Increasingly frequent and precise Ukrainian drone attacks are damaging Russian processing units and lengthening repair times, forcing Moscow into unprecedented export bans, relaxed fuel-quality standards, and imports to protect domestic supply, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). Russia’s 32 major refineries, with 6.5 million b/d of nameplate capacity, make it the world’s third-largest refined-products producer after the US and China. But crude runs fell to 3.8 million b/d in June 2026, down 30% year on year and the lowest since May 2004. Gasoline output is reportedly down about 20%. Ukraine has targeted Russian oil infrastructure since the 2022 full-scale invasion, but IEA said the campaign’s scale, range, and effectiveness increased sharply during 2025-26. A Russian refinery was successfully struck once every 3 days on average in the first 8 months of 2026. Ukrainian forces are now sending multiple drone waves against single sites, overwhelming protective netting and air defenses. Reach has expanded as well. On July 7, Ukraine struck Gazprom Neft PJSC’s 450,000-b/d Omsk refinery, Russia’s largest, some 2,500 km from the border, while several refineries closer to Ukraine have been hit as many as 15 times. By late August, only four major refineries—all in Eastern Siberia or farther east, 3,500-6,500 km from Ukraine—remained untouched. Secondary units targeted Targeting also appears more precise, increasingly hitting secondary units alongside crude distillation units. Fluid catalytic crackers, reformers, and hydrotreaters are critical to light-product yields and fuel specifications. Minor damage to a crude distillation unit can often be repaired in 1-2 weeks, but serious damage to more complex units can require 6-8 months, IEA said. The 250,000-b/d Moscow refinery, heavily damaged in June, is reportedly offline until early 2027. Sanctions are compounding the problem by restricting access to replacement equipment and specialist suppliers. Refiners have tried to preserve throughput by postponing maintenance,