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Shell fourth quarter profits drop to $3.66bn, commences share buyback

Energy giant Shell (LON:SHEL) reported a drop in fourth quarter profits to $3.66 billion (£2.94bn) amid lower oil refining margins. The adjusted earnings result for the period ending 31 December reflected a nearly 50% drop compared to its fourth quarter results in 2023, where Shell posted a $7.31bn profit. Shell also announced a $3.5bn (£2.81bn) […]

Energy giant Shell (LON:SHEL) reported a drop in fourth quarter profits to $3.66 billion (£2.94bn) amid lower oil refining margins.

The adjusted earnings result for the period ending 31 December reflected a nearly 50% drop compared to its fourth quarter results in 2023, where Shell posted a $7.31bn profit.

Shell also announced a $3.5bn (£2.81bn) share buyback programme, at 0.358 cents per ordinary share.

The company also recorded $2.2bn of impairments and losses on asset sales in the fourth quarter.

Shell chief executive officer Wael Sawan said 2024 represented a “strong financial performance” across the company.

“Despite the lower earnings this quarter, cash delivery remained solid and we generated free cash flow of $40 billion across the year, higher than 2023, in a lower price environment,” Sawan said.

“Our continued focus on simplification helped to deliver over $3 billion in structural cost reductions since 2022, meeting our target ahead of schedule, whilst also making significant progress against all our other financial targets.”

Since taking over as chief executive in 2023, Sawan has focused on cutting costs and shifting focus away from renewable energy to its core oil, gas and biofuels business.

In its Q4 results, Shell said the company has achieved structural cost reductions of $3.1bn since 2022, meeting its target set in 2023 a year early.

Shell's Clipper platform. North Sea. © Supplied by Shell
Shell’s Clipper platform. North Sea.

The cost cutting drive saw Shell reduce its 2024 cash capital expenditure to $21.1bn, with its capital expenditure in 2025 set to be even lower.

At the same time, Sawan said the 4% increase in Shell’s dividends makes it the 13th consecutive quarter of at least $3bn in share buybacks.

The company plans to update investors on its strategy at a capital markets day in New York on 25 March.

Sawan has previously mulled plans to move the supermajor’s primary stock listing from London to New York, calling Shell’s stock price “undervalued” compared to its US rivals ExxonMobil and Chevron.

Upstream results

Shell reported adjusted earnings of $1.68bn in its upstream segment as part of its Q4 results.

The company said its earnings reflect higher volumes offset by lower prices, above average well write-offs and higher year-end operational expenditure.

Shell achieved first oil at its Mero-3 floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel in Brazil, alongside startup at its Whale platform in the Gulf of Mexico in January.

Elsewhere, Shell took a final investment decision on its Bonga North project in Nigeria, which the company said will support “portfolio longevity”.

The company forecast total production for the first quarter of 2025 in the range of 1,750-1,950 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboe/d).

In the North Sea, Shell said it expects to complete its asset tie-up with Norwegian state-owned operator by the end of 2025. If regulators approve the deal, the joint venture will become the UK North Sea’s biggest independent operator.

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SATORP halts processing activities at Jubail refinery

Saudi Aramco Total Refinery & Petrochemicals Co.—a joint venture of Saudi Aramco (62.5%) and TotalEnergies SE (37.5%)—has temporarily shuttered units at its 460,000 b/d full-conversion refinery complex at Jubail, on Saudi Arabia’s eastern coast, following disruptions resulting from the ongoing war in the Middle East. In an Apr. 10 update

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Intel secures Google cloud and AI infrastructure deal

“Scaling AI requires more than accelerators – it requires balanced systems. CPUs and IPUs are central to delivering the performance, efficiency and flexibility modern AI workloads demand,” said Lip-Bu Tan, CEO  of Intel in a statement. Google does offer custom Armv9-based Axion processors as an alternative to x86 based instances

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Broadcom strikes chip deals with Google, Anthropic

Anthropic said this week that the AI startup’s annual revenue run rate has now crossed $30 billion, up from about $9 billion the previous year. “We are making our most significant compute commitment to date to keep pace with our unprecedented growth,” said Krishna Rao, CFO of Anthropic, in a

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BW Energy granted 25-year extension of license offshore Gabon

BW Energy Gabon has received approval from the Ministry of Oil and Gas of the Gabonese Republic to extend the Dussafu Marin production license offshore Gabon, West Africa. The license period has been extended to 2053 from 2028, inclusive of three 5-year option periods from 2038 onwards. The prior contract was until 2038 inclusive of two 5-year option periods from 2028 onwards. The extra time “provides long-term visibility for production, investments, and reserve development” of the operator’s “core producing asset,” the company said in a release Apr. 7. Ongoing license projects include MaBoMo Phase 2, with planned first oil in second-half 2026, and the Bourdon development following its discovery last year. The timeline also “strengthens the foundation for future infrastructure‑led growth opportunities across the adjacent Niosi and Guduma licenses, both operated by BW Energy,” the company continued. The Dussafu Marin permit is a development and exploitation license with multiple discoveries and prospects lying within a proven oil and gas play fairway within Southern Gabon basin. To the northwest of the block is the Etame-Ebouri Trend, a collection of fields producing from the pre-salt Gamba and Dentale sandstones, and to the north are Lucina and M’Bya fields which produce from the syn-rift Lucina sandstones beneath the Gamba. Oil fields within the Dussafu Permit include Moubenga, Walt Whitman, Ruche, Ruche North East, Tortue, Hibiscus, and Hibiscus North. BW Energy Gabon is operator at Dussafu (73.50%) with partners Panoro Energy ASA (17.5%) and Gabon Oil Co. (9%). Dussafu.

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Santos plans development of North Slope’s Quokka Unit

Santos Ltd. has started development planning in the Quokka Unit on Alaska’s North Slope after further delineating the Nanushuk reservoir. The Quokka-1 appraisal well spudded on Jan. 1, 2026, about 6 six miles from the Mitquq-1 discovery well drilled in 2020. It was drilled to 4,787 ft TD and encountered a high-quality reservoir with about 143 ft of net oil pay in the Nanushuk formation, demonstrating an average porosity of 19%. Following a single stage fracture stimulation, the well achieved a flow rate of 2,190 bo/d. Reservoir sands correlated between the two discoveries, coupled with fluid analyses, confirm the presence of high‑quality, light‑gravity oil, supporting strong well performance and improved pricing relative to Pikka oil. Together with additional geological data, these results underpin the potential for a two‑drill‑site development with production capacity comparable to Pikka phase 1, the company said.  Rate and resource potential for the two-drill-site development is being evaluated. Resource estimation is ongoing and appraisal results will be evaluated as part of the FY26 contingent resource assessment. In FY25, Santos reported 2C contingent resources of 177 MMboe for the Quokka Unit. Based on these results, Santos has started development planning, including the initiation of key permitting activities. Santos is operator of the Quokka Unit (51%) with partner Repsol (49%).

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Fluor, Axens secure contracts for US grassroots refinery project

Fluor Corp. and Axens Group have been awarded key contracts for America First Refining’s (AFR) proposed grassroots refinery at the Port of Brownsville, Tex., advancing development of what would be the first new US refinery to be built in more than 50 years. Fluor will execute front-end engineering and design (FEED) for the project, while Axens will serve as technology licensor of core refining process technologies to be used at the site, the service providers said in separate Apr. 7 releases. The AFR refinery is designed to process more than 60 million bbl/year—or about 164,400 b/d—of US light shale crude into transportation fuels, including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Contract details Without disclosing a specific value of its contract, Fluor said the scope of its FEED study will cover early-stage engineering and design required to define project execution, cost, and schedule based on a complex that will incorporate commercially proven technologies to improve efficiency and emissions performance while processing domestic shale crude. As technology licensor, Axens said it will deliver process technologies for key refining units at the site, including those for: Naphtha, diesel hydrotreating. Continuous catalytic reforming. Isomerization. Alongside supporting improved fuel-quality specifications, the unspecified technologies to be supplied for the refinery will also help to reduce overall energy consumption at the site. Axens—which confirmed its involvement since 2017 in working with AFR on early-stage development of the project—said this latest licensing agreement will also cover engineering support, equipment, catalysts, and services across the refinery’s process configuration. Project background, commercial framework Upon first announcing the project in March 2026, AFR said the proposed development came alongside an already signed 20-year offtake agreement with a global integrated oil company covering 1.2 billion bbl of US light shale crude, as well as capital investment to support construction. As part of the

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EIA: US crude inventories up 3.1 million bbl

US crude oil inventories for the week ended Apr. 3, excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, increased by 3.1 million bbl from the previous week, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). At 464.7 million bbl, US crude oil inventories are about 2% above the 5-year average for this time of year, the EIA report indicated. EIA said total motor gasoline inventories decreased by 1.6 million bbl from last week and are about 3% above the 5-year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline inventories increased while blending components inventories decreased last week. Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 3.1 million bbl last week and are about 5% below the 5-year average for this time of year. Propane-propylene inventories increased by 600,000 bbl from last week and are 71% above the 5-year average for this time of year, EIA said. US crude oil refinery inputs averaged 16.3 million b/d for the week ended Apr. 3, which was 129,000 b/d less than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 92% of capacity. Gasoline production decreased, averaging 9.4 million b/d. Distillate fuel production increased, averaging 5.0 million b/d. US crude oil imports averaged 6.3 million b/d, down 130,000 b/d from the previous week. Over the last 4 weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.6 million b/d, 9.1% more than the same 4-week period last year. Total motor gasoline imports averaged 571,000 b/d. Distillate fuel imports averaged 152,000 b/d.

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Oil prices plunge as Iran war tensions ease amid tentative Hormuz reopening

Crude oil prices plunged sharply on Apr. 7 after US President Donald Trump announced a conditional 2-week ceasefire agreement with Iran, contingent on reopening the Strait of Hormuz and restoring safe passage for energy shipments. Both Brent and WTI crude oil fell towards $95/bbl, marking their largest single-day decline since 2020. Under the agreement, Iran signaled willingness to halt attacks on shipping and allow transit through Hormuz while broader negotiations continue. The US also indicated it would assist in clearing a backlog of tankers and stabilizing maritime traffic. Benchmark crude prices initially surged above $110/bbl in early April amid fears of prolonged supply disruption after Iran effectively restricted traffic through the strait—a corridor responsible for roughly 20% of global oil flows. The blockade, triggered by escalating US-Iran hostilities, caused tanker traffic to collapse and stranded millions of barrels of crude and refined products in the region. Despite the price correction, analysts caution that supply disruptions and infrastructure damage will continue to constrain markets. The conflict has already impaired regional energy assets, including LNG infrastructure in Qatar, and forced producers across the Middle East to curtail output or delay exports. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) warned that fuel prices may remain elevated for months even if flows normalize, citing logistical bottlenecks, depleted inventories, and continued geopolitical uncertainty. “In theory, the 10–13 million b/d of crude oil and product supply stranded behind the Strait should now be gradually released. Whether the pre-March status quo will be re-established depends entirely on whether the truce can be turned into a permanent peace during the negotiations in Pakistan,” said Tamas Varga, analyst, PVM Oil Associates. “What appears evident, at least for now, is that the current quarter, the April–June period, will be the tightest, as the scarcity of available oil, both crude and refined

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EIA: Brent crude to reach $115/bbl in second-quarter 2026

Global oil markets have entered a period of acute volatility, with prices expected to surge into second-quarter 2026 as war-driven supply disruptions in the Middle East constrain flows through the Strait of Hormuz, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)’s April Short-Term Energy Outlook. The agency estimates that Brent crude averaged $103/bbl in March and will climb further to a quarterly peak of about $115/bbl in second-quarter 2026, reflecting a sharp tightening in global supply following widespread production shut-ins across key Gulf producers. The disruption stems from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint that typically carries nearly 20% of global oil supply. The US-Iran war in the region has forced producers including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and the UAE to curtail output significantly. EIA estimates that crude production shut-ins averaged 7.5 million b/d in March and will rise to a peak of 9.1 million b/d in April. In this outlook, EIA assumes the conflict does not persist past April and that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz gradually resumes. Under those assumptions, EIA expects production shut-ins will fall to 6.7 million b/d in May and return close to pre-conflict levels in late 2026. The scale of the outage has rapidly flipped the market from prior expectations of oversupply into a pronounced deficit, with global inventories drawing sharply during the second quarter. Despite an assumption that the conflict does not persist beyond April, the agency warns that supply chains will take months to normalize, keeping a geopolitical risk premium embedded in prices through late 2026. EIA forecasts the Brent crude oil price will fall below $90/bbl in fourth-quarter 2026 and average $76/bbl in 2027, about $23/bbl higher than in its February STEO forecast. This price forecast is highly dependent on EIA’s assumptions of both the

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Hillwood, PowerHouse Advance $20B Joliet Data Campus as Midwest AI Buildout Accelerates

The approval of the Joliet Technology Center signals that the Chicago region is being pulled into the Midwest’s next phase of AI infrastructure development, one that has so far been led by Ohio and defined by scale, power demand, and rising public scrutiny. It also underscores a growing reality: local governments are beginning to understand exactly what that shift entails. On March 19, 2026, the Joliet City Council voted 8–1 to approve the conditional annexation of roughly 795 acres for the proposed Joliet Technology Center, a $20 billion data center campus backed by Hillwood and PowerHouse Data Centers. The site, near Rowell and Bernhard Roads on Joliet’s east side, is planned as a 24-building, multi-phase development that would rank among the most consequential digital infrastructure projects ever approved in Illinois. Joliet is now a clear case study in how the Midwest’s data center market is evolving: massive land assemblies, utility-scale power requirements, front-loaded community concessions, increasingly organized local opposition, and regulators working to ensure that the costs of AI infrastructure are not shifted onto ratepayers. A Project Too Large to Call Routine The Joliet Technology Center is a campus-scale industrial platform built for the AI era. Plans call for 24 two-story buildings of roughly 144,500 square feet each, with total development estimated at approximately 6.9 million square feet and up to 1.8 GW of eventual capacity. That places the project firmly in the emerging “AI factory” category, e.g. far-removed from the incremental, metro-edge data center expansions that defined earlier growth cycles. The distinction is critical. AI-scale campuses operate on a different economic and technical model. Fiber access and metro proximity are no longer enough. These developments require large, contiguous power blocks, land to support phased substation and utility infrastructure, and a political framework capable of absorbing what is effectively heavy

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AI is a Positive Catalyst for Grid Growth

Data centers, particularly those optimized for artificial intelligence workloads, are frequently characterized in public discourse as a disruptive threat to grid stability and ratepayer affordability. But behind-the-narrative as we are, the AI‑driven data center growth is simply illuminating pre‑existing systemic weaknesses in electric infrastructure that have accumulated over more than a decade of underinvestment in transmission, substations, and interconnection capacity. Over the same period, many utilities operated under planning assumptions shaped by slow demand growth and regulatory frameworks that incentivized incremental upgrades rather than large, anticipatory capital programs. As a result, the emergence of gigawatt‑scale computing campuses appears to be a sudden shock to a system that, in reality, was already misaligned with long‑term decarbonization, electrification, and digitalization objectives. Utilities have been asked to do more with aging grids, slow permitting, and chronically constrained capital, and now AI and cloud are finally putting real urgency — and real investment — behind modernizing that backbone. In that sense, large‑scale compute is not the problem; it is the catalyst that makes it impossible to ignore the problem any longer. We are at a moment when data centers, and especially AI data centers, are being blamed for exposing weaknesses that were already there, when in reality they are giving society a chance to fix a power system that has been underbuilt for more than a decade. Utilities have been asked to do more with aging grids, slow permitting, and limited investment, and now AI and cloud are finally putting real urgency — and real capital — behind modernizing that backbone. In that sense, data centers aren’t the problem; they are the catalyst that makes it impossible to ignore the problem any longer. AI Demand Provided a Long‑Overdue Stress Test The nature of AI workloads intensified this dynamic. High‑performance computing clusters concentrate substantial power

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From Land Grab to Structured Scale: Kirkland & Ellis Explains How Capital, Power, and Deal Complexity Are Defining the AI Data Center Boom

The AI data center market is no longer defined by speed alone. For much of the past three years, capital moved aggressively into digital infrastructure, chasing land, power, and platform scale as generative AI workloads began to reshape demand curves. But as Melissa Kalka, M&A and private equity partner, and Kimberly McGrath, real estate partner at Kirkland & Ellis, explain on the latest episode of the Data Center Frontier Show, the industry is now entering a more complex and more consequential phase. The land grab is over. Execution has begun. Capital remains abundant, but it is no longer forgiving. From Capital Rush to Capital Discipline As noted by Kalka and McGrath, the period from roughly 2022 through 2025 marked a rapid acceleration in AI infrastructure investment. Take-private deals involving CyrusOne, QTS, and Switch signaled a structural shift, while hyperscale demand scaled from tens of megawatts to hundreds, and now toward gigawatt-class campuses. But the current phase is not defined by a pullback in capital. Instead, it reflects an expansion of investment pathways and a corresponding increase in scrutiny. “There’s actually more deal flow now,” Kalka notes, pointing to the growing range of entry points across the capital stack, including development vehicles, yield-oriented structures, and private credit. With more capital chasing larger and more complex opportunities, investors are evaluating not just platforms, but the full lifecycle of assets from early-stage development through stabilization and long-term hold. That shift has pulled capital earlier into the process, where risk is higher and less defined. Power availability, permitting, and execution timelines are now central to underwriting decisions. What Defines a “Bankable” Platform In this environment, the definition of a bankable data center platform has tightened. Execution history remains foundational. Investors are looking for consistent delivery, operational reliability, and clean contractual performance. But those factors alone

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CoreWeave and Bell Canada Reset AI Data Center Scale

From GPU Cloud to AI Factory Operator In sum, CoreWeave is moving beyond its origins as a fast-scaling GPU cloud built on scarcity. The company is increasingly positioning itself as an AI infrastructure operator, where competitive advantage comes from integration across hardware, networking, cooling, platform software, workload orchestration, and early access to NVIDIA’s latest systems. That positioning has been reinforced by NVIDIA itself. In January, NVIDIA outlined a deeper alignment with CoreWeave focused on building AI factories, accelerating the procurement of land, power, and shell, and validating CoreWeave’s AI-native software and reference architecture. The partnership also includes deployment of multiple generations of NVIDIA infrastructure across CoreWeave’s platform, including Rubin systems, Vera CPUs, and BlueField data processing units, alongside a $2 billion equity investment. No simple vendor relationship, this is co-development around physical AI infrastructure. Bell Canada and the Rise of Sovereign AI Capacity Viewed through that lens, Bell Canada’s Saskatchewan announcement can be seen as part of the same structural shift. On March 16, Bell and the Government of Saskatchewan unveiled plans for a 300 MW AI Fabric data center in the Rural Municipality of Sherwood, outside Regina. CoreWeave is expected to anchor the site’s NVIDIA-based GPU infrastructure, extending its AI-native platform into a sovereign, hyperscale, power-dense environment. BCE described the project as its largest-ever investment in the province and said it is expected to become Canada’s largest purpose-built AI data center campus. Bell projects up to $12 billion (CDN) in long-term economic impact, along with at least 800 construction jobs and a minimum of 80 permanent roles once the site is operational. More importantly, Bell is explicitly framing the development as a foundation for domestic compute capacity, positioning AI infrastructure as a national asset tied to economic growth and technological sovereignty. That project extends Bell’s broader sovereign AI strategy.

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From Reactor Designs to Real Projects: SMRs Enter the Execution Era as AI Power Demand Accelerates

The pattern emerging is clear. The SMR story is no longer about reactor design. Recent announcements are centered on permits, fuel, supply chains, financing, and customer traction, i.e. the factors that determine whether SMRs become a viable market or remain a technology narrative. The conversation has transitioned from technically compelling reactor concepts to the harder problem of industrial execution. Through the first quarter of 2026, and especially in March, vendors moved beyond partnership announcements to concrete progress in licensing, fuel access, supply-chain development, control systems, customer alignment, and capital formation. The distinction now is between companies building credible deployment pathways and those still positioned around long-dated opportunity. At a high level, these developments fall into three categories. First, regulatory progress: the most difficult and time-consuming milestone. Second, efforts to establish manufacturing and fuel ecosystems that can support repeatable, fleet-scale deployment. Third, a broad repositioning toward power-intensive industrial users, utilities, and increasingly data center–driven load growth. The result is an SMR market that looks less like a single competitive race and more like a set of parallel business models converging on the same objective: dispatchable, carbon-free power that can be financed and deployed with greater predictability than traditional gigawatt-scale nuclear. X-energy: Building a Commercial Path to Scale X-energy has emerged as one of the more credible commercialization stories in the SMR market, with recent moves spanning capital markets, customer development, and supply-chain expansion. Reuters reported on March 20 that the company has confidentially filed for an IPO, aiming to capitalize on renewed investor interest in nuclear and rising electricity demand tied to AI infrastructure. That filing followed closely on an agreement with Talen Energy to evaluate multiple four-unit Xe-100 deployments across U.S. power markets, as well as a MOU with Japan’s IHI to expand U.S.-Japan supply chain capabilities for the reactor.

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DCF Poll: Data Centers and the Public Trust Gap

Matt Vincent is Editor in Chief of Data Center Frontier, where he leads editorial strategy and coverage focused on the infrastructure powering cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and the digital economy. A veteran B2B technology journalist with more than two decades of experience, Vincent specializes in the intersection of data centers, power, cooling, and emerging AI-era infrastructure. Since assuming the EIC role in 2023, he has helped guide Data Center Frontier’s coverage of the industry’s transition into the gigawatt-scale AI era, with a focus on hyperscale development, behind-the-meter power strategies, liquid cooling architectures, and the evolving energy demands of high-density compute, while working closely with the Digital Infrastructure Group at Endeavor Business Media to expand the brand’s analytical and multimedia footprint. Vincent also hosts The Data Center Frontier Show podcast, where he interviews industry leaders across hyperscale, colocation, utilities, and the data center supply chain to examine the technologies and business models reshaping digital infrastructure. Since its inception he serves as Head of Content for the Data Center Frontier Trends Summit. Before becoming Editor in Chief, he served in multiple senior editorial roles across Endeavor Business Media’s digital infrastructure portfolio, with coverage spanning data centers and hyperscale infrastructure, structured cabling and networking, telecom and datacom, IP physical security, and wireless and Pro AV markets. He began his career in 2005 within PennWell’s Advanced Technology Division and later held senior editorial positions supporting brands such as Cabling Installation & Maintenance, Lightwave Online, Broadband Technology Report, and Smart Buildings Technology. Vincent is a frequent moderator, interviewer, and keynote speaker at industry events including the HPC Forum, where he delivers forward-looking analysis on how AI and high-performance computing are reshaping digital infrastructure. He graduated with honors from Indiana University Bloomington with a B.A. in English Literature and Creative Writing and lives in southern New Hampshire with

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Microsoft will invest $80B in AI data centers in fiscal 2025

And Microsoft isn’t the only one that is ramping up its investments into AI-enabled data centers. Rival cloud service providers are all investing in either upgrading or opening new data centers to capture a larger chunk of business from developers and users of large language models (LLMs).  In a report published in October 2024, Bloomberg Intelligence estimated that demand for generative AI would push Microsoft, AWS, Google, Oracle, Meta, and Apple would between them devote $200 billion to capex in 2025, up from $110 billion in 2023. Microsoft is one of the biggest spenders, followed closely by Google and AWS, Bloomberg Intelligence said. Its estimate of Microsoft’s capital spending on AI, at $62.4 billion for calendar 2025, is lower than Smith’s claim that the company will invest $80 billion in the fiscal year to June 30, 2025. Both figures, though, are way higher than Microsoft’s 2020 capital expenditure of “just” $17.6 billion. The majority of the increased spending is tied to cloud services and the expansion of AI infrastructure needed to provide compute capacity for OpenAI workloads. Separately, last October Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said his company planned total capex spend of $75 billion in 2024 and even more in 2025, with much of it going to AWS, its cloud computing division.

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John Deere unveils more autonomous farm machines to address skill labor shortage

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More Self-driving tractors might be the path to self-driving cars. John Deere has revealed a new line of autonomous machines and tech across agriculture, construction and commercial landscaping. The Moline, Illinois-based John Deere has been in business for 187 years, yet it’s been a regular as a non-tech company showing off technology at the big tech trade show in Las Vegas and is back at CES 2025 with more autonomous tractors and other vehicles. This is not something we usually cover, but John Deere has a lot of data that is interesting in the big picture of tech. The message from the company is that there aren’t enough skilled farm laborers to do the work that its customers need. It’s been a challenge for most of the last two decades, said Jahmy Hindman, CTO at John Deere, in a briefing. Much of the tech will come this fall and after that. He noted that the average farmer in the U.S. is over 58 and works 12 to 18 hours a day to grow food for us. And he said the American Farm Bureau Federation estimates there are roughly 2.4 million farm jobs that need to be filled annually; and the agricultural work force continues to shrink. (This is my hint to the anti-immigration crowd). John Deere’s autonomous 9RX Tractor. Farmers can oversee it using an app. While each of these industries experiences their own set of challenges, a commonality across all is skilled labor availability. In construction, about 80% percent of contractors struggle to find skilled labor. And in commercial landscaping, 86% of landscaping business owners can’t find labor to fill open positions, he said. “They have to figure out how to do

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2025 playbook for enterprise AI success, from agents to evals

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year for enterprise AI. The past year has seen rapid innovation, and this year will see the same. This has made it more critical than ever to revisit your AI strategy to stay competitive and create value for your customers. From scaling AI agents to optimizing costs, here are the five critical areas enterprises should prioritize for their AI strategy this year. 1. Agents: the next generation of automation AI agents are no longer theoretical. In 2025, they’re indispensable tools for enterprises looking to streamline operations and enhance customer interactions. Unlike traditional software, agents powered by large language models (LLMs) can make nuanced decisions, navigate complex multi-step tasks, and integrate seamlessly with tools and APIs. At the start of 2024, agents were not ready for prime time, making frustrating mistakes like hallucinating URLs. They started getting better as frontier large language models themselves improved. “Let me put it this way,” said Sam Witteveen, cofounder of Red Dragon, a company that develops agents for companies, and that recently reviewed the 48 agents it built last year. “Interestingly, the ones that we built at the start of the year, a lot of those worked way better at the end of the year just because the models got better.” Witteveen shared this in the video podcast we filmed to discuss these five big trends in detail. Models are getting better and hallucinating less, and they’re also being trained to do agentic tasks. Another feature that the model providers are researching is a way to use the LLM as a judge, and as models get cheaper (something we’ll cover below), companies can use three or more models to

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OpenAI’s red teaming innovations define new essentials for security leaders in the AI era

Join our daily and weekly newsletters for the latest updates and exclusive content on industry-leading AI coverage. Learn More OpenAI has taken a more aggressive approach to red teaming than its AI competitors, demonstrating its security teams’ advanced capabilities in two areas: multi-step reinforcement and external red teaming. OpenAI recently released two papers that set a new competitive standard for improving the quality, reliability and safety of AI models in these two techniques and more. The first paper, “OpenAI’s Approach to External Red Teaming for AI Models and Systems,” reports that specialized teams outside the company have proven effective in uncovering vulnerabilities that might otherwise have made it into a released model because in-house testing techniques may have missed them. In the second paper, “Diverse and Effective Red Teaming with Auto-Generated Rewards and Multi-Step Reinforcement Learning,” OpenAI introduces an automated framework that relies on iterative reinforcement learning to generate a broad spectrum of novel, wide-ranging attacks. Going all-in on red teaming pays practical, competitive dividends It’s encouraging to see competitive intensity in red teaming growing among AI companies. When Anthropic released its AI red team guidelines in June of last year, it joined AI providers including Google, Microsoft, Nvidia, OpenAI, and even the U.S.’s National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), which all had released red teaming frameworks. Investing heavily in red teaming yields tangible benefits for security leaders in any organization. OpenAI’s paper on external red teaming provides a detailed analysis of how the company strives to create specialized external teams that include cybersecurity and subject matter experts. The goal is to see if knowledgeable external teams can defeat models’ security perimeters and find gaps in their security, biases and controls that prompt-based testing couldn’t find. What makes OpenAI’s recent papers noteworthy is how well they define using human-in-the-middle

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