. ]–> <!–> –> <!–> Dec. 2, 2019 ]–> <!–> –> <!–> April 22, 2024 ]–> <!–> –> <!–> May 21, 2026 ]–> Wisting Wisting, discovered in 2013 in the Hoop area of the Barents Sea about 310 km north of Hammerfest, is the largest oil discovery on the Norwegian continental shelf yet to be developed. The field contains estimated recoverable resources of just under 500 MMboe. Water depths across the development area are 390-418 m. In July, Equinor submitted for public consultation

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Oil prices climb as Saudi attacks heighten supply concerns

Oil prices rose sharply Oct. 23 as escalating attacks on Saudi Arabian energy infrastructure and mounting threats to Middle East shipping heightened concerns over further supply disruptions. Oil prices rose more than 3% on Oct. 23, with Brent crude futures climbing above $117/bbl, their highest level since late April, while US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) advanced above $103/bbl. Brent was on track for a third consecutive weekly gain, reflecting a growing geopolitical risk premium amid continued regional hostilities. Market concerns intensified following attacks by Yemen’s Houthi movement on Saudi targets, including energy infrastructure and airports. On Oct. 21, Saudi air defenses intercepted a drone targeting a processing plant at Saudi Aramco’s Shaybah oil field. Falling debris caused a fire in a contractor’s vehicle, killing two people and injuring two others, according to the Saudi Energy Ministry. Operations at the field were unaffected. Saudi Aramco also instructed employees to evacuate its headquarters in Dhahran and work remotely as regional hostilities escalated, Reuters reported Oct. 22, citing people familiar with the matter. Although the latest incident at Shaybah did not interrupt production, continued attacks have raised concerns about the security of Saudi energy infrastructure and the reliability of regional supplies. Shipping risks have added to market uncertainty. October has recorded the highest number of attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding waterways since tracking began in 2017, according to data compiled by the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Although Middle Eastern crude exports have recovered strongly from earlier disruptions, the escalation in maritime attacks has raised questions about whether those flows can be sustained. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) also reported an oil spill from a tanker off Umm Al Quwain on Oct. 23. Authorities did not identify the vessel or establish the cause of the

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INGAA appoints Chris Schindler as 2026-2027 chair

The board of directors for the Interstate Natural Gas Association of America (INGAA) has appointed Chris Schindler to serve as chairman of the organization for a 1-year term. Schindler serves as executive vice-president, general counsel, corporate secretary, and chief compliance officer of Southern Star Central Gas Pipeline, which transports natural gas through about 5,800 miles of pipeline in the Midwest and Mid-Continent regions of the United States. Schindler joined Southern Star in June 2019 following a 25-year legal career at Hogan Lovells, in Washington, DC. He handled regulatory matters before the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and state commissions; executed regulatory strategies for energy infrastructure projects; litigated FERC rate cases; and was a frequent national speaker on FERC and CFTC regulatory issues. INGAA also appointed Rob Johnson, president of WBI Energy Inc., as first vice chair, and David Brast, president of US Natural Gas Pipelines, TC Energy, as second vice chair.

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Energy Department Authorizes Strategic Petroleum Reserve Exchange to Support Fuel Supply Stability

WASHINGTON— The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today announced the authorization of an emergency exchange of up to 400,000 barrels of crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) to address a crude oil supply disruption affecting the Phillips 66 Lake Charles Refinery in Louisiana. Under the terms of the exchange, all borrowed crude oil will be returned with additional premium barrels, helping replenish and strengthen the SPR at no additional cost to taxpayers.  “With this exchange, the Energy Department is taking definitive action to support refinery operations, maintain stable fuel supplies, and ensure all Americans continue to have access to the affordable, reliable, and secure energy they rely on every day,” said DOE Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit. “This emergency exchange helps alleviate supply disruption and requires Phillips 66 to return more barrels to the SPR than are currently being withdrawn, saving hardworking taxpayers millions of dollars and delivering on the Trump Administration’s commitment to strengthen and safeguard America’s energy security.” The Energy Department has authorized the exchange of up to 400,000 barrels for the Phillips 66 Lake Charles Refinery from the West Hackberry SPR site for immediate delivery. The supply will help offset temporary disruptions affecting crude oil deliveries to the refinery and support continued production of transportation fuels serving Louisiana and surrounding markets.  DOE will continue working with industry partners to help ensure stability across the fuel supply chain and stands ready to utilize available authorities, as appropriate, to support the reliable delivery of energy supplies and protect U.S. energy security.  For more information on the SPR, please visit DOE’s SPR website. 

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Energy Department Designates Helium as Critical Material to Strengthen American Manufacturing and Supply Chain Security

WASHINGTON—The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today announced that Secretary of Energy Chris Wright has designated helium as a critical material under the Energy Act of 2020. The designation advances the Trump Administration’s commitment to freeing America from reliance on foreign sources of critical materials, strengthening domestic manufacturing, supporting American jobs, and securing the materials essential to U.S. economic and national security.  “President Trump is bringing back America’s manufacturing industry, and that means making sure we have the materials needed to build things in America again,” said U.S . Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “Helium is essential to producing the semiconductors and advanced technologies that power our economy. By designating helium as a critical material, we are taking another step toward securing our supply chains, creating American jobs, and ensuring the United States leads the world in energy and technological innovation.” DOE determined that helium meets the statutory definition of a critical material due to its essential role in American manufacturing and growing exposure to supply chain risks. Helium’s unique properties make it indispensable to semiconductor production, with no viable substitutes in many critical applications. The United States has significant domestic deposits of helium-rich natural gas to support growing industrial demand. “The U.S. Department of Energy is committed to strengthening our country’s supply chain of critical materials that are essential to continued economic and job growth, energy dominance, and U.S. leadership in cutting-edge technologies such as SI and semiconductors,” said Assistant Secretary of Energy Audrey Robertson. “Under Secretary Wright’s leadership, DOE is taking decisive action to ensure American manufacturers have reliable access to helium as a critical resource they need.” Global demand for helium is growing faster than production, increasing supply risks for American manufacturers. Despite the nation’s abundant helium resources, limited refining capacity and lengthy permitting timelines continue to

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Energy Department to Use Defense Production Act Funding to Restart American Refinery and Expand Refining Capacity

WASHINGTON—President Donald J. Trump today announced plans to provide up to $150 million in Defense Production Act (DPA) Title III funding to expand domestic petroleum production, storage, and logistics at refineries across the United States.  By leveraging DPA authorities, DOE will help increase domestic production of gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petroleum products, strengthening America’s fuel supply and lowering prices for American families and businesses. Together, this funding is expected to increase U.S. refining output by millions of gallons per day.  “After 17 years of Democrat leaders enacting energy subtraction policies that led to the closure of refineries and more expensive refined oil products, the Trump Administration is taking action to expand our nation’s refining capacity and strengthen our energy security,” said U.S. Secretary of Energy Chris Wright. “Thanks to President Trump, America is producing more oil and gas than ever before and thanks to President Trump, we will soon be producing more refined products as well. These Defense Production Act funds will be used strategically and in partnership with private industry to rapidly bolster America’s existing energy infrastructure. By restoring energy addition policies, we will continue to unleash American energy dominance and lower costs for the American people.” The investment supports President Trump’s commitment to ensuring all Americans have access to affordable, reliable, and secure energy while strengthening energy infrastructure critical to national defense. Thanks to the Working Families Tax Cuts, $1 billion in federal funding has been appropriated for energy-related projects deemed critical to national security. Presidential Determination No. 2026-11 identifies domestic petroleum production, refining, and logistics capacity as essential to national defense. The selection process is ongoing and will be announced in the near future.

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Hyperscalers allow more scrutiny of controversial data center plans

Hyperscalers are getting decidedly twitchy about citizens’ reactions to their secretive data center construction plans, and are looking for ways to de-escalate some of the conflicts. Earlier this month, Amazon announced its Data Center Commitment which, among other things, would disclose more information about energy and water use and consider a moratorium asking government officials to sign non-disclosure agreements covering their planning applications. Amazon is not alone in this. Earlier this week, Meta said that it was reviewing its use of NDAs after the company was widely criticized for its secrecy in proposing Hyperion, a Louisiana data center in July.

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Google will pay people to use less electricity so its data centers can use more

Google has an answer to some of the electricity supply problems that data center construction is causing: It has signed an agreement with energy supplier Voltus to build what it’s calling a 1-gigawatt virtual power plant, expanding on an earlier 100 megawatt deal the two signed earlier this year. This power plant is virtual in the sense that it doesn’t generate any electricity itself, but aggregates so-called flexible grid capacity into one central resource that can be deployed at times of peak demand. This flexible capacity can be in the form of batteries or of load-shedding: asking others to temporarily stop consuming electricity by shutting down industrial processes or adjusting tens of thousands of smart thermostats at once, effectively moving their electricity usage to a time when there is less demand. Voltus operates by offering incentives to companies to reduce their power consumption temporarily, and also offers inducements to electricity resellers that they can pass on to their customers.

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Big Tech’s Next Nuclear Bet: More Power From Reactors Already Running

The next wave of nuclear power for AI data centers may come not from new reactors, but from generating stations that have been operating for decades. In a pair of agreements announced just a week apart, Google and Amazon committed to long-term electricity purchases supporting approximately 1,080 MW of additional nuclear generating capacity from Constellation Energy’s existing fleet. The transactions follow earlier commitments by Meta to support reactor upgrades at operating nuclear facilities in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Illinois, establishing a broader commercial model in which hyperscale technology companies help finance increases in nuclear output. Under its October 6 agreement with Google, Constellation plans to invest more than $4.3 billion in equipment and technology upgrades at 11 operating reactor units across Illinois, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. The 20-year power purchase agreement supports 890 MW of new generating capacity, with the first upgrades expected to begin delivering additional electricity in 2028. A separate 15-year agreement covers 2,700 MW of existing nuclear generation, underscoring the distinction between securing today’s electricity supply and financing additional capacity. Amazon’s September 30 agreement similarly supports 190 MW of new generation at Maryland’s Calvert Cliffs nuclear station, alongside purchases of existing output. Together, the two arrangements underpin more than $7 billion in planned infrastructure investment. Unlike proposed advanced reactors, these facilities already have operating licenses, grid connections, established workforces and decades of operating experience. Increasing their output avoids some of the cost, permitting and construction challenges associated with building entirely new nuclear plants, although significant upgrades still require extensive engineering, equipment modifications and regulatory approval. The potential scale is substantial. According to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s current application schedule, the agency anticipates 31 applications for reactor power uprates through 2032, representing approximately 2,421 MW of potential additional electrical generating capacity. That is roughly equivalent to the output of

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AMD Helion Puts CPU Density at the Center of Agentic AI Infrastructure

AMD expects the growth of agentic applications to substantially increase demand for server CPUs alongside GPU infrastructure. During her October 12 OCP keynote, CEO Lisa Su said the company now projects the server CPU market will exceed $200 billion by 2030, a significant upward revision from its earlier $120 billion estimate. While that remains AMD’s market forecast rather than an independent measure of future demand, it underscores the company’s conviction that general-purpose computing will play a much larger role in AI infrastructure. Two Rack Designs for Different Markets Helion’s two principal configurations reflect different approaches to deploying and managing agentic workloads. For hyperscale operators, the architecture emphasizes high-density CPU infrastructure dedicated to agent execution, with model inference handled by separate GPU-accelerated systems. This separation allows operators to expand CPU and GPU capacity independently, potentially improving resource utilization as the balance between agent activity and inference demand changes. The approach also introduces infrastructure considerations. Agents may communicate repeatedly with models hosted elsewhere in a data center or across distributed environments, making network performance, latency and workload orchestration important factors in overall system efficiency. The ability to scale computing resources independently is an architectural advantage, but realizing that benefit will depend on how effectively those resources are connected and managed. For enterprise deployments, Helion takes a more integrated approach, combining EPYC CPU blades, Instinct MI350P GPU blades and general-purpose computing resources within the same rack. The reference design accommodates up to 16 MI350P accelerators in two independent eight-GPU servers, each occupying five rack units. These GPU nodes operate separately rather than through a common rack-level scale-up fabric, reflecting the architecture’s emphasis on enterprise inference rather than the tightly coupled accelerator environments used for frontier-model training. The enterprise configuration also accommodates dedicated resources for databases, storage and technical computing, supporting the broader range

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AI’s Fragmented Regulatory Landscape Becomes a Data Center Design Challenge

Designing for Verifiable Operations For an operator serving tenants across jurisdictions, a claim about where a workload runs must be one that the responsible service provider can substantiate. That means identifying who can administer the workload, how data moves between regions, where backups are maintained, and which records document those arrangements. A tenant promising to run a workload within a particular jurisdiction needs assurance that its data, backups, and access arrangements satisfy the applicable requirements. Workload placement alone cannot establish where a backup resides or from where an administrator can access a system. Those questions must be addressed across compute, storage, network paths, security controls, and third-party access, with responsibilities established during procurement and verified before service begins. Not all of those controls necessarily reside with the data center operator. A colocation provider may be responsible for physical access, facility security, and designated infrastructure services, while a tenant or cloud provider controls the applications, storage configuration, backup locations, and logical access to workloads. The operating agreement must distinguish between what the facility provider can verify directly and what remains within the tenant’s systems. The EU AI Act makes that division of responsibility particularly important. Its requirements for covered high-risk AI systems include logging, documentation, human oversight, robustness, and cybersecurity, subject to the law’s applicable implementation dates. These obligations attach to the relevant providers and deployers of AI systems, rather than automatically to every company hosting them. A data center operator may nevertheless be required by contract to provide physical-access records, security evidence, or information about infrastructure location so that a tenant can substantiate its own compliance. A further distinction concerns data residency. The AI Act is not itself a general requirement to keep all AI workloads or associated data within the European Union. Geographic restrictions may instead arise from data-protection

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Microsoft exits UK AI data center project over electricity delays

“We remain committed to both the Loughton project and the UK, and we are exploring alternative power sources for the site, as well ​as other expansion sites in the UK,” Nscale added. “This decision relates to a single ​site,” a Microsoft spokesperson said of its termination of an agreement for the data ​center in Loughton, Essex, where Nscale had faced delays, with electricity grid ⁠officials telling the AI company they did not expect to supply power to the site ​until the 2030s. “Our relationship with Microsoft remains strong and long-term, and this unfortunate London-wide grid ​issue has no impact on our other contracts,” a spokesperson for Nscale told Reuters.

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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